Gregory Mitrovich, Ph.D
@gregorymitrovich.bsky.social
Award-winning scholar. Harvard/Stanford fellow. Historian of the Cold War, nuclear deterrence, the rise of the United States in the 19th and 20th centuries, and China’s emergence in the 21st century. From beautiful San Diego now living in Europe.
This is what commentators miss when they focus almost exclusively on the tariffs implications on the US. The backwash of US economic instability is like a tidal wave flooding the entire world.To what markets are export driven econ like China or Germany going to export their goods if not the US?
On a positive note, at least Russia is in the passenger seat of the car that Trump decided to drive off a cliff.
Oil prices are now over 30% below what was needed for their 2025 budget and they blew through all their financial loopholes in 2024.
Oil prices are now over 30% below what was needed for their 2025 budget and they blew through all their financial loopholes in 2024.
April 9, 2025 at 6:25 AM
This is what commentators miss when they focus almost exclusively on the tariffs implications on the US. The backwash of US economic instability is like a tidal wave flooding the entire world.To what markets are export driven econ like China or Germany going to export their goods if not the US?
Because if Trump did they might actually fret about it for a few days.
The GOP chairs of the House and Senate Armed Services Committees fired a warning shot at President Trump on Wednesday, telling him not to tinker with the military structure behind the top NATO command position. @axios.com
www.axios.com/2025/03/19/c...
www.axios.com/2025/03/19/c...
GOP committee chairs fire warning shot at Trump on NATO
The chairs signal they won't let a military reorganization happen without their input.
www.axios.com
March 20, 2025 at 5:32 AM
Because if Trump did they might actually fret about it for a few days.
Yeah, pretty much.
Pundit, 2016: "Oh, you're overreacting."
Pundit, 2017: "Oh, you're overreacting."
Pundit, 2018: "Oh, you're overreacting."
Pundit, 2019: "Oh, you're overreacting."
Pundit, 2020: "Oh, you're overreacting."
Pundit, 2021-2024: "Oh, you're overreacting."
Pundit, 2025: "Who could have seen this coming?"
Pundit, 2017: "Oh, you're overreacting."
Pundit, 2018: "Oh, you're overreacting."
Pundit, 2019: "Oh, you're overreacting."
Pundit, 2020: "Oh, you're overreacting."
Pundit, 2021-2024: "Oh, you're overreacting."
Pundit, 2025: "Who could have seen this coming?"
March 20, 2025 at 5:11 AM
Yeah, pretty much.
It was patently obvious this was an ambush, just a disgraceful display on Trump’s part. Even more disgraceful were the comments from the Koch-funded think tanks, the so-called “restrainers”who blamed Zelensky for angering Trump and undermining the “opportunities for peace.”
For those who thought the Oval Office berating of President Zelensky was not an ambush, we have a confession from the instigator of that ambush.
No regrets of course. Instead, false claims of interest in "humanity". The audacity of the psychopath's handmaiden.
No regrets of course. Instead, false claims of interest in "humanity". The audacity of the psychopath's handmaiden.
Trump admits spat with Zelenskyy in Oval Office was part of pressure on Ukraine
March 18, 2025 at 9:32 AM
It was patently obvious this was an ambush, just a disgraceful display on Trump’s part. Even more disgraceful were the comments from the Koch-funded think tanks, the so-called “restrainers”who blamed Zelensky for angering Trump and undermining the “opportunities for peace.”
Reminder: when we refer to DOGE doing this or that, it is merely carrying out the plan hatched by the Heritage Foundation. They are the real culprit behind the govts destruction.
Reminder: DOGE isnt real. Its a fake department.
Fugazi
Fugazi
March 18, 2025 at 5:42 AM
Reminder: when we refer to DOGE doing this or that, it is merely carrying out the plan hatched by the Heritage Foundation. They are the real culprit behind the govts destruction.
What happens next is that the Democratic Party fades into history. They refuse to oppose Trump and will pay a huge price. Time for the 75+ crowd to give up their leadership positions.
Among the material devastation to everyday people, Senate Dems have now blown a hole in their ability to work with the House.
We had an agreed upon plan, House took immense risk, then Senate turned around midway and destroyed it w/ a fear-based, inexplicable abdication.
They own what happens next.
We had an agreed upon plan, House took immense risk, then Senate turned around midway and destroyed it w/ a fear-based, inexplicable abdication.
They own what happens next.
March 15, 2025 at 7:34 AM
What happens next is that the Democratic Party fades into history. They refuse to oppose Trump and will pay a huge price. Time for the 75+ crowd to give up their leadership positions.
Medvedev seems a bit stressed out.
🇷🇺 Dmitry Medvedev, former Russian president & deputy chairman of Russia’s Security Council, lashes out at the UK after its FM urged Russia to accept a Ukraine ceasefire unconditionally.
"Britain and its minister can shove their idea back up the sh*thole it came from, diplomatically speaking."
"Britain and its minister can shove their idea back up the sh*thole it came from, diplomatically speaking."
March 15, 2025 at 7:17 AM
Medvedev seems a bit stressed out.
Schumer has no credibility in Trump’s eyes. He knows Schumer will roll over when needed. There is no opposition to Trump now unless new leaders emerge and replace the 75+ crew. Where the hell are the Obama’s now? Why isn’t Michelle running for office, like replacing 80 year old Durbin in Illinois?!?
"The era of letting Republicans break all the rules, not follow any of the laws, run roughshod over the Democrats, while the Democrats continue to just try to protect every possible existing norm and institution, that era is over." Time for Chuck Schumer to get the memo. Tim Miller:
March 15, 2025 at 7:01 AM
Schumer has no credibility in Trump’s eyes. He knows Schumer will roll over when needed. There is no opposition to Trump now unless new leaders emerge and replace the 75+ crew. Where the hell are the Obama’s now? Why isn’t Michelle running for office, like replacing 80 year old Durbin in Illinois?!?
There is no bottom to the Trump-Musk crime family. My nephew applied for a Fulbright this year and now, obviously, this is no longer on the cards. There is not one bright bulb in the collection of right-wing misfits or anyone who appreciates America’s role over the past 70 years.
Just got an email from the Fulbright Association. As of right now, funding has been cut off to 12,500 US citizens currently abroad and and more than 7,400 foreigner scholars and students in the United States
March 8, 2025 at 7:35 AM
There is no bottom to the Trump-Musk crime family. My nephew applied for a Fulbright this year and now, obviously, this is no longer on the cards. There is not one bright bulb in the collection of right-wing misfits or anyone who appreciates America’s role over the past 70 years.
People have described Trump as a toddler with a loaded revolver—well, the gun just went off.
If there is a recession, it will not have been caused by complex fluctuations in the economy.
It will have been caused by Trump’s intentionally reckless chaos.
Presidents rarely have this direct responsibility for economic cycles but this would be an exception.
It will have been caused by Trump’s intentionally reckless chaos.
Presidents rarely have this direct responsibility for economic cycles but this would be an exception.
@byheatherlong.bsky.social: A Trump recession has become a real possibility www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
March 8, 2025 at 6:39 AM
People have described Trump as a toddler with a loaded revolver—well, the gun just went off.
The Ukrainians are right about this. Putin is not only trying to drive a wedge between the US and Ukraine but aims to humiliate Trump. For instance, Putin ordered RU TV broadcast Melania’s nude pictures for weeks. This is Putin’s ultimate victory: to use the President of the US as a steps tool.
I think Trump shares Putin’s burning hostility toward America and he lacks the empathy to care about Putin’s depraved & deliberate targeting of Ukrainian civilians.
"I don’t think Vance—or Trump, for that matter—really understands Putin’s burning hostility toward all Americans, especially American leaders." Or what he's doing to Ukrainians.
@nataliaantonova.bsky.social on America's betrayal of Ukraine:
@nataliaantonova.bsky.social on America's betrayal of Ukraine:
March 8, 2025 at 6:23 AM
The Ukrainians are right about this. Putin is not only trying to drive a wedge between the US and Ukraine but aims to humiliate Trump. For instance, Putin ordered RU TV broadcast Melania’s nude pictures for weeks. This is Putin’s ultimate victory: to use the President of the US as a steps tool.
We try to unpack the broad implications of Trump’s actions (is he prepared to end the Euro-American alliance ) when in reality they are most likely momentary whims and crude NY state real estate negotiating ploys that he can switch on a dime.
‼️ Russia is pressuring Ukraine — I am considering major banking sanctions, tariffs, etc. until a ceasefire and peace agreement is reached, — Trump.
"Russia and Ukraine, deal now before it’s too late!," he said.
"Russia and Ukraine, deal now before it’s too late!," he said.
March 7, 2025 at 2:29 PM
We try to unpack the broad implications of Trump’s actions (is he prepared to end the Euro-American alliance ) when in reality they are most likely momentary whims and crude NY state real estate negotiating ploys that he can switch on a dime.
Key question: would the Ukrainian military support a new president that would sell out the country to the Russians? I seriously doubt it. Also the leading candidate to replace Zelensky is General Zalyzhny, he’s not agreeing to a bad deal either.
🚨🚨 #Russianassets: I cannot say I am shocked anymore but these incredibly evil, nasty and cowardly betrayals by #Trump administration is getting just worse by the day. 🧵 www.politico.eu/article/dona...
Top Trump allies hold secret talks with Zelenskyy’s Ukrainian opponents
As Washington ramps up its pressure on Zelenskyy to step aside, his rivals are talking to Trump’s team.
www.politico.eu
March 6, 2025 at 7:53 AM
Key question: would the Ukrainian military support a new president that would sell out the country to the Russians? I seriously doubt it. Also the leading candidate to replace Zelensky is General Zalyzhny, he’s not agreeing to a bad deal either.
Reposted by Gregory Mitrovich, Ph.D
French Senator Claude Malhuret:
"Washington has become Nero’s court, with an incendiary emperor, submissive courtiers and a jester high on ketamine... We were at war with a dictator, we are now at war with a dictator backed by a traitor."
"Washington has become Nero’s court, with an incendiary emperor, submissive courtiers and a jester high on ketamine... We were at war with a dictator, we are now at war with a dictator backed by a traitor."
March 5, 2025 at 3:47 PM
French Senator Claude Malhuret:
"Washington has become Nero’s court, with an incendiary emperor, submissive courtiers and a jester high on ketamine... We were at war with a dictator, we are now at war with a dictator backed by a traitor."
"Washington has become Nero’s court, with an incendiary emperor, submissive courtiers and a jester high on ketamine... We were at war with a dictator, we are now at war with a dictator backed by a traitor."
I would say Emperor wannabe who is also high in adderall.
March 6, 2025 at 5:33 AM
I would say Emperor wannabe who is also high in adderall.
Nauseating and outrageous. I hope that the ties already created between the US and Ukraine will lead to “leaking” between intelligence services.
The Russia first policy continues
Shameful. There's a reason Russian state media now lavishly praises the U.S.
March 5, 2025 at 4:02 PM
Nauseating and outrageous. I hope that the ties already created between the US and Ukraine will lead to “leaking” between intelligence services.
And with it the world economy.
Trump is running the U.S. economy straight over the cliff.
Being able to drop a quarterly US GDP prediction by 5.1% from +2.3% to -2.8% in a single week is one of the most impressive economic developments in the history of the world.
March 4, 2025 at 7:24 PM
And with it the world economy.
Sunset along the Adriatic.
March 4, 2025 at 4:24 PM
Sunset along the Adriatic.
Sveti Stefan Montenegro, one of the most beautiful places in the world!
March 4, 2025 at 3:19 PM
Sveti Stefan Montenegro, one of the most beautiful places in the world!
it is important to recognize that there have been numerous ups and downs in US-EUR relations, as recently as 2003 when many in Europe thought George W Bush the dangerous imperialist aggressor for launching the Iraq invasion. Many believed NATO could never survive, but it did with new leadership
Even now, despite abuse, extortion and betrayal, America’s allies call for 🇺🇸 to return to the fold. They seek to avoid a break, at the risk of their security.
Why? Because decades of 🇺🇸 policy created friends, not vassals.
Throwing that away would be an immeasurable loss.
Why? Because decades of 🇺🇸 policy created friends, not vassals.
Throwing that away would be an immeasurable loss.
March 3, 2025 at 8:25 AM
it is important to recognize that there have been numerous ups and downs in US-EUR relations, as recently as 2003 when many in Europe thought George W Bush the dangerous imperialist aggressor for launching the Iraq invasion. Many believed NATO could never survive, but it did with new leadership
FTW—furthermore, if Putin were only interested in the currently occupied territories, why is he ordering suicide attack after suicide attack to make only minute advances, if any, (they are retreating around Pokrovsk). Putin has lost over 500k soldiers in these senseless attacks.
Ukrainian forces, enabled by essential US assistance, are inflicting unsustainable losses on Russian forces while holding them to marginal gains.
This situation, combined with the severe challenges Russia will face in 2025, offers the US great leverage in peace negotiations.
This situation, combined with the severe challenges Russia will face in 2025, offers the US great leverage in peace negotiations.
March 3, 2025 at 8:22 AM
FTW—furthermore, if Putin were only interested in the currently occupied territories, why is he ordering suicide attack after suicide attack to make only minute advances, if any, (they are retreating around Pokrovsk). Putin has lost over 500k soldiers in these senseless attacks.
Actually, Trump has merely diminished himself even more in the eyes of the world. It is clear he is Putin’s lapdog who barks like a tough guy when Zelenskyy didn’t thank him enough, yet sheepishly bowed his head when Putin broadcasted nude pictures of Melania for weeks after the election.
“By treating Putin as a fellow statesman, by publicly praising him & saying that he wants peace, Trump has given him a stature & a credibility that he does not deserve, & may well have emboldened him to probe further into the spaces along the borders of Russia.” From the great Margaret Macmillan.
The art of the peace deal
Can talks between the US and Russia reach a lasting settlement over Ukraine? So far, argues historian Margaret MacMillan, the signs are not looking good
on.ft.com
March 3, 2025 at 8:18 AM
Actually, Trump has merely diminished himself even more in the eyes of the world. It is clear he is Putin’s lapdog who barks like a tough guy when Zelenskyy didn’t thank him enough, yet sheepishly bowed his head when Putin broadcasted nude pictures of Melania for weeks after the election.
Reposted by Gregory Mitrovich, Ph.D
Obsequious poodle of the Kremlin is more appropriate.
March 3, 2025 at 8:01 AM
Obsequious poodle of the Kremlin is more appropriate.
Wait, what?!? More fraud in the Trump Administration! If only Kamala Harris had a plan to tackle inflation, we wouldn’t be in the mess. (Being facetious here!—and she did).
This is called fraudulent accounting, and it’s what Trump was found criminally guilty of by a New York court.
Trump Administration may be on track to put its thumb on critical GDP data: “Doing so could potentially complicate or distort a fundamental measure of the U.S. economy’s health.” Via AP.
March 3, 2025 at 7:58 AM
Wait, what?!? More fraud in the Trump Administration! If only Kamala Harris had a plan to tackle inflation, we wouldn’t be in the mess. (Being facetious here!—and she did).