Sabrina Fernandes
@sabrinafernandes.com
bridging climate science and political strategy. for internationalist, real and just transitions.
Political Economist. Sociology PhD. Also Head of Research @alameda.institute.
Find me:
🟠 ecocene.blog
🟤 sabrinafernandes.com
Political Economist. Sociology PhD. Also Head of Research @alameda.institute.
Find me:
🟠 ecocene.blog
🟤 sabrinafernandes.com
Pinned
We will either end fossil fuel dependency and the predatory extractivist basis of global production, or they will end us through wars and ecological collapse - all at the same time.
Reposted by Sabrina Fernandes
My point is the US state is not "seeking to pay for the war" through the seizure of these assets. It's seeking to enable capital accumulation by the private sector. Therefore the oil profits don't need to balance with the cost of occupying Venezuela bc the private sector isn't paying for that.
January 6, 2026 at 11:06 AM
My point is the US state is not "seeking to pay for the war" through the seizure of these assets. It's seeking to enable capital accumulation by the private sector. Therefore the oil profits don't need to balance with the cost of occupying Venezuela bc the private sector isn't paying for that.
Reposted by Sabrina Fernandes
New terrifying frontiers of Muskism
There we go. That there’s a headline.
Who’s who at X, the deepfake porn site formerly known as Twitter
A look inside Elon Musk’s big tent
www.ft.com
January 6, 2026 at 5:09 PM
New terrifying frontiers of Muskism
Reposted by Sabrina Fernandes
By grabbing VZ oil, Trump is not just securing a line of resources for the US (even if it's not the most profitable and ready to produce kind of oil): he is also denying VZ a huge chunk of their public budget. This forces privatisation of sectors and opens doors to more US interests.
January 6, 2026 at 11:17 AM
By grabbing VZ oil, Trump is not just securing a line of resources for the US (even if it's not the most profitable and ready to produce kind of oil): he is also denying VZ a huge chunk of their public budget. This forces privatisation of sectors and opens doors to more US interests.
Reposted by Sabrina Fernandes
Also, one can argue that beyond whether Venezuela truly has the largest reserves or not, the fact is the reserves are significant and even heavy crude plays a role in the global fossil industry. Trump might not be looking to make cash right away and will actually de-risk some of it for oil companies
January 6, 2026 at 11:17 AM
Also, one can argue that beyond whether Venezuela truly has the largest reserves or not, the fact is the reserves are significant and even heavy crude plays a role in the global fossil industry. Trump might not be looking to make cash right away and will actually de-risk some of it for oil companies
Reposted by Sabrina Fernandes
"It is entirely possible that the US has not thought this far ahead, but if it has, it may regard this as a price worth paying for demonstrating that it demands the exclusive right to control resources in its near abroad.”
I agree and have some additional thoughts:
I agree and have some additional thoughts:
NEW POST: The US will be unable to avoid occupying Venezuela if it is to achieve its stated objectives.
unbalancingmechanism.substack.com/p/its-not-ab...
unbalancingmechanism.substack.com/p/its-not-ab...
It's not about the oil even if it is about the oil
The USA will be unable to avoid occupying Venezuela if it is to achieve its stated objectives
unbalancingmechanism.substack.com
January 6, 2026 at 11:17 AM
"It is entirely possible that the US has not thought this far ahead, but if it has, it may regard this as a price worth paying for demonstrating that it demands the exclusive right to control resources in its near abroad.”
I agree and have some additional thoughts:
I agree and have some additional thoughts:
Reposted by Sabrina Fernandes
"Minerals and fuels are strategic not only because they can be used for important technology and development purposes, but also because they are not equally distributed. "
By @sabrinafernandes.com
the.ecocene.blog/p/venezuela-...
By @sabrinafernandes.com
the.ecocene.blog/p/venezuela-...
Venezuela, the big oil grab and undue compensation
A note on extractivist imperialism and why it's an enemy of peace
the.ecocene.blog
January 6, 2026 at 3:32 AM
"Minerals and fuels are strategic not only because they can be used for important technology and development purposes, but also because they are not equally distributed. "
By @sabrinafernandes.com
the.ecocene.blog/p/venezuela-...
By @sabrinafernandes.com
the.ecocene.blog/p/venezuela-...
Reposted by Sabrina Fernandes
BBC journalists have been banned from describing the kidnapped Venezuelan leader as having been kidnapped.
The BBC News Editor has sent this to BBC journalists.
The BBC News Editor has sent this to BBC journalists.
January 5, 2026 at 1:19 PM
BBC journalists have been banned from describing the kidnapped Venezuelan leader as having been kidnapped.
The BBC News Editor has sent this to BBC journalists.
The BBC News Editor has sent this to BBC journalists.
Reposted by Sabrina Fernandes
A soberania é frequentemente descrita como a base da ordem, a fronteira entre a lei e a violência. Mas o que acontece quando a própria lei se torna uma ferramenta de poder e a soberania a justificativa para a guerra?
October 31, 2025 at 2:02 PM
A soberania é frequentemente descrita como a base da ordem, a fronteira entre a lei e a violência. Mas o que acontece quando a própria lei se torna uma ferramenta de poder e a soberania a justificativa para a guerra?
Recomendo a leitura da análise do @sk-serge.bsky.social da estratégia de segurança dos EUA (2025) não somente por conta da Venezuela, mas porque ajuda a ressaltar algo que eu estava falando com o @caioalmendra.bsky.social : as pessoas gostam de achar que é tudo maluquice da cabeça do Trump. Não é.
🚨 O Departamento de Estado dos Estados Unidos acaba de publicar um post com a frase "Este é nosso hemisfério". Entendam a nova estratégia de segurança dos Estados Unidos e porque é um problema para TODOS.
open.substack.com/pub/sergekat...
open.substack.com/pub/sergekat...
January 6, 2026 at 11:59 AM
Recomendo a leitura da análise do @sk-serge.bsky.social da estratégia de segurança dos EUA (2025) não somente por conta da Venezuela, mas porque ajuda a ressaltar algo que eu estava falando com o @caioalmendra.bsky.social : as pessoas gostam de achar que é tudo maluquice da cabeça do Trump. Não é.
"It is entirely possible that the US has not thought this far ahead, but if it has, it may regard this as a price worth paying for demonstrating that it demands the exclusive right to control resources in its near abroad.”
I agree and have some additional thoughts:
I agree and have some additional thoughts:
NEW POST: The US will be unable to avoid occupying Venezuela if it is to achieve its stated objectives.
unbalancingmechanism.substack.com/p/its-not-ab...
unbalancingmechanism.substack.com/p/its-not-ab...
It's not about the oil even if it is about the oil
The USA will be unable to avoid occupying Venezuela if it is to achieve its stated objectives
unbalancingmechanism.substack.com
January 6, 2026 at 11:17 AM
"It is entirely possible that the US has not thought this far ahead, but if it has, it may regard this as a price worth paying for demonstrating that it demands the exclusive right to control resources in its near abroad.”
I agree and have some additional thoughts:
I agree and have some additional thoughts:
Reposted by Sabrina Fernandes
Considering that Guterres basically resorted to public statements and general appeals to humanitarian values when Israel began both the genocide in Gaza and the persecution of UN agencies, I'd say his leverage is pretty close to ZERO.
Several countries, including Mexico just now, have called for the Secretary General to use his good offices and mediate. Other Secretaries General have done this, but Guterres has not often leaned into his political mediation role, and it’s not clear how much leverage he has over the US
January 5, 2026 at 6:10 PM
Considering that Guterres basically resorted to public statements and general appeals to humanitarian values when Israel began both the genocide in Gaza and the persecution of UN agencies, I'd say his leverage is pretty close to ZERO.
Não foi rompido com o genocídio. Eu tenho artigos analisando como resoluções da ONU não valiam desde antes deles.
Então não precisa disso de "ai essa gente não percebe o que eu percebi". As pessoas sabem. Mas não impede de questionar e de se indignar com a normalização da imprensa.
Então não precisa disso de "ai essa gente não percebe o que eu percebi". As pessoas sabem. Mas não impede de questionar e de se indignar com a normalização da imprensa.
não tô conseguindo compreender:
qual a dificuldade dessa gente de perceber que o Direito Internacional já foi rompido no holocausto palestino?
qual a dificuldade de perceber que ICC e ONU não passam de entidades figurativa,atualmente?
qual a dificuldade dessa gente de perceber que o Direito Internacional já foi rompido no holocausto palestino?
qual a dificuldade de perceber que ICC e ONU não passam de entidades figurativa,atualmente?
A imprensa falando do julgamento do Maduro como se os Estados Unidos tivessem jurisdição global para inventar de investigar crimes, sequestrar os supostos réus, e julgar em uma corte local. Enquanto isso, EUA apoia quem realmente tem mandado de prisão ativo e legítimo do ICC: Netanyahu.
January 6, 2026 at 12:36 AM
Não foi rompido com o genocídio. Eu tenho artigos analisando como resoluções da ONU não valiam desde antes deles.
Então não precisa disso de "ai essa gente não percebe o que eu percebi". As pessoas sabem. Mas não impede de questionar e de se indignar com a normalização da imprensa.
Então não precisa disso de "ai essa gente não percebe o que eu percebi". As pessoas sabem. Mas não impede de questionar e de se indignar com a normalização da imprensa.
Considering that Guterres basically resorted to public statements and general appeals to humanitarian values when Israel began both the genocide in Gaza and the persecution of UN agencies, I'd say his leverage is pretty close to ZERO.
Several countries, including Mexico just now, have called for the Secretary General to use his good offices and mediate. Other Secretaries General have done this, but Guterres has not often leaned into his political mediation role, and it’s not clear how much leverage he has over the US
January 5, 2026 at 6:10 PM
Considering that Guterres basically resorted to public statements and general appeals to humanitarian values when Israel began both the genocide in Gaza and the persecution of UN agencies, I'd say his leverage is pretty close to ZERO.
We are told we need to give up our land, our water, our energy and our rights so that Big Tech, especially with the likes of Musk and Altman, gets to build massive enterprises and "intelligence" that will be used to harass women, sexualise children and weaponise online existence.
Genuinely find this upsetting to watch.
It’s the live and mass violation of women for daring to exist outside the narrow confines of a controlled and sexualised plaything for men
It’s the live and mass violation of women for daring to exist outside the narrow confines of a controlled and sexualised plaything for men
One example of how Grok is being used to target women. Swedish Deputy Prime Minister Ebba Busch being sexualised, degraded, and humiliated step-by-step by Grok. All the images accurately reflect the prompts provided.
January 5, 2026 at 6:00 PM
We are told we need to give up our land, our water, our energy and our rights so that Big Tech, especially with the likes of Musk and Altman, gets to build massive enterprises and "intelligence" that will be used to harass women, sexualise children and weaponise online existence.
Reposted by Sabrina Fernandes
It's wild that so many people believe that imperialism needs to be rational, coherent, and well-planned to count as imperialism. Imperialism is very much rooted in the idea that reason, coherence, and planning can be afterthoughts as much as power is concerned!
January 5, 2026 at 5:52 PM
It's wild that so many people believe that imperialism needs to be rational, coherent, and well-planned to count as imperialism. Imperialism is very much rooted in the idea that reason, coherence, and planning can be afterthoughts as much as power is concerned!
A imprensa falando do julgamento do Maduro como se os Estados Unidos tivessem jurisdição global para inventar de investigar crimes, sequestrar os supostos réus, e julgar em uma corte local. Enquanto isso, EUA apoia quem realmente tem mandado de prisão ativo e legítimo do ICC: Netanyahu.
January 5, 2026 at 5:16 PM
A imprensa falando do julgamento do Maduro como se os Estados Unidos tivessem jurisdição global para inventar de investigar crimes, sequestrar os supostos réus, e julgar em uma corte local. Enquanto isso, EUA apoia quem realmente tem mandado de prisão ativo e legítimo do ICC: Netanyahu.
Reposted by Sabrina Fernandes
Big Oil is not interested in just arriving there or regular FDI. Why risk build and upgrade infrastructure, move personnel and establish new networks if it can go up in shambles due to unrest or more bombs?
Oil wants to be de-risked by Trump, just like others played this card with Zelensky.
Oil wants to be de-risked by Trump, just like others played this card with Zelensky.
If you believe any bullshit about Venezuela’s oil quality, or press releases claiming oil companies aren’t interested in one of the largest oil reserves in the world, you’re a mark.
Oil companies say this to pressure governments into subsidizing their world-killing industry even more.
Oil companies say this to pressure governments into subsidizing their world-killing industry even more.
The fossil fuel companies are insisting they're not interested in increasing oil extraction in Venezuela but their investors / shareholders don't seem to believe them
January 5, 2026 at 11:29 AM
Big Oil is not interested in just arriving there or regular FDI. Why risk build and upgrade infrastructure, move personnel and establish new networks if it can go up in shambles due to unrest or more bombs?
Oil wants to be de-risked by Trump, just like others played this card with Zelensky.
Oil wants to be de-risked by Trump, just like others played this card with Zelensky.
Reposted by Sabrina Fernandes
The world is rightly outraged by the illegality of Trump’s invasion of Venezuela.
But an invasion motivated by converting the world’s largest oil reserves into CO₂ emissions is not just a crime against international law - it’s an unconscionable and sadistic assault against our entire planet.
But an invasion motivated by converting the world’s largest oil reserves into CO₂ emissions is not just a crime against international law - it’s an unconscionable and sadistic assault against our entire planet.
January 5, 2026 at 2:13 PM
The world is rightly outraged by the illegality of Trump’s invasion of Venezuela.
But an invasion motivated by converting the world’s largest oil reserves into CO₂ emissions is not just a crime against international law - it’s an unconscionable and sadistic assault against our entire planet.
But an invasion motivated by converting the world’s largest oil reserves into CO₂ emissions is not just a crime against international law - it’s an unconscionable and sadistic assault against our entire planet.
Meio assustador que diante da quantidade de upgrade que o Brasil tem pautado (e ainda precisa fazer) em sistema DEFENSIVO aéreo, o pessoal pule direto para "vamos fazer nossas próprias bombas nucleares!". É muito desconhecimento de tecnologia e estratégia militar e excesso de filme de Hollywood.
Ontem rolou a galera do”Eneas tava certo, a gente precisa de bomba atômica” e eu tenho certeza de que nosso programa nuclear secreto seria um sucesso. Especialmente nas mãos dos militares, que fizeram um plano pra matar o presidente eleito e IMPRIMIRAM NA IMPRESSORA DO PLANALTO.
January 5, 2026 at 4:00 PM
Meio assustador que diante da quantidade de upgrade que o Brasil tem pautado (e ainda precisa fazer) em sistema DEFENSIVO aéreo, o pessoal pule direto para "vamos fazer nossas próprias bombas nucleares!". É muito desconhecimento de tecnologia e estratégia militar e excesso de filme de Hollywood.
Reposted by Sabrina Fernandes
"US oil majors don’t necessarily want back into Venezuela’s declining and decrepit oil fields so much as they are eager to protect their interests in neighboring Guyana, home to one of the world’s most productive oil fields"
V good read here -->>>
V good read here -->>>
Something I see a lot of folks missing in discussions about what's happening Venezuela, particularly around oil, is the role U.S. oil majors' interest in Guyana—and the threat Venezuela posed to it—has in all of it. Explainer here: drilled.media/news/guyana-...
The U.S.-Venezuela-Guyana Oil Triangle
The U.S. interest in Venezuela isn’t just about the oil there, but also about the oil next door in Guyana, and the U.S. oil companies that have staked their future on it.
drilled.media
January 5, 2026 at 2:53 PM
"US oil majors don’t necessarily want back into Venezuela’s declining and decrepit oil fields so much as they are eager to protect their interests in neighboring Guyana, home to one of the world’s most productive oil fields"
V good read here -->>>
V good read here -->>>
Reposted by Sabrina Fernandes
The acute problem is not ppl like Fetterman - he's a conservative already. The problem is the 'progressive' politicians, who are supposed to offer a way out; their view seems more sophisticated, but it often boils down to the same rush of feeling: bad guys and good guys. It's infantile, and
At some point, the good people in the US American working class should really reckon with the truth that the 'good guys' narrative is weak even by fictional super hero movie standards, let alone history. I mean, the United States is the only country to have ever used atomic bombs for warfare.
Fetterman on Fox & Friends: "America is a force of good, order, and democracy. And we are promoting these kinds of values. We are the good guys."
January 5, 2026 at 2:56 PM
The acute problem is not ppl like Fetterman - he's a conservative already. The problem is the 'progressive' politicians, who are supposed to offer a way out; their view seems more sophisticated, but it often boils down to the same rush of feeling: bad guys and good guys. It's infantile, and
At some point, the good people in the US American working class should really reckon with the truth that the 'good guys' narrative is weak even by fictional super hero movie standards, let alone history. I mean, the United States is the only country to have ever used atomic bombs for warfare.
Fetterman on Fox & Friends: "America is a force of good, order, and democracy. And we are promoting these kinds of values. We are the good guys."
January 5, 2026 at 2:38 PM
At some point, the good people in the US American working class should really reckon with the truth that the 'good guys' narrative is weak even by fictional super hero movie standards, let alone history. I mean, the United States is the only country to have ever used atomic bombs for warfare.
A couple of months ago I gave an interview to the @the-breakdown.bsky.social where I mentioned the main weakness of a resource nationalist strategy in the Global South: believing that nationalising the resource is enough to prevent an imperialist grab. My example was Venezuela, precisely. +
January 5, 2026 at 2:09 PM
A couple of months ago I gave an interview to the @the-breakdown.bsky.social where I mentioned the main weakness of a resource nationalist strategy in the Global South: believing that nationalising the resource is enough to prevent an imperialist grab. My example was Venezuela, precisely. +
Big Oil is not interested in just arriving there or regular FDI. Why risk build and upgrade infrastructure, move personnel and establish new networks if it can go up in shambles due to unrest or more bombs?
Oil wants to be de-risked by Trump, just like others played this card with Zelensky.
Oil wants to be de-risked by Trump, just like others played this card with Zelensky.
If you believe any bullshit about Venezuela’s oil quality, or press releases claiming oil companies aren’t interested in one of the largest oil reserves in the world, you’re a mark.
Oil companies say this to pressure governments into subsidizing their world-killing industry even more.
Oil companies say this to pressure governments into subsidizing their world-killing industry even more.
The fossil fuel companies are insisting they're not interested in increasing oil extraction in Venezuela but their investors / shareholders don't seem to believe them
January 5, 2026 at 11:29 AM
Big Oil is not interested in just arriving there or regular FDI. Why risk build and upgrade infrastructure, move personnel and establish new networks if it can go up in shambles due to unrest or more bombs?
Oil wants to be de-risked by Trump, just like others played this card with Zelensky.
Oil wants to be de-risked by Trump, just like others played this card with Zelensky.
Reposted by Sabrina Fernandes
I cannot imagine what it's like being the person who sees bombs falling on civilians in a country and immediately goes 'omg gotta buy stonks'
January 5, 2026 at 11:20 AM
I cannot imagine what it's like being the person who sees bombs falling on civilians in a country and immediately goes 'omg gotta buy stonks'