Felix Schenuit
@felixschenuit.bsky.social
researcher @SWP Berlin • currently seconded to BMUKN • IPCC AR 7 WGIII Lead Author • views my own
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
COP30 PLENARY: COP pres André do Lago opens meeting
"I am encouraged by the productive wk we have had, and it is heartening to see your readiness for the step change needed as we prepare to enter the 2nd wk of our conf, moving towards a strong and successful conclusion of our work here in Belém"
"I am encouraged by the productive wk we have had, and it is heartening to see your readiness for the step change needed as we prepare to enter the 2nd wk of our conf, moving towards a strong and successful conclusion of our work here in Belém"
November 15, 2025 at 10:15 PM
COP30 PLENARY: COP pres André do Lago opens meeting
"I am encouraged by the productive wk we have had, and it is heartening to see your readiness for the step change needed as we prepare to enter the 2nd wk of our conf, moving towards a strong and successful conclusion of our work here in Belém"
"I am encouraged by the productive wk we have had, and it is heartening to see your readiness for the step change needed as we prepare to enter the 2nd wk of our conf, moving towards a strong and successful conclusion of our work here in Belém"
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
www.das-parlament.de/wirtschaft/k...
Nach der ersten Verhandlungswoche gibt es gute Gründe für Optimismus: die Staaten verhandeln konstruktiv - auch wenn es natürlich noch viel Unterschiede gibt. Eines des wichtigen Verhandlungsthemen ist die Anpassung an den #Klimawandel. #COP30
Nach der ersten Verhandlungswoche gibt es gute Gründe für Optimismus: die Staaten verhandeln konstruktiv - auch wenn es natürlich noch viel Unterschiede gibt. Eines des wichtigen Verhandlungsthemen ist die Anpassung an den #Klimawandel. #COP30
Es braucht Kompromisse - und eine gute Portion Optimismus
Zahlreiche Absichtserklärungen haben die Erderwärmung bislang nicht stoppen können. Kann der am Montag in Brasilien gestartete 30. Weltklimagipfel die Wende bringen?
www.das-parlament.de
November 15, 2025 at 11:21 AM
www.das-parlament.de/wirtschaft/k...
Nach der ersten Verhandlungswoche gibt es gute Gründe für Optimismus: die Staaten verhandeln konstruktiv - auch wenn es natürlich noch viel Unterschiede gibt. Eines des wichtigen Verhandlungsthemen ist die Anpassung an den #Klimawandel. #COP30
Nach der ersten Verhandlungswoche gibt es gute Gründe für Optimismus: die Staaten verhandeln konstruktiv - auch wenn es natürlich noch viel Unterschiede gibt. Eines des wichtigen Verhandlungsthemen ist die Anpassung an den #Klimawandel. #COP30
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
NEW: Finalised COP30 agendas have been published, not including controversial items that various groups wanted to add
But NB those items are being discussed under "presidency consultations" & likely to rear up again tmrw
unfccc.int/sites/def...
unfccc.int/sites/def...
1/2
But NB those items are being discussed under "presidency consultations" & likely to rear up again tmrw
unfccc.int/sites/def...
unfccc.int/sites/def...
1/2
November 11, 2025 at 5:11 PM
NEW: Finalised COP30 agendas have been published, not including controversial items that various groups wanted to add
But NB those items are being discussed under "presidency consultations" & likely to rear up again tmrw
unfccc.int/sites/def...
unfccc.int/sites/def...
1/2
But NB those items are being discussed under "presidency consultations" & likely to rear up again tmrw
unfccc.int/sites/def...
unfccc.int/sites/def...
1/2
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
A historic turning point for clean heating in Europe: For the first time, in the first half of 2025 sales of heat pumps in Germany have surpassed those of gas boilers.
This is a big milestone, demonstrating that the transition away from fossil fuels in our buildings is not just a future ambition.
This is a big milestone, demonstrating that the transition away from fossil fuels in our buildings is not just a future ambition.
November 9, 2025 at 2:36 PM
A historic turning point for clean heating in Europe: For the first time, in the first half of 2025 sales of heat pumps in Germany have surpassed those of gas boilers.
This is a big milestone, demonstrating that the transition away from fossil fuels in our buildings is not just a future ambition.
This is a big milestone, demonstrating that the transition away from fossil fuels in our buildings is not just a future ambition.
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
Great dissection of where the world stands on climate 10 years after Paris: better than ever; worse than needed.
Start here: www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
But lemme quibble a bit with the CO₂ₑ emissions pathways painted here.
A quick 🧵
Start here: www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
But lemme quibble a bit with the CO₂ₑ emissions pathways painted here.
A quick 🧵
November 7, 2025 at 8:23 PM
Great dissection of where the world stands on climate 10 years after Paris: better than ever; worse than needed.
Start here: www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
But lemme quibble a bit with the CO₂ₑ emissions pathways painted here.
A quick 🧵
Start here: www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
But lemme quibble a bit with the CO₂ₑ emissions pathways painted here.
A quick 🧵
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
Beim EU-Umweltrat ist es nach intensiven Verhandlungen gelungen, dass nun auch die EU ein verbindliches starkes Klimaziel für 2040 hat.
„Das ist ein wichtiger Fortschritt für das Klima & eine gute Nachricht für die dte. Wirtschaft, weil sie gleiche Wettbewerbsbedingungen hat", so Carsten Schneider.
„Das ist ein wichtiger Fortschritt für das Klima & eine gute Nachricht für die dte. Wirtschaft, weil sie gleiche Wettbewerbsbedingungen hat", so Carsten Schneider.
November 5, 2025 at 9:30 AM
Beim EU-Umweltrat ist es nach intensiven Verhandlungen gelungen, dass nun auch die EU ein verbindliches starkes Klimaziel für 2040 hat.
„Das ist ein wichtiger Fortschritt für das Klima & eine gute Nachricht für die dte. Wirtschaft, weil sie gleiche Wettbewerbsbedingungen hat", so Carsten Schneider.
„Das ist ein wichtiger Fortschritt für das Klima & eine gute Nachricht für die dte. Wirtschaft, weil sie gleiche Wettbewerbsbedingungen hat", so Carsten Schneider.
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
The new UNEP report is out with the latest estimates of 2100 warming outcomes under current policies, NDCs, and net-zero targets. Here is how it compares to both the IPCC scenarios and other estimates (CAT and IEA, who will release their own updates soon!).
November 4, 2025 at 6:05 PM
The new UNEP report is out with the latest estimates of 2100 warming outcomes under current policies, NDCs, and net-zero targets. Here is how it compares to both the IPCC scenarios and other estimates (CAT and IEA, who will release their own updates soon!).
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
"Es ist jetzt keine exklusiv schlechte Zeit für internationalen Klimaschutz." –
Neue #Krisenpodcast-Folge mit
@jochenflasbarth.bsky.social, Umwelt-Staatssekretär und Deutschlands Verhandler beim Klimagipfel @cop30brazil.bsky.social
www.zeit.de/politik/2025... @zeit.de @poolartists.bsky.social
Neue #Krisenpodcast-Folge mit
@jochenflasbarth.bsky.social, Umwelt-Staatssekretär und Deutschlands Verhandler beim Klimagipfel @cop30brazil.bsky.social
www.zeit.de/politik/2025... @zeit.de @poolartists.bsky.social
Krisenpodcast "Auch das noch?": "Es geht nicht nur um Klimaschutz, sondern auch um Verteilungsfragen"
Jochen Flasbarth verhandelt auf der Klimakonferenz für Deutschland. Er verrät, warum er Klima-Optimist geblieben ist. Und wo Deutschlands Natur besonders spektakulär ist.
www.zeit.de
October 29, 2025 at 4:05 PM
"Es ist jetzt keine exklusiv schlechte Zeit für internationalen Klimaschutz." –
Neue #Krisenpodcast-Folge mit
@jochenflasbarth.bsky.social, Umwelt-Staatssekretär und Deutschlands Verhandler beim Klimagipfel @cop30brazil.bsky.social
www.zeit.de/politik/2025... @zeit.de @poolartists.bsky.social
Neue #Krisenpodcast-Folge mit
@jochenflasbarth.bsky.social, Umwelt-Staatssekretär und Deutschlands Verhandler beim Klimagipfel @cop30brazil.bsky.social
www.zeit.de/politik/2025... @zeit.de @poolartists.bsky.social
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
📣 PRESS RELEASE
#IPCC opens 63rd Plenary Session in Lima to advance work on key climate reports
During the session, which runs from 27 to 31 October, “the Panel needs to settle the important matter of the timelines for producing the reports,” said IPCC Chair Jim Skea.
🔗 https://bit.ly/48Qx3AG
#IPCC opens 63rd Plenary Session in Lima to advance work on key climate reports
During the session, which runs from 27 to 31 October, “the Panel needs to settle the important matter of the timelines for producing the reports,” said IPCC Chair Jim Skea.
🔗 https://bit.ly/48Qx3AG
October 27, 2025 at 8:42 PM
📣 PRESS RELEASE
#IPCC opens 63rd Plenary Session in Lima to advance work on key climate reports
During the session, which runs from 27 to 31 October, “the Panel needs to settle the important matter of the timelines for producing the reports,” said IPCC Chair Jim Skea.
🔗 https://bit.ly/48Qx3AG
#IPCC opens 63rd Plenary Session in Lima to advance work on key climate reports
During the session, which runs from 27 to 31 October, “the Panel needs to settle the important matter of the timelines for producing the reports,” said IPCC Chair Jim Skea.
🔗 https://bit.ly/48Qx3AG
EUCO conclusions on the 2040 climate target and ETS-2. It is now up to the environment ministers to agree on a specific number (most likely net 90%) and the next steps at the ENVI Council on November 4.
October 23, 2025 at 6:54 PM
EUCO conclusions on the 2040 climate target and ETS-2. It is now up to the environment ministers to agree on a specific number (most likely net 90%) and the next steps at the ENVI Council on November 4.
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
Another big milestone for industrial decarbonisation:
Rondo Energy has just powered up what it calls the world’s largest industrial heat battery — a 100 MWh system delivering continuous high-temperature steam from renewable power.
www.rondo.com/news-press/r...
Rondo Energy has just powered up what it calls the world’s largest industrial heat battery — a 100 MWh system delivering continuous high-temperature steam from renewable power.
www.rondo.com/news-press/r...
Rondo Powers Up World’s Largest Industrial Heat Battery - Rondo Energy
100 MWh Rondo Heat Battery, world’s most efficient energy storage of any kind, now delivering 24-hour steam from off-grid solar power — proving a new path for factories to cut carbon and costs
www.rondo.com
October 20, 2025 at 4:54 PM
Another big milestone for industrial decarbonisation:
Rondo Energy has just powered up what it calls the world’s largest industrial heat battery — a 100 MWh system delivering continuous high-temperature steam from renewable power.
www.rondo.com/news-press/r...
Rondo Energy has just powered up what it calls the world’s largest industrial heat battery — a 100 MWh system delivering continuous high-temperature steam from renewable power.
www.rondo.com/news-press/r...
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
Zum Klimaentscheid in Hamburg geht gerade viel durcheinander - da wurde mitnichten das Klimaziel um 5 Jahre vorgezogen, es wurde für 2040 nur energiebedingte CO2-Neutralität, aber nicht Treibhausgasneutralität beschlossen - das sind rund 5% Unterschied. Und Internationale Schifffahrt ist außen vor.
October 13, 2025 at 2:23 PM
Zum Klimaentscheid in Hamburg geht gerade viel durcheinander - da wurde mitnichten das Klimaziel um 5 Jahre vorgezogen, es wurde für 2040 nur energiebedingte CO2-Neutralität, aber nicht Treibhausgasneutralität beschlossen - das sind rund 5% Unterschied. Und Internationale Schifffahrt ist außen vor.
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
Happy to reshare our new Annual Review paper, which explores what it really means to exceed and return to 1.5 °C.
For many in the Global South, overshoot isn’t a temporary “phase” but an existential condition.
This piece asks what it means for justice, recovery & resilience in a world above 1.5 °C
For many in the Global South, overshoot isn’t a temporary “phase” but an existential condition.
This piece asks what it means for justice, recovery & resilience in a world above 1.5 °C
📣 2025 volume of the Annual Review of Environment and Science is online! Most read article is "Overshoot: A Conceptual Review of Exceeding and Returning to Global Warming of 1.5°C" arevie.ws/3IF0OKf @andyreisinger.bsky.social @janfuglestvedt.bsky.social @chrisd-jones.bsky.social
October 11, 2025 at 9:07 AM
Happy to reshare our new Annual Review paper, which explores what it really means to exceed and return to 1.5 °C.
For many in the Global South, overshoot isn’t a temporary “phase” but an existential condition.
This piece asks what it means for justice, recovery & resilience in a world above 1.5 °C
For many in the Global South, overshoot isn’t a temporary “phase” but an existential condition.
This piece asks what it means for justice, recovery & resilience in a world above 1.5 °C
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
Key Insights from "Hard to Abate, Impossible to Ignore" panel at @columbiabusiness.bsky.social:
Decarbonizing steel and cement with electrochemistry, green hydrogen, and a "geological hack"
business.columbia.edu/insights/cli...
Decarbonizing steel and cement with electrochemistry, green hydrogen, and a "geological hack"
business.columbia.edu/insights/cli...
Hard to Abate, Impossible to Ignore: How Green Steel and Low-Carbon Cement Are Cleaning Up Heavy Industry | Columbia Business School
Columbia Business School’s Climate Week panel explored how green steel and low-carbon cement can decarbonize heavy industry through innovation and partnerships.
business.columbia.edu
October 10, 2025 at 7:08 PM
Key Insights from "Hard to Abate, Impossible to Ignore" panel at @columbiabusiness.bsky.social:
Decarbonizing steel and cement with electrochemistry, green hydrogen, and a "geological hack"
business.columbia.edu/insights/cli...
Decarbonizing steel and cement with electrochemistry, green hydrogen, and a "geological hack"
business.columbia.edu/insights/cli...
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
The government’s own data rebuts Trump Admin claims that wind and solar are driving up electricity prices, Politico reports share.google/RTIXPPQMXrTH...
“[T]he data say pretty much the opposite” of Trump & Secretary Wright’s claims.
“[T]he data say pretty much the opposite” of Trump & Secretary Wright’s claims.
October 7, 2025 at 9:01 PM
The government’s own data rebuts Trump Admin claims that wind and solar are driving up electricity prices, Politico reports share.google/RTIXPPQMXrTH...
“[T]he data say pretty much the opposite” of Trump & Secretary Wright’s claims.
“[T]he data say pretty much the opposite” of Trump & Secretary Wright’s claims.
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
Renewables (primarily solar and wind) have grown dramatically over the past five years while other electricity sources have been relatively flat. Renewables are on track to generate more electricity than coal in 2025 (and already have over H1 of the year):
October 7, 2025 at 6:07 PM
Renewables (primarily solar and wind) have grown dramatically over the past five years while other electricity sources have been relatively flat. Renewables are on track to generate more electricity than coal in 2025 (and already have over H1 of the year):
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
DOE appears set to terminate tens of millions in funding for Project Cypress and South Texas Direct Air Capture Hub, the two big projects in the US DAC Hubs program.
The US is set to cancel funding for two major direct-air capture plants
he terminations cut tens of millions of dollars that Climeworks, Heirloom, Oxy and others were depending on to develop carbon removal projects in Louisiana and Texas.
www.technologyreview.com
October 7, 2025 at 6:30 PM
DOE appears set to terminate tens of millions in funding for Project Cypress and South Texas Direct Air Capture Hub, the two big projects in the US DAC Hubs program.
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
📣 Attention: Early-career researchers from developing countries & countries in transition!
Are you interested in becoming a Chapter Scientist and supporting author teams for #IPCC’s Seventh Assessment Report?
Apply by 18 Oct 2025
🔗 www.ipcc.ch/2025/10/07/c...
Are you interested in becoming a Chapter Scientist and supporting author teams for #IPCC’s Seventh Assessment Report?
Apply by 18 Oct 2025
🔗 www.ipcc.ch/2025/10/07/c...
October 7, 2025 at 6:07 PM
📣 Attention: Early-career researchers from developing countries & countries in transition!
Are you interested in becoming a Chapter Scientist and supporting author teams for #IPCC’s Seventh Assessment Report?
Apply by 18 Oct 2025
🔗 www.ipcc.ch/2025/10/07/c...
Are you interested in becoming a Chapter Scientist and supporting author teams for #IPCC’s Seventh Assessment Report?
Apply by 18 Oct 2025
🔗 www.ipcc.ch/2025/10/07/c...
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
Good News: Erstmals wurde weltweit mehr Strom aus Erneuerbaren erzeugt als aus Kohle. Und: Solar- und Windenergie haben im ersten Halbjahr 2025 den kompletten, weltweiten zusätzlichen Strombedarf gedeckt + einen kleinen Anteil Kohle- und Gasstrom aus den Netzen gedrängt.
table.media/climate/news...
table.media/climate/news...
Energiewende: Erstmals mehr Strom aus Erneuerbaren als aus Kohle
Erstmals wurde weltweit mehr Strom aus erneuerbaren Energien gewonnen als aus Kohle. Der schnelle Zubau von Solar- und Windkraft konnte das Wachstum der Stromnachfrage im ersten Halbjahr komplett deck...
table.media
October 7, 2025 at 7:37 AM
Good News: Erstmals wurde weltweit mehr Strom aus Erneuerbaren erzeugt als aus Kohle. Und: Solar- und Windenergie haben im ersten Halbjahr 2025 den kompletten, weltweiten zusätzlichen Strombedarf gedeckt + einen kleinen Anteil Kohle- und Gasstrom aus den Netzen gedrängt.
table.media/climate/news...
table.media/climate/news...
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
We finally have a new paper out looking at how summary statistics from the AR6 scenario database are highly dependent on the sampling of the database.
High profile statistics are often more representative of the model fingerprint, not the physics.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
1/
High profile statistics are often more representative of the model fingerprint, not the physics.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
1/
October 2, 2025 at 10:02 AM
We finally have a new paper out looking at how summary statistics from the AR6 scenario database are highly dependent on the sampling of the database.
High profile statistics are often more representative of the model fingerprint, not the physics.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
1/
High profile statistics are often more representative of the model fingerprint, not the physics.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
1/
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
How can the #IPCC navigate generative AI?
What does it mean for scientific assessment more broadly?
New working paper looks at scenarios for AI adoption & resistance, w/ @dralaaclimate.bsky.social @shinasayama.bsky.social and Oliver Geden
Reflections welcome!
www.swp-berlin.org/publications...
What does it mean for scientific assessment more broadly?
New working paper looks at scenarios for AI adoption & resistance, w/ @dralaaclimate.bsky.social @shinasayama.bsky.social and Oliver Geden
Reflections welcome!
www.swp-berlin.org/publications...
www.swp-berlin.org
October 1, 2025 at 3:45 PM
How can the #IPCC navigate generative AI?
What does it mean for scientific assessment more broadly?
New working paper looks at scenarios for AI adoption & resistance, w/ @dralaaclimate.bsky.social @shinasayama.bsky.social and Oliver Geden
Reflections welcome!
www.swp-berlin.org/publications...
What does it mean for scientific assessment more broadly?
New working paper looks at scenarios for AI adoption & resistance, w/ @dralaaclimate.bsky.social @shinasayama.bsky.social and Oliver Geden
Reflections welcome!
www.swp-berlin.org/publications...
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
NEW from @betonyjones.bsky.social @rooseveltinstitute.org: Tying Labor Standards to Clean Energy Incentives: How Biden’s Department of Energy Tackled Climate Industrial Policy.
Betony shows how DOE reorganized to center workers in the energy transition.
rooseveltinstitute.org/publications...
Betony shows how DOE reorganized to center workers in the energy transition.
rooseveltinstitute.org/publications...
Tying Labor Standards to Clean Energy Incentives: How Biden’s Department of Energy Tackled Climate Industrial Policy - Roosevelt Institute
In a new analysis, Betony Jones explores the efficacy of the Biden administration's incentive-based, equity-conscious industrial strategy approach and the role of government in shaping markets. Despite promising results from aligning climate goals to labor standards, equity, and economic growth at the Department of Energy, the administration’s efforts also highlighted the challenges of establishing long-term economic transformation in a politically fragmented environment.
https://rooseveltinstitute.org/publications/tying-labor-standards-to-clean-energy/?utm_m[…]tm_campaign=staffshare202510&utm_content=cleanenergylabor
October 1, 2025 at 7:21 PM
NEW from @betonyjones.bsky.social @rooseveltinstitute.org: Tying Labor Standards to Clean Energy Incentives: How Biden’s Department of Energy Tackled Climate Industrial Policy.
Betony shows how DOE reorganized to center workers in the energy transition.
rooseveltinstitute.org/publications...
Betony shows how DOE reorganized to center workers in the energy transition.
rooseveltinstitute.org/publications...
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
In my substack EU-Analytics, I now do monthly reviews of EU voting in the EP and the Council. September 2025 edition is here, with a closer look at voting on Ukraine, overall EP changes - with another centre-right to far-right majority - and a surprise German vote in the Council:
EU Analytics - September 2025 review
With the far-right still split on Ukraine, the centre-right working with the far-right on Colombia, and a first Return of the “German Vote” under Merz
substack.com
October 1, 2025 at 1:49 PM
In my substack EU-Analytics, I now do monthly reviews of EU voting in the EP and the Council. September 2025 edition is here, with a closer look at voting on Ukraine, overall EP changes - with another centre-right to far-right majority - and a surprise German vote in the Council:
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
Some of the most interesting trends in electric car sales are in developing countries, here Indonesia.
When price parity is reached & energy security is a concern, EVs will take off in the developing world.
Check some charts here (mainly developed countries) robbieandrew.github.io/carsales/
When price parity is reached & energy security is a concern, EVs will take off in the developing world.
Check some charts here (mainly developed countries) robbieandrew.github.io/carsales/
September 29, 2025 at 9:40 AM
Some of the most interesting trends in electric car sales are in developing countries, here Indonesia.
When price parity is reached & energy security is a concern, EVs will take off in the developing world.
Check some charts here (mainly developed countries) robbieandrew.github.io/carsales/
When price parity is reached & energy security is a concern, EVs will take off in the developing world.
Check some charts here (mainly developed countries) robbieandrew.github.io/carsales/
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
Last week the German Meteorological Society warned that "the 3-degree limit could be exceeded as early as 2050".
While not possible to fully rule out, the assessed warming scenarios we published in the IPCC AR6 report find this to be extremely unlikely.
While not possible to fully rule out, the assessed warming scenarios we published in the IPCC AR6 report find this to be extremely unlikely.
September 28, 2025 at 8:47 PM
Last week the German Meteorological Society warned that "the 3-degree limit could be exceeded as early as 2050".
While not possible to fully rule out, the assessed warming scenarios we published in the IPCC AR6 report find this to be extremely unlikely.
While not possible to fully rule out, the assessed warming scenarios we published in the IPCC AR6 report find this to be extremely unlikely.