Kyle Haynes
@kylehaynes.bsky.social
Political scientist studying security, conflict, bargaining, US foreign policy, etc. Scored on by Geoff Cameron. Personal account. Opinions mine alone.
https://kyle-haynes.weebly.com/
https://kyle-haynes.weebly.com/
I wanna be like “study game theory!” because these people have never met a commitment they won’t renege on. But they’re also seemingly incapable of looking a single move down the game tree so…I dunno I guess social science now just depends on grok finding the pattern in monkey fart throwing.
The White House delayed its proposal for averting a spike in Affordable Care Act premiums amid harsh blowback from an array of Republican allies and lawmakers, two people familiar with the matter told CNN. https://cnn.it/4inBrdd
November 25, 2025 at 5:00 AM
I wanna be like “study game theory!” because these people have never met a commitment they won’t renege on. But they’re also seemingly incapable of looking a single move down the game tree so…I dunno I guess social science now just depends on grok finding the pattern in monkey fart throwing.
They can also take that power back! Behaving like just a normal Congress is a thing this Congress can also do! Collective action is, believe it or not, totally possible.
The crazy thing is Republican members of Congress gave away their power and now they’re mad that they gave away their power. Like Trump didn’t do this to you, you did it to yourselves
November 25, 2025 at 1:15 AM
They can also take that power back! Behaving like just a normal Congress is a thing this Congress can also do! Collective action is, believe it or not, totally possible.
*Chef’s kiss* that she managed to squeeze an Israeli into the hit squad
A friend has alerted me to this pressing and very real international incident involving the very sane Candace Owens.
November 24, 2025 at 4:02 AM
*Chef’s kiss* that she managed to squeeze an Israeli into the hit squad
I read the title and immediately thought “oh god what Elliott Abrams clone did they get to write this?” Because surely it’d be too on the nose to have Abrams himself do it….
I presume Foreign Affairs is not yet running my one-word rebuttal "don't"
www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
How to Topple Maduro
And why regime change is the only way forward in Venezuela.
www.foreignaffairs.com
November 23, 2025 at 10:18 PM
I read the title and immediately thought “oh god what Elliott Abrams clone did they get to write this?” Because surely it’d be too on the nose to have Abrams himself do it….
So an entire branch of the field of medicine is being dismantled because…
*checks notes*
…you can’t prove a fecking negative.
*checks notes*
…you can’t prove a fecking negative.
CDC has overhauled its website to assert that “the claim ‘vaccines do not cause autism’ is not an evidence-based claim”
November 20, 2025 at 2:41 AM
So an entire branch of the field of medicine is being dismantled because…
*checks notes*
…you can’t prove a fecking negative.
*checks notes*
…you can’t prove a fecking negative.
Gonna scream once again that, at least from Harvard’s perspective, a faculty member withholding mentorship to extort sex from a student/advisee is significantly more problematic than corresponding with Epstein.
Summers’ “Epstein ties” are immaterial in comparison.
Summers’ “Epstein ties” are immaterial in comparison.
November 20, 2025 at 1:44 AM
Gonna scream once again that, at least from Harvard’s perspective, a faculty member withholding mentorship to extort sex from a student/advisee is significantly more problematic than corresponding with Epstein.
Summers’ “Epstein ties” are immaterial in comparison.
Summers’ “Epstein ties” are immaterial in comparison.
Most AI companies won’t get bailed out. Most of the banks that have thrown trillions of dollars at them will be. A tale as old as time.
Trump's economy is being held up by a massive AI bubble.
A recent study found that of 300 companies that owned generative AI tools, 95% reported zero return on their investments.
We will not entertain a bailout of these companies should this bubble pop.
A recent study found that of 300 companies that owned generative AI tools, 95% reported zero return on their investments.
We will not entertain a bailout of these companies should this bubble pop.
November 19, 2025 at 7:50 PM
Most AI companies won’t get bailed out. Most of the banks that have thrown trillions of dollars at them will be. A tale as old as time.
Demonstration effects of targeting regime opponents depends on actually hurting the targets you go after. Nearing the point where people simply won’t fear federal prosecution bc the govt sucks so hard at it. Some may even seek it out to for the publicity and to expose the corruption and ineptitude.
NEWS: During a hearing in federal court in VA, prosecutors confirmed that the operative indictment in the case against James Comey was never shown to or voted on by the entire grand jury before it was presented in open court.
Defense counsel argued that’s a complete bar to further prosecution
Defense counsel argued that’s a complete bar to further prosecution
November 19, 2025 at 6:51 PM
Demonstration effects of targeting regime opponents depends on actually hurting the targets you go after. Nearing the point where people simply won’t fear federal prosecution bc the govt sucks so hard at it. Some may even seek it out to for the publicity and to expose the corruption and ineptitude.
The last decade is a scathing indictment of our entire political media ecosystem.
it is frankly a *scathing* indictment of the White House press corps
I’ve been thinking and it’s kind of exceptional that not a single person said “Hey now” after the piggy comment.
November 19, 2025 at 2:05 AM
The last decade is a scathing indictment of our entire political media ecosystem.
Unambiguously good that the wheels are coming off this admin, but still shocking that the blatant authoritarianism and corruption don’t seem to be the main drivers. One day (probably soon) there’ll be another aspiring autocrat who didn’t commit scores of lurid sex crimes, and we’ll have no answer.
November 18, 2025 at 1:12 PM
Unambiguously good that the wheels are coming off this admin, but still shocking that the blatant authoritarianism and corruption don’t seem to be the main drivers. One day (probably soon) there’ll be another aspiring autocrat who didn’t commit scores of lurid sex crimes, and we’ll have no answer.
Communicating is bad enough. But the behavior you described in those communications is the real problem, bub.
“I am deeply ashamed of my actions and recognize the pain they have caused. I take full responsibility for my misguided decision to continue communicating with Mr. Epstein.”
Jeffrey Epstein files: Larry Summers steps back from public commitments over email fallout
Emails between Jeffrey Epstein and former Harvard President Larry Summers were among thousands of documents released by a House committee last week.
www.cnbc.com
November 18, 2025 at 1:50 AM
Communicating is bad enough. But the behavior you described in those communications is the real problem, bub.
Process matters, so I’m fine doing an investigation first. But not placing him on leave at 9:01 this morning is inexcusable. Holding your mentorship hostage to sexually prey on students is a pretty clear violation of any university’s regulations. Not to mention being super racist in the process…
I have no sympathy for any of Summers’ comments. But universities should not cut ties with people whose comments and/or private associations they find odious, even when they are right. If he violated either the law or university regulations, fine. Otherwise, not so much.
Per CNN, Elizabeth Warren is calling on Harvard to cut ties with Larry Summers after Jeffrey Epstein's emails released last week by House Dems featured Summers making sexist comments + asking for Epstein’s romantic advice.
November 18, 2025 at 1:47 AM
Process matters, so I’m fine doing an investigation first. But not placing him on leave at 9:01 this morning is inexcusable. Holding your mentorship hostage to sexually prey on students is a pretty clear violation of any university’s regulations. Not to mention being super racist in the process…
Weighing the total impracticality of successfully doctoring the Epstein files against the well-known fact that Trump’s time horizons can only be measured in nanoseconds.
November 17, 2025 at 4:23 AM
Weighing the total impracticality of successfully doctoring the Epstein files against the well-known fact that Trump’s time horizons can only be measured in nanoseconds.
The Tom Nichols discourse on here is incredibly annoying. Trumpism has some of the major elements of fascism, but the US today is not a fully fascist state.
There. Now everyone please shut up.
There. Now everyone please shut up.
November 16, 2025 at 6:13 PM
The Tom Nichols discourse on here is incredibly annoying. Trumpism has some of the major elements of fascism, but the US today is not a fully fascist state.
There. Now everyone please shut up.
There. Now everyone please shut up.
Quietly typing “DO NOT REPEAT THIS INSIGHT” below the abstract of all my conference paper.
November 16, 2025 at 12:43 AM
Quietly typing “DO NOT REPEAT THIS INSIGHT” below the abstract of all my conference paper.
The same shit is happening with college athletes. Purdue has staff dedicated to helping student athletes deal with harassment on social media.
The Athletic polled hundreds of players from across the NBA, NFL, MLB and NHL about their opinions surrounding how sports betting impacts players — the responses were haunting.
November 15, 2025 at 5:28 PM
The same shit is happening with college athletes. Purdue has staff dedicated to helping student athletes deal with harassment on social media.
Face-eating leopard shocked to have its face eaten by face-eating lion it taught to eat faces.
Trump pressure campaign on Boebert backfired:
November 13, 2025 at 12:56 AM
Face-eating leopard shocked to have its face eaten by face-eating lion it taught to eat faces.
Can’t violate norms. You see, then the other party would also violate norms.
When Biden was in the White House, and Democrats controlled both houses of Congress, why did they keep all this Epstein stuff covered up?
Believed it’d be improper, running counter to the goal of restoring public perception of impartiality? That’s the relatively least damning answer I can think of.
Believed it’d be improper, running counter to the goal of restoring public perception of impartiality? That’s the relatively least damning answer I can think of.
November 13, 2025 at 12:24 AM
Can’t violate norms. You see, then the other party would also violate norms.
Starting to genuinely wonder whether all his doomsaying about inevitable stagflation under Biden might’ve been just a little self interested…
"Summers declined to comment on Wednesday beyond referring to previous remarks in which he acknowledged 'regretting my past associations with Mr. Epstein.' (...Summers is a contributing writer for The New York Times Opinion section.)"
They don't mention the IQ email
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/12/u...
They don't mention the IQ email
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/12/u...
Epstein Bantered Regularly With Larry Summers
www.nytimes.com
November 13, 2025 at 12:21 AM
Starting to genuinely wonder whether all his doomsaying about inevitable stagflation under Biden might’ve been just a little self interested…
Stay in school, kids. Ace your math classes and…
*checks notes*
…”people will put up with” you.
*checks notes*
…”people will put up with” you.
I think the belief by the powerful that "people will put up with many things if you are excellent at math" is incredibly revealing in terms of understanding How We Got Here
November 12, 2025 at 12:32 AM
Stay in school, kids. Ace your math classes and…
*checks notes*
…”people will put up with” you.
*checks notes*
…”people will put up with” you.
We’re totally gonna reprise the whole “failure of reconstruction and gilded age oligarchy lead to progressive era backlash” but senate malapportionment and a 6-3 scotus will just mean nothing actually happens.
November 10, 2025 at 1:58 AM
We’re totally gonna reprise the whole “failure of reconstruction and gilded age oligarchy lead to progressive era backlash” but senate malapportionment and a 6-3 scotus will just mean nothing actually happens.
I’d say the same thing for police. Pay more and raise the minimum qualifications/expectations. These are the people we’re entrusting to wield lethal force on behalf of the state. Require rigorous training, rigid qualifications, and high accountability. It should be an elite, high-prestige job.
people hate hearing this but it's 100% true, creating a huge pay gap between political leaders, their staffs, and other elites is a recipe for corruption. of course the flip side of that is taxes on the rich should be jacked way the hell up
The Mayor of New York only makes $260k. I bet there are police that make more than that in NY with overtime.
We need to pay elected leaders more money and stop pretending it's some sort of calling. They're managing hundreds of billions of dollars in investments and millions of people's lives.
We need to pay elected leaders more money and stop pretending it's some sort of calling. They're managing hundreds of billions of dollars in investments and millions of people's lives.
November 7, 2025 at 8:49 PM
I’d say the same thing for police. Pay more and raise the minimum qualifications/expectations. These are the people we’re entrusting to wield lethal force on behalf of the state. Require rigorous training, rigid qualifications, and high accountability. It should be an elite, high-prestige job.
“Don’t give up” SCOTUS justice says to elite law students whose co-ideologues currently run the entire federal government.
The persecution complex among these people is really something to behold.
The persecution complex among these people is really something to behold.
NEW: Speaking at Federalist Society gala in DC Thursday night, Justice Amy Coney Barrett urged conservative women law students to stand by their principles and said they're the real feminists on campus www.politico.com/news/2025/11...
Amy Coney Barrett and Brett Kavanaugh to conservative law students: Don’t give up
The Trump appointees’ remarks came at a Federalist Society event in Washington.
www.politico.com
November 7, 2025 at 5:20 AM
“Don’t give up” SCOTUS justice says to elite law students whose co-ideologues currently run the entire federal government.
The persecution complex among these people is really something to behold.
The persecution complex among these people is really something to behold.
Once again, CNN, you really don’t have to do this.
Greene: "I will praise Nancy Pelosi. She had an incredible career for her party. I served under her speakership in my first term in Congress and I'm very impressed at her ability to get things done. I wish we could get things done for our party like Nancy Pelosi was able to deliver for her party."
November 6, 2025 at 5:28 PM
Once again, CNN, you really don’t have to do this.
I think this is almost certainly right but I’m still struck that a president can just openly shred the constitution and the opposition party’s most effective message isn’t “hey look he’s shredding the constitution”
A pro-affordability, anti-Trump-corruption message unites the party. Every candidate can run on that, and every candidate can have their own take to fit that to their constituents. There's really no need to find fights to pick when the party agrees on more than it disagrees
Came here to say this, but Jamelle Bouie has this covered. 👇
When the Democratic tent includes candidates like Spanberger and Mamdani, there is no crisis, or fight, for the party. IT’S A COALITION, NOT A POINT ESTIMATE.
When the Democratic tent includes candidates like Spanberger and Mamdani, there is no crisis, or fight, for the party. IT’S A COALITION, NOT A POINT ESTIMATE.
November 5, 2025 at 3:45 AM
I think this is almost certainly right but I’m still struck that a president can just openly shred the constitution and the opposition party’s most effective message isn’t “hey look he’s shredding the constitution”