Lukas Haffert
@lhaffert.bsky.social
I teach comparative politics at the University of Geneva, Alumnus @jungeakademie.bsky.social, Autor: "Stadt, Land, Frust. Eine politische Vermessung"
Reposted by Lukas Haffert
We leverage this exogenous variation in voting costs to test irregularities’ impact on turnout in a DiD design. The increased waiting times, although small and unexpected, suppressed turnout by *0.73 pp.* in the affected voting districts (most conservative estimate).
[4/5]
[4/5]
November 4, 2025 at 12:38 PM
We leverage this exogenous variation in voting costs to test irregularities’ impact on turnout in a DiD design. The increased waiting times, although small and unexpected, suppressed turnout by *0.73 pp.* in the affected voting districts (most conservative estimate).
[4/5]
[4/5]
Reposted by Lukas Haffert
Sunk cost fallacy makes effects unlikely. We look at the 2021 federal election in Berlin, where – thanks to a coincidence of administrative mistakes – in 14% of voting districts long queues formed in front of polling stations, some of which even had to close for a while.
[3/5]
[3/5]
November 4, 2025 at 12:38 PM
Sunk cost fallacy makes effects unlikely. We look at the 2021 federal election in Berlin, where – thanks to a coincidence of administrative mistakes – in 14% of voting districts long queues formed in front of polling stations, some of which even had to close for a while.
[3/5]
[3/5]
We are using the federal election of February 2025. We didnt collect data for the recent local elections but I am sure that the results would be very similar.
October 21, 2025 at 8:01 AM
We are using the federal election of February 2025. We didnt collect data for the recent local elections but I am sure that the results would be very similar.