Leo Lenox
banner
leolenox.bsky.social
Leo Lenox
@leolenox.bsky.social
Tweeting here about energy, energy security and related things in the Baltic region.
Very few people seemingly spare even a few seconds for an intrusive thought like that :)
May 2, 2025 at 2:22 PM
Could you share the source? I harbor a suspicion it's fake (since the blackout happened around midday and by the evening half of power was on).

Here's Andalusia at night (as per NASA).

www.earthdata.nasa.gov/news/worldvi...
Power Outage in Spain | NASA Earthdata
NASA's Blue/Yellow Composite of nighttime lights in Spain after a power outage was captured on April 29, 2025, from the VIIRS instrument aboard the NOAA-20 satellite.
www.earthdata.nasa.gov
May 2, 2025 at 2:17 PM
She is keeping an eye so that nobody offers Pete a drink.
May 1, 2025 at 1:54 PM
Sure. Now we have a rather large capability gap. I'd wish we were looking at it as a task to complete or a challenge to overcome, rather than an unsurmountable obstacle, fatally locking Europe to US at the time when US is at its absolute worst.
April 23, 2025 at 9:18 AM
Interesting conversation, thank You. Mr. Michta has a fascinating American view on Europe, where it:
▪️Is a freerider and it is embarrasing that these rich countries aren‘t taking care of their own defence, and
▪️cannot possibly take care of their own defence because USA is the only deterrent. :)
April 22, 2025 at 7:10 AM
We should be treating populists preferentially in the eyes of the law just because they are popular? Quite a sad take.
April 2, 2025 at 11:15 AM
Reposted by Leo Lenox
Fortunately the remedies remain mostly the same, whether they genuinely were accidents or not.

Confiscate the ships, try the crews, and auction anything valuable found to cover the damages unless the crew or ship owners fork out enough cash.

Should stop the incidents eventually either way.
February 12, 2025 at 3:29 PM
Saturday – frequency stability tests (see right side of the frequency graph).

As if tests weren't enough, around 1400 local time (highlighted) a large gas generator disconnected (red line).

It was replaced by hydro & pumped h. (lower blue).

Freq. dropped to 49,6. Still – no disruptions.
February 8, 2025 at 4:45 PM
Through what - WiFi? This "scoop" is ludicrous in so many ways.
January 30, 2025 at 9:26 AM
/cntd

And an undue infatuation of Eastern European media with their Western counterparts leads to such slanted reporting spreading.

bsky.app/profile/kyiv...
⚡️ EU debates restarting Russian gas purchases as part of Ukraine peace deal, FT reports.

The proposal's advocates, including Hungarian and German officials, argue that the move could give both Russia and Europe incentives to maintain a potential peace deal, the FT reported.
EU debates restarting Russian gas purchases as part of Ukraine peace deal, FT reports
The proposal's advocates, including Hungarian and German officials, argue that the move could give both Russia and Europe incentives to maintain a ceasefire while stabilizing the continent's energy ma...
kyivindependent.com
January 30, 2025 at 8:07 AM
▪️Propaganda slipups like "liquefied natural gas from America, which is more expensive than piped gas"

(I know, Gazprom did rot brains with this nonsense over decades, but go ahead and ask yourself if piped Russian gas in 2022 was cheaper than American LNG today).

Not surprised any more.

2/fin
January 30, 2025 at 7:50 AM
I vote Yi Peng. Clean break.
January 27, 2025 at 11:10 AM
You guys alrite there? Need somebody to call 999? If you smell toast – that might be a stroke.
January 27, 2025 at 9:29 AM
I don't mean to be a party pooper. Most of the stuff mr. Wilkie says are great, but his idea of "spigots opening" and 40$ oil is nonsensical. Kinda deflates the whole thing a bit.
January 23, 2025 at 1:42 PM
"Learning to live with" does not sound like a solution.

The question that follows "might not be possible to get this level of certainty" is "what level of certainty we can meaningfully get to and what to do once we're there".
January 22, 2025 at 3:26 PM
LitPol Link is the only connection that, if brought down, could delay the synchronization itself. Security around it was tightened recently.

9/fin
January 20, 2025 at 7:27 PM
There is another HVAC line on the way – 700 MW Harmony Link (same) – but it will be built in a few years, meaning, post synchronization.

Post synchronization power trade via this link will either cease, of be very limited. All of it will be rather dedicated for system operations.

8/
January 20, 2025 at 7:27 PM
2️⃣ There is one overhead HVAC (high voltage alternating current) line connecting the Baltic states to Poland and thus to European continental grid. That is:

▪️ (d.) 500 MW LitPol Link (LT-PL, operated Litgrid & Polskie Sieci Elektroenergetyczne, PSE), built in 2015.

7/
January 20, 2025 at 7:27 PM
Also, synchronous area is an area in which the electricity grids are connected by alternating current (HVAC) connections, and not direct current ones (HVDC).

⚡ However, these interconnectors are very helpful for balancing the Baltic grid and provide low-cost power imports.

6/
January 20, 2025 at 7:27 PM