Jeff Carter
@jeffcarter.bsky.social
Researches and professes about international relations. “An incredibly average scholar.” Co-director of the Correlates of War project. Probably thinking about music, food, or the dog.
Reposted by Jeff Carter
If the government won't bail out my crypto losses, I'm going to become an even bigger libertarian.
November 22, 2025 at 3:28 PM
If the government won't bail out my crypto losses, I'm going to become an even bigger libertarian.
Reposted by Jeff Carter
👇 Not only is this true, it is literally the only non-revolutionary path to a political transition. There is no option for a regime change where your only allies are the people who always shared your values!
People getting mad here about anyone saying it's good that MTG and Trump are fighting. I teach democratization every semester. The first slide says 'elite fracture.' That's always where it starts. It's good when people with bad politics are fighting one another.
I do not regret to inform you that we are going to win
November 16, 2025 at 3:44 PM
👇 Not only is this true, it is literally the only non-revolutionary path to a political transition. There is no option for a regime change where your only allies are the people who always shared your values!
Reposted by Jeff Carter
👋 I'm Danielle, and I'm on the #econjobmarket this year!
Let's start with a student describing her segregated school:
"The school felt temporary. Built like a warehouse with aluminum siding . . . I had a slipshod education"
The twist? The student is white, and her school is private.
A JMP 🧵 -->
Let's start with a student describing her segregated school:
"The school felt temporary. Built like a warehouse with aluminum siding . . . I had a slipshod education"
The twist? The student is white, and her school is private.
A JMP 🧵 -->
November 12, 2025 at 3:57 PM
👋 I'm Danielle, and I'm on the #econjobmarket this year!
Let's start with a student describing her segregated school:
"The school felt temporary. Built like a warehouse with aluminum siding . . . I had a slipshod education"
The twist? The student is white, and her school is private.
A JMP 🧵 -->
Let's start with a student describing her segregated school:
"The school felt temporary. Built like a warehouse with aluminum siding . . . I had a slipshod education"
The twist? The student is white, and her school is private.
A JMP 🧵 -->
Reposted by Jeff Carter
(This also reminds us of the need to introduce some more consistent version-numbering rules, which we'll do in the not-too-distant future.)
a man in a suit and tie is saying fix this .
ALT: a man in a suit and tie is saying fix this .
media.tenor.com
November 3, 2025 at 10:16 PM
(This also reminds us of the need to introduce some more consistent version-numbering rules, which we'll do in the not-too-distant future.)
Reposted by Jeff Carter
We've introduced a minor update to COW's State System Membership Data, updating the coverage through 2024 and making available "blank" dyad-year and directed dyad-year data sets, in addition to the traditional state-year data.
correlatesofwar.org/data-sets/st...
correlatesofwar.org/data-sets/st...
State System Membership (v2024) – The Correlates of War Project
correlatesofwar.org
November 3, 2025 at 10:14 PM
We've introduced a minor update to COW's State System Membership Data, updating the coverage through 2024 and making available "blank" dyad-year and directed dyad-year data sets, in addition to the traditional state-year data.
correlatesofwar.org/data-sets/st...
correlatesofwar.org/data-sets/st...
Reposted by Jeff Carter
ANES Data Release! electionstudies.org/data-center/...
The 3-wave ANES panel is now available. It merges data from 3 election studies (2016-2020-2024), the first time the ANES has collected interviews of the same respondents across 3 presidential elections.
The 3-wave ANES panel is now available. It merges data from 3 election studies (2016-2020-2024), the first time the ANES has collected interviews of the same respondents across 3 presidential elections.
2016-2020-2024-panel-merged-study - ANES | American National Election Studies
electionstudies.org
November 1, 2025 at 8:47 PM
ANES Data Release! electionstudies.org/data-center/...
The 3-wave ANES panel is now available. It merges data from 3 election studies (2016-2020-2024), the first time the ANES has collected interviews of the same respondents across 3 presidential elections.
The 3-wave ANES panel is now available. It merges data from 3 election studies (2016-2020-2024), the first time the ANES has collected interviews of the same respondents across 3 presidential elections.
Reposted by Jeff Carter
New data, data nerds!
ANES Data Release! electionstudies.org/data-center/...
The 3-wave ANES panel is now available. It merges data from 3 election studies (2016-2020-2024), the first time the ANES has collected interviews of the same respondents across 3 presidential elections.
The 3-wave ANES panel is now available. It merges data from 3 election studies (2016-2020-2024), the first time the ANES has collected interviews of the same respondents across 3 presidential elections.
2016-2020-2024-panel-merged-study - ANES | American National Election Studies
electionstudies.org
November 1, 2025 at 9:07 PM
New data, data nerds!
Reposted by Jeff Carter
He also made Bob Lighthizer his Deputy USTR & created incredible new forms of protectionism ("voluntary export restraints") during a trade war with 🇯🇵 that Trump has used as his model for how to approach trade with 🇨🇳 today. Please, let's stop it with the Reagan was a Paladin of Free Trade stuff.
It wasn't fake. It was edited. But Reagan really did spend a five-minute speech – an April 25, 1987, national radio address that the Reagan Library has published on YouTube – to rail against tariffs. It was a full-throated expression of support for free and fair trade.
https://cnn.it/4o5pBGv
https://cnn.it/4o5pBGv
October 24, 2025 at 6:01 PM
He also made Bob Lighthizer his Deputy USTR & created incredible new forms of protectionism ("voluntary export restraints") during a trade war with 🇯🇵 that Trump has used as his model for how to approach trade with 🇨🇳 today. Please, let's stop it with the Reagan was a Paladin of Free Trade stuff.
Reposted by Jeff Carter
Student media rules. They are lapping a lot of the spineless media orgs this year and showing how solidarity is the way.
October 18, 2025 at 7:21 PM
Student media rules. They are lapping a lot of the spineless media orgs this year and showing how solidarity is the way.
Reposted by Jeff Carter
If you aren't failing you aren't trying. Grad students and new faculty: the most prolific scholars are also the most prolific at getting rejected. Rejections suck but they are a big part of the publication process.
October 8, 2025 at 8:12 PM
If you aren't failing you aren't trying. Grad students and new faculty: the most prolific scholars are also the most prolific at getting rejected. Rejections suck but they are a big part of the publication process.
Reposted by Jeff Carter
Call for Proposals! APSA R&P is accepting proposals for small grant awards of up to $2,500 for research on R&P. Proposals may address any topic of theoretical, empirical, and practical significance for the study of religion and politics. Apply here: bit.ly/4gRt4py
Call for Proposals: Small Grants for Research in Religion and Politics
Call for Proposals: Small Grants for Research in Religion and Politics Due November 10, 2025 The Religion and Politics section of the American Political Science Association is requesting proposals ...
bit.ly
October 1, 2025 at 11:10 PM
Call for Proposals! APSA R&P is accepting proposals for small grant awards of up to $2,500 for research on R&P. Proposals may address any topic of theoretical, empirical, and practical significance for the study of religion and politics. Apply here: bit.ly/4gRt4py
Reposted by Jeff Carter
Announcing the barest of web redesigns at correlatesofwar.org. Look on our new logo, ye mighty, and despair.
The Correlates of War Project – The Correlates of War Project
correlatesofwar.org
October 1, 2025 at 7:37 PM
Announcing the barest of web redesigns at correlatesofwar.org. Look on our new logo, ye mighty, and despair.
Reposted by Jeff Carter
Why don't you continue the momentum from APSA and present your work at JAWS? We are still taking submissions!
docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
September 15, 2025 at 3:06 PM
Why don't you continue the momentum from APSA and present your work at JAWS? We are still taking submissions!
docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
Reposted by Jeff Carter
From Jan–July 2025, U.S. musical instrument exports are 8.4% below the 2021–24 avg.
Brazil (-28%), China (-27%), Italy (-23%), and Canada (-12%) saw sharpest Y-o-Y drops.
Why?
NOT retaliation (ex-China)
- Higher input costs
- Global economic uncertainty
- Consumer substitution away from brands
Brazil (-28%), China (-27%), Italy (-23%), and Canada (-12%) saw sharpest Y-o-Y drops.
Why?
NOT retaliation (ex-China)
- Higher input costs
- Global economic uncertainty
- Consumer substitution away from brands
NEW: From Jan-Jul 2025 US exports of musical instruments were 8.4% lower than average over same time 2021–24, likely reflecting higher input costs passed to consumers, dampened demand amid economic uncertainty, & for some, conscious substitution away from US products. By @cullenhendrix.bsky.social:
Tariffs and economic uncertainty are hitting US musical instrument exports
From January through July 2025, US exports of musical instruments were 8.4 percent lower than the average over the same months in 2021–24, with even steeper year-on-year declines in key markets such a...
www.piie.com
September 15, 2025 at 5:23 PM
From Jan–July 2025, U.S. musical instrument exports are 8.4% below the 2021–24 avg.
Brazil (-28%), China (-27%), Italy (-23%), and Canada (-12%) saw sharpest Y-o-Y drops.
Why?
NOT retaliation (ex-China)
- Higher input costs
- Global economic uncertainty
- Consumer substitution away from brands
Brazil (-28%), China (-27%), Italy (-23%), and Canada (-12%) saw sharpest Y-o-Y drops.
Why?
NOT retaliation (ex-China)
- Higher input costs
- Global economic uncertainty
- Consumer substitution away from brands
Reposted by Jeff Carter
We are hiring in American Politics! While some areas are listed as preferences, we are open to a wide variety of specializations. I am happy to answer any questions you might have about the position. Please circulate in your networks.
appstate.peopleadmin.com/postings/50925
appstate.peopleadmin.com/postings/50925
Tenure-Track Assistant Professor in Political Science
The individual hired in this position will contribute to the curriculum of lower and upper-level undergraduate courses, and graduate courses based on their area of expertise and program needs. The tea...
appstate.peopleadmin.com
September 5, 2025 at 10:02 PM
We are hiring in American Politics! While some areas are listed as preferences, we are open to a wide variety of specializations. I am happy to answer any questions you might have about the position. Please circulate in your networks.
appstate.peopleadmin.com/postings/50925
appstate.peopleadmin.com/postings/50925
Reposted by Jeff Carter
Apocalypse Now, famously a movie about how war is awesome and always turns out well
September 6, 2025 at 5:34 PM
Apocalypse Now, famously a movie about how war is awesome and always turns out well
Good stuff from @dhnexon.bsky.social
🧵 Authoritarianism, Democratization, and Coalition Politics.
The consensus around here is, more or less, that the United States is currently a consolidating authoritarian regime controlled by a mix of reactionary populists and fascists.
The consensus around here is, more or less, that the United States is currently a consolidating authoritarian regime controlled by a mix of reactionary populists and fascists.
August 30, 2025 at 11:27 PM
Good stuff from @dhnexon.bsky.social
Reposted by Jeff Carter
App State is hiring in public administration. Join us in the mountains. I am not on the committee, but I am happy to answer any questions.
appstate.peopleadmin.com./postings/51187
appstate.peopleadmin.com./postings/51187
August 21, 2025 at 1:09 PM
App State is hiring in public administration. Join us in the mountains. I am not on the committee, but I am happy to answer any questions.
appstate.peopleadmin.com./postings/51187
appstate.peopleadmin.com./postings/51187
Reposted by Jeff Carter
American University is currently hiring two faculty positions in international affairs!
Assistant Professor, International Security:
www.higheredjobs.com/faculty/deta...
Assistant Professor, Economic Security
jobs.chronicle.com/job/37868709...
Assistant Professor, International Security:
www.higheredjobs.com/faculty/deta...
Assistant Professor, Economic Security
jobs.chronicle.com/job/37868709...
LinkedIn
This link will take you to a page that’s not on LinkedIn
lnkd.in
August 19, 2025 at 7:15 PM
American University is currently hiring two faculty positions in international affairs!
Assistant Professor, International Security:
www.higheredjobs.com/faculty/deta...
Assistant Professor, Economic Security
jobs.chronicle.com/job/37868709...
Assistant Professor, International Security:
www.higheredjobs.com/faculty/deta...
Assistant Professor, Economic Security
jobs.chronicle.com/job/37868709...
Reposted by Jeff Carter
We are seeking a new leadership team for WiLS! If you might be interested (or just want to chat and see what's involved), please get in touch with Ellie, Gisela, or Leslie by September 5 (feel free to DM us here if you need contact info).
Polisky Gendersky
Polisky Gendersky
August 19, 2025 at 2:49 PM
We are seeking a new leadership team for WiLS! If you might be interested (or just want to chat and see what's involved), please get in touch with Ellie, Gisela, or Leslie by September 5 (feel free to DM us here if you need contact info).
Polisky Gendersky
Polisky Gendersky
Reposted by Jeff Carter
"It's like a PhD in every field!"
"Can it reliably do college-level work, such as accurately identifying and summarizing pertinent information?"
"No."
"So what is really does is sound like an expert to people who aren't experts in that field?"
"Yeah! That's what everyone wants, right?"
"Can it reliably do college-level work, such as accurately identifying and summarizing pertinent information?"
"No."
"So what is really does is sound like an expert to people who aren't experts in that field?"
"Yeah! That's what everyone wants, right?"
Notable that AI tools could not even generate accurate meeting summaries beyond “a couple hundred words.” That’s useless for minutes.
And for lit review they *completely* shit the bed.
But these aren’t people’s favorite tasks & AI is way quicker, so many will keep using them, truth be damned.
And for lit review they *completely* shit the bed.
But these aren’t people’s favorite tasks & AI is way quicker, so many will keep using them, truth be damned.
I Tested How Well AI Tools Work for Journalism
Some tools were sufficient for summarizing meetings. For research, the results were a disaster.
www.cjr.org
August 19, 2025 at 12:50 PM
"It's like a PhD in every field!"
"Can it reliably do college-level work, such as accurately identifying and summarizing pertinent information?"
"No."
"So what is really does is sound like an expert to people who aren't experts in that field?"
"Yeah! That's what everyone wants, right?"
"Can it reliably do college-level work, such as accurately identifying and summarizing pertinent information?"
"No."
"So what is really does is sound like an expert to people who aren't experts in that field?"
"Yeah! That's what everyone wants, right?"
Reposted by Jeff Carter
The full release of the ANES 2024 Time Series #Data is now available. More details here: electionstudies.org/anes-announc...
August 12, 2025 at 5:24 PM
The full release of the ANES 2024 Time Series #Data is now available. More details here: electionstudies.org/anes-announc...