Ken Rice
@kenrice.bsky.social
Interested in #scicomm, in particular about astronomy and climate change. Professor of Computational Astrophysics and Head of Institute for Astronomy, Univ. of Edinburgh. Views own, of course.
You can certainly do single-event attribution, even if some people don't like it. Also, are you talking about models, or about reality? Is the only valid way to experience climate change through model ensembles used to detect and attribute some change?
November 17, 2025 at 6:19 PM
You can certainly do single-event attribution, even if some people don't like it. Also, are you talking about models, or about reality? Is the only valid way to experience climate change through model ensembles used to detect and attribute some change?
Firstly, 30 years is typically what is used to define the reference. It's not a prescribed timescale over which change will - in all - cases occur. Secondly, the point I was making is that detection and/or attribution don't require emergence. e.g., andthentheresphysics.wordpress.com/2025/10/04/e...
Emergence vs Detection & Attribution
Since effective communication often involves repeating things, I thought I would repeat what others have pointed out already. The underlying issue is that there is a narrative in the climate skepto…
andthentheresphysics.wordpress.com
November 17, 2025 at 6:07 PM
Firstly, 30 years is typically what is used to define the reference. It's not a prescribed timescale over which change will - in all - cases occur. Secondly, the point I was making is that detection and/or attribution don't require emergence. e.g., andthentheresphysics.wordpress.com/2025/10/04/e...
This might be worth a read. www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
RealClimate: Watching the detections
RealClimate: The detection and attribution of climate change are based on fundamentally different statistical frameworks and shouldn't be conflated.
www.realclimate.org
November 17, 2025 at 4:38 PM
This might be worth a read. www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
Indeed, which is why I think it's useful to highlight this pattern.
October 12, 2025 at 7:30 AM
Indeed, which is why I think it's useful to highlight this pattern.
Reposted by Ken Rice
I discussed the issues a couple of years ago @realclimate.org www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
and the latest barrage of op-eds adds nothing to their argument.
and the latest barrage of op-eds adds nothing to their argument.
RealClimate: Watching the detections
RealClimate: The detection and attribution of climate change are based on fundamentally different statistical frameworks and shouldn't be conflated.
www.realclimate.org
October 9, 2025 at 8:57 PM
I discussed the issues a couple of years ago @realclimate.org www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...
and the latest barrage of op-eds adds nothing to their argument.
and the latest barrage of op-eds adds nothing to their argument.