CBI Economics
banner
cbieconomics.bsky.social
CBI Economics
@cbieconomics.bsky.social
Posts from the economics directorate of the CBI. Follow us for updates and analysis on the UK economy, tax & fiscal policy, our business surveys, and consulting projects.
To learn more about this month's Distributive Trades Survey data, see our press release:
www.cbi.org.uk/media-centre...
Steepest fall in retail sentiment in 17 years - CBI Distributive Trades Survey | CBI
Steepest fall in retail sentiment in 17 years - CBI Distributive Trades Survey
www.cbi.org.uk
November 25, 2025 at 11:10 AM
Total distribution sales volumes (including retail, wholesale, and motor trades) fell in the year to November at a slightly quicker rate to October. Sales are set to decline at the same pace next month.
November 25, 2025 at 11:05 AM
Selling price inflation fell closer to the long-run average in the year to November, following a sharp rise in August. Retailers anticipate selling price growth to ease slightly again next month.
November 25, 2025 at 11:05 AM
Headcount in retail declined again in the year to November and is expected to fall at a slightly faster pace next month.
November 25, 2025 at 11:05 AM
Retailers plan to pull back investment in the year ahead. Investment intentions remain historically weak and have now been negative for three-and-a-half years.
November 25, 2025 at 11:05 AM
Retailers judged November’s sales volumes to be “poor” for the time of year, to a somewhat greater extent than in October. December’s sales are set to continue disappointing, to a comparable degree.
November 25, 2025 at 11:05 AM
Retail sales volumes fell at a fast pace in the year to November, extending a period of weakness that goes back to mid-2023. Retailers expect sales set to fall again heading into December, albeit at a somewhat slower pace.
November 25, 2025 at 11:05 AM
October’s fall in retail sales was broad-based across all four main sectors. Following strong activity seen over the summer, some retailers attributed this recent drop in sales to consumers delaying their purchases in anticipation of Black Friday discounts.
November 21, 2025 at 10:13 AM
Stocks of finished goods were reported as more than “adequate” in November, and stand slightly above the long-run average.
November 20, 2025 at 11:04 AM
Total order books and export order books were reported as below “normal” in November. Both stand below their respective long-run averages.
November 20, 2025 at 11:04 AM
Expectations for average selling price inflation eased in November, and stand in ling with the long-run average.
November 20, 2025 at 11:04 AM
"Today's [inflation] figures add to the evidence that price pressures are gradually subsiding.

If this trend continues, the case for an interest rate cut in December looks increasingly compelling.”

Check out our full response to today's inflation data:
www.cbi.org.uk/media-centre...
CBI responds to latest inflation data for October 2025 | CBI
CBI responds to latest inflation data for October 2025
www.cbi.org.uk
November 19, 2025 at 10:34 AM
Utility bills made the largest downward contribution to slowing inflation, reflecting a smaller rise in Ofgem’s energy price cap change in October (2%) relative to this time last year (10%). This more than offset upward contributions from food & drink and other key categories.
November 19, 2025 at 10:34 AM
To read our response to today’s figures, click here 👇
www.cbi.org.uk/media-centre...
CBI responds to latest GDP data - November 2025 | CBI
CBI responds to latest GDP data - November 2025
www.cbi.org.uk
November 13, 2025 at 11:58 AM
Growth in Q3 was driven by an increase in investment (primarily investment in private homes, and by government). Consumer spending also rose, but at a weaker than average pace. These offset negative contributions from lower inventories compared with Q2.
November 13, 2025 at 11:58 AM