Ted Knutson
mixedknuts.bsky.social
Ted Knutson
@mixedknuts.bsky.social
Founder, StatsBomb, Variance Incorporated.
@thetransferflow

Daily Rumours newsletter https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe
Frmr: Brentford FC, Pinnacle, SB
Reposted by Ted Knutson
It brings me no pleasure to report that the Ohio State-Michigan head referee is Kon Knueppel’s uncle Kole Knueppel
It truly brings me no pleasure to inform you that Kon Knueppel’s brothers are named Kager, Kinston, Kash, and Kid
November 29, 2025 at 5:48 PM
@kimischilling.bsky.social your hit rate in FPL this season is kinda freaky
November 29, 2025 at 7:16 PM
Reposted by Ted Knutson
WE NEED YOUR HELP!

Do you have any questions you want @patrickbvs.bsky.social
and @mixedknuts.bsky.social to dig into on our next Patreon episode? Drop them in the replies below and we’ll pick the best ones to answer.

New episode every week, get access here: www.patreon.com/c/TheTransfe...
The Transfer Flow | Patreon
www.patreon.com
November 29, 2025 at 5:40 PM
The Premier League has turned into the Championship this season and it is kind of glorious.
November 29, 2025 at 4:39 PM
Doing Variance Betting analysis for the weekend and uh... this is remarkable on Chelsea and Man City.
November 28, 2025 at 2:38 PM
Reposted by Ted Knutson
if you steal a cell phone or wallet in paris they kick you out of the french thieve's guild for insufficient whimsy
November 27, 2025 at 9:45 PM
Reposted by Ted Knutson
Ouch. This one hurts.
We are now further away from the theatrical release of Raiders of the Lost Ark (June 12, 1981) than it was from the year it takes place in (1936). We have reached the Indiana Jones event horizon.
November 28, 2025 at 12:57 AM
Gambling weekend looked like Arsenal.

Gambling midweek looked like Liverpool.
November 27, 2025 at 10:14 AM
Reposted by Ted Knutson
Can confirm this is true
November 25, 2025 at 11:31 PM
Past me made StatsBomb data available for free to all women's clubs in the major leagues.

Which future me was very happy about (but also slightly confused), because our analysts were using SB vis, and I knew we didn't have a contract! 🤣
November 26, 2025 at 11:03 AM
Gambling update: Last night was a CL bloodbath.

(We are honest about our wins AND losses.)
November 26, 2025 at 7:05 AM
Reposted by Ted Knutson
I wrote 4000 words about Nuzzi/Lizza/RFK, please read it before it gets taken down by HR
The Olivia Nuzzi and RFK Jr. Affair Is Messier Than We Ever Could Have Imagined
Inside the most important, and also least important, story of our time
www.theringer.com
November 25, 2025 at 5:48 PM
I regret to inform you that I have given up on all basic pitch apple tarts in Montpellier. They look amazing, but none of them has the goods when it comes to flavour.

And still, we endure...
November 25, 2025 at 8:40 AM
Reposted by Ted Knutson
+4 (4 wins, 0 losses) in the English Premier League
+3.5 in the Championship.

The Variance Betting streak is back with a vengeance.
November 22, 2025 at 5:12 PM
+4 (4 wins, 0 losses) in the English Premier League
+3.5 in the Championship.

The Variance Betting streak is back with a vengeance.
November 22, 2025 at 5:12 PM
Reposted by Ted Knutson
Good old Woz. Good for him.
November 21, 2025 at 8:06 PM
3 emails today saying ALL of the lines on the bets I mention in my Variance Betting newsletter had moved at least 10 cents this afternoon.

That's fascinating... AND had nothing to do with me.

Very interesting market dynamics happening to keep an eye on.
November 21, 2025 at 3:10 PM
Reposted by Ted Knutson
A lot of fun talking to Patrick about players that I adore
New podcast! @patrickbvs.bsky.social and @hvanbrewer.bsky.social rank their top 10 midfielders in world football.

Please come yell at us about underrating your team's best player and overrating your rival's.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=rSpG...
Ranking the 10 Best Midfielders in World Football | Ep. 142
YouTube video by The Transfer Flow
www.youtube.com
November 20, 2025 at 8:02 PM
*wakes up*

*peruses feed*

Ohhhh, it's Ashes season. In Australia. This will be non-stop moaning and heartbreak for England cricket nerds for a month.

Yay?
November 21, 2025 at 8:58 AM
Reposted by Ted Knutson
My keen knowledge of statistics tells me these feet are merely suffering from survivorship bias.
November 20, 2025 at 9:59 AM
Reposted by Ted Knutson
squirrel: *points gun*
me: what do you want me to do?
squirrel: *gestures at sign*
me: alright, i get it *opens book drop*
squirrel: *makes hurry-up motion*
me: NOT A SQUIRREL!
squirrel: *disappears into book drop*
me: *whispers* forgive me, keith
November 19, 2025 at 1:41 PM
Reposted by Ted Knutson
in which I tell a story about how stupid and bad at driving I was in college for some reason
Bournemouth wanted everyone to know Antoine Semenyo has a £65m release clause because they want someone to pay it.

We don't think anyone's going to pay it.

www.thetransferflow.com/p/is-anyone-...
Is anyone buying Antoine Semenyo at a £65m price tag?
Bournemouth are trying to sell at the top of the market.
www.thetransferflow.com
November 19, 2025 at 2:44 PM
Antoine Semenyo, Bournemouth 24-25 vs 25-26.

Hrm...
November 19, 2025 at 11:18 AM
Reposted by Ted Knutson
Hello Keith this is your lawyer speaking. I am advising you today to please keep posting this shit
Btw about this from Lizza's reply: Olivia and I lived together for 4+ years (4 b'days, 4 Xmases, 4 anniversaries). That's like $1250 of jewelry per celebration. And her apartment was a writing studio. And I made an f-ton then. What was I supposed to do? Get her a lot of Gift Certificates from Kmart?
November 18, 2025 at 1:51 PM