Miles Coleman
@jmilescoleman.bsky.social
Reposted by Miles Coleman
Maryland Election results just became official.
Final Presidential Result:
Harris 62.6%
Trump 34.1%
Final U.S. Senate Result:
Alsobrooks 54.6%
Hogan 42.8%
Final Presidential Result:
Harris 62.6%
Trump 34.1%
Final U.S. Senate Result:
Alsobrooks 54.6%
Hogan 42.8%
December 5, 2024 at 7:44 PM
Maryland Election results just became official.
Final Presidential Result:
Harris 62.6%
Trump 34.1%
Final U.S. Senate Result:
Alsobrooks 54.6%
Hogan 42.8%
Final Presidential Result:
Harris 62.6%
Trump 34.1%
Final U.S. Senate Result:
Alsobrooks 54.6%
Hogan 42.8%
Reposted by Miles Coleman
Janelle Bynum beat Lori Chavez-Deremer for the third time this year in OR05, her first congressional race. Deschutes and Clackamas were both a few points bluer than in 2022 while GOP margins dropped in Marion and Linn. LCD did manage to flip the tiny 12-person sliver of Jefferson County, though!
December 4, 2024 at 6:10 PM
Janelle Bynum beat Lori Chavez-Deremer for the third time this year in OR05, her first congressional race. Deschutes and Clackamas were both a few points bluer than in 2022 while GOP margins dropped in Marion and Linn. LCD did manage to flip the tiny 12-person sliver of Jefferson County, though!
Reposted by Miles Coleman
Colorado narrowly voted against establishing a State Constitutional right to school choice this year.
The amendment, which needed 55% to pass, only got 49% and failed in several rural counties that heavily backed Trump (albeit overperforming in Democratic areas).
The amendment, which needed 55% to pass, only got 49% and failed in several rural counties that heavily backed Trump (albeit overperforming in Democratic areas).
November 30, 2024 at 9:53 PM
Colorado narrowly voted against establishing a State Constitutional right to school choice this year.
The amendment, which needed 55% to pass, only got 49% and failed in several rural counties that heavily backed Trump (albeit overperforming in Democratic areas).
The amendment, which needed 55% to pass, only got 49% and failed in several rural counties that heavily backed Trump (albeit overperforming in Democratic areas).
Reposted by Miles Coleman
The 2024 US Senate Election in Hawaii, a comfortable 32.7% win for two term incumbent Mazie Hirono in the Aloha state against Former State Representative Bob McDermott saw the Senator Rout the former State Rep, doing R+9.6% worse than her reelection in the 2018 Blue Wave
November 30, 2024 at 6:19 PM
The 2024 US Senate Election in Hawaii, a comfortable 32.7% win for two term incumbent Mazie Hirono in the Aloha state against Former State Representative Bob McDermott saw the Senator Rout the former State Rep, doing R+9.6% worse than her reelection in the 2018 Blue Wave
Reposted by Miles Coleman
Old map I made comparing vote results of the 2015 and 2019 federal elections in City of Vancouver
2019 was a unique election as independent Jody Wilson-Raybould won Vancouver Granville
She seemed to take votes from every party
Inspired by @jmilescoleman.bsky.social
Made using #rstats and #rstudio
2019 was a unique election as independent Jody Wilson-Raybould won Vancouver Granville
She seemed to take votes from every party
Inspired by @jmilescoleman.bsky.social
Made using #rstats and #rstudio
November 30, 2024 at 6:13 PM
Old map I made comparing vote results of the 2015 and 2019 federal elections in City of Vancouver
2019 was a unique election as independent Jody Wilson-Raybould won Vancouver Granville
She seemed to take votes from every party
Inspired by @jmilescoleman.bsky.social
Made using #rstats and #rstudio
2019 was a unique election as independent Jody Wilson-Raybould won Vancouver Granville
She seemed to take votes from every party
Inspired by @jmilescoleman.bsky.social
Made using #rstats and #rstudio
Reposted by Miles Coleman
PROVO 2024 FINAL MAPS
2024 Trump 56% - Harris 38% (R +18)
2020 Trump 55% - Biden 37% (R +18)
2020-2024 Swing=0
Blue swings in educated neighborhoods Edgemont/Indian Hills/Pleasant View, Grandview, Provost, Tree Streets
+newer ones NW Downtown, Lakeview S.
Note: 2020-2024 boundary changes/CBG adj.
2024 Trump 56% - Harris 38% (R +18)
2020 Trump 55% - Biden 37% (R +18)
2020-2024 Swing=0
Blue swings in educated neighborhoods Edgemont/Indian Hills/Pleasant View, Grandview, Provost, Tree Streets
+newer ones NW Downtown, Lakeview S.
Note: 2020-2024 boundary changes/CBG adj.
November 27, 2024 at 11:19 PM
PROVO 2024 FINAL MAPS
2024 Trump 56% - Harris 38% (R +18)
2020 Trump 55% - Biden 37% (R +18)
2020-2024 Swing=0
Blue swings in educated neighborhoods Edgemont/Indian Hills/Pleasant View, Grandview, Provost, Tree Streets
+newer ones NW Downtown, Lakeview S.
Note: 2020-2024 boundary changes/CBG adj.
2024 Trump 56% - Harris 38% (R +18)
2020 Trump 55% - Biden 37% (R +18)
2020-2024 Swing=0
Blue swings in educated neighborhoods Edgemont/Indian Hills/Pleasant View, Grandview, Provost, Tree Streets
+newer ones NW Downtown, Lakeview S.
Note: 2020-2024 boundary changes/CBG adj.
Reposted by Miles Coleman
Great explainer from @jmilescoleman.bsky.social at the @center4politics.bsky.social on how Virginia, particularly my home county Loudon, explains Trump’s win. centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...
How Virginia Illustrates the 2024 Election - Sabato's Crystal Ball
In 2024, Kamala Harris held Virginia by about a 52%-46% margin, which was several points worse than Joe Biden's 2020 showing in the state. However, as Harris lost ground in Northern Virginia, she rema...
centerforpolitics.org
November 25, 2024 at 9:04 PM
Great explainer from @jmilescoleman.bsky.social at the @center4politics.bsky.social on how Virginia, particularly my home county Loudon, explains Trump’s win. centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...
Reposted by Miles Coleman
Great Virginia 2024 roundup
Part of story is growth stalling in inner NOVA bc of housing and cost issues
Areas getting more blue compared to 2016 saw more growth
People going down I-95 to Stanford/Spotslyvania even down to Richmond or Hampton Roads areas
centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...
Part of story is growth stalling in inner NOVA bc of housing and cost issues
Areas getting more blue compared to 2016 saw more growth
People going down I-95 to Stanford/Spotslyvania even down to Richmond or Hampton Roads areas
centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...
How Virginia Illustrates the 2024 Election - Sabato's Crystal Ball
In 2024, Kamala Harris held Virginia by about a 52%-46% margin, which was several points worse than Joe Biden's 2020 showing in the state. However, as Harris lost ground in Northern Virginia, she rema...
centerforpolitics.org
November 22, 2024 at 4:13 PM
Great Virginia 2024 roundup
Part of story is growth stalling in inner NOVA bc of housing and cost issues
Areas getting more blue compared to 2016 saw more growth
People going down I-95 to Stanford/Spotslyvania even down to Richmond or Hampton Roads areas
centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...
Part of story is growth stalling in inner NOVA bc of housing and cost issues
Areas getting more blue compared to 2016 saw more growth
People going down I-95 to Stanford/Spotslyvania even down to Richmond or Hampton Roads areas
centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...
Reposted by Miles Coleman
Very interesting from @JMilesColeman @Center4Politics bluevirginia.us/2024/11/vpap...
November 22, 2024 at 4:44 PM
Very interesting from @JMilesColeman @Center4Politics bluevirginia.us/2024/11/vpap...
Reposted by Miles Coleman
Crystal Ball -- Demystifying the Senate "undervote" in 2024 -- how what we saw (smaller vote totals than the presidential race, winners getting fewer votes than their party presidential candidate, etc.) fits in with history centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...
The 2024 Senate Undervote: Not High By Historical Standards - Sabato's Crystal Ball
The size of this year's "undervote" in Senate races was very similar to what we have seen in other recent presidential cycles
centerforpolitics.org
November 21, 2024 at 12:08 PM
Crystal Ball -- Demystifying the Senate "undervote" in 2024 -- how what we saw (smaller vote totals than the presidential race, winners getting fewer votes than their party presidential candidate, etc.) fits in with history centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...
Reposted by Miles Coleman
Everyone needs to follow @jmilescoleman.bsky.social. Great guy who seems to know his stuff about politics and elections. He definitely deserves a bigger following than he has 😉
November 20, 2024 at 12:43 PM
Everyone needs to follow @jmilescoleman.bsky.social. Great guy who seems to know his stuff about politics and elections. He definitely deserves a bigger following than he has 😉
Reposted by Miles Coleman
THREAD on the decisive House District 172:
A New Kind of Pennsylvania Battleground (1/11)
A New Kind of Pennsylvania Battleground (1/11)
November 19, 2024 at 11:46 PM
THREAD on the decisive House District 172:
A New Kind of Pennsylvania Battleground (1/11)
A New Kind of Pennsylvania Battleground (1/11)