etherjack.bsky.social
etherjack.bsky.social
etherjack.bsky.social
@etherjack.bsky.social
Veteran: Navy Nuc electrician | Data Scientist | (510), (312)
Repost= like/interesting; Heart= remember; bookmark= reference
Reposted by etherjack.bsky.social
That was under the 2010 cycle maps, which were worse and more tilted to the GOP.
November 19, 2025 at 7:49 PM
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The Eric Schickler essay in Larry Bartel's symposium on "What Trump Has Taught Us About Political Science" is one of the most insightful pieces I've read in 2025.

US institutions turned out to be weak, and we have to rethink conventional wisdom.

open access: academic.oup.com/psq/advance-...
November 19, 2025 at 8:08 PM
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Thriving in independent media for 25 years, without a) getting hoovered into some larger media org & subsequently axed, b) getting ruined by some hedge fund guy, c) falling afoul of any short-lived "pivot to video" style trends, or d) going broke...

... is a genuinely remarkable achievement! Kudos.
November 19, 2025 at 8:08 PM
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Seconding this! It's so so impressive and admirable.
Thriving in independent media for 25 years, without a) getting hoovered into some larger media org & subsequently axed, b) getting ruined by some hedge fund guy, c) falling afoul of any short-lived "pivot to video" style trends, or d) going broke...

... is a genuinely remarkable achievement! Kudos.
PHOTOS: TPM Celebrates Our 25-Year Anniversary in NYC talkingpointsmemo.com/gallery/phot...
November 19, 2025 at 9:24 PM
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Thx Chris
November 19, 2025 at 9:47 PM
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NEW: Cryptocurrencies have lost >$1 TRILLION in market value since Oct. 6.
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Crypto World Wipes Out $1 Trillion as Bitcoin Plunges Anew
The great crypto crash of 2025 entered a new phase on Wednesday, as Bitcoin plunged to its lowest level in seven months, extending the more than $1 trillion wipeout across the digital‑asset world.
www.bloomberg.com
November 19, 2025 at 9:51 PM
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Some Dems and pundits overread the significance of Trump's win. They looked at dissatisfaction with the border and discerned a seismic cultural reaction to immigration levels inside the country. The former was real. The latter is a mirage.

(h/t @gelliottmorris.com)

newrepublic.com/article/2030...
November 12, 2025 at 7:09 PM
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Sitting on a train reading this dissent and am just repeatedly stifling the desire to yell "what the actual fuck?" out loud and scaring others in the car. I don't think I've seen a dissent quite this unhinged and unprofessional.
/2 Just to be clear, 5th Circuit Judge Jerry E. Smith’s dissent is wildly emotionally incontinent and so bizarre it can’t even be called unprofessional. If someone I loved wrote it I would be very worried and investigate dementia.
November 19, 2025 at 9:53 PM
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Kudos to Josh for doing an amazing job with TPM and entering the 25 year club at truly independent media, which I think consists of him, @techdirt.com and... um... not sure who else? Does @slashdot.org count? Probably not since they got bought at some point.
November 19, 2025 at 10:12 PM
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Literally just lectured about this!

In the late 1960s, air quality was so bad in several cities they had to turn on the street lights during the day so drivers could see. And yeah, the Cuyahoga River was so polluted it literally caught on fire.
Oh, I don’t know. Our rivers no longer catch on fire and our air is far less poisonous than it used to be, even in smog bowls like Los Angeles. And I think those are good things.
If there’s no shale gas then there’s no shale gas, but I still think environmentalism is basically bad and politicians should focus more on material prosperity.
November 19, 2025 at 4:01 PM
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No; I am saying the opposite.
November 19, 2025 at 5:48 PM
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I think Will is right about this? I think a lot of current discourse is setting the goalposts in a way that YIMBYs will not win. bsky.app/profile/best...
Where I get worried is more about how this will cause people to misunderstand policy effects.

If a rezoning makes housing more available, such that household formation increases, that is a policy success!

But! If you look at "housing as percent of income" it will probably go *up*.
November 19, 2025 at 5:35 PM
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Remember that the reason that the October data release are canceled is because the government was shut down and no data was collected.

(ie, they are not cancelled because they were bad.)
Some very useful updates to the revised BLS calendar - October JOLTS (December 9th) and November jobs report (December 16th).

Cancellation of the September JOLTS & October jobs *reports* not surprising (data within will be published in the Oct/Nov counterparts), and makes sense.
November 19, 2025 at 5:52 PM
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Any member of the House can and should force a vote on a resolution to expel Jim Jordan for covering up sex abuse when he was a wrestling coach.
Jim Jordan: "We're all for protecting innocent victims, we're all for exposing the bad guys who did bad guys who did bad things, but ... "
November 19, 2025 at 6:04 PM
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Hard to be sure, but it looks like "IRS" below "Police" on the back of his windbreaker. What a clown.
Q: Would a $2,000 tariff dividend check going to people be inflationary?

Bessent: Maybe we could persuade Americans to save that.
November 19, 2025 at 6:20 PM
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One thing people underrate is how territorial law enforcement is. Even when these cops are fundamentally in sympathy with the "Let's crack skulls" affect of federal law enforcement, they will always resent other cops coming onto their Turf to do it.
November 19, 2025 at 4:06 PM
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Agreed. If only we’d seen more of that attitude towards the DOGE kids!
November 19, 2025 at 4:37 PM
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nobody is talking about it but Spanberger won by 15 points in Virginia and erased the GOP advantage with working class voters after expressly promising to rescind Glenn Youngkin's ICE-cooperation order and voting against the Laken Riley Act
bsky.app/profile/greg...
This has gotten lost: Abigail Spanberger won big after vowing to RESCIND Glenn Youngkin's executive order directing local cooperation with ICE and voting AGAINST the anti-immigrant Laken Riley Act. Yet she gained bigly with working class.

New piece laying this out:

newrepublic.com/article/2030...
November 19, 2025 at 6:29 PM
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never thought I could see federal law enforcement so depraved that it would negatively polarize local cops to the left, but nothing is impossible for ole Donny Trump
An ICE employee was among 16 men arrested after trying to solicit a minor for sex in Bloomington, Minnesota, police say

"When he was arrested, he said, 'I'm ICE, boys,'" Bloomington Police Chief Booker Hodges said during a press conference. "Well, unfortunately for him, we locked him up."
November 19, 2025 at 3:57 PM
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Content moderation is hard. Someone is always mad at you. It’s hard to stay true to your own values (whether absolute free speech or a community free of hate & harassment) and balance all the other concerns & metrics. Tried to bring BlueSky drama into the convo, but undergrads were like Blue-what?
November 19, 2025 at 7:00 PM
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If your argument is that young people only hate Israel because they, unlike previous generations, can easily and vividly see the human cost of Israel's
policies, that is... not a good argument about young people being wrong on this.
November 18, 2025 at 7:51 PM
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I think the lesson of the Holocaust is you fight the big powerful people hurting the weak people.
November 18, 2025 at 7:58 PM
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Masha Gessen on this precise thing in 2023 www.newyorker.com/news/the-wee...
November 18, 2025 at 7:25 PM
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As David explains here, the idea that the WH which has repeatedly defied Congress, bogarted its budget authority, decreed certain laws don't count, abolished whole depts will simply say, "welp congress passed a law so I guess we have to turn over the videos of Trump w teens" doesn't really hold up.
November 18, 2025 at 7:28 PM
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I doubt they strike down California's map but I could see them fast tracking a Texas case and letting them use their map while slow rolling CA while a stay is in place and eventually ruling it's fine but too late to use for 2026.
November 18, 2025 at 8:15 PM