David JW Bailey
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davidjwbailey.bsky.social
David JW Bailey
@davidjwbailey.bsky.social
Walker, photographer, radio ham, gamer, wine lover, accountant, entrepreneur, human friendly activist, ally. English & European. Generally prefer facts and science.
Reposted by David JW Bailey
What we're seeing with all this new data is that the Brexit damage is only getting worse as time goes on. Companies aren't "adjusting". They're either leaving, downscaling or going under. From manufacturing to services to culture to farming & fishing, the decline is snowballing rhe longer we're out.
New analysis by the politically neutral House of Commons library says that Brexit:

- cost the average Briton between £2,700 and £3,700

- lost the Treasury up to £90bn a year tax revenue.

Rachel Reeves budget options could have been very different!

www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/poli...
Brexit costing UK up to £90bn in lost tax revenue , new analysis shows
Exclusive: Britons also up to £3,700 worse off, leading to calls for the Labour government to improve relations with the EU
www.independent.co.uk
November 27, 2025 at 4:52 PM
Reposted by David JW Bailey
Never surrender.
February 12, 2025 at 8:54 PM
Reposted by David JW Bailey
Immigration creates jobs, supports public services, & drives growth.

These are economic facts.

How is it that the only days we *dont* have the media banging on about immigration is on the days we’re handed the budget? #r4today
November 27, 2025 at 8:42 AM
There must be an ex-employee of this cult that will dump into the public domain copies of bank statement statements or emails proving that they are funded from the USA or Russia or some other enemy of ours, and use agents provocateur to create cause celebre and destroy *everyone’s* rights
This entire article is just the views of Naomi Cunningham and her organisation Sex Matters dressed up as though it were some sort of actual news piece. Without even a semblance of attempted balance. From the BBC.

www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
Sandie Peggie lawyer says Scottish government is in denial
Lawyer Naomi Cunningham says the Supreme Court judgment is
www.bbc.co.uk
November 27, 2025 at 7:27 PM
Massive drop in immigration.
Massive rise in emigration.
= ECONOMIC CATASTROPHE

Slow round of applause for Farage and a big slap in the logic for UK Labour who just sank the boat. Morons.

The “too much immigration” argument was always designed to HARM THE UK ECONOMY.
Another very large decline in net migration in today's ONS figures, with immigration falling and emigration rising. I'm sure this will get just as much media and political coverage as the earlier sharp rises, right? www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopula...
Long-term international migration, provisional - Office for National Statistics
Estimates of UK long-term international migration, year ending June 2012 to year ending December 2024.
www.ons.gov.uk
November 27, 2025 at 10:04 AM
Reposted by David JW Bailey
Emigration, at around 700,000 people a year, is now the highest since 2012. Which is what you should expect five years after a surge in inward migration.
November 27, 2025 at 9:59 AM
Reposted by David JW Bailey
This is shaping up exactly as I predicted.

There are further effects from Covid-era student-arrivals and post-study workers, these will show a further downward trend in net migration in 2026 numbers.

I suspect we'll be down to about 250K net migration by the end of 2026.
May 22, 2025 at 12:18 PM
This is important: can anyone point to a religious source text that bars vaccination?

Mmmm.
Nope.

So no judge can allow a religious exception to vaccination?
November 27, 2025 at 12:39 AM
Print this and roll it up to gently tap the cheeks of right wing haters once per word as you say “stop trying to kill people purely because you are too cognitively weak and so perpetually fearful that you fail to recognise the unregulated disgust reaction you acquired from bigots and ideologues”
Hormonal therapy meaningfully reduces suicidality over time in transgender (and gender-diverse) adolescents. Letting people live in the body that's right for them is literally a life saver. 🧪

Link: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
November 26, 2025 at 9:13 AM
Every photo of Trump needs to be filtered to remove the orange and show him as sick, old, liver-spotted, and pale.
He will add more & more make up.
After 3 months, suddenly stop using the filter.
He will be mahogany.
Then we can call Trump a Trans-Black Man in denial.
His base will explode
Trump at an oval office meeting.

"Sleepy Joe??"
November 26, 2025 at 9:02 AM
Reposted by David JW Bailey
Witkoffgate.
November 26, 2025 at 8:42 AM
Self own by Russia
Putin’s aide Yuri Ushakov reacted to the leaked calls with U.S. envoy Witkoff, saying “someone is leaking or eavesdropping” and accusing opponents of trying to sabotage U.S.-Russia contacts. He confirmed Witkoff is expected to visit Moscow next week as part of ongoing peace negotiations.
November 26, 2025 at 8:50 AM
David Lammy needs to be fed copies of the Magna Carta
So the actual bar being discussed for juryless trials seems to be anything where the sentence is less than 5 years.

Anything less than 5 years would not require a jury and could be decided by a judge in a closed room.

Worth noting that 3 years is the top number for activists generally...
David Lammy considers scrapping jury trials for all but the most serious cases
Senior lawyers criticise justice secretary’s radical plan, saying it could ‘destroy justice as we know it’
www.theguardian.com
November 26, 2025 at 8:43 AM
I’ve been there. UK tax dodging Gibraltarians are … often but not always … weird angry isolated hate filled and quite racist. It is not a mentally healthy place
#BetterHeadlines
How to get around Brexit while still being a fascist twat.

Sorry. Just a bit peeved.
UK citizens who live on the ‘Rock’ will soon gain full freedom of movement in the EU. We look at how you can make the move — and assess the tax advantages
November 26, 2025 at 8:42 AM
Reposted by David JW Bailey
Vaccinating boys and girls. It works bitches.
November 26, 2025 at 5:32 AM
PFI is *theft*
PFI is *privatisation by the chequebook*

It bleeds the NHS dry, deliberately designed to KILL PUBLIC OWNERSHIP OF HEALTH.

We (taxpayers) pay TWENTY TIMES for buildings under PFI, and still have to fix all the short cuts and cheapness they do to steal more.
Today, Labour is going to announce a return to PFI for the NHS- which is a total disaster. But they’ve renamed it the “NHS neighbourhood rebuild”. Don’t be fooled 🚨

I’ve explained what’s going on in this piece I’ve just written- open.substack.com/pub/jujuliag...
November 26, 2025 at 8:40 AM
Reposted by David JW Bailey
NEW: The BBC’s enemies now know “leak & launch” tactics work, warns BBC board member who quit over the Prescott/bias row.

Pressure on Samir Shah, as Shumeet Banjeri accuses Shah of failing to manage the crisis.

Banjeri gave BBC News his resignation note.

www.theguardian.com/media/2025/n...
BBC destabilised by ‘leak and launch’ tactics, ex-board member says
Shumeet Banerji, who quit the board on Friday, accused the chair, Samir Shah, of not allowing reasoned discussion before dismissing Tim Davie and Deborah Turness
www.theguardian.com
November 25, 2025 at 11:50 PM
This is going to be used to track and kidnap ANYONE
NEW: ICE has torn up its $180M cap on a proposed immigrant-tracking program and is now guaranteeing private surveillance firms at least $7.5M each, with potential payouts reaching $281M per vendor. The change signals a shift from “pilot” to full-scale outsourcing of street-level investigative work.
ICE Offers Up to $280 Million to Immigrant-Tracking ‘Bounty Hunter’ Firms
Immigration and Customs Enforcement lifted a $180 million cap on a proposed immigrant-tracking program while guaranteeing multimillion-dollar payouts for private surveillance firms.
www.wired.com
November 25, 2025 at 9:35 PM
Boris Johnson did this.
Nigel Farage did this.
A bunch of idiots did this.
Russia helped.

Make the people who did this PAY for it
The UK is losing up to £250m a day in lost tax revenue due to the economic impact of Brexit, House of Commons Library analysis for the Lib Dems suggests.

Brexit has blown a "black hole of [up to] £90 billion a year in the public finances" the party says. Even under lower estimates the hit is ~£65bn
November 25, 2025 at 12:44 PM
Reposted by David JW Bailey
November 25, 2025 at 11:27 AM
Reposted by David JW Bailey
I wish I didn’t have to share this. But the BBC has decided to censor my first Reith Lecture.

They deleted the line in which I describe Donald Trump as “the most openly corrupt president in American history.” /1
November 25, 2025 at 9:26 AM
Reposted by David JW Bailey
I wonder how many in Labour's inner circle realise they're part of the last ever Labour government?

Letting Reform in when a different direction was possible but deliberately ignored is a sin 1000x worse than student fees were for the LibDems. Voters will never forgive it.

bsky.app/profile/euro...
Brexit costing UK up to £90bn in lost tax revenue a year, new analysis shows. Britons also up to £3,700 worse off, leading to calls for the Labour government to improve relations with the EU. www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/poli...
Brexit costing UK up to £90bn in lost tax revenue , new analysis shows
Exclusive: Britons also up to £3,700 worse off, leading to calls for the Labour government to improve relations with the EU
www.independent.co.uk
November 25, 2025 at 8:34 AM
Farage behaves like a Russian asset would
My attendance record in the European Parliament was the 4th worst out of 751 MEPs, yet I managed to turn up to vote AGAINST plans to tackle Russian misinformation.
Thankfully this is of no interest to the media.
November 25, 2025 at 8:55 AM
If you know *anything* factual that can damage Farage send it to *multiple* journalists and a lawyer (to avoid ‘catch and kill’ programmes)
If you receive legal threats from Nigel Farage for your reporting of Reform, please get in touch.

We have employed a defamation lawyer specifically for this purpose and would love to help (and we do so on non-commercial terms). www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
Reform’s ‘Trumpian’ legal threats hint at more aggressive approach to media
Ultimatums sent to publications appear to intensify as Nigel Farage’s party rises in polls
www.theguardian.com
November 25, 2025 at 8:50 AM
Reposted by David JW Bailey
Carrie Fisher was the blueprint.
Protect your people. Call out the predators.
#RESIST
November 24, 2025 at 3:59 AM