Gemma Tetlow
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gemmatetlow.bsky.social
Gemma Tetlow
@gemmatetlow.bsky.social
4.2K followers 61 following 59 posts
Chief Economist, Institute for Government

Formerly Economics Correspondent at the Financial Times and Programme Director at the Institute for Fiscal Studies
Posts Replies Media Videos
Reposted by Gemma Tetlow
ukandeu.bsky.social
‼️Budget week is finally here, which means one thing...

🤓Our economics panel will be meeting to unpack what's in the Autumn Statement

With @anandmenon.bsky.social, @jillongovt.bsky.social, @jdportes.bsky.social, @gemmatetlow.bsky.social & @benchu.bsky.social

Sign up👇

ukandeu.ac.uk/events/ukice...
UKICE Lunch Hour: Assessing the budget - UK in a changing Europe
Join our expert economics panel as they dissect the details of the Autumn Statement.
ukandeu.ac.uk
November 24, 2025 at 3:49 PM
Reposted by Gemma Tetlow
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
LIVE BLOG | Autumn budget 2025 🚨

As Rachel Reeves prepares to announce tax measures, what formal announcements have we had so far and what can we expect in the next 24 hours?

Follow our live blog for our analysis of the chancellor's plans
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/live-blog/au...
LIVE BLOG | Autumn budget 2025: Rachel Reeves prepares to announce tax measures | Institute for Government
IfG experts analyse Reeves' budget and explore what the chancellor's plans for the economy, tax and spending mean.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk
November 25, 2025 at 3:34 PM
gemmatetlow.bsky.social
In a new departure, we @instituteforgovernment.org.uk are going to be live blogging the Budget all through tomorrow. The live blog is now live and we will be sharing our pre-Budget thoughts there, followed by responses once we hear the CX's speech www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/live-blog/au...
LIVE BLOG | Autumn budget 2025: Rachel Reeves prepares to announce tax measures | Institute for Government
IfG experts analyse Reeves' budget and explore what the chancellor's plans for the economy, tax and spending mean.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk
November 25, 2025 at 3:36 PM
Reposted by Gemma Tetlow
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Work with us! 🚨 We are looking for a Partnerships Manager to lead the business function within our partnerships team.

⏰ Applications close on Monday 8 December at 11:00.

Find out more about the role and how to apply www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/about-us/car...
A job advert. Partnerships Manager Join our team and help us make government more effective! Permanent position starting as soon as notice period allows. Salary: £48,000 to £52,000, depending on skills and experience Deadline: Monday 8 December, 11:00am www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/current-vacancies/ partnerships-manager
November 24, 2025 at 4:25 PM
Reposted by Gemma Tetlow
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
What are the legal implications of Labour’s new asylum reforms?

Former permanent secretary of the Government Legal Department @sirjjkc.bsky.social examines some of the main legal implications of the proposals www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/lega...
What are the legal implications of Labour’s new asylum reforms? | Institute for Government
Some of the government’s proposals are thin on details, others are likely to be tested in the courts.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk
November 21, 2025 at 4:43 PM
Reposted by Gemma Tetlow
drhannahwhite.bsky.social
Looking forward to speaking at @raeng.org.uk Policy Fellowships Showcase on Monday! Do sign up to join us!
November 21, 2025 at 9:15 AM
Reposted by Gemma Tetlow
timdurrant.bsky.social
Looking forward to this discussion later - do join us at 12.30
November 21, 2025 at 9:25 AM
Reposted by Gemma Tetlow
shaina-sangha.bsky.social
As the covid inquiry gears up for Module 9 on economic policy, @gemmatetlow.bsky.social and I have a new @ukri.org-funded @instituteforgovernment.org.uk report out on Epi-econ modelling for pandemics. We set out why govt needs to invest now 1/🧵
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
Combined epidemiological and economic modelling | Institute for Government
The pandemic showed the need for government to improve its use of modelling.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk
November 21, 2025 at 9:38 AM
Reposted by Gemma Tetlow
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
NEW REPORT | Combined epidemiological and economic modelling: How can government better prepare for future pandemics?

@gemmatetlow.bsky.social @shaina-sangha.bsky.social reveal how the government needs to improve its use of modelling.

www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
Combined epidemiological and economic modelling | Institute for Government
The pandemic showed the need for government to improve its use of modelling.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk
November 21, 2025 at 11:12 AM
gemmatetlow.bsky.social
Hot on the heels of yesterday's Covid inquiry report on decision making, @shaina-sangha.bsky.social and I have a new report out today looking at how combined epidemiological-economic modelling could help government better prepare for future pandemics www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
Combined epidemiological and economic modelling | Institute for Government
The pandemic showed the need for government to improve its use of modelling.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk
November 21, 2025 at 9:33 AM
Reposted by Gemma Tetlow
ukandeu.bsky.social
📆 ONE WEEK TO GO 📆

🍂 Once again our expert economics panel are meeting to dissect the details of the chancellor's Autumn Statement

With @anandmenon.bsky.social, @jillongovt.bsky.social, @jdportes.bsky.social, @gemmatetlow.bsky.social & @benchu.bsky.social

Sign up👇
ukandeu.ac.uk/events/ukice...
UKICE Lunch Hour: Assessing the budget - UK in a changing Europe
Join our expert economics panel as they dissect the details of the Autumn Statement.
ukandeu.ac.uk
November 20, 2025 at 3:53 PM
Reposted by Gemma Tetlow
sophiemetcalfe.bsky.social
NEW: Report from me and @nehaldavison.bsky.social on how and why boys from low-income families get left behind in their early years
🧵⬇️
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
The opportunity gap facing boys from low-income families at age 5 and beyond | Institute for Government
Early attainment gaps mean some boys don't just start behind, they stay behind.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk
November 20, 2025 at 7:41 AM
Reposted by Gemma Tetlow
njdavies.bsky.social
NEW: Labour inherited public services in crisis. Performance had fallen, investment had been cut + spending plans were undeliverable.

It's made some progress, providing stability and positive long-term plans. But it has been undermined by poor prep in opposition and lack of co-ordination in govt 🧵
RAG table showing ratings for 9 public services. It includes the following summaries for progress since the 2024 election: General practice - Progress on salaried GPs, but no steps taken to make partnership more attractive Hospitals - Government has set out high-level ambitions and reduced competing priorities, but no detail of implementation Adult social care - Largely ignored. Ending the care visa route without a workable solution for Fair Pay Agreements could cause workforce shortages Children's social care - Government has set out a clear and ambitious vision for reform and has backed it with relatively generous funding Homelessness - Early signs are encouraging, but government has yet to set out its homelessness strategy Schools - Government's plan to reduce inequalities in schools and tackle teacher shortages are unclear, and the crisis in SEND services casts a long shadow Police - Government has made limited progress in increasing neighbourhood officer numbers and has yet to announce details of planned reforms Criminal Courts - Increasing court sitting days was welcome, if done too late, but the government has yet to announce a longer-term plan Prisons - Rapid action addressed the immediate population crisis, but there has been limited progress towards a longer-term solution
November 19, 2025 at 7:03 AM
Reposted by Gemma Tetlow
danneidle.bsky.social
Here's a chart of the marginal tax rate for someone with two kids. They pay 53% tax on every £ they earn between £60k and £80k. 62% on every £ they earn between £100k and £125k.

9% more if they've a student loan

This is from our tax calculator: buff.ly/CFoExUX
November 13, 2025 at 5:42 PM
Reposted by Gemma Tetlow
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
In two weeks' time, Rachel Reeves will deliver her second budget as chancellor.

Join us online on 26 November for our instant reaction to the chancellor's plan for the economy - with @danhaile.bsky.social @jillongovt.bsky.social @gilesyb.bsky.social www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/event/autumn...
November 12, 2025 at 11:59 AM
Reposted by Gemma Tetlow
ukandeu.bsky.social
🚨 NEW EVENT 🚨

We've assembled our experts economics panel to dissect the details of the Chancellor's budget

💻 Online
📆 Thurs 27 Nov, 1pm GMT

With @jillongovt.bsky.social, @jdportes.bsky.social, @gemmatetlow.bsky.social, @benchu.bsky.social & @anandmenon.bsky.social

ukandeu.ac.uk/events/ukice...
UKICE Lunch Hour: Assessing the budget - UK in a changing Europe
Join our expert economics panel as they dissect the details of the Autumn Statement.
ukandeu.ac.uk
November 7, 2025 at 10:28 AM
Reposted by Gemma Tetlow
sammacrory.bsky.social
Has Rachel Reeves rolled the budget pitch?

And how did former chancellors manage expectations?

Fascinating @instituteforgovernment.org.uk podcast with @stewartwood.bsky.social Giles Winn @gemmatetlow.bsky.social @jillongovt.bsky.social

www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/podcast/rach...
Rachel Reeves and the art of pitch rolling the budget | Institute for Government
Former Treasury advisers Stewart Wood and Giles Winn reveal how chancellors prepare the ground for budget day.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk
November 7, 2025 at 12:21 PM
Reposted by Gemma Tetlow
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Cross-party agreement can create political space for tax reform

It is time to take the political heat out of attempts to reform the tax system, says @gemmatetlow.bsky.social www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/cros...
Cross-party agreement can create political space for tax reform | Institute for Government
It is time to take the political heat out of attempts to reform the tax system.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk
November 6, 2025 at 4:01 PM
gemmatetlow.bsky.social
A very interesting new report, coordinated by @centaxuk.bsky.social, is co-authored by nine think tanks from across the political spectrum and sets out 7 packages of tax reform that all agree would make the UK tax system "fairer, more effective and more pro-growth” centax.org.uk/tax-reforms-...
Tax Reforms for Growth | CenTax
centax.org.uk
November 6, 2025 at 10:28 AM
Reposted by Gemma Tetlow
drbenpaxton.bsky.social
Guardian article here: www.theguardian.com/politics/202...

And top tips on how to do tax reform from @gemmatetlow.bsky.social @tompope.bsky.social and @jillongovt.bsky.social here:
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
The 2025 budget and beyond: How Rachel Reeves can approach tax reform to help drive growth | Institute for Government
A big autumn approaches for the chancellor.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk
October 16, 2025 at 8:55 AM
Reposted by Gemma Tetlow
drbenpaxton.bsky.social
Good to see Reeves defending the importance of SR settlements (where changes should be avoided). But disappointing if this means using highly optimistic assumptions re. future tech efficiencies (eg £45bn) to pencil in spending cuts beyond the SR period rather than confronting the need for tax reform
October 16, 2025 at 8:55 AM
Reposted by Gemma Tetlow
fdaunion.bsky.social
IfG Chief Economist @gemmatetlow.bsky.social outlines that currently pension contributions make up around 20% of the total public sector remuneration package, compared to 8% in the private sector. Is this the most effective balance and does there need to be flexibility? #Lab25
September 30, 2025 at 3:28 PM
Reposted by Gemma Tetlow
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Should public sector pay and pensions be reformed?

Join us at #Lab25 at 15:45 to hear from @timleunig.bsky.social @fdagensec.bsky.social @fdaunion.bsky.social @gemmatetlow.bsky.social, Paul Whiteman and @drbenpaxton.bsky.social - Clyde Room, ACC www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/event/ifg-la...
An image ad for an IfG event
September 30, 2025 at 10:24 AM
gemmatetlow.bsky.social
Join us at 15:45 at LPC to discuss how public sector pay and pensions might be reformed. With Dave Penman @fdaunion.bsky.social @timleunig.bsky.social @drbenpaxton.bsky.social and Paul Whiteman
September 30, 2025 at 2:10 PM
gemmatetlow.bsky.social
As trailed in the papers earlier, Reeves's speech did roll the pitch for tax rises in the Budget - pointing to 14 years of weak growth creating a fiscal problem and the foolhardiness of simply ignoring fiscal constraints (she said there was "nothing progressive" about that)...
September 29, 2025 at 11:52 AM