Andrew
@andrewwmiller.com
810 followers 480 following 13K posts
Father (He) of 4, former Mayor, Dayton Flyer, UL Fan, Bengals fan, Reds fan, former software developer now retired, proud Kentuckian transplanted to Cincinnati.
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andrewwmiller.com
Listen, I don't have an issue with ResistLib memes floating across my timeline periodically, AS LONG as you also talk to me about your music tastes, sports teams, kids, job, etc. Just ... be a person. If all you are is a politics meme generator you're going to get muted. 🤷
andrewwmiller.com
My wife is amazing at her job. I was pretty good at a much lower paying job. It's not complicated to figure out the correct path from there. I like to think that by freeing my wife up to do her job as best as she can that I am helping save lives too!

I would like to get back into politics someday.
solomonmissouri.bsky.social
when your spouse is good at her job you supposed to be happy for them
andrewwmiller.com
I got my COVID and flu shots yesterday and I think I'm done moving for the day now.
andrewwmiller.com
Yes, all of that is true. But there is still a point where people will quit.
andrewwmiller.com
Or is it necromancy? It feels more disease based than mold based.
andrewwmiller.com
Officially, you just quit. That's going to hold up in any court. The federal government cannot force you to be employed by them. I realize there are corner cases for like air traffic controllers and soldiers but it's really really narrow.
andrewwmiller.com
Spiritual attacks? The reddit witches cannot keep getting away with this!
andrewwmiller.com
Maybe people with extremely specific government skills that can't find another job as easily this math changes. But like lawyers, IT guys, etc. In a lot of cases there are probably municipal jobs that act as analogs even.
andrewwmiller.com
How many missed paychecks before federal workers start finding other jobs or refusing to work (for those this applies to).

2-3? I feel like 2 is a big deal. At 4 like, no shot I show up to work. Arrest me if you want to, I'm not working for 8 weeks without pay.

If I'm furloughed, it's 2 I think.
andrewwmiller.com
And I am open to a LOT of ways to get fairness. It doesn't have to be a cap. I just don't like a system where teams that cannot afford to pay players lose the talent they drafted and developed to teams with more market UNLESS there's significant compensatory mechanisms in place.
andrewwmiller.com
The narrative here is that if you aren't in the top 10 spenders in MLB your chances of winning a title are MUCH lower. The majority of the top 10 makes the playoffs each year and nearly all the world series winners come from the top 10.
andrewwmiller.com
So I went back and checked and for the last 10 years 80% of the time the world series winner was in the top 3rd of salaries, 50% of the time they were top 5 in salary. 30% of the time they were top 3 and 20% they were #1.

The two times a team won outside the top 10 were 2015 and 2017.
andrewwmiller.com
Yeah, that may literally be more important than actual parity. It feels fair that teams who draft a QB, develop them and retain them win games. It does not feel fair when your team loses their best player due to salary considerations. It's frustrating.
andrewwmiller.com
Yeah.. I agree with this take. But it's worth mentioning that the NFLPA did negotiate their own cap rules. But at its core you're correct.

A system that creates fairness without putting all the money in the owner's pockets is ideal.
andrewwmiller.com
I definitely think this is a true statement in 2025. Yes. Thanks.
andrewwmiller.com
And the goal doesn't have to be parity. But it does need to be a feeling of fairness. Fans need to FEEL like they have a chance.
andrewwmiller.com
Like, we can argue about metrics and goals and it's all interesting cause I love sports and arguing about sports but the clear conclusion is that teams that spend more win more. It's backed by data and it's trending the wrong direction.

It's hurting MLB's popularity relative to other sports.
andrewwmiller.com
So you don't have one. Thanks for your useful contribution to the discussion.
andrewwmiller.com
Then give me your thesis here.
andrewwmiller.com
For clarity, are you saying if I look up the top 10 MLB salaries I will not find that a high % of them made the playoffs?
andrewwmiller.com
But we all understand why teams repeat in the NFL. The Chiefs win because they have Patrick Mahomes, not because they paid Patrick Mahomes more than anyone else could afford to.
andrewwmiller.com
Intuitively i can't think of one that's useful, because titles isn't the correct metric! Once you have narrowed a playoff down to a set of teams that all spend a lot, the parity does emerge among those teams! It's not a useful metric!
andrewwmiller.com
Like, just make this simple. Is your argument that there is no predictive value in the MLB from total salary? That teams that spend more do not tend to win more?
andrewwmiller.com
Over the last 25 years. 😶
andrewwmiller.com
It's very weird that when I just said "it doesn't make sense to look at titles only, you need to look at wins" you immediately responded with data about titles.