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Kevin Collins

@kwcollins.bsky.social

12K followers 850 following 29K posts

Co-founder, Survey 160. Loves survey and voter participation. Researcher. Democrat. YIMBY. Husband and Dad. Opinion haver and measurer. Outdoors and cooking enthusiast. He/Him

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Kevin Collins @kwcollins.bsky.social · Mar 24

“Forget the myths the media has created about the White House. The truth is, these are not very bright guys, and things got out of hand.”

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Kevin Collins @kwcollins.bsky.social · 15m

You gotta love a paper that uses Swedish administrative data

Kevin Collins @kwcollins.bsky.social · 15m

"Predicting Survey Nonresponse with Registry Data in Sweden between 1992 to 2023: Cohort Replacement or a Deteriorating Survey Climate?"

ojs.ub.uni-konstanz.de/srm/article/...

Kevin Collins @kwcollins.bsky.social · 18m

Essentially, people who enjoy surveys / find them non-burdensome are less likely to attrit from panels, even after controlling for respondent traits like education

Kevin Collins @kwcollins.bsky.social · 18m

"Survey Attitude as Indicator for Survey Climate and as Predictor of Nonresponse and Attrition in a Probability-Based Online Panel"

ojs.ub.uni-konstanz.de/srm/article/...

Kevin Collins @kwcollins.bsky.social · 26m

They find strong evidence of motivated reasoning towards polls (basically, you view a poll more favorably if it shows the majority supports your preferred viewpoint) and suggestive evidence of a dual process model

Kevin Collins @kwcollins.bsky.social · 26m

"Using Experimental Vignettes in Telephone Surveys to Study how Survey Methods and Findings Affect the Public’s Evaluation of Public Opinion Polls. Considering a Dual Process Approach" uses as multi-decade-old survey experiment (wow!) ojs.ub.uni-konstanz.de/srm/article/...

Kevin Collins @kwcollins.bsky.social · 26m

The journal Survey Research Methods has a special issue on "Survey Climate and Trust in Scientific Surveys". Some highlights in 🧵

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Reposted by Kevin Collins

Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 1h

We were actually getting somewhere, too. 😞

@sbmitche.bsky.social
www.library.hbs.edu/working-know...

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Kevin Collins @kwcollins.bsky.social · 1h

Also not read as cro Stata

Reposted by Kevin Collins

Adam Klasfeld @klasfeldreports.com · 13h

Extraordinary NYT story:

Trump’s DOJ pressured out another US Attorney in WESTERN Virginia for finding that a grand jury probe his bosses demanded was unwarranted.

They wanted a case discrediting the Russia probe — evidence be damned. www.nytimes.com/2025/10/14/u...

U.S. Attorney Was Forced Out After Clashes Over How to Handle Russia Inquiry

www.nytimes.com

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Kevin Collins @kwcollins.bsky.social · 12h

Don’t worry, they’re only making it appear better on the outside, not any structural changes that would improve functionality inside

Michael Li (李之樸) @mcpli.bsky.social · 12h

A Supreme Court being repaired and renovated is perhaps a metaphor

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Reposted by Kevin Collins

Jacob Soboroff @jacobsoboroff.bsky.social · 12h

here’s more context to the videos DHS is putting out from Chicago.

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Kevin Collins @kwcollins.bsky.social · 14h

Crostata di Marmelatta di Fico using the jam I made this weekend from last of this year’s fig tree harvest

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Reposted by Kevin Collins

Ned Resnikoff @resnikoff.bsky.social · 16h

Once again struck by how many prominent "heterodox" thinkers split off and create their own institutions not because of academic censoriousness but because no one who closely examines their methodology can possibly take them seriously.

Hex Anderson @dexanderson.com · 17h

Just gonna leave this here.

In survey data, LGBT young people report consistently worse mental health than heterosexual young people.
Whether this is because LGBT causes mental illness (i.e. the minority stress or anomie hypotheses), or because
mental illness causes individuals to be LGBT is beyond the scope of this work.2

Footnote 2: Meyer, I. H. (1995). "Minority stress and mental health in gay men." Journal of health and social behavior: 38-56; Michael Bailey, J.
(2020). "The Minority Stress Model Deserves Reconsideration, Not Just Extension." Archives of Sexual Behavior 49(7): 2265-2268.

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Kevin Collins @kwcollins.bsky.social · 17h

-gate

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Reposted by Kevin Collins

Chris Hayes @chrislhayes.bsky.social · 17h

Unless and until some kind of compelling legal and moral argument is presented as to why this is a legitimate use of deadly force, this is just…mass murder.

Amarnath Amarasingam @amaramarasingam.bsky.social · 18h

The military has now killed 27 people as if they were enemy soldiers in a war zone and not criminal suspects. www.nytimes.com/2025/10/14/u...

U.S. Military Kills Another 6 People in 5th Caribbean Strike, Trump Says

www.nytimes.com

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Kevin Collins @kwcollins.bsky.social · 1d

Corruption Watch

Steve Benen @stevebenen.com · 1d

Trump was caught on a hot mic arranging a meeting between a foreign head of state and Eric Trump, who runs the Republican's family business.

Isn’t this exactly the sort of thing GOP members of Congress used to care about? www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddo...

‘Hot mic’ catches Indonesian president asking Trump for a meeting with son Eric

The American president was overheard arranging a meeting between Prabowo Subianto and Eric Trump, who runs the Republican's family business.

www.msnbc.com

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Reposted by Kevin Collins

Kevin M. Kruse @kevinmkruse.bsky.social · 1d

They are terrified of the No Kings rallies and doing everything they can to discredit them.

If you're on the fence about going, just think of how much it'll piss off these assholes.

Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 1d

Emmer: "We call it the 'Hate America' rally because you'll see the hate for America all over this thing when they show up. The rumor is that they can't end this shutdown because this small but very violent and vocal group is the only one that's happy about this."

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Kevin Collins @kwcollins.bsky.social · 1d

Pretty much

Kevin Collins @kwcollins.bsky.social · 1d

Anyone else watching Brewers / Dodgers on HBO Max and seeing unsold ad inventory, repeatedly?

Reposted by Kevin Collins

Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 1d

Just rounding people up. A US citizen who says he had his birth certificate with him (!) was still thrown in the back of a truck and detained.

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Kevin Collins @kwcollins.bsky.social · 1d

How many times have both outs in a double play been attributed to the same defensive player?

Jayson Stark @jaysonst.bsky.social · 1d

In answer to your questions ...

No, I've never seen that before.
No, it didn't happen because I will Strange But True madness to happen.
Yes, we just saw a "grounded into double play" on a ball that looked like a possible slam over the CF wall.
And the catcher recorded both forceouts.

Baseball!