Lukas Haffert
@lhaffert.bsky.social
I teach comparative politics at the University of Geneva, Alumnus @jungeakademie.bsky.social, Autor: "Stadt, Land, Frust. Eine politische Vermessung"
Pinned
Lukas Haffert
@lhaffert.bsky.social
· Oct 17
Why do rustbelts vote radical right? Studying the German Ruhr area, @nilsblossey.bsky.social, @lstoetze.bsky.social and I show: it’s not just about deindustrialization, but also about the original industrialization. Where coal is buried deeper and mining started later, the AfD is stronger today 1/12
Reposted by Lukas Haffert
Now out @apsrjournal.bsky.social with page numbers! 🫒
We advance a new argument on how economic crises fuel support for far-right parties in left-behind places by tapping into long-standing community narratives
shorturl.at/bA55v
@catherinedevries.bsky.social
We advance a new argument on how economic crises fuel support for far-right parties in left-behind places by tapping into long-standing community narratives
shorturl.at/bA55v
@catherinedevries.bsky.social
November 17, 2025 at 4:41 PM
Now out @apsrjournal.bsky.social with page numbers! 🫒
We advance a new argument on how economic crises fuel support for far-right parties in left-behind places by tapping into long-standing community narratives
shorturl.at/bA55v
@catherinedevries.bsky.social
We advance a new argument on how economic crises fuel support for far-right parties in left-behind places by tapping into long-standing community narratives
shorturl.at/bA55v
@catherinedevries.bsky.social
Reposted by Lukas Haffert
New publication!📢
@jvanslageren.bsky.social and I study political socialization during adolescence in urban and rural areas, using data from @adkspanel.bsky.social
Discussing politics with parents and peers is positively related to multiculturalist attitudes in cities, but not in rural places (1/3)
@jvanslageren.bsky.social and I study political socialization during adolescence in urban and rural areas, using data from @adkspanel.bsky.social
Discussing politics with parents and peers is positively related to multiculturalist attitudes in cities, but not in rural places (1/3)
November 17, 2025 at 8:08 AM
New publication!📢
@jvanslageren.bsky.social and I study political socialization during adolescence in urban and rural areas, using data from @adkspanel.bsky.social
Discussing politics with parents and peers is positively related to multiculturalist attitudes in cities, but not in rural places (1/3)
@jvanslageren.bsky.social and I study political socialization during adolescence in urban and rural areas, using data from @adkspanel.bsky.social
Discussing politics with parents and peers is positively related to multiculturalist attitudes in cities, but not in rural places (1/3)
Reposted by Lukas Haffert
🚨New working paper: Compositional Effects, Internal Migration and Electoral Outcomes
osf.io/preprints/so...
#polisciresearch
osf.io/preprints/so...
#polisciresearch
November 13, 2025 at 1:13 PM
🚨New working paper: Compositional Effects, Internal Migration and Electoral Outcomes
osf.io/preprints/so...
#polisciresearch
osf.io/preprints/so...
#polisciresearch
Reposted by Lukas Haffert
We have just published the call for the Nuffield Postdoctoral Prize Research Fellowships in Politics. These are 3-year fully-funded postdocs that will allow you to focus on your research in a great academic environment. (And with excellent food)
www.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/the-college/...
www.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/the-college/...
Postdoctoral Prize Research Fellowships in Politics - Nuffield College Oxford University
www.nuffield.ox.ac.uk
November 6, 2025 at 1:27 PM
We have just published the call for the Nuffield Postdoctoral Prize Research Fellowships in Politics. These are 3-year fully-funded postdocs that will allow you to focus on your research in a great academic environment. (And with excellent food)
www.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/the-college/...
www.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/the-college/...
Reposted by Lukas Haffert
We leverage this exogenous variation in voting costs to test irregularities’ impact on turnout in a DiD design. The increased waiting times, although small and unexpected, suppressed turnout by *0.73 pp.* in the affected voting districts (most conservative estimate).
[4/5]
[4/5]
November 4, 2025 at 12:38 PM
We leverage this exogenous variation in voting costs to test irregularities’ impact on turnout in a DiD design. The increased waiting times, although small and unexpected, suppressed turnout by *0.73 pp.* in the affected voting districts (most conservative estimate).
[4/5]
[4/5]
Reposted by Lukas Haffert
Sunk cost fallacy makes effects unlikely. We look at the 2021 federal election in Berlin, where – thanks to a coincidence of administrative mistakes – in 14% of voting districts long queues formed in front of polling stations, some of which even had to close for a while.
[3/5]
[3/5]
November 4, 2025 at 12:38 PM
Sunk cost fallacy makes effects unlikely. We look at the 2021 federal election in Berlin, where – thanks to a coincidence of administrative mistakes – in 14% of voting districts long queues formed in front of polling stations, some of which even had to close for a while.
[3/5]
[3/5]
Erinnert sich noch jemand an das Berliner Wahlchaos von 2021? Diese Studie von @jonasfischer.bsky.social & @fluegeldo.bsky.social zeigt: das Chaos hat die Wahlbeteiligung in den betroffenen Stimmbezirken tatsächlich um 0,7 Prozentpunkte reduziert. Die Leute sind entnervt wieder nach Hause gegangen.
I’m happy to see this short paper with @fluegeldo.bsky.social on unexpected hikes in voting costs out in @thejop.bsky.social !
doi.org/10.1086/739405
[1/5]
doi.org/10.1086/739405
[1/5]
November 12, 2025 at 7:00 AM
Erinnert sich noch jemand an das Berliner Wahlchaos von 2021? Diese Studie von @jonasfischer.bsky.social & @fluegeldo.bsky.social zeigt: das Chaos hat die Wahlbeteiligung in den betroffenen Stimmbezirken tatsächlich um 0,7 Prozentpunkte reduziert. Die Leute sind entnervt wieder nach Hause gegangen.
Reposted by Lukas Haffert
🚨Elites often warn: taxing the rich hurts everyone.
🤔But do citizens buy that story?
With @bcastanho.bsky.social & Hanna Lierse, we find: They don’t! Most people believe progressive taxes can deliver both — more equality and more growth. @jpublicpolicy.bsky.social #openaccess cup.org/3JVuvHm
🤔But do citizens buy that story?
With @bcastanho.bsky.social & Hanna Lierse, we find: They don’t! Most people believe progressive taxes can deliver both — more equality and more growth. @jpublicpolicy.bsky.social #openaccess cup.org/3JVuvHm
Taxing your cake and growing it too: public beliefs on the dual benefits of progressive taxation | Journal of Public Policy | Cambridge Core
Taxing your cake and growing it too: public beliefs on the dual benefits of progressive taxation
cup.org
November 11, 2025 at 11:46 AM
🚨Elites often warn: taxing the rich hurts everyone.
🤔But do citizens buy that story?
With @bcastanho.bsky.social & Hanna Lierse, we find: They don’t! Most people believe progressive taxes can deliver both — more equality and more growth. @jpublicpolicy.bsky.social #openaccess cup.org/3JVuvHm
🤔But do citizens buy that story?
With @bcastanho.bsky.social & Hanna Lierse, we find: They don’t! Most people believe progressive taxes can deliver both — more equality and more growth. @jpublicpolicy.bsky.social #openaccess cup.org/3JVuvHm
Reposted by Lukas Haffert
Just published in @bjpols.bsky.social: @sergipardos.bsky.social and I show that inter-regional moves in pursuit of employment security reduce individual worries about immigration—a mobility pattern that, in the aggregate, reinforces spatial polarization in anti-immigration sentiment. cup.org/3XiB6yD
November 10, 2025 at 1:20 PM
Just published in @bjpols.bsky.social: @sergipardos.bsky.social and I show that inter-regional moves in pursuit of employment security reduce individual worries about immigration—a mobility pattern that, in the aggregate, reinforces spatial polarization in anti-immigration sentiment. cup.org/3XiB6yD
Reposted by Lukas Haffert
How are contemporary cleavage structures stabilized in times of declining mass social and political organizations?
In this new paper with @davidattewell6.bsky.social @bjpols.bsky.social, we suggest that homogeneous social (educational) networks provide part of the answer.
tinyurl.com/49cs8jwp
In this new paper with @davidattewell6.bsky.social @bjpols.bsky.social, we suggest that homogeneous social (educational) networks provide part of the answer.
tinyurl.com/49cs8jwp
Educational Networks, Social Closure, and Cleavage Stabilization | British Journal of Political Science | Cambridge Core
Educational Networks, Social Closure, and Cleavage Stabilization - Volume 55
tinyurl.com
November 6, 2025 at 8:28 AM
How are contemporary cleavage structures stabilized in times of declining mass social and political organizations?
In this new paper with @davidattewell6.bsky.social @bjpols.bsky.social, we suggest that homogeneous social (educational) networks provide part of the answer.
tinyurl.com/49cs8jwp
In this new paper with @davidattewell6.bsky.social @bjpols.bsky.social, we suggest that homogeneous social (educational) networks provide part of the answer.
tinyurl.com/49cs8jwp
Reposted by Lukas Haffert
Share widely with your students in Switzerland 🇨🇭thinking about a PhD @eui-eu.bsky.social
𝗢𝗻𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗲 𝗘𝗨𝗜 𝗣𝗵𝗗 𝗣𝗿𝗲𝗽 𝗧𝗮𝗹𝗸 🇨🇭
21 Nov 2025 | 2:30pm CET
@alissasiara.bsky.social introduces the program & life at EUI, I share my experience, and we answer your questions.
👉 Register: www.eui.eu/events?id=58...
𝗢𝗻𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗲 𝗘𝗨𝗜 𝗣𝗵𝗗 𝗣𝗿𝗲𝗽 𝗧𝗮𝗹𝗸 🇨🇭
21 Nov 2025 | 2:30pm CET
@alissasiara.bsky.social introduces the program & life at EUI, I share my experience, and we answer your questions.
👉 Register: www.eui.eu/events?id=58...
PhD Prep Talk: Switzerland
Meet an EUI Researcher and alumnus from your country!
www.eui.eu
November 5, 2025 at 12:14 PM
Share widely with your students in Switzerland 🇨🇭thinking about a PhD @eui-eu.bsky.social
𝗢𝗻𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗲 𝗘𝗨𝗜 𝗣𝗵𝗗 𝗣𝗿𝗲𝗽 𝗧𝗮𝗹𝗸 🇨🇭
21 Nov 2025 | 2:30pm CET
@alissasiara.bsky.social introduces the program & life at EUI, I share my experience, and we answer your questions.
👉 Register: www.eui.eu/events?id=58...
𝗢𝗻𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗲 𝗘𝗨𝗜 𝗣𝗵𝗗 𝗣𝗿𝗲𝗽 𝗧𝗮𝗹𝗸 🇨🇭
21 Nov 2025 | 2:30pm CET
@alissasiara.bsky.social introduces the program & life at EUI, I share my experience, and we answer your questions.
👉 Register: www.eui.eu/events?id=58...
Reposted by Lukas Haffert
Last Friday, new English Indices of Deprivation were released for the first time since 2019, measuring relative deprivation in 33,755 areas of England across multiple domains. How do these geographic disparities relate to voting patterns in the UK’s last General Election? A short thread 🧵
November 3, 2025 at 8:41 AM
Last Friday, new English Indices of Deprivation were released for the first time since 2019, measuring relative deprivation in 33,755 areas of England across multiple domains. How do these geographic disparities relate to voting patterns in the UK’s last General Election? A short thread 🧵
Reposted by Lukas Haffert
Why do rustbelts vote radical right? Studying the German Ruhr area, @nilsblossey.bsky.social, @lstoetze.bsky.social and I show: it’s not just about deindustrialization, but also about the original industrialization. Where coal is buried deeper and mining started later, the AfD is stronger today 1/12
October 17, 2025 at 2:29 PM
Why do rustbelts vote radical right? Studying the German Ruhr area, @nilsblossey.bsky.social, @lstoetze.bsky.social and I show: it’s not just about deindustrialization, but also about the original industrialization. Where coal is buried deeper and mining started later, the AfD is stronger today 1/12
Reposted by Lukas Haffert
Wie stark sich die Sozialstruktur der Schweizer Gesellschaft in den letzten Jahrzehnten verändert hat, ist wirklich beeindruckend: In der Stadt Zürich hat sich beispielsweise der Anteil der Menschen mit Universitätsabschluss seit 1990 mehr als verdreifacht (von 19 auf 63%).
November 2, 2025 at 2:27 PM
Wie stark sich die Sozialstruktur der Schweizer Gesellschaft in den letzten Jahrzehnten verändert hat, ist wirklich beeindruckend: In der Stadt Zürich hat sich beispielsweise der Anteil der Menschen mit Universitätsabschluss seit 1990 mehr als verdreifacht (von 19 auf 63%).
Sehr spannende Aufbereitung der schweizer Bildungsgeographie: www.tagesanzeiger.ch/bildung-schw...
Interaktive Karte für die ganze Schweiz: Finden Sie heraus, wie gebildet Ihre Nachbarn sind
Neue Daten zeigen die Bildungsexpansion der Schweizer Bevölkerung so detailliert wie noch nie. Zwischen den Gemeinden bestehen teilweise riesige Unterschiede.
www.tagesanzeiger.ch
November 2, 2025 at 2:19 PM
Sehr spannende Aufbereitung der schweizer Bildungsgeographie: www.tagesanzeiger.ch/bildung-schw...
Reposted by Lukas Haffert
Happy to share that our paper on the ideological biases of international organizations is now out in the current issue of the AJPS (@ajpseditor.bsky.social):
dx.doi.org/10.1111/ajps...
@the-peio.bsky.social @mzesunimannheim.bsky.social @akentikelenis.bsky.social
dx.doi.org/10.1111/ajps...
@the-peio.bsky.social @mzesunimannheim.bsky.social @akentikelenis.bsky.social
October 31, 2025 at 9:16 AM
Happy to share that our paper on the ideological biases of international organizations is now out in the current issue of the AJPS (@ajpseditor.bsky.social):
dx.doi.org/10.1111/ajps...
@the-peio.bsky.social @mzesunimannheim.bsky.social @akentikelenis.bsky.social
dx.doi.org/10.1111/ajps...
@the-peio.bsky.social @mzesunimannheim.bsky.social @akentikelenis.bsky.social
Reposted by Lukas Haffert
NEW -
Seeking Opportunity in the Knowledge Economy: Moving Places, Moving Politics? - https://cup.org/3LgxVos
"moving to opportunity results in... more left-leaning self-identification, and lower support for far-right parties"
- @valentinaconsiglio.bsky.social & @thmskrr.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Seeking Opportunity in the Knowledge Economy: Moving Places, Moving Politics? - https://cup.org/3LgxVos
"moving to opportunity results in... more left-leaning self-identification, and lower support for far-right parties"
- @valentinaconsiglio.bsky.social & @thmskrr.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
October 30, 2025 at 8:50 AM
NEW -
Seeking Opportunity in the Knowledge Economy: Moving Places, Moving Politics? - https://cup.org/3LgxVos
"moving to opportunity results in... more left-leaning self-identification, and lower support for far-right parties"
- @valentinaconsiglio.bsky.social & @thmskrr.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Seeking Opportunity in the Knowledge Economy: Moving Places, Moving Politics? - https://cup.org/3LgxVos
"moving to opportunity results in... more left-leaning self-identification, and lower support for far-right parties"
- @valentinaconsiglio.bsky.social & @thmskrr.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Reposted by Lukas Haffert
We have just advertised a Full Prof position in the Political and Social Sciences department at the EUI (@eui-sps.bsky.social). Here are the details. Please spread the word, and get in touch if you have any questions.
www.eui.eu/Documents/Se...
www.eui.eu/Documents/Se...
www.eui.eu
October 23, 2025 at 2:03 PM
We have just advertised a Full Prof position in the Political and Social Sciences department at the EUI (@eui-sps.bsky.social). Here are the details. Please spread the word, and get in touch if you have any questions.
www.eui.eu/Documents/Se...
www.eui.eu/Documents/Se...
Reposted by Lukas Haffert
Wie blicken die vom Kohleausstieg betroffenen Städte und Gemeinden auf den Strukturwandel in den Revieren? Um das herauszufinden, haben wir von April bis Juli 2024 alle 651 Kommunen in den Kohleregionen zu einer Befragung eingeladen. Nun sind die ersten Ergebnisse erschienen: doi.org/10.58007/krk...
October 23, 2025 at 9:18 AM
Wie blicken die vom Kohleausstieg betroffenen Städte und Gemeinden auf den Strukturwandel in den Revieren? Um das herauszufinden, haben wir von April bis Juli 2024 alle 651 Kommunen in den Kohleregionen zu einer Befragung eingeladen. Nun sind die ersten Ergebnisse erschienen: doi.org/10.58007/krk...
Reposted by Lukas Haffert
How it started vs. how it's going
October 23, 2025 at 8:13 AM
How it started vs. how it's going
Reposted by Lukas Haffert
*Call for Applications*
We’re excited to announce the Fourth Doctoral Conference on the Social and Political Constitution of the Economy!
Abstract Deadline: December 1, 2025
Link to the conference website: www.mpifg.de/1432364/2026...
Please share widely!
@mpifg.bsky.social
We’re excited to announce the Fourth Doctoral Conference on the Social and Political Constitution of the Economy!
Abstract Deadline: December 1, 2025
Link to the conference website: www.mpifg.de/1432364/2026...
Please share widely!
@mpifg.bsky.social
Fourth Doctoral Conference on the Social and Political Constitution of the Economy
The Fourth Doctoral Conference on the Social and Political Constitution of the Economy aims at building bridges and finding commonalities among young scholars whose research is addressing the complex ...
www.mpifg.de
October 23, 2025 at 7:37 AM
*Call for Applications*
We’re excited to announce the Fourth Doctoral Conference on the Social and Political Constitution of the Economy!
Abstract Deadline: December 1, 2025
Link to the conference website: www.mpifg.de/1432364/2026...
Please share widely!
@mpifg.bsky.social
We’re excited to announce the Fourth Doctoral Conference on the Social and Political Constitution of the Economy!
Abstract Deadline: December 1, 2025
Link to the conference website: www.mpifg.de/1432364/2026...
Please share widely!
@mpifg.bsky.social
Reposted by Lukas Haffert
Applications for our flagship Visiting Scholars Program are now open and close Dec 14, 2025. Scholars who are European citizens can also apply for our 4 fellowships. Please share widely! @dziblatt.bsky.social
🔗https://ces.fas.harvard.edu/opportunities/visiting-scholars-overview/visiting-scholars
🔗https://ces.fas.harvard.edu/opportunities/visiting-scholars-overview/visiting-scholars
October 22, 2025 at 7:26 PM
Applications for our flagship Visiting Scholars Program are now open and close Dec 14, 2025. Scholars who are European citizens can also apply for our 4 fellowships. Please share widely! @dziblatt.bsky.social
🔗https://ces.fas.harvard.edu/opportunities/visiting-scholars-overview/visiting-scholars
🔗https://ces.fas.harvard.edu/opportunities/visiting-scholars-overview/visiting-scholars
Reposted by Lukas Haffert
Wonderful to see our paper on perceived inequality and populism at the EJPR. 👇
🆕 Perceived #Inequality and #Populism
Evidence from 🇩🇰🇩🇪🇮🇹 show that people who perceive great inequality are more likely to hold populist attitudes according to @lstoetze.bsky.social, Johannes Giesecke & @heikekluever.bsky.social 🗣️
📖 #OA
Evidence from 🇩🇰🇩🇪🇮🇹 show that people who perceive great inequality are more likely to hold populist attitudes according to @lstoetze.bsky.social, Johannes Giesecke & @heikekluever.bsky.social 🗣️
📖 #OA
Perceived inequality and populism | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
Perceived inequality and populism
buff.ly
October 22, 2025 at 2:40 PM
Wonderful to see our paper on perceived inequality and populism at the EJPR. 👇
"Second, we find significant improvements in student test scores in the second year of the ban after that initial adjustment period...effects of cellphone bans are more pronounced in middle and high school settings where student smartphone ownership is more common."
New study on student cellphone bans finds short-term increases in discipline issues but ultimately improvements in both attendance and student achievement. www.nber.org/papers/w3438...
The Impact of Cellphone Bans in Schools on Student Outcomes: Evidence from Florida
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
www.nber.org
October 20, 2025 at 5:46 PM
"Second, we find significant improvements in student test scores in the second year of the ban after that initial adjustment period...effects of cellphone bans are more pronounced in middle and high school settings where student smartphone ownership is more common."
Reposted by Lukas Haffert
This is interesting: the idea of the "post-industrial" or "deindustrialised" region is really pervasive, when in fact there's a lot of historical specificity that's missed out. The trajectory and technology of mining, diversification of industry, local/national tensions eg motor industry...
Why do rustbelts vote radical right? Studying the German Ruhr area, @nilsblossey.bsky.social, @lstoetze.bsky.social and I show: it’s not just about deindustrialization, but also about the original industrialization. Where coal is buried deeper and mining started later, the AfD is stronger today 1/12
October 20, 2025 at 9:44 AM
This is interesting: the idea of the "post-industrial" or "deindustrialised" region is really pervasive, when in fact there's a lot of historical specificity that's missed out. The trajectory and technology of mining, diversification of industry, local/national tensions eg motor industry...