Michael McDonald
@electproject.bsky.social
Professor of Political Science at the University of Florida specializing in American elections
At least someone understood my sarcasm and who it was directed at
November 10, 2025 at 6:49 PM
At least someone understood my sarcasm and who it was directed at
Heritage, of course
November 9, 2025 at 1:59 PM
Heritage, of course
Curious if they included length of all-time high streak in their model, because I see a pattern
November 9, 2025 at 1:56 PM
Curious if they included length of all-time high streak in their model, because I see a pattern
Pretty clear relationship between statewide VEP turnout rates and the shift in the Democratic margin of victory compared with 2024. NJ and VA experienced about half the average special election margin shift of 14.4 points.
November 8, 2025 at 6:06 PM
Pretty clear relationship between statewide VEP turnout rates and the shift in the Democratic margin of victory compared with 2024. NJ and VA experienced about half the average special election margin shift of 14.4 points.