IO Leo Fella (callsign "Leo")
@ioleo.bsky.social
(He)🇪🇸
Current topics: global morons
🔹🇷🇺🧟🧌💀 invasion + allies/proxys
🔹🇺🇲👑🍊🃏
🔹Slava Ukraine🔔🇺🇦
🔹#NAFO kibbles are non negotiable😎🤟
🔹Proud "Sky Patron" of 🇺🇦Wild Hornets https://go.bsky.app/H43W9Yy
It's never, ever, WHAT. It's always, always, HOW.
Current topics: global morons
🔹🇷🇺🧟🧌💀 invasion + allies/proxys
🔹🇺🇲👑🍊🃏
🔹Slava Ukraine🔔🇺🇦
🔹#NAFO kibbles are non negotiable😎🤟
🔹Proud "Sky Patron" of 🇺🇦Wild Hornets https://go.bsky.app/H43W9Yy
It's never, ever, WHAT. It's always, always, HOW.
🌎🌍🌏
🍊👑
Lo and behold, the chart against which so many political strategists and idealisms fall flat.
US, and Trump data. But I can't help to wonder how prevalent is this in many other countries.
Do we see them as materialistic and nearsighted? Do they see us as political junkies? Never mind.
🍊👑
Lo and behold, the chart against which so many political strategists and idealisms fall flat.
US, and Trump data. But I can't help to wonder how prevalent is this in many other countries.
Do we see them as materialistic and nearsighted? Do they see us as political junkies? Never mind.
November 10, 2025 at 11:00 PM
🌎🌍🌏
🍊👑
Lo and behold, the chart against which so many political strategists and idealisms fall flat.
US, and Trump data. But I can't help to wonder how prevalent is this in many other countries.
Do we see them as materialistic and nearsighted? Do they see us as political junkies? Never mind.
🍊👑
Lo and behold, the chart against which so many political strategists and idealisms fall flat.
US, and Trump data. But I can't help to wonder how prevalent is this in many other countries.
Do we see them as materialistic and nearsighted? Do they see us as political junkies? Never mind.
Reposted by IO Leo Fella (callsign "Leo")
Just getting dinner onto the table for the kiddos, will deal with this later.
Trump: "We had a guy named Buttigieg. Boot-edge-edge they say is the best way. Just say two 'edges' like off the edge of a cliff — which is where they were taking us, by the way."
November 10, 2025 at 10:45 PM
Just getting dinner onto the table for the kiddos, will deal with this later.
Reposted by IO Leo Fella (callsign "Leo")
In the most predictable development ever, Mike Johnson is not committing to hold a House vote on ACA subsidies
November 10, 2025 at 10:19 PM
In the most predictable development ever, Mike Johnson is not committing to hold a House vote on ACA subsidies
Reposted by IO Leo Fella (callsign "Leo")
New York millionaires: threatening to flee the city since 2009
November 7, 2025 at 9:36 PM
New York millionaires: threatening to flee the city since 2009
Reposted by IO Leo Fella (callsign "Leo")
For those interested, last night I wrote about what's in the CR deal for Congress. If you want a slightly more coherent take...
firstbranchforecast.substack.com/p/whats-in-t...
firstbranchforecast.substack.com/p/whats-in-t...
What's in the CR Deal for Congress?
With a vote as early as tonight, we quickly ran the numbers
firstbranchforecast.substack.com
November 10, 2025 at 2:29 PM
For those interested, last night I wrote about what's in the CR deal for Congress. If you want a slightly more coherent take...
firstbranchforecast.substack.com/p/whats-in-t...
firstbranchforecast.substack.com/p/whats-in-t...
Reposted by IO Leo Fella (callsign "Leo")
4) Senate Dems did get something out of the negotiations w/r/t power of the purse. They protected the legislative branch, notably GAO. But it's something they already had that was under threat, not something they won. Same is true with the RIFs. Same is true with SNAP.
November 10, 2025 at 1:51 PM
4) Senate Dems did get something out of the negotiations w/r/t power of the purse. They protected the legislative branch, notably GAO. But it's something they already had that was under threat, not something they won. Same is true with the RIFs. Same is true with SNAP.
Reposted by IO Leo Fella (callsign "Leo")
3. Republicans were playing good cop, bad cop, crazy cop.
Good cop: Senate Republicans
Bad cop: House Republicans (Johnson)
Crazy cop: Russ Vought + Trump
Vought's plan was always to use impoundment/rescissions/starving people + firing feds to force Dems to surrender on the power of the purse.
Good cop: Senate Republicans
Bad cop: House Republicans (Johnson)
Crazy cop: Russ Vought + Trump
Vought's plan was always to use impoundment/rescissions/starving people + firing feds to force Dems to surrender on the power of the purse.
November 10, 2025 at 1:48 PM
3. Republicans were playing good cop, bad cop, crazy cop.
Good cop: Senate Republicans
Bad cop: House Republicans (Johnson)
Crazy cop: Russ Vought + Trump
Vought's plan was always to use impoundment/rescissions/starving people + firing feds to force Dems to surrender on the power of the purse.
Good cop: Senate Republicans
Bad cop: House Republicans (Johnson)
Crazy cop: Russ Vought + Trump
Vought's plan was always to use impoundment/rescissions/starving people + firing feds to force Dems to surrender on the power of the purse.
Reposted by IO Leo Fella (callsign "Leo")
This, from @americalabs.org (one of the smartest people abt leg procedure), counters what a lot of people are claiming about this cave. But the follow-on adds to what I noted abt setting up opportunities in January.
5) Dems showed (a) it's possible to get something out of "shutting down the government" despite what the pundits said, and (b) that they could hold together for 40 days. It's not a policy win, but it changes expectations for what they can do in the future, strengthening their negotiating position.
November 10, 2025 at 2:06 PM
This, from @americalabs.org (one of the smartest people abt leg procedure), counters what a lot of people are claiming about this cave. But the follow-on adds to what I noted abt setting up opportunities in January.
Reposted by IO Leo Fella (callsign "Leo")
Reposted by IO Leo Fella (callsign "Leo")
The US Supreme Court has denied a request to look at overturning its 2015 decision that legalised same-sex marriage. The appeal was submitted by former Kentucky clerk Kim Davis.
November 10, 2025 at 2:46 PM
The US Supreme Court has denied a request to look at overturning its 2015 decision that legalised same-sex marriage. The appeal was submitted by former Kentucky clerk Kim Davis.
Reposted by IO Leo Fella (callsign "Leo")
In the SNAP benefits case, Justice Jackson orders quick follow-up briefing at SCOTUS — today and tomorrow morning — following the First Circuit’s Sunday night stay denial.
November 10, 2025 at 2:25 PM
In the SNAP benefits case, Justice Jackson orders quick follow-up briefing at SCOTUS — today and tomorrow morning — following the First Circuit’s Sunday night stay denial.
Reposted by IO Leo Fella (callsign "Leo")
And let us not forget this masterstroke of genius.
November 10, 2025 at 8:26 AM
And let us not forget this masterstroke of genius.
Reposted by IO Leo Fella (callsign "Leo")
Not nearly enough ruzzian tears for my taste. I’d name it 🫡
Federal
Unit for
Countering
Kremlin
Rhetoric
Undermining
Subversive
Schemes and
Incinerating
Aggression
Federal
Unit for
Countering
Kremlin
Rhetoric
Undermining
Subversive
Schemes and
Incinerating
Aggression
November 10, 2025 at 10:37 AM
Not nearly enough ruzzian tears for my taste. I’d name it 🫡
Federal
Unit for
Countering
Kremlin
Rhetoric
Undermining
Subversive
Schemes and
Incinerating
Aggression
Federal
Unit for
Countering
Kremlin
Rhetoric
Undermining
Subversive
Schemes and
Incinerating
Aggression
Reposted by IO Leo Fella (callsign "Leo")
"Democrats could have held the line on the shutdown, and spent weeks watching Trump’s approval ratings fall," writes @jonathanbchait.bsky.social
Instead, he argues, they're making a mistake by giving in:
www.theatlantic.com/politics/202...
Instead, he argues, they're making a mistake by giving in:
www.theatlantic.com/politics/202...
Senate Democrats Just Made a Huge Mistake
The shutdown was hurting Trump. Ending it helps him.
www.theatlantic.com
November 10, 2025 at 3:52 AM
"Democrats could have held the line on the shutdown, and spent weeks watching Trump’s approval ratings fall," writes @jonathanbchait.bsky.social
Instead, he argues, they're making a mistake by giving in:
www.theatlantic.com/politics/202...
Instead, he argues, they're making a mistake by giving in:
www.theatlantic.com/politics/202...
Reposted by IO Leo Fella (callsign "Leo")
It’s a freaking clown show 🤡🤡🤡…
November 9, 2025 at 2:04 PM
It’s a freaking clown show 🤡🤡🤡…
🍊👑🇻🇪
𝗩𝗲𝗻𝗲𝘇𝘂𝗲𝗹𝗮 & 𝗦𝗢𝗨𝗧𝗛𝗖𝗢𝗠 𝗢𝗽𝘀
With:
🔹𝗨𝗦𝗦 𝗚𝗲𝗿𝗮𝗹𝗱 𝗥 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗱 supercarrier ETA to SOUTHCOM AoR ~today Nov 10*
🔹not losing sight of amphibious 𝗨𝗦𝗦 𝗜𝘄𝗼 𝗝𝗶𝗺𝗮 and SOF 𝗨𝗦𝗦 𝗢𝗰𝗲𝗮𝗻 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗲𝗿 nearby
I'm putting here developments since Oct 31 that could be useful to get to speed.
*Source:
Maritime Executive
👇
𝗩𝗲𝗻𝗲𝘇𝘂𝗲𝗹𝗮 & 𝗦𝗢𝗨𝗧𝗛𝗖𝗢𝗠 𝗢𝗽𝘀
With:
🔹𝗨𝗦𝗦 𝗚𝗲𝗿𝗮𝗹𝗱 𝗥 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗱 supercarrier ETA to SOUTHCOM AoR ~today Nov 10*
🔹not losing sight of amphibious 𝗨𝗦𝗦 𝗜𝘄𝗼 𝗝𝗶𝗺𝗮 and SOF 𝗨𝗦𝗦 𝗢𝗰𝗲𝗮𝗻 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗲𝗿 nearby
I'm putting here developments since Oct 31 that could be useful to get to speed.
*Source:
Maritime Executive
👇
Thread by @IO_Leo_mmg on Thread Reader App
@IO_Leo_mmg: 🍊👑🇻🇪 Update 🔹Objetivos en VNZ identificados, ataques "en cualquier momento": WSJ, Miami Herald 🔹USS Gerald R Ford aún lejos (podría ser señuelo) 🔹El crudo WTI se lo toma con calma _____ m...
threadreaderapp.com
November 10, 2025 at 7:12 AM
🍊👑🇻🇪
𝗩𝗲𝗻𝗲𝘇𝘂𝗲𝗹𝗮 & 𝗦𝗢𝗨𝗧𝗛𝗖𝗢𝗠 𝗢𝗽𝘀
With:
🔹𝗨𝗦𝗦 𝗚𝗲𝗿𝗮𝗹𝗱 𝗥 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗱 supercarrier ETA to SOUTHCOM AoR ~today Nov 10*
🔹not losing sight of amphibious 𝗨𝗦𝗦 𝗜𝘄𝗼 𝗝𝗶𝗺𝗮 and SOF 𝗨𝗦𝗦 𝗢𝗰𝗲𝗮𝗻 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗲𝗿 nearby
I'm putting here developments since Oct 31 that could be useful to get to speed.
*Source:
Maritime Executive
👇
𝗩𝗲𝗻𝗲𝘇𝘂𝗲𝗹𝗮 & 𝗦𝗢𝗨𝗧𝗛𝗖𝗢𝗠 𝗢𝗽𝘀
With:
🔹𝗨𝗦𝗦 𝗚𝗲𝗿𝗮𝗹𝗱 𝗥 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗱 supercarrier ETA to SOUTHCOM AoR ~today Nov 10*
🔹not losing sight of amphibious 𝗨𝗦𝗦 𝗜𝘄𝗼 𝗝𝗶𝗺𝗮 and SOF 𝗨𝗦𝗦 𝗢𝗰𝗲𝗮𝗻 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗲𝗿 nearby
I'm putting here developments since Oct 31 that could be useful to get to speed.
*Source:
Maritime Executive
👇
Reposted by IO Leo Fella (callsign "Leo")
If Jackson or the full court hasn’t acted by then, the order that full payments be made goes back into effect.
But, there could be a further administrative stay (by Jackson or the full court) while they decide whether to grant a stay pending appeal.
And, the Senate deal could also moot the case.
But, there could be a further administrative stay (by Jackson or the full court) while they decide whether to grant a stay pending appeal.
And, the Senate deal could also moot the case.
November 10, 2025 at 6:00 AM
If Jackson or the full court hasn’t acted by then, the order that full payments be made goes back into effect.
But, there could be a further administrative stay (by Jackson or the full court) while they decide whether to grant a stay pending appeal.
And, the Senate deal could also moot the case.
But, there could be a further administrative stay (by Jackson or the full court) while they decide whether to grant a stay pending appeal.
And, the Senate deal could also moot the case.
Reposted by IO Leo Fella (callsign "Leo")
Where are we at?
The order that USDA pay out full SNAP benefits for November is still on hold, but the appeals court denied DOJ’s request for a more extended stay.
As such, that triggers the 48-hour clock Justice Jackson set, at the end of which her administrative stay ends.
[continued]
The order that USDA pay out full SNAP benefits for November is still on hold, but the appeals court denied DOJ’s request for a more extended stay.
As such, that triggers the 48-hour clock Justice Jackson set, at the end of which her administrative stay ends.
[continued]
November 10, 2025 at 5:58 AM
Where are we at?
The order that USDA pay out full SNAP benefits for November is still on hold, but the appeals court denied DOJ’s request for a more extended stay.
As such, that triggers the 48-hour clock Justice Jackson set, at the end of which her administrative stay ends.
[continued]
The order that USDA pay out full SNAP benefits for November is still on hold, but the appeals court denied DOJ’s request for a more extended stay.
As such, that triggers the 48-hour clock Justice Jackson set, at the end of which her administrative stay ends.
[continued]
🍊👑⚖️🤢
Symbolic pardons?
EXACTLY! That's precisely the point.
𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗺𝗲𝗱𝗶𝗮 𝗶𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗺𝗲𝘀𝘀𝗮𝗴𝗲
Why issue pardons for what you cannot pardon? What's the point?
The point is: sending a message.
𝘎𝘪𝘶𝘭𝘪𝘢𝘯𝘪, 𝘗𝘰𝘸𝘦𝘭𝘭 & 𝘊𝘰 𝘢𝘳𝘦 𝘮𝘺
𝙐𝙉𝙏𝙊𝙐𝘾𝙃𝘼𝘽𝙇𝙀𝙎
𝘊𝘢𝘱𝘪𝘤𝘪?
Loud and clear, Johnny. Loud and clear.
@muellershewrote.com
Symbolic pardons?
EXACTLY! That's precisely the point.
𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗺𝗲𝗱𝗶𝗮 𝗶𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗺𝗲𝘀𝘀𝗮𝗴𝗲
Why issue pardons for what you cannot pardon? What's the point?
The point is: sending a message.
𝘎𝘪𝘶𝘭𝘪𝘢𝘯𝘪, 𝘗𝘰𝘸𝘦𝘭𝘭 & 𝘊𝘰 𝘢𝘳𝘦 𝘮𝘺
𝙐𝙉𝙏𝙊𝙐𝘾𝙃𝘼𝘽𝙇𝙀𝙎
𝘊𝘢𝘱𝘪𝘤𝘪?
Loud and clear, Johnny. Loud and clear.
@muellershewrote.com
November 10, 2025 at 6:41 AM
🍊👑⚖️🤢
Symbolic pardons?
EXACTLY! That's precisely the point.
𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗺𝗲𝗱𝗶𝗮 𝗶𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗺𝗲𝘀𝘀𝗮𝗴𝗲
Why issue pardons for what you cannot pardon? What's the point?
The point is: sending a message.
𝘎𝘪𝘶𝘭𝘪𝘢𝘯𝘪, 𝘗𝘰𝘸𝘦𝘭𝘭 & 𝘊𝘰 𝘢𝘳𝘦 𝘮𝘺
𝙐𝙉𝙏𝙊𝙐𝘾𝙃𝘼𝘽𝙇𝙀𝙎
𝘊𝘢𝘱𝘪𝘤𝘪?
Loud and clear, Johnny. Loud and clear.
@muellershewrote.com
Symbolic pardons?
EXACTLY! That's precisely the point.
𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗺𝗲𝗱𝗶𝗮 𝗶𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗺𝗲𝘀𝘀𝗮𝗴𝗲
Why issue pardons for what you cannot pardon? What's the point?
The point is: sending a message.
𝘎𝘪𝘶𝘭𝘪𝘢𝘯𝘪, 𝘗𝘰𝘸𝘦𝘭𝘭 & 𝘊𝘰 𝘢𝘳𝘦 𝘮𝘺
𝙐𝙉𝙏𝙊𝙐𝘾𝙃𝘼𝘽𝙇𝙀𝙎
𝘊𝘢𝘱𝘪𝘤𝘪?
Loud and clear, Johnny. Loud and clear.
@muellershewrote.com
Reposted by IO Leo Fella (callsign "Leo")
Reposted by IO Leo Fella (callsign "Leo")
The pardons are primarily symbolic: No one on the list has been charged with federal crimes, and Trump can't pardon those facing state charges in GA, AZ, NV and WI.
But it's another effort by Trump to recast the history of his bid to seize a second term in 2020. www.politico.com/news/2025/11...
But it's another effort by Trump to recast the history of his bid to seize a second term in 2020. www.politico.com/news/2025/11...
November 10, 2025 at 6:00 AM
The pardons are primarily symbolic: No one on the list has been charged with federal crimes, and Trump can't pardon those facing state charges in GA, AZ, NV and WI.
But it's another effort by Trump to recast the history of his bid to seize a second term in 2020. www.politico.com/news/2025/11...
But it's another effort by Trump to recast the history of his bid to seize a second term in 2020. www.politico.com/news/2025/11...
Reposted by IO Leo Fella (callsign "Leo")
MORE: The pardon language is extremely broad and could apply to many others too, since it covers anyone who advocates for the false elector slates or who investigated 2020 election fraud.
One person the pardon explicitly excludes: Trump himself.
www.politico.com/news/2025/11...
One person the pardon explicitly excludes: Trump himself.
www.politico.com/news/2025/11...
November 10, 2025 at 5:57 AM
MORE: The pardon language is extremely broad and could apply to many others too, since it covers anyone who advocates for the false elector slates or who investigated 2020 election fraud.
One person the pardon explicitly excludes: Trump himself.
www.politico.com/news/2025/11...
One person the pardon explicitly excludes: Trump himself.
www.politico.com/news/2025/11...
Reposted by IO Leo Fella (callsign "Leo")
NEW: Donald Trump has pardoned a long list of allies in his bid to subvert the 2020 election including:
-Rudy Giuliani
-John Eastman
-Mark Meadows
-Sidney Powell
-Ken Chesebro
-Christina Bobb
-Kelli Ward
-Jenna Ellis
www.politico.com/news/2025/11...
-Rudy Giuliani
-John Eastman
-Mark Meadows
-Sidney Powell
-Ken Chesebro
-Christina Bobb
-Kelli Ward
-Jenna Ellis
www.politico.com/news/2025/11...
November 10, 2025 at 5:56 AM
NEW: Donald Trump has pardoned a long list of allies in his bid to subvert the 2020 election including:
-Rudy Giuliani
-John Eastman
-Mark Meadows
-Sidney Powell
-Ken Chesebro
-Christina Bobb
-Kelli Ward
-Jenna Ellis
www.politico.com/news/2025/11...
-Rudy Giuliani
-John Eastman
-Mark Meadows
-Sidney Powell
-Ken Chesebro
-Christina Bobb
-Kelli Ward
-Jenna Ellis
www.politico.com/news/2025/11...
Reposted by IO Leo Fella (callsign "Leo")
The corruption never ends
November 10, 2025 at 4:54 AM
The corruption never ends
Reposted by IO Leo Fella (callsign "Leo")
But what he can do is bring bogus federal charges against any state official who dares prosecute them.
Trump’s pardon attorney Ed Martin claims Trump is pardoning his Georgia co-defendants and other “alternate electors.”
Note: Trump’s Georgia co-defendants are charged under state law. The president can’t pardon people for state crimes.
Note: Trump’s Georgia co-defendants are charged under state law. The president can’t pardon people for state crimes.
November 10, 2025 at 5:47 AM
But what he can do is bring bogus federal charges against any state official who dares prosecute them.