Paul Graf
@paulginva.bsky.social
Retired lawyer. Moderate. Dog lover, cat tolerator. Grandfather. Vietnam vet. History, international relations, national security, high-profile litigation, economics, and a little politics.
Pinned
Paul Graf
@paulginva.bsky.social
· Jul 31
𝘏𝘶𝘮𝘢𝘯 𝘬𝘪𝘯𝘥𝘯𝘦𝘴𝘴 𝘩𝘢𝘴 𝘯𝘦𝘷𝘦𝘳 𝘸𝘦𝘢𝘬𝘦𝘯𝘦𝘥 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘴𝘵𝘢𝘮𝘪𝘯𝘢 𝘰𝘳 𝘴𝘰𝘧𝘵𝘦𝘯𝘦𝘥 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘧𝘪𝘣𝘦𝘳 𝘰𝘧 𝘢 𝘧𝘳𝘦𝘦 𝘱𝘦𝘰𝘱𝘭𝘦. 𝘈 𝘯𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯 𝘥𝘰𝘦𝘴 𝘯𝘰𝘵 𝘩𝘢𝘷𝘦 𝘵𝘰 𝘣𝘦 𝘤𝘳𝘶𝘦𝘭 𝘵𝘰 𝘣𝘦 𝘵𝘰𝘶𝘨𝘩. –𝘍𝘳𝘢𝘯𝘬𝘭𝘪𝘯 𝘋. 𝘙𝘰𝘰𝘴𝘦𝘷𝘦𝘭𝘵
Anyone remember Biden's war on cattle?
Brooke Rollins on spiking beef prices in November 2025: "There's a lot of reasons for that. The Biden-Harris administration had a war on cattle because they talked about climate change and cattle, um -- it was crazy."
November 26, 2025 at 7:54 PM
Anyone remember Biden's war on cattle?
A possible cure? Wouldn't that be amazing?
A 60-year old man in Germany became the seventh person with HIV to be announced free of the virus after receiving a stem-cell transplant
go.nature.com/48C68Ib
go.nature.com/48C68Ib
Seventh patient ‘cured’ of HIV: why scientists are excited
A man in Germany is HIV-free after receiving stem cells that are not resistant to the virus.
go.nature.com
November 26, 2025 at 5:36 PM
A possible cure? Wouldn't that be amazing?
Reposted by Paul Graf
Economist/YouGov Nov 21-24
% who think the U.S. government should | shouldn't release all of its files from the investigation of Jeffrey Epstein
U.S. adult citizens 81% | 5%
Democrats 93% | 3%
Independents 78% | 4%
Republicans 73% | 7%
today.yougov.com/politics/art...
% who think the U.S. government should | shouldn't release all of its files from the investigation of Jeffrey Epstein
U.S. adult citizens 81% | 5%
Democrats 93% | 3%
Independents 78% | 4%
Republicans 73% | 7%
today.yougov.com/politics/art...
November 26, 2025 at 4:43 PM
Economist/YouGov Nov 21-24
% who think the U.S. government should | shouldn't release all of its files from the investigation of Jeffrey Epstein
U.S. adult citizens 81% | 5%
Democrats 93% | 3%
Independents 78% | 4%
Republicans 73% | 7%
today.yougov.com/politics/art...
% who think the U.S. government should | shouldn't release all of its files from the investigation of Jeffrey Epstein
U.S. adult citizens 81% | 5%
Democrats 93% | 3%
Independents 78% | 4%
Republicans 73% | 7%
today.yougov.com/politics/art...
Reposted by Paul Graf
Economist/YouGov Nov 21-24: Jeffrey Epstein
Net approval of the way Donald Trump is handling investigations into Epstein, according to polls conducted [Jul 18-21 | Nov 21-24], among...
U.S. adult citizens -34 | -26
Democrats -75 | -75
Republicans +20 | +42
today.yougov.com/politics/art...
Net approval of the way Donald Trump is handling investigations into Epstein, according to polls conducted [Jul 18-21 | Nov 21-24], among...
U.S. adult citizens -34 | -26
Democrats -75 | -75
Republicans +20 | +42
today.yougov.com/politics/art...
November 26, 2025 at 4:43 PM
Economist/YouGov Nov 21-24: Jeffrey Epstein
Net approval of the way Donald Trump is handling investigations into Epstein, according to polls conducted [Jul 18-21 | Nov 21-24], among...
U.S. adult citizens -34 | -26
Democrats -75 | -75
Republicans +20 | +42
today.yougov.com/politics/art...
Net approval of the way Donald Trump is handling investigations into Epstein, according to polls conducted [Jul 18-21 | Nov 21-24], among...
U.S. adult citizens -34 | -26
Democrats -75 | -75
Republicans +20 | +42
today.yougov.com/politics/art...
Looks like Trump had a good week last week. At this rate, it will only take him about 20 years to close the gap. That's real progress.
Economist/YouGov Nov 21-24
41% of U.S. adult citizens have a favorable view of Donald Trump
55% have an unfavorable view
Net -15
Start of term
50% | 48% | +3
today.yougov.com/politics/art...
41% of U.S. adult citizens have a favorable view of Donald Trump
55% have an unfavorable view
Net -15
Start of term
50% | 48% | +3
today.yougov.com/politics/art...
![A line chart of YouGov polling data with the headline: "Favorable and unfavorable views of Donald Trump."
The chart has the sub-headline: "Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people? [Donald Trump] (% of U.S. adult citizens)."
The chart has the note: "Note: Responses of "don't know" are not shown. Data for Sept. 26 - Nov. 14, 2020 is among registered voters only."](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:ke6f766al4swdugyvmvyipuo/bafkreigkl7ypk2vk7etmomi5i7vxxqipbaizvl4xnbwvchkit5xgeu3rou@jpeg)
November 26, 2025 at 5:24 PM
Looks like Trump had a good week last week. At this rate, it will only take him about 20 years to close the gap. That's real progress.
Unless there's some kind of a moonshot-type breakthrough, I think that increasing AI adoption will be evolutionary, not revolutionary. Before it can make a huge impact, we have to figure out what we want it to do, then build the scaffolding to enable it, which seems like a long-tail exercise.
BROOKINGS: Our survey results lend themselves" to some conclusions:
".. professional AI use is far from ubiquitous and many respondents expressed skepticism that it would be as revolutionary as some experts expect."
@brookings.edu
www.brookings.edu/articles/how...
".. professional AI use is far from ubiquitous and many respondents expressed skepticism that it would be as revolutionary as some experts expect."
@brookings.edu
www.brookings.edu/articles/how...
How are Americans using AI? Evidence from a nationwide survey | Brookings
Brookings scholars Alikhani, Harris, and Patnaik break down the latest evidence on how Americans use AI, both personally and at work
www.brookings.edu
November 26, 2025 at 5:19 PM
Unless there's some kind of a moonshot-type breakthrough, I think that increasing AI adoption will be evolutionary, not revolutionary. Before it can make a huge impact, we have to figure out what we want it to do, then build the scaffolding to enable it, which seems like a long-tail exercise.
Nothing says "success" like cutting the fleet by 440 units.
".. Just last month, Musk explicitly stated that Tesla aimed to have 500 Robotaxis in Austin by the end of the year. Now, 'doubling' the current estimated fleet suggests the actual number will be closer to 60."
@electrek.co $TSLA
electrek.co/2025/11/26/e...
@electrek.co $TSLA
electrek.co/2025/11/26/e...
Elon Musk slashes Tesla Robotaxi fleet goal from 500 to ~60 in Austin
Elon Musk announced last night that Tesla is planning to “roughly double” its Robotaxi fleet in Austin next month. While...
electrek.co
November 26, 2025 at 5:05 PM
Nothing says "success" like cutting the fleet by 440 units.
I'm not sure. Right now I'm at about 40% that Noem made the decision versus 60% that Trump made it.
Nothing about the conduct of the Trump II White House would suggest that Noem was running the Alien Enemies Act operation herself, let alone out there freelancing on her own. But we’re supposed to believe that the buck stopped with … Kristi Noem.
talkingpointsmemo.com/morning-memo...
talkingpointsmemo.com/morning-memo...
The Contempt of Court Buck Stops With … Kristi Noem?
Not Buying It For One Hot Second For the first time, the...
talkingpointsmemo.com
November 26, 2025 at 4:53 PM
I'm not sure. Right now I'm at about 40% that Noem made the decision versus 60% that Trump made it.
Reposted by Paul Graf
Krugman nails it on collapsing bubbles, beats me to the punch. The collapse of the tech bubble in the 00s was not a single slide, but had many partial reversals. Look for the same with the AI bubble paulkrugman.substack.com/p/warning-th...
Warning: The Fed Can’t Rescue AI
Lessons from the dotcom crash
paulkrugman.substack.com
November 26, 2025 at 1:37 PM
Krugman nails it on collapsing bubbles, beats me to the punch. The collapse of the tech bubble in the 00s was not a single slide, but had many partial reversals. Look for the same with the AI bubble paulkrugman.substack.com/p/warning-th...
Modi has made a bad call in toadying to Putin. It just demonstrates that India has few cards to play right now and it smacks of desperation.
Will Modi Cozy Up to Putin?
Next week, the Russian leader visits New Delhi for the first time since his full-scale invasion of Ukraine.
foreignpolicy.com
November 26, 2025 at 4:23 PM
Modi has made a bad call in toadying to Putin. It just demonstrates that India has few cards to play right now and it smacks of desperation.
November 26, 2025 at 2:41 PM
The US military is gambling everything on AI.
But
“To China's war planners, AI is just another thing to deceive” -
Defense One's new China Intelligence report on how the PLA is prepping for battles against AI.
We need to get the mix right.
But
“To China's war planners, AI is just another thing to deceive” -
Defense One's new China Intelligence report on how the PLA is prepping for battles against AI.
We need to get the mix right.
November 26, 2025 at 1:42 PM
The US military is gambling everything on AI.
But
“To China's war planners, AI is just another thing to deceive” -
Defense One's new China Intelligence report on how the PLA is prepping for battles against AI.
We need to get the mix right.
But
“To China's war planners, AI is just another thing to deceive” -
Defense One's new China Intelligence report on how the PLA is prepping for battles against AI.
We need to get the mix right.
Good thread here by @mikemadrid.bsky.social over at The Other Place. Latinos have always struck me as the most optimistic demographic around. This year is better than last year and next year will be even better. This turnaround seems important.
Thread: x.com/madrid_mike/...
Thread: x.com/madrid_mike/...
November 26, 2025 at 1:26 PM
Good thread here by @mikemadrid.bsky.social over at The Other Place. Latinos have always struck me as the most optimistic demographic around. This year is better than last year and next year will be even better. This turnaround seems important.
Thread: x.com/madrid_mike/...
Thread: x.com/madrid_mike/...
This hasn't seemed to bother our Karoline very much.
White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt's relative detained by ICE
The mother of Leavitt's nephew is subject to deportation, sources said.
www.nbcnews.com
November 26, 2025 at 1:13 PM
This hasn't seemed to bother our Karoline very much.
Oh. Well, anyway....
November 26, 2025 at 1:09 PM
Oh. Well, anyway....
The amount of economic development potential wasted on surface parking is absolutely insane.(Boston's Seaport, Adam Osteen)
November 26, 2025 at 2:13 AM
The amount of economic development potential wasted on surface parking is absolutely insane.(Boston's Seaport, Adam Osteen)
Disgusting POS!
"'Me to you, I know what it’s going to take to get a peace deal done,' Witkoff said. 'Donetsk and maybe a land swap somewhere. But I’m saying instead of talking like that, let’s talk more hopefully because I think we’re going to get to a deal here.'"
"'Me to you, I know what it’s going to take to get a peace deal done,' Witkoff said. 'Donetsk and maybe a land swap somewhere. But I’m saying instead of talking like that, let’s talk more hopefully because I think we’re going to get to a deal here.'"
Witkoff Advised Russia on How to Pitch Ukraine Plan to Trump
US presidential envoy Steve Witkoff, fresh from the triumph of the Gaza peace deal, held a phone call last month with a senior Kremlin official to suggest they work together on a similar plan for Ukra...
www.bloomberg.com
November 26, 2025 at 1:41 AM
Disgusting POS!
"'Me to you, I know what it’s going to take to get a peace deal done,' Witkoff said. 'Donetsk and maybe a land swap somewhere. But I’m saying instead of talking like that, let’s talk more hopefully because I think we’re going to get to a deal here.'"
"'Me to you, I know what it’s going to take to get a peace deal done,' Witkoff said. 'Donetsk and maybe a land swap somewhere. But I’m saying instead of talking like that, let’s talk more hopefully because I think we’re going to get to a deal here.'"
Doesn't get much better than this. 🙂
Looks like it’s going to be another perfectly normal day from the American right-wing.
November 26, 2025 at 12:04 AM
Doesn't get much better than this. 🙂
Whisky Pete got community noted again.
November 25, 2025 at 11:57 PM
Whisky Pete got community noted again.
I'll never look at a photo of Scott Bessent the same way.
November 25, 2025 at 11:52 PM
I'll never look at a photo of Scott Bessent the same way.
Steve Witkoff isn't just some rich MAGA real estate developer. Like so many people around Trump, he has deep ties to Russia going back decades.
Read this thread: threadreaderapp.com/thread/19933...
Read this thread: threadreaderapp.com/thread/19933...
November 25, 2025 at 11:46 PM
Steve Witkoff isn't just some rich MAGA real estate developer. Like so many people around Trump, he has deep ties to Russia going back decades.
Read this thread: threadreaderapp.com/thread/19933...
Read this thread: threadreaderapp.com/thread/19933...
Why isn't this scandal more of a story?
November 25, 2025 at 11:37 PM
Why isn't this scandal more of a story?
The reason these neighborhoods are considered “historic” is because we literally made it illegal to build more of them.
November 25, 2025 at 11:33 PM
The reason these neighborhoods are considered “historic” is because we literally made it illegal to build more of them.
High prices of food, rents and healthcare force lower-income Americans to cut back on necessities just as the Trump administration curbs government supports.
November 25, 2025 at 11:25 PM
High prices of food, rents and healthcare force lower-income Americans to cut back on necessities just as the Trump administration curbs government supports.