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kenrice.bsky.social
Ken Rice
@kenrice.bsky.social
2.7K followers 820 following 260 posts
Interested in #scicomm, in particular about astronomy and climate change. Professor of Computational Astrophysics and Head of Institute for Astronomy, Univ. of Edinburgh. Views own, of course.
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kenrice.bsky.social
Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · 15h
Indeed, which is why I think it's useful to highlight this pattern.
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Reposted by Ken Rice
micefearboggis.bsky.social
John Kennedy @micefearboggis.bsky.social · 1d
D and A and I and H

diagrammonkey.wordpress.com/2025/10/11/d...
D and A and I and H
Detection and attribution is back in the news for all the wrong reasons. Pielke Junior is once again pushing the line that anyone wanting to say anything about extreme weather has to prove all over…
diagrammonkey.wordpress.com
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Reposted by Ken Rice
climateofgavin.bsky.social
Gavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · 3d
I discussed the issues a couple of years ago @realclimate.org www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
and the latest barrage of op-eds adds nothing to their argument.
RealClimate: Watching the detections
RealClimate: The detection and attribution of climate change are based on fundamentally different statistical frameworks and shouldn't be conflated.
www.realclimate.org
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kenrice.bsky.social
Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · 2d
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climateofgavin.bsky.social
Gavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · 3d
This is a good corrective to the BS narrative flowing through the Pielke/AEI/NYP/EID/DOE nexus. Their argument is designed so that we can never ever attribute extreme events to emissions - even singular events that would have *never* [for some suitable finite approximation] have happened before.
chelseaeharvey.bsky.social
Chelsea Harvey @chelseaeharvey.bsky.social · 3d
Today from @lesleyclark.bsky.social and @saraschonhardt.bsky.social + contribs from me:

www.eenews.net/articles/cli...
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kenrice.bsky.social
Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · 2d
😂
dougmcneall.bsky.social
Doug McNeall @dougmcneall.bsky.social · 2d
Pretty good sign that the work is both impactful and effectively communicated.
kenrice.bsky.social
Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · 3d
www.eenews.net/articles/cli...
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kenrice.bsky.social
Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · 2d
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philippmarkolin.bsky.social
Philipp Markolin, PhD @philippmarkolin.bsky.social · 2d
Pielke… Ridley… lab leak fanatics and climate deniers that attack ordinary scientists are often the same players.

Imagine the media would, instead of framing the science or scientists as the problem, rather wake up to the same old anti-science actors, tactics and agendas.
kenrice.bsky.social
Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · 3d
www.eenews.net/articles/cli...
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kenrice.bsky.social
Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · 3d
www.eenews.net/articles/cli...
Climate critics try to discredit IPCC author for linking disasters to global warming
Roger Pielke Jr. and oil industry supporters are attacking climate scientist Friederike Otto, whose work has been used in lawsuits against polluters.
www.eenews.net
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Reposted by Ken Rice
bobkopp.net
Bob Kopp @bobkopp.net · 4d
Koonin spending an entire WSJ column criticizing @nationalacademies.org’s report for not being a review of his DOE climate contrarian report when (1) to my knowledge, the Academies have never reviewed a gov’t report without being asked (though such an independent review, or comparable, is necessary…
Opinion | Another Tale of Climate Change Bias
The government should stop funding the National Academies’ climate studies until they shed the political conformity.
www.wsj.com
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kenrice.bsky.social
Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · 8d
andthentheresphysics.wordpress.com/2025/10/04/e...
Emergence vs Detection & Attribution
Since effective communication often involves repeating things, I thought I would repeat what others have pointed out already. The underlying issue is that there is a narrative in the climate skepto…
andthentheresphysics.wordpress.com
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Reposted by Ken Rice
andrewdessler.com
Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 10d
My latest on The Climate Brink:

Is this the most embarrassing error in the DOE Climate Working Group Report?

The DOE CWG authors confuse detection and attribution with emergence.
Is this the most embarrassing error in the DOE Climate Working Group Report?
mistaking detection for emergence
www.theclimatebrink.com
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Reposted by Ken Rice
hausfath.bsky.social
Zeke Hausfather @hausfath.bsky.social · 14d
Last week the German Meteorological Society warned that "the 3-degree limit could be exceeded as early as 2050".

While not possible to fully rule out, the assessed warming scenarios we published in the IPCC AR6 report find this to be extremely unlikely.
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Reposted by Ken Rice
eucliduk.bsky.social
Euclid UK @eucliduk.bsky.social · 15d
Its Doors Open Days at @uni-of-edinburgh.bsky.social!

All weekend, find Euclideans at the Royal Observatory Edinburgh and learn more about how the #Euclid mission will transform our understanding of the Dark Universe. 🌀🔭🌌 #ROEopen
A small crowd of people, including members of the public and University of Edinburgh scientists, chatting and standing around the Euclid pop up exhibition. This includes a large display of Euclid’s first mosaic, containing lots of stars and galaxies, in the background against the wall. On the right side of the room is a small model of the Euclid spacecraft, as well as tabletop activities. A small crowd of people, including members of the public and University of Edinburgh scientists, chatting and standing around the Euclid pop up exhibition. This includes a large display of Euclid’s first mosaic, containing lots of stars and galaxies, in the background against the wall on the left. On the right side of the room on the background is a large interactive gravitational lensing display on the projector wall.
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Reposted by Ken Rice
markgbeckett.bsky.social
George Beckett @markgbeckett.bsky.social · 14d
All set for @lsstuk.bsky.social at #DoorsOpenDay #ROEOpen #lsst
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kenrice.bsky.social
Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · 14d
RealClimate: “But you said the ice was going to disappear in 10 years!” www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: “But you said the ice was going to disappear in 10 years!”
RealClimate: Almost two decades ago, some scientists predicted that Arctic summer sea ice would 'soon' disappear. These predictions were mentioned by Al Gore and got a lot of press. However, they did ...
www.realclimate.org
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kenrice.bsky.social
Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · 15d
RealClimate: Time and Tide Gauges wait for no Voortman www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: Time and Tide Gauges wait for no Voortman
RealClimate: Here we go again. An obscure, methodologically poor, paper published with little to no review makes a convenient point and gets elevated into supposedly 'blockbusting' science by the merc...
www.realclimate.org
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kenrice.bsky.social
Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · 19d
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stottpeter.bsky.social
Peter Stott @stottpeter.bsky.social · 19d
The people I work with are not stupid people and our climate predictions of 30 years ago of global warming have proved to be accurate. Just saying. www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/cp...
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kenrice.bsky.social
Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · 21d
www.theguardian.com/news/ng-inte...
The US right claimed free speech was sacred – until the Charlie Kirk killing
Rightwingers had long complained of a censorious leftwing ‘cancel culture’ but seem happy to now reframe that as ‘consequence culture’
www.theguardian.com
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kenrice.bsky.social
Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · 22d
I'm not quite sure what you're suggesting then. I don't think anyone argues that energy balance estimates aren't useful. It's mostly a suggestion that Nic Lewis has tended to be over-confident about his analyses and that - as many have suggested - these estimates have tended to be biased low.
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kenrice.bsky.social
Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · 22d
But it's not just uniform vs Jeffreys. There are other priors and there are other ways to estimate ECS. As Andrew points out, if your method suggest a good chance of the ECS being < 2K, then there's probably an issue with the method, or it's at least worth considering this.
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kenrice.bsky.social
Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · 23d
Credit to @atomskssanakan.bsky.social for providing the data.
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Reposted by Ken Rice
andrewdessler.com
Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 24d
New from me on The Climate Brink: The Cartoon Villain's Guide to Killing Climate Action
www.theclimatebrink....
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Reposted by Ken Rice
climateball.net
Willard @climateball.net · 25d
@kenrice.bsky.social traces the trend of the limits of justified disingenuousness

andthentheresphysics.wordpress.com/2025/08/30/c...
chart showing how Nic Lewis tends to increase bit by bit the median climate sensitivity
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kenrice.bsky.social
Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · 26d
The evidence is public. Martz thinks that "most of the warming could be natural" 🤦. (This isn't a surprise, of course).
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Reposted by Ken Rice
eso.org
ESO @eso.org · 27d
1/ A rising telescope under a rising Sun and Moon! 🔭☀️🌕

This montage is a kaleidoscope of moments from the construction of our Extremely Large Telescope.

Creating this #ELT collage took Boris Häußler, an ESO astronomer in Chile, years of meticulous planning.
The image shows seven hexagonal images put together like a flower. All the images show the Extremely Large Telescope (ELT) in front of an orange sun or moon rise. All the hexagons are dated and show the ELT assembly at the specific date.
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kenrice.bsky.social
Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · 27d
I used to think that climate change was a somewhat unique example of a topic that was challenging to discuss publicly. The last few years have made me realise that it's not just climate change; we seem incapable of having nuanced discussions about any complex/contentious topic.
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