Ari Cicurel
@aricicurel.bsky.social
Associate Director of Foreign Policy, JINSA. University of Michigan and King's College London grad. Views are my own. RT/Like ≠ endorsement https://jinsa.org/person/ari-cicurel/
US and Israeli air defenses intercepted the majority of Iranian ballistic missiles during the June 13-24 war, but Iran was able to hit Israel by adapting “how, when, and what” it fired. I spoke with @wsj.com about the JINSA data featured in today's print edition.
July 16, 2025 at 9:54 PM
US and Israeli air defenses intercepted the majority of Iranian ballistic missiles during the June 13-24 war, but Iran was able to hit Israel by adapting “how, when, and what” it fired. I spoke with @wsj.com about the JINSA data featured in today's print edition.
Iranian proxies resumed attacking US troops in Iraq and Syria shortly after Israel began Operation Rising Lion. Iran wants to test Trump’s red line against attacks on US forces, deter a US strike on Fordow, and drive the US to pressure Israel against further strikes. t.co/w5NVm82e2r
June 21, 2025 at 1:34 PM
Iranian proxies resumed attacking US troops in Iraq and Syria shortly after Israel began Operation Rising Lion. Iran wants to test Trump’s red line against attacks on US forces, deter a US strike on Fordow, and drive the US to pressure Israel against further strikes. t.co/w5NVm82e2r
During the early morning hours today, Iran launched 30 ballistic missiles, its largest single ballistic missile attack since 6/16. Iran has launched roughly 491 ballistic missiles at Israel since 6/13.
June 19, 2025 at 4:14 PM
During the early morning hours today, Iran launched 30 ballistic missiles, its largest single ballistic missile attack since 6/16. Iran has launched roughly 491 ballistic missiles at Israel since 6/13.
According to JINSA estimates, Israeli strikes could eliminate 1/2 of Iran’s missile launchers, resulting in Iran’s rate of fire dropping below 20 ballistic missiles per day, as soon as 6/19. Iran’s missile stockpile could be reduced to <500 ballistic missiles as soon as 6/23.
June 16, 2025 at 11:51 PM
According to JINSA estimates, Israeli strikes could eliminate 1/2 of Iran’s missile launchers, resulting in Iran’s rate of fire dropping below 20 ballistic missiles per day, as soon as 6/19. Iran’s missile stockpile could be reduced to <500 ballistic missiles as soon as 6/23.
In just the opening phase of Israel's Operation Rising Lion, 200 Israeli aircraft struck 100 targets using 330 munitions, hitting military locations, nuclear sites, and killing >20 Iranian military leaders and nuclear scientists. A 🧵 with my analysis for JINSA. jinsa.org/jinsa_report...
Israel’s Operation Rising Lion: 6/13/25 Update - JINSA
The Jewish Institute for National Security of America’s (JINSA) Iran Projectile Tracker presents regularly updated charts and graphs on missiles, rockets, drones, and mortars that Iran and its regiona...
jinsa.org
June 13, 2025 at 8:10 PM
In just the opening phase of Israel's Operation Rising Lion, 200 Israeli aircraft struck 100 targets using 330 munitions, hitting military locations, nuclear sites, and killing >20 Iranian military leaders and nuclear scientists. A 🧵 with my analysis for JINSA. jinsa.org/jinsa_report...
As Israel & the US prepare for an Iranian retaliation, a JINSA report out last week offers key lessons from the 2 previous Iranian attacks against Israel. In both attacks, the US played a central role in helping defend Israel. The same should be true if Iran attacks again. jinsa.org/jinsa_report...
Forged Under Fire: Middle East Air Defense After Iran’s 2024 Attacks on Israel - JINSA
The scene: Two combat jets race through the night sky on opposite sides of the Saudi-Jordanian border. In one cockpit, a pilot from the Royal Saudi Air Force. In the other, one of Israel’s top air com...
jinsa.org
June 13, 2025 at 2:57 AM
As Israel & the US prepare for an Iranian retaliation, a JINSA report out last week offers key lessons from the 2 previous Iranian attacks against Israel. In both attacks, the US played a central role in helping defend Israel. The same should be true if Iran attacks again. jinsa.org/jinsa_report...
The Trump admin is already distancing itself from Israel’s strikes.
This is a dangerous mistake.
Rubio doesn’t signal if the Trump admin supports the strikes or if the US is prepared to help defend Israel against an Iranian attack as it did in April and October last year.
This is a dangerous mistake.
Rubio doesn’t signal if the Trump admin supports the strikes or if the US is prepared to help defend Israel against an Iranian attack as it did in April and October last year.
The U.S. "is not involved" in Israel's strikes against Iran, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said Thursday, adding Iran should not target U.S. interests or personnel.
MORE: https://www.newsnationnow.com/world/israel-preparing-strike-iran/
MORE: https://www.newsnationnow.com/world/israel-preparing-strike-iran/
June 13, 2025 at 1:25 AM
The Trump admin is already distancing itself from Israel’s strikes.
This is a dangerous mistake.
Rubio doesn’t signal if the Trump admin supports the strikes or if the US is prepared to help defend Israel against an Iranian attack as it did in April and October last year.
This is a dangerous mistake.
Rubio doesn’t signal if the Trump admin supports the strikes or if the US is prepared to help defend Israel against an Iranian attack as it did in April and October last year.
Reposted by Ari Cicurel
In a week where the reality of antisemitism resulted in the gun violence murder of two people in DC, the Secretary of Defense just made a known antisemite his new Deputy Press Secretary. For the Jewish people who voted for this, help me understand why?
www.npr.org/2025/03/06/n...
www.npr.org/2025/03/06/n...
A Pentagon press secretary has history of pushing antisemitic, extremist theories
Members of Congress and civil rights groups are condemning past comments from Deputy Pentagon Press Secretary Kingsley Wilson, including some which critics called antisemitic.
www.npr.org
May 24, 2025 at 11:51 AM
In a week where the reality of antisemitism resulted in the gun violence murder of two people in DC, the Secretary of Defense just made a known antisemite his new Deputy Press Secretary. For the Jewish people who voted for this, help me understand why?
www.npr.org/2025/03/06/n...
www.npr.org/2025/03/06/n...
Reposted by Ari Cicurel
I want to underscore the vulnerability that the Jewish community is feeling today, following years in which we were already pretty scared (and in some spaces, gaslit about the reality of the threat).
This was a Jewish event, at a Jewish museum. It feels like it could have been any of us.
This was a Jewish event, at a Jewish museum. It feels like it could have been any of us.
Make no mistake: antisemitic hate inevitably leads to antisemitic violence. Anyone who claims to believe in the dignity & rights of all people has an obligation to name this shooting for what it is — vile & violent antisemitic terror — and to speak out against this increasingly-normalized bigotry.
JCPA Statement on Shooting of Israeli Embassy Aides in Washington - Jewish Council for Public Affairs
jewishpublicaffairs.org
May 22, 2025 at 1:05 PM
I want to underscore the vulnerability that the Jewish community is feeling today, following years in which we were already pretty scared (and in some spaces, gaslit about the reality of the threat).
This was a Jewish event, at a Jewish museum. It feels like it could have been any of us.
This was a Jewish event, at a Jewish museum. It feels like it could have been any of us.
The truce Trump announced with the Houthis will leave the terrorist threat intact, without any indication it will bring an end to Houthi strikes on Israel or restore shipping in the Red Sea. A🧵with my analysis & charts from JINSA’s Houthi Projectile Tracker below. 1/10
May 7, 2025 at 8:46 PM
The truce Trump announced with the Houthis will leave the terrorist threat intact, without any indication it will bring an end to Houthi strikes on Israel or restore shipping in the Red Sea. A🧵with my analysis & charts from JINSA’s Houthi Projectile Tracker below. 1/10
Large fires around Jerusalem have led to multiple areas being evacuated and the cancellation of Independence Day events throughout Israel due to weather caused by the fires.
April 30, 2025 at 2:57 PM
Large fires around Jerusalem have led to multiple areas being evacuated and the cancellation of Independence Day events throughout Israel due to weather caused by the fires.
The latest JINSA data on US strikes against the Houthis appeared in this morning’s @axios.com future of defense newsletter: The US launched at least 612% more strikes in March than during all operations targeting the Houthis since November. @demarest-colin.bsky.social www.axios.com/newsletters/...
Axios Future of Defense
www.axios.com
March 26, 2025 at 5:08 PM
The latest JINSA data on US strikes against the Houthis appeared in this morning’s @axios.com future of defense newsletter: The US launched at least 612% more strikes in March than during all operations targeting the Houthis since November. @demarest-colin.bsky.social www.axios.com/newsletters/...
Compared to Biden's limited operations against the Houthis that focused on targeting capabilities, the Trump's strikes in Yemen expanded the scale, scope, and persistency of efforts against the Iran-backed terrorist group.
A🧵with the latest charts and data from JINSA:
A🧵with the latest charts and data from JINSA:
March 19, 2025 at 9:15 PM
Compared to Biden's limited operations against the Houthis that focused on targeting capabilities, the Trump's strikes in Yemen expanded the scale, scope, and persistency of efforts against the Iran-backed terrorist group.
A🧵with the latest charts and data from JINSA:
A🧵with the latest charts and data from JINSA:
Reposted by Ari Cicurel
After a few Purdue years, the Big Ten is back to being run by the state of Michigan.
March 16, 2025 at 9:33 PM
After a few Purdue years, the Big Ten is back to being run by the state of Michigan.
Reposted by Ari Cicurel
A federal court’s jurisdiction does *not* stop at the water’s edge. The question is whether the *defendants* are subject to the court order, not *where* the conduct being challenged takes place.
Were it otherwise, the government could act lawlessly overseas and courts would be powerless to stop it.
Were it otherwise, the government could act lawlessly overseas and courts would be powerless to stop it.
March 16, 2025 at 8:23 PM
A federal court’s jurisdiction does *not* stop at the water’s edge. The question is whether the *defendants* are subject to the court order, not *where* the conduct being challenged takes place.
Were it otherwise, the government could act lawlessly overseas and courts would be powerless to stop it.
Were it otherwise, the government could act lawlessly overseas and courts would be powerless to stop it.
Reposted by Ari Cicurel
Slotkin: While we are on the subject of Elon Musk, is there anyone in America who's comfortable with him and his gang using his own computer servers to poke to your tax returns, your health information, your bank accounts?
March 5, 2025 at 4:20 AM
Slotkin: While we are on the subject of Elon Musk, is there anyone in America who's comfortable with him and his gang using his own computer servers to poke to your tax returns, your health information, your bank accounts?
Reposted by Ari Cicurel
hey guess what trump's numbers about social security are total horseshit www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
March 5, 2025 at 2:49 AM
hey guess what trump's numbers about social security are total horseshit www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
Reposted by Ari Cicurel
Trump again confirms that DOGE is "headed" by Elon Musk, which undermines the administration's position in a few of its court cases against DOGE's effort to access agency systems.
March 5, 2025 at 2:45 AM
Trump again confirms that DOGE is "headed" by Elon Musk, which undermines the administration's position in a few of its court cases against DOGE's effort to access agency systems.
Reposted by Ari Cicurel
Reposted by Ari Cicurel
Is this about personal freedom or the free market
March 3, 2025 at 2:06 AM
Is this about personal freedom or the free market
As Blaise Misztal and I recommended in @breakingdefense.com earlier this week, the Trump admin has invoked an emergency waiver to push through critical weapons packages for Israel that were frozen under Biden. Now, it should deliver the weapons ASAP. breakingdefense.com/2025/02/pres...
President Trump must use every tool to speed up arms for Israel - Breaking Defense
Blaise Misztal and Ari Cicurel in this op-ed argue that President Donald Trump needs to be willing to go around Congress to get arms to Israel more quickly.
breakingdefense.com
March 1, 2025 at 1:24 PM
As Blaise Misztal and I recommended in @breakingdefense.com earlier this week, the Trump admin has invoked an emergency waiver to push through critical weapons packages for Israel that were frozen under Biden. Now, it should deliver the weapons ASAP. breakingdefense.com/2025/02/pres...
Reposted by Ari Cicurel
Ukraine was brutally invaded by Russia and is fighting to maintain control of their country. The Kremlin must be celebrating President Trump’s disgusting parroting of Russian propaganda. We won’t hold our breath waiting for Republicans to condemn this gross display.
ZELENSKYY: Putin broke the ceasefire. What kind of diplomacy, JD, are you speaking about?
VANCE: I think it's disrespectful to come into the Oval Office and try to litigate this in front of the American media
VANCE: I think it's disrespectful to come into the Oval Office and try to litigate this in front of the American media
February 28, 2025 at 6:18 PM
Ukraine was brutally invaded by Russia and is fighting to maintain control of their country. The Kremlin must be celebrating President Trump’s disgusting parroting of Russian propaganda. We won’t hold our breath waiting for Republicans to condemn this gross display.
Reposted by Ari Cicurel
Jewish Americans are welcome in the Democratic Party. Full stop.
Comments like these are antisemitic & based in harmful tropes that fail to recognize the broad spectrum of Jewish belief & political engagement.
www.detroitnews.com/story/news/p...
Comments like these are antisemitic & based in harmful tropes that fail to recognize the broad spectrum of Jewish belief & political engagement.
www.detroitnews.com/story/news/p...
Candidate to lead Michigan Democrats says, 'This is not the Jewish party'
A candidate for chairman of the Michigan Democratic Party was asked recently if the party's stances toward Israel and Palestine needed to change.
www.detroitnews.com
February 12, 2025 at 2:44 AM
Jewish Americans are welcome in the Democratic Party. Full stop.
Comments like these are antisemitic & based in harmful tropes that fail to recognize the broad spectrum of Jewish belief & political engagement.
www.detroitnews.com/story/news/p...
Comments like these are antisemitic & based in harmful tropes that fail to recognize the broad spectrum of Jewish belief & political engagement.
www.detroitnews.com/story/news/p...
Reposted by Ari Cicurel
Explicit antisemitic attitudes are now much more common among young voters - 18 year old registered voters are now ~5x more likely to say that they have an unfavorable view of the Jewish people than 65 year olds.
February 8, 2025 at 6:04 PM
Explicit antisemitic attitudes are now much more common among young voters - 18 year old registered voters are now ~5x more likely to say that they have an unfavorable view of the Jewish people than 65 year olds.
Reposted by Ari Cicurel
For the Jews who think the attacks on diversity, equity, and inclusion won’t impact them — make no mistake, they will.
It’s not accidental that Holocaust Remembrance Day is included here.
It’s not accidental that Holocaust Remembrance Day is included here.
Intelligence officials are starting to leak to me now too. Here’s a memo Defense Intelligence Agency personnel received instructing them to suspend observances including:
- Holocaust Remembrance Day
- MLK Day
- Juneteenth
- Holocaust Remembrance Day
- MLK Day
- Juneteenth
January 29, 2025 at 5:40 PM
For the Jews who think the attacks on diversity, equity, and inclusion won’t impact them — make no mistake, they will.
It’s not accidental that Holocaust Remembrance Day is included here.
It’s not accidental that Holocaust Remembrance Day is included here.