Chris Lascaris-Angel
@engelcap.bsky.social
Chief Economist, ECB & Fed Watcher, Engel Capital UK, global tactical quants. RT≠Endorsement. For expert commentaries, professional enquiries -> Direct DM
Reposted by Chris Lascaris-Angel
PODCAST TIME.
1. Is Michael Burry right?
2. Will Trump's rebates cause inflation?
3. How should the Fed respond to tech-driven productivity (the Greenspan dilemma)?
Best bit- my rap soundtrack at the end.
Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/t...
Spotify: open.spotify.com/episode/5eZi...
1. Is Michael Burry right?
2. Will Trump's rebates cause inflation?
3. How should the Fed respond to tech-driven productivity (the Greenspan dilemma)?
Best bit- my rap soundtrack at the end.
Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/t...
Spotify: open.spotify.com/episode/5eZi...
The Big Short 2.0
Podcast Episode · GlobalData TS Lombard: Perkins Vs Beamish · 11/14/2025 · 46m
podcasts.apple.com
November 14, 2025 at 3:06 PM
PODCAST TIME.
1. Is Michael Burry right?
2. Will Trump's rebates cause inflation?
3. How should the Fed respond to tech-driven productivity (the Greenspan dilemma)?
Best bit- my rap soundtrack at the end.
Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/t...
Spotify: open.spotify.com/episode/5eZi...
1. Is Michael Burry right?
2. Will Trump's rebates cause inflation?
3. How should the Fed respond to tech-driven productivity (the Greenspan dilemma)?
Best bit- my rap soundtrack at the end.
Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/t...
Spotify: open.spotify.com/episode/5eZi...
Reposted by Chris Lascaris-Angel
🔻Job finding expectations has plunged in recent months -- mean perceived probability of finding a job if one’s current job was lost.
❗️Now at lowest since pandemic and 2014 before that.
❗️Now at lowest since pandemic and 2014 before that.
November 7, 2025 at 9:49 PM
🔻Job finding expectations has plunged in recent months -- mean perceived probability of finding a job if one’s current job was lost.
❗️Now at lowest since pandemic and 2014 before that.
❗️Now at lowest since pandemic and 2014 before that.
Reposted by Chris Lascaris-Angel
CPI index numbers from the BLS for
jan sept 2025
Food & Bevg 333 339
Cereals & Bakery 356 362
Meats, poultry, fish, and eggs 339 350
Fruit & veg 356 358
Gasoline 276 286
Prices are up duh...
Food & beverages cpi Jan 2.4% sept 3.0%
Trump lies
jan sept 2025
Food & Bevg 333 339
Cereals & Bakery 356 362
Meats, poultry, fish, and eggs 339 350
Fruit & veg 356 358
Gasoline 276 286
Prices are up duh...
Food & beverages cpi Jan 2.4% sept 3.0%
Trump lies
November 6, 2025 at 11:00 PM
CPI index numbers from the BLS for
jan sept 2025
Food & Bevg 333 339
Cereals & Bakery 356 362
Meats, poultry, fish, and eggs 339 350
Fruit & veg 356 358
Gasoline 276 286
Prices are up duh...
Food & beverages cpi Jan 2.4% sept 3.0%
Trump lies
jan sept 2025
Food & Bevg 333 339
Cereals & Bakery 356 362
Meats, poultry, fish, and eggs 339 350
Fruit & veg 356 358
Gasoline 276 286
Prices are up duh...
Food & beverages cpi Jan 2.4% sept 3.0%
Trump lies
Reposted by Chris Lascaris-Angel
It’s truly a loss today. First time since 1948, the government didn’t collect information on unemployment. www.youtube.com/watch?v=6isk...
Government Shutdown Delays US Jobs Data for Second Month
YouTube video by Bloomberg Podcasts
www.youtube.com
November 7, 2025 at 6:31 PM
It’s truly a loss today. First time since 1948, the government didn’t collect information on unemployment. www.youtube.com/watch?v=6isk...
Reposted by Chris Lascaris-Angel
Another #Fed Cook amicus brief from distinguished economics and law professors. It reads like a Fed Jackson Hole invitation list: Judith Chevalier, John Coates, Darrell Duffie, Claudia Goldin, Jeffrey Gordon, Oliver Hart, Simon Johnson, Kathryn Judge, 1/2
September 25, 2025 at 8:19 PM
Another #Fed Cook amicus brief from distinguished economics and law professors. It reads like a Fed Jackson Hole invitation list: Judith Chevalier, John Coates, Darrell Duffie, Claudia Goldin, Jeffrey Gordon, Oliver Hart, Simon Johnson, Kathryn Judge, 1/2
Reposted by Chris Lascaris-Angel
This is thinly disguised homophobia by Farage.
The same far-right figures who have spent years coming for my trans friends & colleagues are emboldened again against anything different from their "normal."
Today and everyday I stand with the whole LGBTQIA+ community.
Your struggle is my struggle.
The same far-right figures who have spent years coming for my trans friends & colleagues are emboldened again against anything different from their "normal."
Today and everyday I stand with the whole LGBTQIA+ community.
Your struggle is my struggle.
Nigel Farage:
"Children who have two stable parents have a better chance in life... The most stable relationships, the ones that last the longest, tend to be between men & women... There's an awful lot of kids in the country not getting the kind of start... they deserve."
Farage has two ex-wives.
"Children who have two stable parents have a better chance in life... The most stable relationships, the ones that last the longest, tend to be between men & women... There's an awful lot of kids in the country not getting the kind of start... they deserve."
Farage has two ex-wives.
September 15, 2025 at 8:10 PM
This is thinly disguised homophobia by Farage.
The same far-right figures who have spent years coming for my trans friends & colleagues are emboldened again against anything different from their "normal."
Today and everyday I stand with the whole LGBTQIA+ community.
Your struggle is my struggle.
The same far-right figures who have spent years coming for my trans friends & colleagues are emboldened again against anything different from their "normal."
Today and everyday I stand with the whole LGBTQIA+ community.
Your struggle is my struggle.
Reposted by Chris Lascaris-Angel
korean reporting is nightmarish on the conditions Korean workers were contained in
September 14, 2025 at 6:06 PM
korean reporting is nightmarish on the conditions Korean workers were contained in
Reposted by Chris Lascaris-Angel
All hail VICTOR!!! He's a real-life hero whose selflessness & courage is an inspiration to us all.
Wishing you a complete & speedy recovery.
I salute you, sir! 🫡
Wishing you a complete & speedy recovery.
I salute you, sir! 🫡
September 15, 2025 at 8:15 PM
All hail VICTOR!!! He's a real-life hero whose selflessness & courage is an inspiration to us all.
Wishing you a complete & speedy recovery.
I salute you, sir! 🫡
Wishing you a complete & speedy recovery.
I salute you, sir! 🫡
Reposted by Chris Lascaris-Angel
Important words from an honorable statistician who suffered for his government's meddling.
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/19/o...
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/19/o...
www.nytimes.com
August 20, 2025 at 6:02 PM
Important words from an honorable statistician who suffered for his government's meddling.
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/19/o...
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/19/o...
Reposted by Chris Lascaris-Angel
Major props to @ernietedeschi.bsky.social and his dinosaur on @bloombergtv.bsky.social just now. (Oh, and the economic analysis was good, too).
July 1, 2025 at 5:53 PM
Major props to @ernietedeschi.bsky.social and his dinosaur on @bloombergtv.bsky.social just now. (Oh, and the economic analysis was good, too).
Reposted by Chris Lascaris-Angel
🔵 Watch live: the #ECBForum policy panel with:
🔹President Christine Lagarde
🔹Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey
🔹US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell
🔹Bank of Korea Governor Chang Yong Rhee
🔹Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda
europa.eu/!9F4cq3
🔹President Christine Lagarde
🔹Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey
🔹US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell
🔹Bank of Korea Governor Chang Yong Rhee
🔹Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda
europa.eu/!9F4cq3
July 1, 2025 at 1:35 PM
🔵 Watch live: the #ECBForum policy panel with:
🔹President Christine Lagarde
🔹Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey
🔹US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell
🔹Bank of Korea Governor Chang Yong Rhee
🔹Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda
europa.eu/!9F4cq3
🔹President Christine Lagarde
🔹Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey
🔹US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell
🔹Bank of Korea Governor Chang Yong Rhee
🔹Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda
europa.eu/!9F4cq3
Reposted by Chris Lascaris-Angel
#BoJ forced to slow down its tapering to support #JGB market may delay the rate hike further
aliciagarciaherrero.substack.com/p/boj-forced...
aliciagarciaherrero.substack.com/p/boj-forced...
June 17, 2025 at 10:56 AM
#BoJ forced to slow down its tapering to support #JGB market may delay the rate hike further
aliciagarciaherrero.substack.com/p/boj-forced...
aliciagarciaherrero.substack.com/p/boj-forced...
Reposted by Chris Lascaris-Angel
Are we great yet?
June 3, 2025 at 6:59 PM
Are we great yet?
Reposted by Chris Lascaris-Angel
New Dynare working paper by Stéphane Adjemian and Michel Juillard, which describes and evaluates the stochastic extended path method implemented in Dynare
www.dynare.org/wp-repo/dyna...
www.dynare.org/wp-repo/dyna...
www.dynare.org
May 7, 2025 at 2:43 PM
New Dynare working paper by Stéphane Adjemian and Michel Juillard, which describes and evaluates the stochastic extended path method implemented in Dynare
www.dynare.org/wp-repo/dyna...
www.dynare.org/wp-repo/dyna...
Reposted by Chris Lascaris-Angel
I was deeply honored to meet President Zelensky via Zoom when he asked me to become an ambassador for UNITED24 to raise funds for surveillance drones. I'm proud to have walked this road with @u24.gov.ua to support the sovereign nation of 🇺🇦 & so grateful to all who have donated! 🙏❤️👍
#SlavaUkraine
#SlavaUkraine
For 3 years, UNITED24 has been a community, uniting people worldwide around Ukraine’s freedom. Together, we have raised $1,447,374,749 to support Ukraine. We’re proud and grateful for each and every one of you💙💛 Thank you for walking this road with us! u24.gov.ua
May 5, 2025 at 9:26 PM
I was deeply honored to meet President Zelensky via Zoom when he asked me to become an ambassador for UNITED24 to raise funds for surveillance drones. I'm proud to have walked this road with @u24.gov.ua to support the sovereign nation of 🇺🇦 & so grateful to all who have donated! 🙏❤️👍
#SlavaUkraine
#SlavaUkraine
Reposted by Chris Lascaris-Angel
Recession negative gdp
April 30, 2025 at 12:31 PM
Recession negative gdp
Reposted by Chris Lascaris-Angel
Conference board expectations index plummeted to 54.4
All eight states and the us are likely now in recession
This is disastrous politically for Trump and GOP
All eight states and the us are likely now in recession
This is disastrous politically for Trump and GOP
April 29, 2025 at 3:26 PM
Conference board expectations index plummeted to 54.4
All eight states and the us are likely now in recession
This is disastrous politically for Trump and GOP
All eight states and the us are likely now in recession
This is disastrous politically for Trump and GOP
Reposted by Chris Lascaris-Angel
Opening the week in #Asia for @BloombergTV with comments on #Fed, #Mar-a-Lago #Accord, #China and #trade war. Trump blinking first, in my view!.
www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/...
www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/...
Trump to 'Blink First' in Trade War: Natixis' García-Herrero
US President Donald Trump is ready to come to the negotiating table with China, Natixis economist Alicia García-Herrero tells Bloomberg's Paul Allen. García-Herrero believes the US "is going to blink ...
www.bloomberg.com
April 21, 2025 at 5:21 AM
Opening the week in #Asia for @BloombergTV with comments on #Fed, #Mar-a-Lago #Accord, #China and #trade war. Trump blinking first, in my view!.
www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/...
www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/...
Reposted by Chris Lascaris-Angel
The 4th Dynare Workshop for Advanced Users will take place in person from 17-19 September 2025 at the Joint Research Centre of the European Commission, Ispra (Italy).
It aims at discussing experiences regarding advanced features and expert use of Dynare.
www.dynare.org/events/dynar...
It aims at discussing experiences regarding advanced features and expert use of Dynare.
www.dynare.org/events/dynar...
4th Dynare Workshop for Advanced Users
The workshop will take place in person from Wednesday to Friday 17-19 September 2025. The event will be hosted by the Joint Research Centre of the European Commission, Ispra (IT).
www.dynare.org
March 19, 2025 at 11:37 AM
The 4th Dynare Workshop for Advanced Users will take place in person from 17-19 September 2025 at the Joint Research Centre of the European Commission, Ispra (Italy).
It aims at discussing experiences regarding advanced features and expert use of Dynare.
www.dynare.org/events/dynar...
It aims at discussing experiences regarding advanced features and expert use of Dynare.
www.dynare.org/events/dynar...
Reposted by Chris Lascaris-Angel
In case you missed it..
Podcast time again! This one is all about US RECESSION RISK and the wobble in the US stock market.
creators.spotify.com/pod/show/ts-...
creators.spotify.com/pod/show/ts-...
US Bear Attack! by GlobalData TS Lombard: Perkins Vs Beamish
Dario's Short US/Long RoW has done well, closing time?Andrew Slazenger ([email protected]) hosts Dario Perkins and Freya Beamish as they answer three of the top current client questionsTh...
creators.spotify.com
March 15, 2025 at 12:18 PM
In case you missed it..
Reposted by Chris Lascaris-Angel
Good news for researchers - don't miss out!
We just launched a pilot project @ecb.europa.eu to share anonymised data on bank balance sheets and interest rates for loans and deposits in the euro area. 1/2
www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/dat...
We just launched a pilot project @ecb.europa.eu to share anonymised data on bank balance sheets and interest rates for loans and deposits in the euro area. 1/2
www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/dat...
ECB launches pilot project for research access to confidential statistical data
The European Central Bank (ECB) is the central bank of the European Union countries which have adopted the euro. Our main task is to maintain price stability in the euro area and so preserve the purch...
www.ecb.europa.eu
March 13, 2025 at 3:00 PM
Good news for researchers - don't miss out!
We just launched a pilot project @ecb.europa.eu to share anonymised data on bank balance sheets and interest rates for loans and deposits in the euro area. 1/2
www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/dat...
We just launched a pilot project @ecb.europa.eu to share anonymised data on bank balance sheets and interest rates for loans and deposits in the euro area. 1/2
www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/dat...
I cannot agree, as economists we never said that there will be a recession under Biden, a premise I professionally refuted. Many amongst us predicted a probability of a recession due to the monetary policy tightening by the Fed in its combat to bring inflation down to its 2% target, eg soft landing
For years economists told us that the country would face a recession under President Biden. It never happened.
Just six weeks into Trump's term, however, we are now on the verge of economic turmoil.
Just six weeks into Trump's term, however, we are now on the verge of economic turmoil.
March 10, 2025 at 5:14 PM
I cannot agree, as economists we never said that there will be a recession under Biden, a premise I professionally refuted. Many amongst us predicted a probability of a recession due to the monetary policy tightening by the Fed in its combat to bring inflation down to its 2% target, eg soft landing
Reposted by Chris Lascaris-Angel
The Heritage Foundation is now planning to destroy the EU - with the help of Polish and Hungarian partners
vsquare.org/heritage-fou...
vsquare.org/heritage-fou...
Renaming the EU, Dismantling the Commission: For What Polish and Hungarian Illiberals Seek U.S. Backing - VSquare.org
The Trump administration's most influential think tank, The Heritage Foundation, is receiving proposals from illiberal forces in Poland and Hungary on how to shape the future of the European Union. Th...
vsquare.org
March 10, 2025 at 7:35 AM
The Heritage Foundation is now planning to destroy the EU - with the help of Polish and Hungarian partners
vsquare.org/heritage-fou...
vsquare.org/heritage-fou...