Michael McDonald
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electproject.bsky.social
Michael McDonald
@electproject.bsky.social

Professor of Political Science at the University of Florida specializing in American elections

Michael P. McDonald is an American political scientist. He is a Professor of Political Science at the University of Florida where he focuses on the United States elections.

Source: Wikipedia
Political science 57%
Economics 20%

Thank you for pointing out the distinction. It led me to this blog post that documents the unusual HSI mission, and that DHS has not established HSI has ever supported threat assessment at prior Olympics. In 2024 it supported a human trafficking mission www.hackingbutlegal.com/p/the-strang...
The Strange Case of ICE at the Winter Olympics
Trump is sending ICE agents to Italy. The backlash has been fierce.
www.hackingbutlegal.com
McGregor was found liable for sexual assault in 2024 and the jury ordered him to pay the victim $257,000. He lost all his appeals.

I agree DHS has a role at these events. I'm asking specifically about ICE. You're still conflating the two
RFK Jr on what he'll eat during the Super Bowl: "I am on a carnivore diet so I just eat meat and ferments, and I'm very happy with that. So I'm probably going to have yogurt."

Yeah. We have military and law enforcement abroad.

Now tell me how many times ICE has been deployed to the Olympics

literally I wrote "two most recent elections"

This is, btw, why I think the smart play for Florida Republicans is to shore up their marginal seats rather than try to expand the map

If so, l will laugh my ass off at everyone who chided me for calling it a dummymander. Right now there’s a good chance Democrats don’t lose seats in Texas

Is the rule of thumb correct? Shrug. Who knows? We are so far out of equilibrium for typical recent politics models break down and everything is just a guess

My rule of thumb is to divide by half the special election margin swing in the low turnout special elections to estimate what might happen in the higher turnout midterm

That would mean we are in something like a Dem +15 point national margin swing environment given the two most recent elections

U.S. Supreme Court

In the Indiana voter id lawsuit, Crawford, the state did not present in evidence a single instance of impersonation fraud the id law was supposed to stop, but the Supreme Court allowed the law because it addressed the *perception* of fraud

The U.S. Supreme Court says “Yes”
Schiff on the SAVE Act: "Jonathan, what you've just asked is essentially, Republicans have created distrust in the elections by making claims of nonexistent fraud, and shouldn't we use the distrust they've created in order to enact a voter suppression law?"
Schiff on the SAVE Act: "Jonathan, what you've just asked is essentially, Republicans have created distrust in the elections by making claims of nonexistent fraud, and shouldn't we use the distrust they've created in order to enact a voter suppression law?"
FAMU can't use the word Black on anything posted around campus related to Black History Month, to stay in compliance with Florida state laws against DEI. Black students can't use the word Black at their Historically Black College during Black History Month.

The National Prayer Breakfast does religion the right way

- Ezra Klein
SCOOP: Freedom 250 — the group launched by Trump to oversee projects including the @UFC fight on the WH lawn & his arch overlooking DC — is offering access to him for donors who give $1M.

For $2.5M, donors are being offered the chance to speak at the national July 4 celebration. 🎁🔗
For $1 Million, Donors to U.S.A. Birthday Group Offered Access to Trump
www.nytimes.com

If it’s a Sunday it’s the day to welcome back the lying assholes who lied to us last week
A desperate plea sent to me by a Minneapolis resident who's been on the front lines since the beginning of the ICE occupation:

The only way Republicans win in November is if they rig the election

and Trump knows it

It is "routine" to deploy ICE to a foreign country? Seriously?
Police clashed with protesters in Milan, detaining at least seven people.

The protesters opposed the Winter Games’ cost and environmental impact, with passions also inflamed by revelations that ICE agents were being sent to Italy on a routine deployment.
At Winter Olympics, protest over cost and ICE ends in clash with police
After left-wing groups rallied against the cost and environmental impact of the Winter Games in Italy, some protesters set off fireworks and hurled bottles.
www.washingtonpost.com
Police clashed with protesters in Milan, detaining at least seven people.

The protesters opposed the Winter Games’ cost and environmental impact, with passions also inflamed by revelations that ICE agents were being sent to Italy on a routine deployment.
At Winter Olympics, protest over cost and ICE ends in clash with police
After left-wing groups rallied against the cost and environmental impact of the Winter Games in Italy, some protesters set off fireworks and hurled bottles.
www.washingtonpost.com

Here come the Aggies
RESULT: Democrat Chasity Martinez wins a special election for a legislative seat in Louisiana, 62% to 38%.

This was a district that Trump carried by 13% last year, so a big overperformance by Dems, but the seat was already Dem-held.

Lol
Concentration camps:

“For 280 days we haven’t eaten a single piece of fruit, banana, apple, orange, or anything fresh. We are all in one big room with no doors or windows. We can’t see any grass or trees. We are all constantly sick."
Exclusive: Detention Center Captives Are Throwing Lotion Bottles Wrapped With Notes to Organizers Outside Otay Mesa Facility ~ L.A. TACO
“For 280 days we haven’t eaten a single piece of fruit, banana, apple, orange, or anything fresh," an Otay Mesa captive communicated through handwritten note. "We are all in one big room with no doors...
lataco.com

The announcers for this game are terrible. Sound off
Wow. MAGA admits it is rooting AGAINST Team USA because athletes are using their first amendment rights!

The last one reveals what is wrong with America
Donald Trump is:

- Openly racist
- Covering up evidence he may have sexually abused children
- Directly responsible for the murder of US citizens by masked agents of the state
- Openly looting the treasury and taking bribes from foreign leaders
- Polling at 38% amongst the American people
The great @jkbjournalist.bsky.social with another big scoop - DOJ has a list of people who may have committed crimes with Epstein - and Trump is on that list.