Nils Wehrhöfer
nilswehrhoefer.bsky.social
Nils Wehrhöfer
@nilswehrhoefer.bsky.social
Research Economist at @Bundesbank.de | PhD from U Mannheim | Views are my own | https://sites.google.com/view/nilswehrhoefer/
Reposted by Nils Wehrhöfer
AEA Statement on Dismissal of BLS Comm.

"The independence of the federal statistical agencies is essential to the proper functioning of a modern economy. Accurate, timely, and impartial statistics are the foundation upon which households, businesses, and policymakers make critical decisions."
August 2, 2025 at 1:50 PM
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Can private insurance fill gaps from public disability insurance (DI) cuts? Studying a German reform, Seibold, @sseitzecon.bsky.social & @sigginho.bsky.social find modest private DI take-up, no adverse selection & efficiency gains, but an equity case for public DI. buff.ly/A0x8RSu
July 21, 2025 at 1:04 PM
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🚨 New #Publication: We tracked how policy and parenthood reshaped gender inequality in Germany from the 1960s to today. In early decades, only 14% of the gender gap was due to kids—now it's 64%.

How did children become the biggest factor? Thread🧵

🧑‍🤝‍🧑 with Hansen, @dominiksachs.bsky.social & Lüthen
April 10, 2025 at 2:21 PM
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Do the media focus on the negative? If so, why? We study this in the context of stock market reporting and identify and quantify an overlooked bias. A thread:
April 10, 2025 at 12:20 PM
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Guten Morgen aus #Frankfurt!
Wir begrüßen Sie auf unserem offiziellen Bluesky-Kanal!👋

Ab heute halten wir Sie hier über alles Wissenswerte rund um die #Geldpolitik, #Bankenaufsicht und #Finanzstabilität sowie über viele weitere Aufgaben der #Bundesbank auf dem Laufenden.

#HerzlichWillkommen
April 9, 2025 at 8:14 AM
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1/19: Seems timely to share a paper which explores how people perceive & understand trade and trade policies. Which factors shape the support for different trade policies? Thread below with the key takeaways #EconTwitter 🧵, and full paper here: socialeconomicslab.org/understandin...
April 4, 2025 at 3:19 PM
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Forthcoming in AEJ: Economic Policy: "Local Labor Market Effects of the 2002 Bush Steel Tariffs" by James Lake and Ding Liu. www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...
Local Labor Market Effects of the 2002 Bush Steel Tariffs
(Forthcoming Article) - President Bush imposed safeguard tariffs on steel in early 2002. Using US input-output tables and a generalized difference-in-difference methodology, we analyze the local labor...
www.aeaweb.org
March 28, 2025 at 1:36 PM
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⚠️Join us at the Spring Conference on Expectations of Households and Firms hosted by the @bundesbank.de on 24–25 April 2025 at our Conference Centre in Eltville/Rhein.

Only few more seats available
👉Click here for details on programme and registration:
www.bundesbank.de/de/bundesban...

#econsky
March 24, 2025 at 1:56 PM
Reposted by Nils Wehrhöfer
Deutschland braucht ein modernes #Forschungsdatengesetz. Eine bessere Verfügbarkeit von Daten führt zu hochwertigeren Publikationen, die öfter bei politischen Entscheidungen genutzt werden. Die Vorarbeit für ein solches Gesetz hat die #Ampel bereits geleistet. Mehr dazu:
www.diw.de/de/diw_01.c....
March 21, 2025 at 1:11 PM
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The German income tax system is too complicated. What could we do to improve it? Nadine Riedel, Martin Jacob and I wrote down a few ideas for @taxfoundation.bsky.social Europe.
taxfoundation.org/blog/germany...
Simplifying Germany's Income Tax System: A Path Toward Fairness and Efficiency
While many Scandinavians get mailed comprehensive pre-filled tax returns and only have to check whether they are correct, the average German taxpayer spends 9 to 10 hours and over €100 filing their ta...
taxfoundation.org
February 18, 2025 at 9:03 AM
Reposted by Nils Wehrhöfer
Just published in @jpube.bsky.social:

"The Big Sell: Privatizing East Germany's Economy"

By @lukasmergele.bsky.social, Moritz Hennecke, & @mlubczyk.bsky.social
February 12, 2025 at 2:06 PM
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The February 2025 issue of AEJ: Economic Policy (17, 1) is now available online at aeaweb.org/issues/792.
American Economic Journal: Economic Policy
Vol. 17 No. 1 February 2025
aeaweb.org
January 31, 2025 at 1:28 PM
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New paper: "Unintended Effects of Transparency: The Consequences of Income Disclosure by Politicians," (www.econtribute.de/RePEc/ajk/aj... ) co-authored with @nilswehrhoefer.bsky.social. THREAD 1/n
www.econtribute.de
January 30, 2025 at 9:22 AM
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Found a neat new paper by Bartscher, Kuhn, Schularik and Steins!

www.crctr224.de/research/dis...
January 27, 2025 at 4:57 PM
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A new survey of US households (w/ Michael Weber and Oli Coibion): tinyurl.com/527pnad4

"The Upcoming Trump Tariffs: What Americans Expect and How They Are Responding"

Point 1: Americans expect that the incoming Trump administration will apply heavy tariffs (esp for 🇨🇳).

#Trump #tariff #EconSky
January 19, 2025 at 12:09 AM
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!!! Submission Deadline: January 19th !!!
For our Spring Conference @bundesbank.de on Expectations of Households and Firms.
April 24th and 25th, 2025 in Eltville am Rhein/Germany.
#econsky
January 17, 2025 at 11:30 PM
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You are pursuing a PhD in economics or finance?
You are particularly interested in banking and finance?
You have strong empirical skills?
You should apply for an RA position in the Research Centre @bundesbank.de !
Deadline: January 12th !!! 👇 #econsky
www.bundesbank.de/en/career/jo...
Research Assistant in the areas of banking and finance / monetary policy implementation and transmission
in Part-time (19,5 hours)
www.bundesbank.de
January 9, 2025 at 12:48 PM
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Does new housing supply lead to a decrease in rents, even in high-demand markets? Read this Just Accepted article from the Journal of Political Economy Macroeconomics to find out: ow.ly/1eN950UqS1B
January 8, 2025 at 1:28 AM
Reposted by Nils Wehrhöfer
A new paper from the Journal of Political Economy investigates how PhD program ranking, department status, and other author connections impact peer review decisions. Read the full findings here: ow.ly/sfLx50UiGII #EconSky
December 12, 2024 at 2:18 PM
Reposted by Nils Wehrhöfer
New here and happy to share my job market paper!
"Bad Bank, Bad Luck? Evidence from 1 Million Firm-Bank Relationships"

We build a large novel dataset on US firm-bank relationships to ask the question “How do bank failures affect small business survival and employment?”

A🧵summarizing our findings:
December 6, 2024 at 11:09 AM
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Gender norms are extremely persistent and constrain women's life opportunities, especially so in poor countries. In my Job Market Paper, I show that grassroots media are an effective policy instrument to address gender norms at scale. #EconJMP #EconSky
December 3, 2024 at 1:41 PM
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Zero-sum thinking is a key mindset that shapes how we view the world. A little thread to highlight our work on its roots with @sahilchinoy.bsky.social,
@nathannunn.bsky.social, Sandra Sequeira.🧵1/23 scholar.harvard.edu/files/stantc...
December 3, 2024 at 3:23 PM
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🚨 NEW PAPER: When low-income Americans get $1,000/month for 3 years, what happens to their political views & behavior?

The OpenResearch Unconditional income Study reveals surprising findings about the effects of income on politics... 🧵
December 2, 2024 at 7:00 PM
Reposted by Nils Wehrhöfer
Economists love using linear regression to estimate treatment effects — it turns out that there are perils to this method, but also amazing perks

Come with me in this 🧵 if you want to learn about our now-published paper "Contamination Bias in Linear Regressions!"

1/ (Twitter rerun!)
The December 2024 issue of the American Economic Review (114, 12) is now available online at aeaweb.org/issues/785.
American Economic Review
Vol. 114 No. 12 December 2024
aeaweb.org
November 30, 2024 at 12:29 PM
Reposted by Nils Wehrhöfer
November 29, 2024 at 5:59 PM