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⏰ 31 January 2026
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⏰ 31 January 2026
January 20, 2026 at 7:01 AM
📣 Don’t miss your chance to join CMIP 2026 — virtual registration is open until 31 January.
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⏰ 31 January 2026
🔗 https://loom.ly/fRE3nUE
⏰ 31 January 2026
📣 Don’t miss your chance to join CMIP 2026 — virtual registration is open until 31 January.
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⏰ 31 January 2026
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⏰ 31 January 2026
January 14, 2026 at 7:30 AM
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⏰ 31 January 2026
🔗 https://loom.ly/fRE3nUE
⏰ 31 January 2026
Our study adds to a growing body of literature showing that many biases/missing trends in CMIP/climate models are present in seasonal models and must thus develop on short (subseasonal) timescales (e.g., @jbeverley.bsky.social doi.org/10.1038/s416...)
January 10, 2026 at 11:47 AM
Our study adds to a growing body of literature showing that many biases/missing trends in CMIP/climate models are present in seasonal models and must thus develop on short (subseasonal) timescales (e.g., @jbeverley.bsky.social doi.org/10.1038/s416...)
This trend is similar to known trends in Greenland blocking and its absence in CMIP (e.g., doi.org/10.1002/joc....). Here we show the key role of persistence, and that the missing trends are present in a state-of-the-art seasonal model – so even initialising the model does not solve the problem.
January 10, 2026 at 11:47 AM
This trend is similar to known trends in Greenland blocking and its absence in CMIP (e.g., doi.org/10.1002/joc....). Here we show the key role of persistence, and that the missing trends are present in a state-of-the-art seasonal model – so even initialising the model does not solve the problem.
🌍 WCRP’s ESMO Infrastructure Panel (WIP) is seeking new members.
Help shape the global data infrastructure for CMIP7 and beyond.
Deadline: 30 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTC
🔗More information and nominations here: https://loom.ly/q4Navhw
@wcrp-cmip.org
#WCRP #CMIP #ESMO
Help shape the global data infrastructure for CMIP7 and beyond.
Deadline: 30 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTC
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@wcrp-cmip.org
#WCRP #CMIP #ESMO
January 8, 2026 at 1:02 PM
🌍 WCRP’s ESMO Infrastructure Panel (WIP) is seeking new members.
Help shape the global data infrastructure for CMIP7 and beyond.
Deadline: 30 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTC
🔗More information and nominations here: https://loom.ly/q4Navhw
@wcrp-cmip.org
#WCRP #CMIP #ESMO
Help shape the global data infrastructure for CMIP7 and beyond.
Deadline: 30 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTC
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@wcrp-cmip.org
#WCRP #CMIP #ESMO
Some interesting papers from over the break:
Karen McKinnon and Isla Simpson showed evidence of substantial continental brightening from 1980 to 2024 that seems to be due to loss of cloud cover (not aerosols), but isn't reproduced by CMIP models
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...
Karen McKinnon and Isla Simpson showed evidence of substantial continental brightening from 1980 to 2024 that seems to be due to loss of cloud cover (not aerosols), but isn't reproduced by CMIP models
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...
Observed and Modeled Trends in Downward Surface Shortwave Radiation Over Land: Drivers and Discrepancies
Variability and trends in ERA5 downward surface shortwave radiation agree well with high-quality in situ and satellite-based estimates Recent (1980–2024) trends in shortwave over land largely ali...
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
January 7, 2026 at 6:36 PM
Some interesting papers from over the break:
Karen McKinnon and Isla Simpson showed evidence of substantial continental brightening from 1980 to 2024 that seems to be due to loss of cloud cover (not aerosols), but isn't reproduced by CMIP models
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...
Karen McKinnon and Isla Simpson showed evidence of substantial continental brightening from 1980 to 2024 that seems to be due to loss of cloud cover (not aerosols), but isn't reproduced by CMIP models
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...
IPCC chose wrongly.
"Our findings, therefore, have implications for standard historical experiments, which typically start in 1850, as specified by CMIP. If the decision were made to start simulations 100 or even 50 yr earlier, this would lead to different—and potentially improved—simulations"
"Our findings, therefore, have implications for standard historical experiments, which typically start in 1850, as specified by CMIP. If the decision were made to start simulations 100 or even 50 yr earlier, this would lead to different—and potentially improved—simulations"
Published today: Importance of beginning industrial-era climate simulations in the eighteenth century
Defining pre-industrial to be 1750, rather than 1850, produces different (simulated) historical climate changes after 1850. Pre-1850 volcanoes & land use matter.
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
Defining pre-industrial to be 1750, rather than 1850, produces different (simulated) historical climate changes after 1850. Pre-1850 volcanoes & land use matter.
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
January 7, 2026 at 2:50 AM
IPCC chose wrongly.
"Our findings, therefore, have implications for standard historical experiments, which typically start in 1850, as specified by CMIP. If the decision were made to start simulations 100 or even 50 yr earlier, this would lead to different—and potentially improved—simulations"
"Our findings, therefore, have implications for standard historical experiments, which typically start in 1850, as specified by CMIP. If the decision were made to start simulations 100 or even 50 yr earlier, this would lead to different—and potentially improved—simulations"
This choice was to mimic a CMIP-like design with 1750 base state. Other plausible choices possible!
January 6, 2026 at 5:38 PM
This choice was to mimic a CMIP-like design with 1750 base state. Other plausible choices possible!
彦景のCPアカを分けました。じわじわXから移行しようと思います。
bsky.app/profile/cmas...
なお観念してイルンズアカも作りました。稼働はまだ未定。
bsky.app/profile/cmip...
bsky.app/profile/cmas...
なお観念してイルンズアカも作りました。稼働はまだ未定。
bsky.app/profile/cmip...
January 3, 2026 at 10:18 AM
彦景のCPアカを分けました。じわじわXから移行しようと思います。
bsky.app/profile/cmas...
なお観念してイルンズアカも作りました。稼働はまだ未定。
bsky.app/profile/cmip...
bsky.app/profile/cmas...
なお観念してイルンズアカも作りました。稼働はまだ未定。
bsky.app/profile/cmip...
🌍 WCRP’s ESMO Infrastructure Panel (WIP) is seeking new members.
Help shape the global data infrastructure for CMIP7 and beyond.
Deadline: 30 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTC
🔗More information and nominations here: https://loom.ly/q4Navhw
@wcrp-cmip.org
#WCRP #CMIP #ESMO
Help shape the global data infrastructure for CMIP7 and beyond.
Deadline: 30 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTC
🔗More information and nominations here: https://loom.ly/q4Navhw
@wcrp-cmip.org
#WCRP #CMIP #ESMO
January 2, 2026 at 8:00 AM
🌍 WCRP’s ESMO Infrastructure Panel (WIP) is seeking new members.
Help shape the global data infrastructure for CMIP7 and beyond.
Deadline: 30 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTC
🔗More information and nominations here: https://loom.ly/q4Navhw
@wcrp-cmip.org
#WCRP #CMIP #ESMO
Help shape the global data infrastructure for CMIP7 and beyond.
Deadline: 30 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTC
🔗More information and nominations here: https://loom.ly/q4Navhw
@wcrp-cmip.org
#WCRP #CMIP #ESMO
May the new year bless you with health, wealth, and happiness! - Ohio Medicare Plan Brian C. Moore, CMIP®, CSFS®
January 1, 2026 at 3:07 PM
May the new year bless you with health, wealth, and happiness! - Ohio Medicare Plan Brian C. Moore, CMIP®, CSFS®
🌍 WCRP’s ESMO Infrastructure Panel (WIP) is seeking new members.
Help shape the global data infrastructure for CMIP7 and beyond.
Deadline: 30 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTC
🔗More information and nominations here: https://loom.ly/q4Navhw
@wcrp-cmip.org
#WCRP #CMIP #ESMO
Help shape the global data infrastructure for CMIP7 and beyond.
Deadline: 30 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTC
🔗More information and nominations here: https://loom.ly/q4Navhw
@wcrp-cmip.org
#WCRP #CMIP #ESMO
December 25, 2025 at 1:04 PM
🌍 WCRP’s ESMO Infrastructure Panel (WIP) is seeking new members.
Help shape the global data infrastructure for CMIP7 and beyond.
Deadline: 30 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTC
🔗More information and nominations here: https://loom.ly/q4Navhw
@wcrp-cmip.org
#WCRP #CMIP #ESMO
Help shape the global data infrastructure for CMIP7 and beyond.
Deadline: 30 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTC
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@wcrp-cmip.org
#WCRP #CMIP #ESMO
GPCP v. 3.2 tanked land precipitation in 2023 like never before. CMIP wants land precip to be increasing, so something's a bit far off. Continental dryness is one reason why el ninos cause warm blips in GMST, so it stands to reason that all cause continental dryness does the same.
December 23, 2025 at 3:09 PM
GPCP v. 3.2 tanked land precipitation in 2023 like never before. CMIP wants land precip to be increasing, so something's a bit far off. Continental dryness is one reason why el ninos cause warm blips in GMST, so it stands to reason that all cause continental dryness does the same.
Contactez la FMF et ils pourront peut-être vous adresser une liste de mutuelles adhérentes.
Si vous voulez je peux vous transmettre les coordonnées de la mienne.
J'en suis content.
Ou via internet [email protected]
C'est un regroupement avec ma mutuelle (CMIP) depuis plus de 15 ans.
Si vous voulez je peux vous transmettre les coordonnées de la mienne.
J'en suis content.
Ou via internet [email protected]
C'est un regroupement avec ma mutuelle (CMIP) depuis plus de 15 ans.
December 23, 2025 at 12:05 PM
Contactez la FMF et ils pourront peut-être vous adresser une liste de mutuelles adhérentes.
Si vous voulez je peux vous transmettre les coordonnées de la mienne.
J'en suis content.
Ou via internet [email protected]
C'est un regroupement avec ma mutuelle (CMIP) depuis plus de 15 ans.
Si vous voulez je peux vous transmettre les coordonnées de la mienne.
J'en suis content.
Ou via internet [email protected]
C'est un regroupement avec ma mutuelle (CMIP) depuis plus de 15 ans.
what is the 2023 forecast bust? (I feel like I'm just discovering the existence of the atmosphere; yesterday I learned about the wealth of interesting ways different CMIP models record their atmospheric vertical coordinates)
December 21, 2025 at 12:02 PM
what is the 2023 forecast bust? (I feel like I'm just discovering the existence of the atmosphere; yesterday I learned about the wealth of interesting ways different CMIP models record their atmospheric vertical coordinates)
🌍 WCRP’s ESMO Infrastructure Panel (WIP) is seeking new members.
Help shape the global data infrastructure for CMIP7 and beyond.
Deadline: 30 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTC
🔗More information and nominations here: https://loom.ly/q4Navhw
@wcrp-cmip.org
#WCRP #CMIP #ESMO
Help shape the global data infrastructure for CMIP7 and beyond.
Deadline: 30 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTC
🔗More information and nominations here: https://loom.ly/q4Navhw
@wcrp-cmip.org
#WCRP #CMIP #ESMO
December 17, 2025 at 7:30 AM
🌍 WCRP’s ESMO Infrastructure Panel (WIP) is seeking new members.
Help shape the global data infrastructure for CMIP7 and beyond.
Deadline: 30 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTC
🔗More information and nominations here: https://loom.ly/q4Navhw
@wcrp-cmip.org
#WCRP #CMIP #ESMO
Help shape the global data infrastructure for CMIP7 and beyond.
Deadline: 30 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTC
🔗More information and nominations here: https://loom.ly/q4Navhw
@wcrp-cmip.org
#WCRP #CMIP #ESMO
Naive q: I'm new to downloading CMIP data. I want to directly get netcdfs for later processing, not pangeo etc (so get download links to use w wget). The following works, but lots of experiments are missing, though I'm asking for v basic data (wind and sea surface pressure). Anything I'm missing?
December 15, 2025 at 9:31 PM
Naive q: I'm new to downloading CMIP data. I want to directly get netcdfs for later processing, not pangeo etc (so get download links to use w wget). The following works, but lots of experiments are missing, though I'm asking for v basic data (wind and sea surface pressure). Anything I'm missing?
No matter what CMIP, do see the shift from left to right?
3°C by 2050 is more likely than 1.5°C or even 2°C by 2050 given recent (15y) real-world data, not models.
3°C by 2050 is more likely than 1.5°C or even 2°C by 2050 given recent (15y) real-world data, not models.
December 14, 2025 at 5:11 PM
No matter what CMIP, do see the shift from left to right?
3°C by 2050 is more likely than 1.5°C or even 2°C by 2050 given recent (15y) real-world data, not models.
3°C by 2050 is more likely than 1.5°C or even 2°C by 2050 given recent (15y) real-world data, not models.
Top 25 injury absences through 12 December when weighted by TOI (excluding retired under contract cases)
No, the Varlamov and Brossoit numbers aren't realistic
No, the Varlamov and Brossoit numbers aren't realistic
December 13, 2025 at 8:29 PM
Top 25 injury absences through 12 December when weighted by TOI (excluding retired under contract cases)
No, the Varlamov and Brossoit numbers aren't realistic
No, the Varlamov and Brossoit numbers aren't realistic
The CMIP models are those featured in the IPCC. In the AR4 (2007) future projects were entirety based on the multimodel mean and spread. The same was true in the AR5. It’s only in the AR6 where we created assessed warming projections distinct from the multimodel mean.
December 13, 2025 at 7:16 PM
The CMIP models are those featured in the IPCC. In the AR4 (2007) future projects were entirety based on the multimodel mean and spread. The same was true in the AR5. It’s only in the AR6 where we created assessed warming projections distinct from the multimodel mean.
New Opinion article by Kazumi Kubota:
"From awareness to action: A three‑lever, CMIP‑aligned roadmap to decarbonize and climate‑proof Japan’s healthcare sector"
journals.plos.org/climate/arti...
"From awareness to action: A three‑lever, CMIP‑aligned roadmap to decarbonize and climate‑proof Japan’s healthcare sector"
journals.plos.org/climate/arti...
From awareness to action: A three‑lever, CMIP‑aligned roadmap to decarbonize and climate‑proof Japan’s healthcare sector
Healthcare faces a dual mandate: protect people from intensifying climate hazards while cutting its own footprint. Globally, healthcare produces 4%–5% of greenhouse gas emissions, largely from supply ...
journals.plos.org
December 12, 2025 at 10:34 AM
New Opinion article by Kazumi Kubota:
"From awareness to action: A three‑lever, CMIP‑aligned roadmap to decarbonize and climate‑proof Japan’s healthcare sector"
journals.plos.org/climate/arti...
"From awareness to action: A three‑lever, CMIP‑aligned roadmap to decarbonize and climate‑proof Japan’s healthcare sector"
journals.plos.org/climate/arti...
It doesn't matter what CMIP model, do you see the shift from right to left, no matter if CMIP3, CMIP5 or CMIP6?
Some "hot models" are close to predicting to what we see today. But we should not trust models anymore given their poor record. Observational data we can trust.
Some "hot models" are close to predicting to what we see today. But we should not trust models anymore given their poor record. Observational data we can trust.
December 9, 2025 at 7:05 PM
It doesn't matter what CMIP model, do you see the shift from right to left, no matter if CMIP3, CMIP5 or CMIP6?
Some "hot models" are close to predicting to what we see today. But we should not trust models anymore given their poor record. Observational data we can trust.
Some "hot models" are close to predicting to what we see today. But we should not trust models anymore given their poor record. Observational data we can trust.
cc @yardcg.bsky.social Saw you commenting on the SAI thread. So maybe you'd also like to see what went thru my mind wrt the study.
Doesn't touch your CMIP questions tho. Just AMOC plus SRmeddling.
Doesn't touch your CMIP questions tho. Just AMOC plus SRmeddling.
December 7, 2025 at 6:18 PM
cc @yardcg.bsky.social Saw you commenting on the SAI thread. So maybe you'd also like to see what went thru my mind wrt the study.
Doesn't touch your CMIP questions tho. Just AMOC plus SRmeddling.
Doesn't touch your CMIP questions tho. Just AMOC plus SRmeddling.