François Heisbourg
fheisbourg.bsky.social
François Heisbourg
@fheisbourg.bsky.social

Senior adviser (Europe), IISS,
Special adviser, Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique

François Heisbourg is currently Senior Advisor for Europe at the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) and Special Advisor at the Paris-based Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique. He was director of the IISS from 1987 to 1992 and its chairman from 2001 to 2018. .. more

Political science 72%
Economics 21%

What will Trump will make of it is the 64 billion question
🤔 Rubio's arrival in Geneva has changed the tone and pace of peace talks - Politico

Driscoll spent two days in Geneva, pushing for Ukraine to adopt plan by Thanksgiving.

Rubio then joined the talks in person and softened Washington's approach and abandoned a hard deadline for Ukraine.

Looks like confirmation of the destruction of one of Russia's two high-power laser A-60 aircraft (refitted Il-76)
Ukraine / Le 14e régiment de drones ukrainien confirme avoir mené avec succès la frappe contre la base aérienne russe de Taganrog la nuit dernière (Les images satellites montrent les résultats de l'opération)
🤔 Rubio's arrival in Geneva has changed the tone and pace of peace talks - Politico

Driscoll spent two days in Geneva, pushing for Ukraine to adopt plan by Thanksgiving.

Rubio then joined the talks in person and softened Washington's approach and abandoned a hard deadline for Ukraine.
Ukraine / Le 14e régiment de drones ukrainien confirme avoir mené avec succès la frappe contre la base aérienne russe de Taganrog la nuit dernière (Les images satellites montrent les résultats de l'opération)
The US president described Witkoff's leaked talks with Vladimir Putin's top foreign policy aide as 'standard negotiations'. on.ft.com/49FKlk3

SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 1372

1. Witkoff in Moscow, Driscoll soon in Kyiv
2. Trump apparently drops Thanksgiving ultimatum
3.Progress EW plant hit in Cheboksary (Chuvashia)
4. 55 Shaheds, 10 leakers. 2 Iskander-M strike

That too
⚡️Trump walks back Ukraine deadline, says 28-point peace plan was 'just a map.’

U.S. President Donald Trump said that there is no specific deadline for Ukraine to accept the initially drafted 28-point proposal, easing previous statements that implied he hoped for a Thanksgiving agreement.
Trump walks back Ukraine deadline, says 28-point peace plan was 'just a map'
U.S. President Donald Trump said on Nov. 25 that there is no specific deadline for Ukraine to accept the initially drafted 28-point proposal, easing previous statements that implied he hoped for a Tha...
kyivindependent.com

Trump sends Witkoff to Moscow. What can go wrong?
Trump claims his team has made “tremendous progress” on ending the war in Ukraine, stating only a few points of disagreement remain. He’s sending Witkoff to Moscow and Driscoll to meet with Ukrainians. Trump says he’ll meet with Zelensky and Putin only when a deal is nearly finalized.

And who knows what Witkoff and Putin will come up when they meet later this week
A Ukrainian negotiator says talks have been positive and constructive, but key issues remain unresolved. The toughest topics: territorial questions, frozen Russian assets, and future security guarantees are still on the table. On NATO, Ukraine aims not to amend its constitution regarding membership.
A Ukrainian negotiator says talks have been positive and constructive, but key issues remain unresolved. The toughest topics: territorial questions, frozen Russian assets, and future security guarantees are still on the table. On NATO, Ukraine aims not to amend its constitution regarding membership.
Trump claims his team has made “tremendous progress” on ending the war in Ukraine, stating only a few points of disagreement remain. He’s sending Witkoff to Moscow and Driscoll to meet with Ukrainians. Trump says he’ll meet with Zelensky and Putin only when a deal is nearly finalized.
"Now, me to you, I know what it’s going to take to get a peace deal done: Donetsk and maybe a land swap somewhere."
-- Steve Witkoff, in his call to Putin aide Yuri Ushakov

Read the whole transcript of the Oct 14 call. It's amazing.

Gift link (for 7 days) ⤵️

www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Witkoff Discusses Ukraine Plans With Key Putin Aide: Transcript
The following is a transcript of an Oct. 14 phone call lasting just over 5 minutes between Steve Witkoff, Donald Trump’s special envoy for peace missions, and Yuri Ushakov, Vladimir Putin’s most senio...
www.bloomberg.com
"(Trump's peace plan) was a shock for everyone in Ukraine. It shifted the focus from the corruption scandal to a much more dangerous external threat," political analyst Volodymyr Fesenko told the Kyiv Independent.
Trump’s peace plan takes the heat off Zelensky amid major corruption scandal
As Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky was hit with a large-scale corruption scandal and a controversial peace plan at the same time earlier this month, his position seemed desperate and vulnerable...
kyivindependent.com
The incident comes amid an ongoing diplomatic spat between Tokyo and Beijing.
Japan scrambles jets after suspected Chinese drone spotted near Taiwan
The incident comes amid an ongoing diplomatic spat between Tokyo and Beijing.
www.abc.net.au
Unmanned Systems Forces commander Magyar confirms: SSO, SBU, GUR, and others, hit deep inside Russia. Targets: the Beriev plant in Taganrog (A-50s, A-60 and Tu-95MS present), drone maker Atlant Aero, Sheskharis oil terminal in Novorossiysk (damaged oil loaders + S-400), and Tuapse oil refinery.
That night, Ukraine’s special forces struck the Novorossiysk port, hitting an oil terminal and S-300/S-400 positions. A Project 1171 landing ship was reportedly damaged.

Russian air defense was so active it even fired toward civilian buildings.
Russia launching a massive attack on Ukraine while the plan to end the war is being discussed is a sign of disrespect to President Trump personally.
Guerre d'Ukraine | 24/11/25

Secteurs :
🌐 Siversk🔹U251124-1045
🌐 Pokrovsk-Myrnohrad-Rodynske🔹U251124-1112
🌐 Novopavlivka🔹U251124-1056
🌐 Huliaipole🔹U251124-1053

#UkraineRussianWar #GuerreEnUkraine

SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 1371

1. EU issues peace proposal. 🇷🇺rejects. Peskov: US plan very good basis
2. Driscoll meets🇷🇺 team in Abu Dhabi
3. 250 Shaheds, 26 leakers; down:
1/4 Kinzhal, 5/8 Kalibr, 3/3 Iskander M, 5/5 Iskander K (14/22 missiles)
4. Taganrog Beriev & Natek plants hit
5. 🇷🇺 1/2 A-60 laser A/C hit?

Right side up. Dans le bon sens 🙃

My Figaro interview
‼️ Moldova confirms Shahed-type UAV crossing its territory en route to Romania
Moldova confirms Shahed-type UAV crossing its territory en route to Romania
Moldova's Border Police have confirmed reports that its airspace was violated by a Shahed-type drone during a Russian combined air attack against Ukraine on the night of 24-25 November.
www.pravda.com.ua

My interview in LeFigaro Tuesday 25 November

"A very good basis for negotiations" says Peskov re Trump plan. Yes
But right now, the only substantive thing is the American project, Trump's project. We believe that this could be a very good basis for negotiations, and our president has also spoken about this. We still hold this view. The time will come, and we will look into this matter in detail.
But right now, the only substantive thing is the American project, Trump's project. We believe that this could be a very good basis for negotiations, and our president has also spoken about this. We still hold this view. The time will come, and we will look into this matter in detail.
This claim is inaccurate and misleading. The members of Congress categorically did not tell the military to "defy the president" as implied here. What they said was this: "you can refuse illegal orders." That statement is accurate and consistent with American law—though it does require context.
⚡️Update: Death toll in mass attack on Kyiv rises to 6; Russian drone reportedly enters Romania.

During the large-scale attack, one Russian drone reportedly crossed the border into Romania, Ukraine's Air Force said.
Ukrainian homes burn as Russian missiles hit Kyiv — at least 6 killed, 8 injured in mass attack
Several multistory residential buildings caught fire and at least six people have been killed in what the Energy Ministry called "a massive combined attack...on infrastructure facilities."
kyivindependent.com