Rob Cyran
@robcyran.bsky.social
3.7K followers 130 following 1.1K posts
More fox than hedgehog - financial columnist Reuters Breakingviews (healthcare, energy, some tech, climate risk)
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robcyran.bsky.social
Every time you see a story about global EV sales are slowing, makers are in trouble etc, check the global figures which consistently say differently.

Trust the data, not the narrative.
jrfhanger.bsky.social
Good morning with good news: “Global EV sales topped two million units in a single month for the first time, driven by record-breaking demand across major markets."

2.1 million EVs sold globally in September. Wow!

EV sales are up 26% in Jan-Sept 2025.
rhomotion.com/news/record-... #energysky
robcyran.bsky.social
Often wrong, never in doubt - impressive display here
Reposted by Rob Cyran
sailorrooscout.bsky.social
Well now, would you look at that?

A massive study of NEARLY 300,000 people in the United States found that receiving an updated 2024-2025 mRNA COVID-19 vaccine REDUCED people’s risk of severe disease AND death in ALL age groups, REGARDLESS of immunity from prior infection or vaccination.
robcyran.bsky.social
Seems like a sentiment check on the excitement around building data center infrastructure more than anything else.
robcyran.bsky.social
Yeah, this is the sort it statement that almost always raises more doubt than it quells and you don’t want to do this on a Sunday night
robcyran.bsky.social
Futures open in three minutes, LOL
carlquintanilla.bsky.social
* TRUMP: XI IS A SMART MAN AND A GREAT LEADER
robcyran.bsky.social
Source - this is really good by the way on US market crashes 1963 and earlier.
robcyran.bsky.social
Fisk enjoyed life for a while but turned out his mistress was sleeping with a young associate of his. The man blackmailed Fisk and got paid because Fisk didn’t want people knowing he was a cuckhold. He then stopped paying, social scandal ensued and blackmailer shot Fisk dead.
robcyran.bsky.social
A third partner of Gould and Fisk did not know the game that was being played. He did not have money to cover all the gold he bought, went bankrupt and later insane.
robcyran.bsky.social
Then a Euro bank syndicate emerged to crash the price. Gould was out by this point and all the people who had bought his metals were ruined, as were a lot of banks and brokerages. Gould shared some of his profit with Fisk, and they were not prosecuted because they had bought a number of judges
robcyran.bsky.social
He told his partner, Jim Fisk, to buy as much as he could the next day while he would sell. So Fisk’s underling loudly announced buys, the price rocketed and Gould sold on the sly. All the liquidity exited local banks and the stock market, and banks started failing.
robcyran.bsky.social
The Panic of 1869 seems oddly - relevant? Jay Gould tried to corner gold after convincing the White House to stop selling gold. Halfway through the president changed his mind. Gould knew he had hours to exit or be ruined and if he sold any the price would crash.
robcyran.bsky.social
Wonder how Tether’s plan to raise funds at a $500bn valuation are going?
robcyran.bsky.social
At the very least, a strategic stockpile of various rare earths - storage costs would be cheap, don’t need to worry about having domestic supply and subsidizing operating costs. And you don’t have the dirty processing.
robcyran.bsky.social
I don’t understand why the US lacks a large stockpile of rare earths. Much smaller volumes needed than oil, storage costs should be relatively cheap and refining is dirty so fine if it’s located elsewhere.
robcyran.bsky.social
Yeah consumer spending is the real engine of the US economy and always has been/always will be. One caveat though is higher decile income has become more important for consumer spending over time- so might get more of a wealth effect from a market crash this time.
robcyran.bsky.social
It’s probably a smallish impact on GDP but bigger on corporate earnings. In 2000 GDP hit was pretty minimal but S&P earnings fell 40% if I recall correctly.
robcyran.bsky.social
Sam using your 1bn parameter LLM for this problem is a crime
robcyran.bsky.social
Excellent paper title by the way, using Miese van der Rohe’s axiom. Any follow on paper should use fellow architect Loos’ over the top quote “ornament is crime!”
robcyran.bsky.social
Tiny recursive models seem really interesting and may cause a Wall Street AI freak out at some point. Speculative guess here, but looks like a limited tool for reducing noise in some clearly-defined problems caused by model overfitting. arxiv.org/html/2510.04...
Less is More: Recursive Reasoning with Tiny Networks
arxiv.org
robcyran.bsky.social
I was not aware that Argentine President Milei, has five cloned mastiffs (named after economists e.g. Lucas and Milton), and reportedly telepathically speaks to them, asking advice. All are clones of his first dog which he claimed to have met in a gladiator ring in Rome. time.com/6337474/javi...
time.com
robcyran.bsky.social
This whole article is amazing