steve the skeptic
@policyskeptic.bsky.social
910 followers 900 following 1.7K posts
government policy, health policy, evidence, statistics and sometimes other topics
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Reposted by steve the skeptic
leithmotive.bsky.social
Just bizarre not only that they're dismantling the most fundamental parts of the state infrastructure necessary for civilisation, healthcare is usually the first thing built and the last destroyed, but that nobody is capable of stopping them.
sherylnyt.bsky.social
BREAKING: Friday night massacre underway at CDC. Doznes of "disease detectives," high-level scientists, entire Washington staff and editors of the MMWR (Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report) have all been RIFed and received the following notice:
Reposted by steve the skeptic
timleunig.bsky.social
Outstanding from @jburnmurdoch.ft.com - the best way to get a job is to get a degree. You will almost almost always earn more as well.
benansell.bsky.social
Really interesting article from @jburnmurdoch.ft.com but especially intriguing to me is the number of comments below that are essentially 'OK the data don't agree with my hunch but here's an unrelated statement that proves that I'm right about AI, the death of higher education, etc'
What the graduate unemployment story gets wrong
People with a degree are faring better, not worse than their non-graduate counterparts
www.ft.com
Reposted by steve the skeptic
policyskeptic.bsky.social
Which of these maps describing UK election results works better?
Would representing vote share using circles be an improvement?
policyskeptic.bsky.social
But this map will have required a huge amount of fine tuning to avoid problems of occlusion and for It to be readable at all. But, I admit, it isn't terrible (though far better because of the sparse distribution of what is being plotted).
policyskeptic.bsky.social
The question should not be whether readers "like" them, it should be whether they interpret them correctly. The consequences of error are large eg Trump's assertion that the county-level map of the presidential vote was all red as though the US votes by land area not population.
policyskeptic.bsky.social
Or, of you want to emphasise geographic trends or differences, colour coding of a cartogram is superior.
policyskeptic.bsky.social
Hence why many experts prefer cartograms which equalise areas while retain some geographic relationships. Eg when showing election results. But, if you want to show comparative results reliably a table is better...
policyskeptic.bsky.social
But, if the goal is to compare quantities across geographic regions, maps are a bad way to start. Small geographic areas will be overwhelmed by large ones, for example...
policyskeptic.bsky.social
Showing absolute quantities on a map is fraught with difficulties. There are usually far better alternatives (eg superimposing bar charts rather than areas)...
policyskeptic.bsky.social
or, better, never use area as the way to visualise comparative quantities (outside of the rare #dataviz types where area comparison is utterly unambiguous like tree charts)
Reposted by steve the skeptic
alisonfisk.bsky.social
The Royal Game of Ur is the world’s oldest playable boardgame!

Played by Sumerians in ancient Mesopotamia about 4,500 years ago!

It is a two-player race game, the rules of which have been deciphered from a cuneiform tablet.

Game from the Royal Cemetery of Ur. 📷 British Museum

#Archaeology
British Museum photo showing a two-player board game with gaming counters known as the Royal Game of Ur. Dated c. 2,500 BC.

The game board is composed of a hollow box made of wood adorned with shell plaques. There is a drawer at one end for storing game pieces and dice. The top of the board is covered with twenty square-shaped off-white shell plaques, each bordered with dark-blue lapis lazuli. The shell squares are intricately decorated with blue inlaid patterns including dots inside circles and eye-shapes. Five squares are inlaid with flower-shaped rosettes with red limestone and blue lapis lazuli petals.

The game board is roughly rectangular in shape. Viewed from above in the photo, on the  left side of the board is a block of 12 squares made up of 4 across by 3 down. On the right side of the board is a block of 6 squares made up of 2 across by 3 down. The two blocks are joined by two squares extending between the second square down on the end row of the left block and the second square down on the first row of the second block.  

Dimensions H: 2.40 cm,  L: 30.10 cm, W: 11 cm, (W 5.70 cm at narrowest part)

Beneath the board are 14 disc-shaped gaming counters. On the left are 7 white pieces, inlaid with 5 spots of blue lapis lazuli. On the right are 7 black pieces inlaid with five white spots.

Between the game pieces are three tetrahedron-shaped dice. L to R: Dark blue, brown, cream.
Reposted by steve the skeptic
invalid-handle.com
Latest news from the circular economy ♻️
techpriest.bsky.social
"So SoftBank is going to borrow billions of dollars on margin using ARM shares as collateral to invest in the unprofitable and unlisted OpenAI, whilst Nvidia is going to lend OpenAI billions to buy Nvidia's own chips, whilst AMD will sell OpenAI billions worth of chips in exchange for AMD shares..."
policyskeptic.bsky.social
The constant surprise to me is how much useful land is strongly protected. No wonder housing is so expensive. It is hard to build anywhere where people want or need to live.
policyskeptic.bsky.social
But it is clear that the push for online tools has ignored the difference between good and bad tools and the need for GPs to change how they work to exploit the potential benefits of online total triage.
policyskeptic.bsky.social
Implementation and bad online tools are the problem. It is unclear whether Streeting's goal of keeping online access open contradicts the goals of total triage...
policyskeptic.bsky.social
Consistent total triage systems, implemented well, provide the safeguards needed to retain safe operation (and are more safe than traditional phone-based approaches). But, in practice the landscape is a clusterfuck of bad tools and bad implementation...
policyskeptic.bsky.social
So the majority of practices ended up with bad tools and the majority of who used even the good tools did not change the process they used to handle patient requests, nullifying their potential benefits...
policyskeptic.bsky.social
But the guidance failed to differentiate between online tools that worked well or badly and failed to recognise that how GP practices changed their process mattered even more than installing an online tool...
policyskeptic.bsky.social
The original NHSE guidance promoted the use of Total Triage NOT direct access to booking appointment slots (which is a terrible idea and defeats the point of triage)...
policyskeptic.bsky.social
There is a subtle issue with this complaint that hints at the real problem. It says "the system" lacks appropriate safeguards.

But there isn't one online system: there are dozens and many are badly designed garbage...
Reposted by steve the skeptic
medialib.bsky.social
Power creates reality.
#FightFakeFacts
brexitbin.bsky.social
Here's Timothy Snyder on why Trump tells so many lies.

[SOUND ON 🔊]