Isaiah Bishop
@isaiahbishop.bsky.social
ML Eng. and econometrics. Lot more left-posting than normal. Some hobby-level finance
Regrettably degen trading for the next 3 months, im sorry
Views dont reflect my employer
Regrettably degen trading for the next 3 months, im sorry
Views dont reflect my employer
Youll never guess what everyone hates
We should do a charter revision commission that creates a social housing developer unbound by zoning law.
November 27, 2025 at 1:41 AM
Youll never guess what everyone hates
I had assumed Canadian thanksgiving was just a continuation of joint tradition but apparently its got separate and distinct lore
Thanksgiving (Canada) - Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org
November 26, 2025 at 11:37 PM
I had assumed Canadian thanksgiving was just a continuation of joint tradition but apparently its got separate and distinct lore
Gotta admit im team box
Which building looks better, the older ornamented box or the new one with upper floor stepbacks, massing breaks, and numerous facade colors?
November 26, 2025 at 11:12 PM
Gotta admit im team box
Reposted by Isaiah Bishop
Should also note that crypto has triggered a lot of positive innovation, like the BIS Nexus project, which may soon connect instant payment systems across remittance corridors. Remember that the world’s poor are currently paying an average 6.49% to simply move their money. It’s stupid and tragic.
Full endorsement of this take from an FX guy. Stablecoins are best thought of as derivatives on the dollar with massive embedded counterparty risk. I don't understand why the US policy establishment thinks these things will play a big role outside cross-border payments in developing countries.
So currencies. Much medium of exchange. Very store of value.
Stablecoins are no more a replacement for dollars than Mexican or Argentine pesos were a replacement for dollars in the 1980s or 1990s. They're the equivalent of a fixed exchange rate peg with ever-present credibility/reserves questions.
Stablecoins are no more a replacement for dollars than Mexican or Argentine pesos were a replacement for dollars in the 1980s or 1990s. They're the equivalent of a fixed exchange rate peg with ever-present credibility/reserves questions.
November 26, 2025 at 10:47 PM
Should also note that crypto has triggered a lot of positive innovation, like the BIS Nexus project, which may soon connect instant payment systems across remittance corridors. Remember that the world’s poor are currently paying an average 6.49% to simply move their money. It’s stupid and tragic.
Man harrison is nuts on jeopardy
November 26, 2025 at 10:59 PM
Man harrison is nuts on jeopardy
UK has left a massive opening in weird shows on the global stage
I think if Canada wants to have a strong cultural identity we need to go back to doing what we're best at, making the weirdest fucking TV shows you've ever seen
November 26, 2025 at 9:50 PM
UK has left a massive opening in weird shows on the global stage
Reposted by Isaiah Bishop
One more on this: the only prior time we avoided a recession with Beige Book layoff mentions this high was in the aftermath of the dotcom/9-11 recession. THAT SAID: this is a COINCIDENT indicator, with spikes coming *during* recessions. It's extraordinarily unlikely we are currently in a recession.
November 26, 2025 at 7:38 PM
One more on this: the only prior time we avoided a recession with Beige Book layoff mentions this high was in the aftermath of the dotcom/9-11 recession. THAT SAID: this is a COINCIDENT indicator, with spikes coming *during* recessions. It's extraordinarily unlikely we are currently in a recession.
they were offering celsius 5% on a billion dollar loan lmao
Tether lost money long before SBF. It’s well documented.
They lost $850 million when they (Tether and Bitfinex) handed over their cash to a shadow bank called Crypto Capital Corp and it was a huge deal back then because it was roughly 25% of their entire marketcap.
They lost $850 million when they (Tether and Bitfinex) handed over their cash to a shadow bank called Crypto Capital Corp and it was a huge deal back then because it was roughly 25% of their entire marketcap.
its pretty clear that the reason they are so weird about stuff is they definitely lost a lot of money on crypto schemes in the SBF era.
November 26, 2025 at 6:56 PM
they were offering celsius 5% on a billion dollar loan lmao
Reposted by Isaiah Bishop
Awful stuff
*HONG KONG LEADER SAYS 36 DEAD, 279 MISSING IN HIGH-RISE FIRE
*HONG KONG LEADER SAYS 36 DEAD, 279 MISSING IN HIGH-RISE FIRE
November 26, 2025 at 5:27 PM
Awful stuff
*HONG KONG LEADER SAYS 36 DEAD, 279 MISSING IN HIGH-RISE FIRE
*HONG KONG LEADER SAYS 36 DEAD, 279 MISSING IN HIGH-RISE FIRE
its pretty clear that the reason they are so weird about stuff is they definitely lost a lot of money on crypto schemes in the SBF era.
might just rival SBF for the biggest bag fumble of all time. I guess the thing about crypto is the way to make money is skimming from the true believer morons, but the people who end up running crypto "companies" are the same true believer morons
November 26, 2025 at 5:05 PM
its pretty clear that the reason they are so weird about stuff is they definitely lost a lot of money on crypto schemes in the SBF era.
Hey just mentioning this because im learning about someone's fuckup. But that thing about maggots eating rotten flesh? Only true for some of them, other ones will burrow
November 26, 2025 at 3:51 PM
Hey just mentioning this because im learning about someone's fuckup. But that thing about maggots eating rotten flesh? Only true for some of them, other ones will burrow
Reposted by Isaiah Bishop
I was today years old when I learned this was specific to Canada.
have lived in the US for 15 years and this is how I learned that “it’s a bit of a gong show” is a Canadian figure of speech
How A Campy 1970s Game Show Became Part Of Canada's National Lexicon | Defector
On tiny Hornby Island northwest of Vancouver, after the Women’s World Cup in the summer of 2015, our bed-and-breakfast host was telling us about the town. The pizza place in the park is terrific, he s...
defector.com
November 26, 2025 at 3:14 PM
I was today years old when I learned this was specific to Canada.
To some degree this is true.
But also AI agents make people who know software extremely valuable. Like we just had a massive test speedup from a senior dev, who just quickly used AI to discover we were using bad caching
But also AI agents make people who know software extremely valuable. Like we just had a massive test speedup from a senior dev, who just quickly used AI to discover we were using bad caching
November 26, 2025 at 2:23 PM
To some degree this is true.
But also AI agents make people who know software extremely valuable. Like we just had a massive test speedup from a senior dev, who just quickly used AI to discover we were using bad caching
But also AI agents make people who know software extremely valuable. Like we just had a massive test speedup from a senior dev, who just quickly used AI to discover we were using bad caching
I do think its pretty clear we had a massive hiring spree in covid, and companies have been managing headcount by restricting junior hires ever since rates started rising
The disconnect between a rising unemployment rate and low initial jobless claims is strange — have companies changed the way they manage headcount over the past 5 years?
November 26, 2025 at 2:16 PM
I do think its pretty clear we had a massive hiring spree in covid, and companies have been managing headcount by restricting junior hires ever since rates started rising
Reposted by Isaiah Bishop
My response to this Torsten Slok note that the correlation between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq Composite “has broken down in recent weeks” is to note that...no, that’s really not true
The 21-session correlation between IBIT and CCMP is closer to its highs of year than lows.
The 21-session correlation between IBIT and CCMP is closer to its highs of year than lows.
November 26, 2025 at 2:05 PM
My response to this Torsten Slok note that the correlation between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq Composite “has broken down in recent weeks” is to note that...no, that’s really not true
The 21-session correlation between IBIT and CCMP is closer to its highs of year than lows.
The 21-session correlation between IBIT and CCMP is closer to its highs of year than lows.
Reposted by Isaiah Bishop
Tame initial claims but continuing claims flirting with cycle highs. No hire, no fire labor market still with us
November 26, 2025 at 1:33 PM
Tame initial claims but continuing claims flirting with cycle highs. No hire, no fire labor market still with us
I dont know why the UK produces these gimmicks but they are clearly the best at it
REEVES: WALES TO HOST TWO AI GROWTH ZONES
November 26, 2025 at 12:59 PM
I dont know why the UK produces these gimmicks but they are clearly the best at it
Australia been on a bit of a tear, been wild to see
Notable: both the RBA and RBNZ appear to be done with this easing cycle. Aussie construction numbers last night showed broad strength outside of mining with further acceleration in CPI as well. Meanwhile NZD ripped after the RBNZ signaled their cycle of cuts may be over as well.
November 26, 2025 at 12:53 PM
Australia been on a bit of a tear, been wild to see
Reposted by Isaiah Bishop
This is kicking around. The column headers on the far right are the percent changes since 2024 & 2023.
The report is from June 10 2025.
The whole thing is here w/ a lot more data and graphs:
www.ipsos.com/en-us/ipsos-...
The report is from June 10 2025.
The whole thing is here w/ a lot more data and graphs:
www.ipsos.com/en-us/ipsos-...
November 26, 2025 at 3:45 AM
This is kicking around. The column headers on the far right are the percent changes since 2024 & 2023.
The report is from June 10 2025.
The whole thing is here w/ a lot more data and graphs:
www.ipsos.com/en-us/ipsos-...
The report is from June 10 2025.
The whole thing is here w/ a lot more data and graphs:
www.ipsos.com/en-us/ipsos-...
Reposted by Isaiah Bishop
i would probably worry about the population they are sampling from in south africa if i were to try to compare the results in south africa with the united states
November 26, 2025 at 1:48 AM
i would probably worry about the population they are sampling from in south africa if i were to try to compare the results in south africa with the united states
You have to update your priors on italians views on LGBTQ+ issues. its pretty wild out there
When you're a net negative on an issue that Italy (!!!) is +34 on (!!!!!!!)
November 26, 2025 at 1:33 AM
You have to update your priors on italians views on LGBTQ+ issues. its pretty wild out there
the Ipsos Pride survey is genuinely an awesome product, but jesus the difference in the UK/US on trans issues is nuts
November 26, 2025 at 1:26 AM
the Ipsos Pride survey is genuinely an awesome product, but jesus the difference in the UK/US on trans issues is nuts
I went into to check the stats on this and there is some really interesting stuff happening globally
November 26, 2025 at 12:48 AM
I went into to check the stats on this and there is some really interesting stuff happening globally
Look the bar is in hell. But i remain extremely proud of having a normal PM who is happy to walk in pride parades, support gay stuff, and be filmed with drag queens
Beautiful and Incredible things are happening in Montreal, Canada
November 26, 2025 at 12:25 AM
Look the bar is in hell. But i remain extremely proud of having a normal PM who is happy to walk in pride parades, support gay stuff, and be filmed with drag queens
famously there was actually a bunch of unlawful orders on dday with regard to prisoners btw
this is their understanding of sedition in the context of lawful/unlawful orders
November 26, 2025 at 12:08 AM
famously there was actually a bunch of unlawful orders on dday with regard to prisoners btw