Joe Phillips
@polpsychjoe.bsky.social
6.6K followers 6K following 290 posts
Lecturer in Politics, Cardiff University. Political Psychology. Polarization. Political Communication.
Posts Media Videos Starter Packs
Pinned
polpsychjoe.bsky.social
Hello new followers! For those I don't know yet, let me introduce myself:

- I'm an American working at Cardiff University
- My work focuses on animosity between political groups, misinformation, and support for democratic norms.
- I tend to be much more of a doomer than my empirical results warrant
Reposted by Joe Phillips
victorerikray.bsky.social
I fear that schools being willing to drop diversity programs without a fight shows how flimsy their commitment to inclusion was in the first place. People fight for things they truly believe in.
Victor Ray, a sociology professor at the University of Iowa who studies race, said in an email that OSU’s decision to interpret federal guidance in this way “reflects the real pressure universities face as the Trump administration and Republican legislators attack higher education.”

But, Ray added, it may also be exposing the true colors of many universities that were broadcasting their commitments to diversity, equity and inclusion when it was politically expedient to do so just a few years ago.

“The swiftness with which these organizations have complied with legally dubious orders shows that their commitments to diversity were often paper-thin before this administration’s pressure,” he said. “In many cases, administrators with existing qualms about diversity, perhaps going too far, now have political cover to take anti-equitable actions.”
Reposted by Joe Phillips
bjpols.bsky.social
#OpenAccess from our new issue -

Compensation and Tax Fairness: Evidence From Four Countries - cup.org/4hkmTt6

- @m-alvarado.bsky.social
British Journal of Political Science Alvarado abstract image
Reposted by Joe Phillips
benansell.bsky.social
Hope the university compact goes a similar way
brianstelter.bsky.social
Reps for CNN, Reuters, The AP, The New York Times, The Washington Post, The Atlantic and NPR all say that journalists from their newsrooms are not signing the new paperwork about Pentagon access. Newsmax says it doesn't intend to sign, either — a potentially significant sign of MAGA dissension.
Reposted by Joe Phillips
bjpols.bsky.social
NEW -

The Electoral Implications of Legislative Candidate Selection Democratization - cup.org/42DKhwW

- @jmfernandes86.bsky.social, @ayakter.bsky.social, Yael Shomer & Gert-Jan Put

#OpenAccess
BJPolS abstract of a scholarly article discussing the impact of political party strategies on democracy and voter sentiment, emphasizing the need for transparency and legitimacy. The article argues against payoff elections, advocating for a more principled approach to improving democratic processes.
Reposted by Joe Phillips
mbeisen.bsky.social
Finally, someone has solved a real problem with AI! No more having to take a paper in the format for a journal that rejected you, and reformat it for a new journal. Well done!! formatmypaper.com
Reposted by Joe Phillips
polstudies.bsky.social
Populist Democrats - Andrej Zaslove & @mauritsmeijers.bsky.social unpack the relationship between populist & democratic attitudes at the citizen level. Read OPEN ACCESS: buff.ly/TyaCtnX

#PSHighlyViewed 1/10

@polstudiesassoc.bsky.social @sagepub.com @uoypolitics.bsky.social #polsky #polsci
Reposted by Joe Phillips
karl-jacoby.bsky.social
Student government leaders of MIT, UVA, U of AZ, Dartmouth, UPenn, Brown, and Vanderbilt united in their opposition to the "compact" proposed by the Trump administration.
Reposted by Joe Phillips
polanalysis.bsky.social
Currently in FirstView: In “Balancing Precision and Retention in Experimental Design,” @gustavodiaz.org and Erin Rossiter study how experimental design choices can increase precision when estimating treatment effects. Specifically, they examine block-randomized and pre-post designs.
Reposted by Joe Phillips
mcopelov.bsky.social
Is it true that debt is "soaring" & "crushing"? (educationdata.org/student-loan...)

Is it true that "degrees" "don't yield jobs"? (bsky.app/profile/mcop...)

Don't. Print. Lies. In. The. Newspapers (Or. The. Magazines).
Reposted by Joe Phillips
catherinedevries.bsky.social
Every academic career is built on rejection, but we don’t show it.

CVs list publications, grants & awards, not rejected manuscripts, unfunded proposals, or failures.

But those invisible rejections shape us more than our successes ever do.

👉 catherineeunicedevries.substack.com/p/fail-bette...

🧵
Fail Better: Why Your Rejections Will Shape You More Than Your Publications
The Art of Learning from Rejection
catherineeunicedevries.substack.com
Reposted by Joe Phillips
poqjournal.bsky.social
How does proximity to injustice affect Native American political behavior?

In POQ, Sanchez & Foxworth examined Native American political behavior in the 2020 presidential election. They found that proximity was a strong mobilizing factor.

Read more: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...
Reposted by Joe Phillips
jayvanbavel.bsky.social
Do people lie to benefit the in-group and harm the out-group?

In a new paper, we found that people lied 9% more to help in-group members than out-group members! This is evidence of coalitional dishonesty

Democrats & Republicans both lied anonymously to double in-group members earnings (N=5,230)
Reposted by Joe Phillips
dcinbox.bsky.social
Today is National Farmers Day and here's a state heatmap of who most mentions "farm" per members of congress in their state delegation in official congressional e-newsletters over the last 15 years:
Reposted by Joe Phillips
aleferna.bsky.social
Ever struggle to explain why your research is relevant? Sometimes the data just does it for you! 👇

Has anyone seen a more dramatic poll discrepancy than this one from Spain nationwide polling? CIS has PSOE +9.0pp, while NCReport has PP +9.4pp *over the exact same fieldwork*! 🤯😅
Reposted by Joe Phillips
turnbulldugarte.com
The Spanish centre-right is taking a tumble and the far-right is on the rise.

I was lucky enough to present some new causal work on Friday at LSE showing that the PP does better when it signals distinctiveness from VOX.

~1.5K tests, same result. Rejecting far-right benefits centre-right
Reposted by Joe Phillips
danbischof.bsky.social
I would be surprised if that pattern wouldn't hold outside the US. Nevertheless would love to see comparative work on this:
leedrutman.bsky.social
New study finds Democrats represent public opinion better than Republicans: "the quality of statehouse democracy, here meaning the dynamic relationship between opinion and policy, is substantially weakened by Republican Party control of state government."

www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10....
Reposted by Joe Phillips
leedrutman.bsky.social
New study finds Democrats represent public opinion better than Republicans: "the quality of statehouse democracy, here meaning the dynamic relationship between opinion and policy, is substantially weakened by Republican Party control of state government."

www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10....
Reposted by Joe Phillips
dmk1793.bsky.social
This is such a good article btw - I really buy this as a theory of contemporary US politics
Reposted by Joe Phillips
turnbulldugarte.com
The results are clear across both countries: Europeans reject tariffs over other protectionist measures

It doesn’t matter if they’re framed as -
• protection for domestic producers
• funding for green policies 🌱
• retaliation against other nations 🇺🇸
Reposted by Joe Phillips
markmcgeoghegan.bsky.social
Analysis in @thetimes.com by @leaskyd.bsky.social & Anna Dowell of the sharp decline in British identity uncovered by the Scottish Social Attitudes survey.

With comment from Sir John Curtice on the polarising of Scottish politics and from myself on the decoupling of Scottish and British identities:
Why Scots are losing their British identity
With only a quarter of respondents to the Scottish Social Attitudes survey identifying with Britishness, Scotland faces a generational political split
www.thetimes.com
Reposted by Joe Phillips
wegschaider.bsky.social
🚨 New Working Paper with R.Bauböck + @sumpierrez.bsky.social

We introduce the concept of incongruent suffrage.

This describes when there are voting rights but no candidacy rights for a group. Or vice versa.

The paper includes descriptive data & exploratory case studies.

doi.org/10.33774/aps...
Title: Incongruent Suffrage
Authors: Klaudia Wegschaider, Rainer Bauböck, Sebastián Umpierrez de Reguero
Abstract: Candidacy rights and voting rights are not always congruent. Although voting rights are extensively studied, historical and contemporary incongruencies in suffrage have been widely overlooked. We propose a typology of suffrage incongruency that we apply to the enfranchisement of non-citizen residents and non-resident citizens—two categories recently at the center of enfranchisement scholarship and reform efforts. Using an original dataset that covers 165 countries and 61 years (1960-2020), we identify past and present voting-only incongruencies and candidacy-only incongruencies. Existing theories of suffrage extension focus on the voteshare maximizing logic of incumbents. However, these explanations cannot account for why only one part of suffrage is extended. With two exploratory case studies of Switzerland and the United Kingdom, we inductively arrive at potential explanations for why voting-only and candidacy-only incongruencies arise and resolve in democracies. We conclude with a research agenda on the causes and consequences of suffrage incongruencies.
Reposted by Joe Phillips
bjpols.bsky.social
NEW -

Inflation and Incumbent Support: Experimental Evidence from the 2024 US Presidential Election - https://cup.org/3JaiZYj

"priming Americans to think about inflation reduced support for the incumbent party"

- Selim Erdem Aytaç, @danielmcdowell.bsky.social & David A. Steinberg

#OpenAccess
BJPolS abstract discussing the influence of high inflation on recent elections, voting behavior, and potential impacts on different political parties in the United States.
Reposted by Joe Phillips
matti.vuorre.com
This is really nice.

But at the same time it is sad that a separate journal for replications is needed. Replications are not a different kind of thing but instead a foundational aspect of normal run of the mill science biz. We should not reinforce the idea that they should be treated differently.
aufdroeseler.bsky.social
ReplicationResearch.org is now open for submissions!

Submit replications and reproductions from many different fields, as well as conceptual contributions. With diamond OA, open and citable peer review reports, and reproducibility checks, we push the boundaries of open and fair publishing.
Reposted by Joe Phillips
whotargets.me
A few notes on recent UK political ad spending:
- Tory spend is high post-conference (i.e. over the last week), but lower than through the late summer
- Reform spending has dropped off after a busy summer
- Labour has YouTube to itself
- Labour spends nearly 2x more than others