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François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 1h

SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 1327

1. 800+ Russians expelled from Latvia

2. 15 Shahed leakers out of 103 plus 1 Kh-31

3. Smolensk factory area hit

4. Zelensky-Trump telcon including on air defence of electricity infrastructure

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Olga Nesterova @onestpress.onestnetwork.com · 6h

Estonia has closed the Saatse border crossing with Russia due to an unusually large Russian military presence on the other side. The Estonian Police and Border Guard (PPA) noted increased patrols and military movements that were much higher than normal, which were deemed beyond routine activities.

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The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 6h

⚡️Over 135,000 Russian soldiers killed in Ukraine identified by media investigation.

Russian independent media outlet Mediazona, in collaboration with the BBC Russian service, has confirmed the identities of 135,100 Russian military personnel killed in Ukraine.

Over 135,000 Russian soldiers killed in Ukraine identified by media investigation

Russian independent media outlet Mediazona, in collaboration with the BBC Russian service, has confirmed the identities of 135,100 Russian military personnel killed in Ukraine.

kyivindependent.com

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auonsson @auonsson.bsky.social · 17h

The word ”illegal” is very prominent and frequent in the text.

I think new? The practices used to be described with only non-legal negative words.

”Illegal” implies a right to act and enforce. Maybe!

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François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 21h

SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 1326

1. Big: 🇬🇧🇫🇷🇩🇪 move together towards using frozen 🇷🇺 public assets to fund milaid to 🇺🇦. Some 140 billion €

2. Second Lecornu government being formed in 🇫🇷

3. Ufa refinery (Bashkortostan) burns

4. 24 Shahed leakers out of 72

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François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 21h

At last! A highly consequential move as US drops milaid to 🇺🇦. Europe will pay with Russian money. So nice

The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 1d

⚡️ UK, France, Germany to move forward with using Russian assets to aid Ukraine.

"We agree to develop further bold and innovative mechanisms to increase the cost of Russia's war and ramp up pressure," the British government said in a statement.

UK, France, Germany to move forward with using Russian assets to aid Ukraine

"We agree to develop further bold and innovative mechanisms to increase the cost of Russia's war and ramp up pressure," the British government said in a statement.

kyivindependent.com

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François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 21h

To be watched

The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 1d

⚡️Belarus launches military readiness check as security concerns grow.

The Belarusian military is implementing a "set of measures" to bring select units to their "highest level of combat readiness" under Alexander Lukashenko's direct orders.

Belarus launches military readiness check as security concerns grow

The Belarusian military is implementing a "set of measures" to bring select units to their "highest level of combat readiness" under Alexander Lukashenko's direct orders.

kyivindependent.com

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François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 21h

Russians now focusing attacks on rail lines

The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 22h

⚡️Bomb threats force Ukrainian Railways to halt 3 trains, including international line.

The affected trains included routes between Dnipro and Kyiv, Ternopil and Kyiv, and the international Kyiv–Warsaw route.

Bomb threats force Ukrainian Railways to halt 3 trains, including international line

The affected trains included routes between Dnipro and Kyiv, Ternopil and Kyiv, and the international Kyiv–Warsaw route.

kyivindependent.com

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ABC News Bot (unofficial) @abcnewsbot.bsky.social · 21h

Two British surveillance aircraft have flown a 12-hour mission alongside US and NATO forces to patrol the Russian border.

UK and US join forces to patrol NATO's border with Russia

Two British surveillance aircraft have flown a 12-hour mission alongside US and NATO forces to patrol the Russian border.

www.abc.net.au

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FRANCE 24 @france24.com · 21h

🔴 URGENT - En direct : les Républicains ne participeront pas au gouvernement de Sébastien Lecornu

En direct : les Républicains ne participeront pas au gouvernement de Lecornu

Lors d'un déplacement dans un commissariat de L'Haÿ-les-Roses, en banlieue parisienne, le Premier ministre reconduit Sébastien Lecornu a dit vouloir un gouvernement "libre", "pas emprisonné par les partis".…

f24.my

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Ukrainska Pravda 🇺🇦 @pravda.ua · 21h

🔥 Ukrainian long-range drones strike oil refinery in Russia's Bashkortostan

Ukrainian long-range drones strike oil refinery in Russia's Bashkortostan – source

www.pravda.com.ua

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Unofficial BBCNews (World) Bot @bbcnews-world-rss.bsky.social · 22h

Huge missile takes centre stage at N Korea parade

Named the Hwasongpho-20, its size suggests that it could carry multiple nuclear warheads.

www.bbc.com

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The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 22h

⚡️Bomb threats force Ukrainian Railways to halt 3 trains, including international line.

The affected trains included routes between Dnipro and Kyiv, Ternopil and Kyiv, and the international Kyiv–Warsaw route.

Bomb threats force Ukrainian Railways to halt 3 trains, including international line

The affected trains included routes between Dnipro and Kyiv, Ternopil and Kyiv, and the international Kyiv–Warsaw route.

kyivindependent.com

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The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 23h

⚡️Ukrainian air defenses operating at 74% effectiveness, military chief says.

"Over the past month, (Russia) has increased the number of air strikes 1.3 times," Oleksandr Syrskyi said.

Ukrainian air defenses operating at 74% effectiveness, military chief says

"Over the past month, (Russia) has increased the number of air strikes 1.3 times," Oleksandr Syrskyi said.

kyivindependent.com

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The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 1d

⚡️Belarus launches military readiness check as security concerns grow.

The Belarusian military is implementing a "set of measures" to bring select units to their "highest level of combat readiness" under Alexander Lukashenko's direct orders.

Belarus launches military readiness check as security concerns grow

The Belarusian military is implementing a "set of measures" to bring select units to their "highest level of combat readiness" under Alexander Lukashenko's direct orders.

kyivindependent.com

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The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 1d

⚡️ UK, France, Germany to move forward with using Russian assets to aid Ukraine.

"We agree to develop further bold and innovative mechanisms to increase the cost of Russia's war and ramp up pressure," the British government said in a statement.

UK, France, Germany to move forward with using Russian assets to aid Ukraine

"We agree to develop further bold and innovative mechanisms to increase the cost of Russia's war and ramp up pressure," the British government said in a statement.

kyivindependent.com

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François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 1d

He will need to secure the neutrality of both the Socialists and the mainstream LR right. Gaining the neutrality of the 1st implies dumping Macron's reforms (eg pensions, taxes) with the risk of losing the support of the moderate right. But all share a powerful fear of losing snap elections

François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 1d

Notwithstanding Lecornu's smarts and his ability to impress public opinion (11% rise in opinion polls in 2 weeks), the odds are stacked against him: I rate his chances of reaching the New Year in his position at 1 in 5. And that may be overoptimistic

François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 1d

Lecornu re-named Prime Minister by Macron. His challenge will be to get a budget passed by end December. Composition of the Lecornu 2 cabinet will emerge by Monday but will be quite different from Lecornu 1 and its brief 13h56 lifetime . Macron says he's giving Lecornu carte blanche. We'll see

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François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 1d

Notwithstanding Lecornu's smarts and his ability to impress public opinion (11% rise in opinion polls in 2 weeks), the odds are stacked against him: I rate his chances of reaching the New Year in his position at 1 in 5. And that may be overoptimistic

François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 1d

Lecornu re-named Prime Minister by Macron. His challenge will be to get a budget passed by end December. Composition of the Lecornu 2 cabinet will emerge by Monday but will be quite different from Lecornu 1 and its brief 13h56 lifetime . Macron says he's giving Lecornu carte blanche. We'll see

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Libération @liberation.fr · 1d

Macron «donne carte blanche au Premier ministre» Sébastien Lecornu, assure l’entourage du président. Cela concerne «les négociations» sur le fond avec les partis politiques comme «les propositions de nominations», précise à l'AFP un proche du chef de l’Etat.

Le direct ⬇️

EN DIRECT - Nouveau Premier ministre : Macron renomme Lecornu à Matignon et lui donne «carte blanche»

www.liberation.fr

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Unofficial BBCNews (World) Bot @bbcnews-world-rss.bsky.social · 1d

Trump threatens to pull out of planned Xi meeting

Trump also threatened a "massive" tariff increase, after China tightened its rules for exports of rare earths.

www.bbc.com

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François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 1d

Lecornu re-named Prime Minister by Macron. His challenge will be to get a budget passed by end December. Composition of the Lecornu 2 cabinet will emerge by Monday but will be quite different from Lecornu 1 and its brief 13h56 lifetime . Macron says he's giving Lecornu carte blanche. We'll see

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François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 2d

SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 1325

1. Duma OK's possible 🇷🇺 exit from 2000 accord with US re elimination of 34 t of plutonium

2 Putin assails possible sale of US Tomahawk's to 🇺🇦

3. Big bombing night vs 🇺🇦:
60 Shahed leakers out of 465
9 Iskander-Ks down/12
4 Iskander-Ms down / 14
1 Kinzhal down/2
1 Kh-59/69 down/4

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NOELREPORTS @noelreports.com · 2d

Emergency blackouts have been implemented in parts of Kyiv and Dnipropetrovsk regions following Russia’s mass strike, DTEK reports. Power cuts are ongoing in Brovary and Boryspil districts, while in Kryvyi Rih, rolling outages are underway. Critical infrastructure is switching to generators.

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NOELREPORTS @noelreports.com · 2d

Results of the missile and drone attack on Ukraine:

Shot down:
405/465 Shahed and other type drones
1/2 Kh-47M2 Kinzhal aeroballistic missiles
4/14 Iskander-M/KN-23 ballistic missiles
9/12 Iskander-K cruise missiles
1/4 Kh-59/69 cruise missiles

In addition, 4 missiles did not reach their targets.

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François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 2d

The money frozen at Euroclear in Brussels is public Russian money

Baptiste @baptisteseringue.bsky.social · 2d

May I ask what is the process of this Russian asset frozing ? I don’t get the link with Russian taxpayers.

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NOELREPORTS @noelreports.com · 2d

Vitaliy Kim, Head of the Mykolaiv Administration, confirmed that Russian forces on the occupied Kinburn Spit are only using it as a forward recon and FPV drone post. When Ukrainian troops entered, they fled, leaving equipment behind. A larger contingent of Russian troops is concentrated more inland.

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Baptiste @baptisteseringue.bsky.social · 2d

May I ask what is the process of this Russian asset frozing ? I don’t get the link with Russian taxpayers.

NOELREPORTS @noelreports.com · 3d

Ukraine’s Parliament has backed Zelensky’s decision to deploy Armed Forces units abroad. The bill allows Ukrainian naval ships and crews to take part in NATO exercises and missions in Turkey and the UK.

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NOELREPORTS @noelreports.com · 3d

Ukrainian Special Operations Forces also confirm they carried out deep-strike attacks overnight on Lukoil’s Korobkovsky Gas Processing Plant and the Yefimovka dispatch station in Russia’s Volgograd region. The Korobkovsky facility handles up to 450 million m³ of natural and associated gas annually.

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François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 3d

SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 1324

1. Kotovo (Volgograd oblast) gas processing plant burns after drone attack
2. 22 Shahed leakers out of 112
3. Cease-fire by Monday in Gaza along with freeing of hostages

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