David Kimball
@kimballdc.bsky.social
Professor of Political Science at the University of Missouri-St. Louis
Reposted by David Kimball
New from Thompson & McCabe: "The importance of local racial demographic changes in democratic erosion in the mass American public"
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
White Americans in counties with white decline/Black growth are more violent/antidemocratic when primed to think of US racial demo change.
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
White Americans in counties with white decline/Black growth are more violent/antidemocratic when primed to think of US racial demo change.
PNAS
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), a peer reviewed journal of the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) - an authoritative source of high-impact, original research that broadly spans...
www.pnas.org
November 26, 2025 at 8:18 PM
New from Thompson & McCabe: "The importance of local racial demographic changes in democratic erosion in the mass American public"
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
White Americans in counties with white decline/Black growth are more violent/antidemocratic when primed to think of US racial demo change.
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
White Americans in counties with white decline/Black growth are more violent/antidemocratic when primed to think of US racial demo change.
Reposted by David Kimball
Today is a good day to remind you that none of the classic vote studies thought very highly of women's political competence.
November 25, 2025 at 3:57 PM
Today is a good day to remind you that none of the classic vote studies thought very highly of women's political competence.
Reposted by David Kimball
It's always hard to pick a worst day politically, but today the president called for the death of members of the opposition party, and the administration decided that people were being too hard on the swastika
November 21, 2025 at 4:15 AM
It's always hard to pick a worst day politically, but today the president called for the death of members of the opposition party, and the administration decided that people were being too hard on the swastika
Reposted by David Kimball
Scotland [4] - 2 Denmark - K. McLean 90+8'
It's done! No Playoff! Straight through! And WHAT A GOAL TO FINISH IT OFF!!!!
It's done! No Playoff! Straight through! And WHAT A GOAL TO FINISH IT OFF!!!!
November 18, 2025 at 9:48 PM
Scotland [4] - 2 Denmark - K. McLean 90+8'
It's done! No Playoff! Straight through! And WHAT A GOAL TO FINISH IT OFF!!!!
It's done! No Playoff! Straight through! And WHAT A GOAL TO FINISH IT OFF!!!!
Reposted by David Kimball
Is national policy more responsive to the preferences of white Americans than to those of people of color? When Republicans control the presidency and/or the Senate, yes. White voters are more likely to see legislation they support become law than are Black, Latino, or Asian American voters.
#OpenAccess from @apsrjournal.bsky.social -
Race, Responsiveness, and Representation in U.S. Lawmaking - https://cup.org/47BDxm1
- G. AGUSTIN MARKARIAN, @jacobhacker.bsky.social, @maclockhart.bsky.social & ZOLTAN HAJNAL
#FirstView
Race, Responsiveness, and Representation in U.S. Lawmaking - https://cup.org/47BDxm1
- G. AGUSTIN MARKARIAN, @jacobhacker.bsky.social, @maclockhart.bsky.social & ZOLTAN HAJNAL
#FirstView
November 13, 2025 at 5:06 PM
Is national policy more responsive to the preferences of white Americans than to those of people of color? When Republicans control the presidency and/or the Senate, yes. White voters are more likely to see legislation they support become law than are Black, Latino, or Asian American voters.
Reposted by David Kimball
My thoughts this week, for obvious reasons, are with the brave, heroic women who went through hell the last time Harvard let this same problem fester for years on end.
She Left Harvard. He Got to Stay.
Did the university’s handling of one professor’s sexual-harassment complaint keep other women from coming forward for decades?
www.chronicle.com
November 17, 2025 at 8:12 PM
My thoughts this week, for obvious reasons, are with the brave, heroic women who went through hell the last time Harvard let this same problem fester for years on end.
Reposted by David Kimball
There have been at least 154 cases in which federal district courts have issued preliminary relief against a Trump administration policy.
Those rulings have come from 121 *different* judges appointed by seven presidents (including 15 appointed by Trump) sitting in 29 district courts in 10 circuits:
Those rulings have come from 121 *different* judges appointed by seven presidents (including 15 appointed by Trump) sitting in 29 district courts in 10 circuits:
193. The "War" on Judges
Deputy Attorney General Blanche's attack on lower courts is an impressive combination of light on substance; shamelessly hypocritical; and profoundly dangerous. More people should be condemning it.
www.stevevladeck.com
November 17, 2025 at 2:10 PM
There have been at least 154 cases in which federal district courts have issued preliminary relief against a Trump administration policy.
Those rulings have come from 121 *different* judges appointed by seven presidents (including 15 appointed by Trump) sitting in 29 district courts in 10 circuits:
Those rulings have come from 121 *different* judges appointed by seven presidents (including 15 appointed by Trump) sitting in 29 district courts in 10 circuits:
From my UMSL colleague, Jim Craig: The GWOT Memorial must be purpose-built to evolve www.militarytimes.com/opinion/2025...
The GWOT Memorial must be purpose-built to evolve
Opinion: While laudable, if the Global War on Terrorism Memorial is to have lasting meaning, it cannot be built as a static shrine, the author of this op-ed argues.
www.militarytimes.com
November 17, 2025 at 9:24 PM
From my UMSL colleague, Jim Craig: The GWOT Memorial must be purpose-built to evolve www.militarytimes.com/opinion/2025...
Reposted by David Kimball
We hope your decorative gourds are still kicking ass on your porch or mantel or in your all-gourd reenactments of 'Diff’rent Strokes' eps. #BLAMMO
It’s Decorative Gourd Season, Motherfuckers
First published on October 9, 2009, this classic by Colin Nissan is our most-read article of all time. We’re celebrating the 16th anniversary of th...
buff.ly
November 17, 2025 at 2:00 AM
We hope your decorative gourds are still kicking ass on your porch or mantel or in your all-gourd reenactments of 'Diff’rent Strokes' eps. #BLAMMO
Reposted by David Kimball
In between things I've been checking in on the emails that mention "university" and uhh did we all know about this connection?
![Screenshot from the Epstein Document Search which reads: House_Oversight_029401
From: Donald Rubin
Sent: 1/22/2017 7:31:32 PM
To: jeffrey E. [jeeyacation@gmail.com]
Subject: Republican health care experts dismiss Donald Trump's ideas
Importance: High
https://www.statnews.com/20 1 6/03/04/trump -repub cans-health-care/? s camp aign=trendmd
Jeffrey,
This cannot be true, can it? This guy must be as dumb about this stuff as a tampon laced with arsenic!!
HELP!
Great meeting yesterday — really enjoyed it.
And happy birthday again, Don
Donald B. Rubin
John L. Loeb Professor of Statistics
Department of Statistics, Harvard University
1 Oxford Street
Cambridge MA 02138
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 029401](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:ozma3timm5c32fa7bimb4zaj/bafkreiezajc6f2rgwxrdx2242izbelpumkgdruc52pzu236rhovlcyfmde@jpeg)
November 13, 2025 at 6:30 PM
In between things I've been checking in on the emails that mention "university" and uhh did we all know about this connection?
Reposted by David Kimball
WSJ does the math: the United States President Donald Trump is mentioned in 1670 email threads with the pedophile Jeffrey Epstein.
The Epstein Email Cache: 2,300 Messages, Many of Which Mention Trump
An analysis of documents released this week by Congress shows President Trump was mentioned in more than half of the messages.
www.wsj.com
November 15, 2025 at 2:07 AM
WSJ does the math: the United States President Donald Trump is mentioned in 1670 email threads with the pedophile Jeffrey Epstein.
Reposted by David Kimball
One analytical model shows that, as of November 5th, the dismantling of U.S.A.I.D. has already caused the deaths of 600,000 people, two-thirds of them children. https://newyorkermag.visitlink.me/jUzNSc
The Shutdown of U.S.A.I.D. Has Already Killed Hundreds of Thousands
The short documentary “Rovina’s Choice” tells the story of what goes when aid goes.
newyorkermag.visitlink.me
November 6, 2025 at 9:00 PM
One analytical model shows that, as of November 5th, the dismantling of U.S.A.I.D. has already caused the deaths of 600,000 people, two-thirds of them children. https://newyorkermag.visitlink.me/jUzNSc
Reposted by David Kimball
ReformUK can only dream that one day they will achieve this level of petty sectarian bigotry
Senior Orange Order figures have written to Britain’s King Charles to “reflect on his coronation oath” over his praying with Pope Leo last month.
www.thejournal.ie/orange-order...
www.thejournal.ie/orange-order...
Orange Order leaders wrote to Britain's King Charles over his meeting with Pope Leo
The Pope’s historic meeting with Charles has come in for criticism from unionist figures in the North and elsewhere over recent weeks.
www.thejournal.ie
November 6, 2025 at 12:16 PM
ReformUK can only dream that one day they will achieve this level of petty sectarian bigotry
Reposted by David Kimball
Thank you for your participation in this experiment by the Harvard Political Science department. The study has now completed successfully, with a positive result in finding the maximum amount of losing that is possible for new york to inflict on Cuomo
November 5, 2025 at 2:58 AM
Thank you for your participation in this experiment by the Harvard Political Science department. The study has now completed successfully, with a positive result in finding the maximum amount of losing that is possible for new york to inflict on Cuomo
Reposted by David Kimball
Look at the distribution of z-values from medical research!
November 4, 2025 at 10:36 PM
Look at the distribution of z-values from medical research!
Reposted by David Kimball
ANES Data Release! electionstudies.org/data-center/...
The 3-wave ANES panel is now available. It merges data from 3 election studies (2016-2020-2024), the first time the ANES has collected interviews of the same respondents across 3 presidential elections.
The 3-wave ANES panel is now available. It merges data from 3 election studies (2016-2020-2024), the first time the ANES has collected interviews of the same respondents across 3 presidential elections.
2016-2020-2024-panel-merged-study - ANES | American National Election Studies
electionstudies.org
November 1, 2025 at 8:47 PM
ANES Data Release! electionstudies.org/data-center/...
The 3-wave ANES panel is now available. It merges data from 3 election studies (2016-2020-2024), the first time the ANES has collected interviews of the same respondents across 3 presidential elections.
The 3-wave ANES panel is now available. It merges data from 3 election studies (2016-2020-2024), the first time the ANES has collected interviews of the same respondents across 3 presidential elections.
Reposted by David Kimball
We cannot be a meaningfully representative democracy until we replace the Senate & single-member districts as currently structured with actually representative & democratic institutions
November 1, 2025 at 2:56 PM
We cannot be a meaningfully representative democracy until we replace the Senate & single-member districts as currently structured with actually representative & democratic institutions
Reposted by David Kimball
Now out in Party Politics 🎉
Our study (@jbpilet.bsky.social)suggests that when a mainstream right-wing party signals willingness to rule with the radical right, support for the radical right rises — while the mainstream gains nothing.
👉 A legitimisation effect.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
Our study (@jbpilet.bsky.social)suggests that when a mainstream right-wing party signals willingness to rule with the radical right, support for the radical right rises — while the mainstream gains nothing.
👉 A legitimisation effect.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
October 24, 2025 at 7:38 AM
Now out in Party Politics 🎉
Our study (@jbpilet.bsky.social)suggests that when a mainstream right-wing party signals willingness to rule with the radical right, support for the radical right rises — while the mainstream gains nothing.
👉 A legitimisation effect.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
Our study (@jbpilet.bsky.social)suggests that when a mainstream right-wing party signals willingness to rule with the radical right, support for the radical right rises — while the mainstream gains nothing.
👉 A legitimisation effect.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
Reposted by David Kimball
It’s a sign of the times that the people who funded the WelcomePAC report that’s telling Democrats they are “out of touch” with ordinary Americans are mostly billionaires, hedge fund managers, VCs, and corporate execs.
October 30, 2025 at 10:24 PM
It’s a sign of the times that the people who funded the WelcomePAC report that’s telling Democrats they are “out of touch” with ordinary Americans are mostly billionaires, hedge fund managers, VCs, and corporate execs.
Reposted by David Kimball
The first big reason why NIH is irreplaceable?
Scale. The NIMH budget alone is $2.4 BILLION. NIH’s budget is around $48 billion. In comparison @hhmi.org is $1B, the fabulous American Cancer Society is around $150M. We are talking about the diff between millions and billions.
3/
Scale. The NIMH budget alone is $2.4 BILLION. NIH’s budget is around $48 billion. In comparison @hhmi.org is $1B, the fabulous American Cancer Society is around $150M. We are talking about the diff between millions and billions.
3/
October 29, 2025 at 11:42 PM
The first big reason why NIH is irreplaceable?
Scale. The NIMH budget alone is $2.4 BILLION. NIH’s budget is around $48 billion. In comparison @hhmi.org is $1B, the fabulous American Cancer Society is around $150M. We are talking about the diff between millions and billions.
3/
Scale. The NIMH budget alone is $2.4 BILLION. NIH’s budget is around $48 billion. In comparison @hhmi.org is $1B, the fabulous American Cancer Society is around $150M. We are talking about the diff between millions and billions.
3/
Reposted by David Kimball
Donald Trump's approval rating in our tracker has fallen to -18, the lowest it has ever been (lower than any point in his first term) www.economist.com/interactive/...
October 28, 2025 at 2:03 PM
Donald Trump's approval rating in our tracker has fallen to -18, the lowest it has ever been (lower than any point in his first term) www.economist.com/interactive/...
Reposted by David Kimball
Update: The Chicago clergy letter decrying ICE's actions and voicing a willingness on the part of clergy to put their "bodies on the line" to protest ICE has reached 250 signatures — and now includes multiple evangelical pastors/leaders of evangelical institutions in the area.
NEW: 200+ Chicago-area clergy — Protestants, Catholics, and evangelicals — have signed a letter decrying ICE's efforts and voicing a willingness to put their "bodies on the line" for migrants.
"What Kristi Noem and her ICE agents are doing is immoral," they write. religionnews.com/2025/10/21/a...
"What Kristi Noem and her ICE agents are doing is immoral," they write. religionnews.com/2025/10/21/a...
October 23, 2025 at 5:21 PM
Update: The Chicago clergy letter decrying ICE's actions and voicing a willingness on the part of clergy to put their "bodies on the line" to protest ICE has reached 250 signatures — and now includes multiple evangelical pastors/leaders of evangelical institutions in the area.
Reposted by David Kimball
Our band is scientist rock
October 22, 2025 at 11:58 PM
Our band is scientist rock
Reposted by David Kimball
Another disturbing example of how Trump silences dissent: "the chief content officer for our parent company... stated in a meeting that we should not run articles that could draw the attention of the Trump White House and have them try to shut us down." www.politico.com/news/magazin...
Opinion | I Quit My Job in the Face of Pro-Trump Censorship
A veteran journalist says his bosses were afraid of crossing the administration.
www.politico.com
October 22, 2025 at 2:25 PM
Another disturbing example of how Trump silences dissent: "the chief content officer for our parent company... stated in a meeting that we should not run articles that could draw the attention of the Trump White House and have them try to shut us down." www.politico.com/news/magazin...
Reposted by David Kimball
The Inspector General system is basically broken now. Most IGs have been fired, most positions remain vacant. Those who remain or would take the job pose no risk to holding the regime accountable.
Congress added more barriers to Trump firing IGs after his first term. He just ignored them.
Congress added more barriers to Trump firing IGs after his first term. He just ignored them.
October 21, 2025 at 10:09 PM
The Inspector General system is basically broken now. Most IGs have been fired, most positions remain vacant. Those who remain or would take the job pose no risk to holding the regime accountable.
Congress added more barriers to Trump firing IGs after his first term. He just ignored them.
Congress added more barriers to Trump firing IGs after his first term. He just ignored them.