Carlos Benítez
@carlosbenitez.bsky.social
Sondages, élections.
Reposted by Carlos Benítez
Should be most of the vote in now for Kentucky's #SD35 (Harris+5) special election:
Gary Clemons (D)- 72.6%
Calvin Leach (R)- 25.1%
Wendy Higdon (Libertarian)- 2.3%
It's an over 40 point overperformance from 2024 for the Democrats!
Gary Clemons (D)- 72.6%
Calvin Leach (R)- 25.1%
Wendy Higdon (Libertarian)- 2.3%
It's an over 40 point overperformance from 2024 for the Democrats!
December 17, 2025 at 12:35 AM
Should be most of the vote in now for Kentucky's #SD35 (Harris+5) special election:
Gary Clemons (D)- 72.6%
Calvin Leach (R)- 25.1%
Wendy Higdon (Libertarian)- 2.3%
It's an over 40 point overperformance from 2024 for the Democrats!
Gary Clemons (D)- 72.6%
Calvin Leach (R)- 25.1%
Wendy Higdon (Libertarian)- 2.3%
It's an over 40 point overperformance from 2024 for the Democrats!
Reposted by Carlos Benítez
Le candidat écologiste accepte de se retirer au profit d’Emmanuel Grégoire. Les militants verts sont invités à se prononcer ce mercredi sur un accord qui prévoit plus de poids aux écolos dans la future potentielle coalition.
➡️ bit.ly/3YwSro5
➡️ bit.ly/3YwSro5
December 17, 2025 at 7:23 AM
Le candidat écologiste accepte de se retirer au profit d’Emmanuel Grégoire. Les militants verts sont invités à se prononcer ce mercredi sur un accord qui prévoit plus de poids aux écolos dans la future potentielle coalition.
➡️ bit.ly/3YwSro5
➡️ bit.ly/3YwSro5
Reposted by Carlos Benítez
Hoy, en @elpais.com comentando la evolución de la derecha chilena ante las elecciones de hoy
elpais.com/chile/2025-1...
elpais.com/chile/2025-1...
Las tres derechas de Chile y un electorado complejo
Quizás, más que saltar a conclusiones apresuradas, vale la pena mirar los resultados con mesura y concluir que si hay algo que define al electorado chileno actual es su complejidad y no las etiquetas ...
elpais.com
November 16, 2025 at 5:12 PM
Hoy, en @elpais.com comentando la evolución de la derecha chilena ante las elecciones de hoy
elpais.com/chile/2025-1...
elpais.com/chile/2025-1...
Reposted by Carlos Benítez
Reposted by Carlos Benítez
Voters in New Jersey and Virginia who said the economy was their number 1 issue voted 63-35 for Democrats last night.
That’s a sharp reversal from 2024, when Trump won economy voters by 60 points
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/seven-data...
That’s a sharp reversal from 2024, when Trump won economy voters by 60 points
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/seven-data...
November 5, 2025 at 1:46 PM
Voters in New Jersey and Virginia who said the economy was their number 1 issue voted 63-35 for Democrats last night.
That’s a sharp reversal from 2024, when Trump won economy voters by 60 points
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/seven-data...
That’s a sharp reversal from 2024, when Trump won economy voters by 60 points
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/seven-data...
Reposted by Carlos Benítez
Per @votehub.com , this is perhaps the biggest sign of what happened tonight. In Union City, an 82% Hispanic City in Hudson County, Sherrill received more voted in AN OFF YEAR than Harris did last year.
2024 President: D+17, 11,316-7,940
2025 Governor: D+68.8 13,304-2,402
2024 President: D+17, 11,316-7,940
2025 Governor: D+68.8 13,304-2,402
November 5, 2025 at 3:47 AM
Per @votehub.com , this is perhaps the biggest sign of what happened tonight. In Union City, an 82% Hispanic City in Hudson County, Sherrill received more voted in AN OFF YEAR than Harris did last year.
2024 President: D+17, 11,316-7,940
2025 Governor: D+68.8 13,304-2,402
2024 President: D+17, 11,316-7,940
2025 Governor: D+68.8 13,304-2,402
Reposted by Carlos Benítez
new polls website just dropped fiftyplusone.news
October 9, 2025 at 2:49 PM
new polls website just dropped fiftyplusone.news
Reposted by Carlos Benítez
🚨 BREAKING: The pro-EU Party of Action and Solidarity (PAS) is firmly in the lead of Moldova’s election, with around half of votes counted so far and PAS-sympathetic constituencies still to tally.
Full story: www.politico.eu/article/poll...
Full story: www.politico.eu/article/poll...
September 28, 2025 at 7:59 PM
🚨 BREAKING: The pro-EU Party of Action and Solidarity (PAS) is firmly in the lead of Moldova’s election, with around half of votes counted so far and PAS-sympathetic constituencies still to tally.
Full story: www.politico.eu/article/poll...
Full story: www.politico.eu/article/poll...
Reposted by Carlos Benítez
Législatives en Moldavie: le vote de la Transnistrie sous haute surveillance
Législatives en Moldavie: le vote de la Transnistrie sous haute surveillance
À l’ombre des symboles soviétiques figés dans le temps, les habitants de Transnistrie sont appelés à voter ce 28 septembre aux législatives moldaves. Officiellement partie intégrante de la Moldavie, mais sous contrôle séparatiste pro-russe depuis 1992, ce territoire est particulièrement scruté dans le contexte de la guerre en Ukraine. Bureaux de vote réduits, convois d’électeurs illégaux et participation accrue, le vote transnistrien pourrait peser dans un scrutin annoncé serré.
rfi.my
September 27, 2025 at 6:42 AM
Législatives en Moldavie: le vote de la Transnistrie sous haute surveillance
Reposted by Carlos Benítez
The backlash to ABC/Disney canceling Kimmel has been swift, and severe. The whole episode underscores something I've been blogging about for a while: A lot of powerful people just don’t realize how unpopular Trump is
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/a-lot-of-p...
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/a-lot-of-p...
A lot of people just don’t realize how unpopular Trump is
The backlash to ABC/Disney canceling Kimmel shows why it's important for businesses and the public to understand that two-thirds of Americans are not Trump voters
www.gelliottmorris.com
September 22, 2025 at 4:08 PM
The backlash to ABC/Disney canceling Kimmel has been swift, and severe. The whole episode underscores something I've been blogging about for a while: A lot of powerful people just don’t realize how unpopular Trump is
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/a-lot-of-p...
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/a-lot-of-p...
Reposted by Carlos Benítez
NEW: Voters disapprove of Trump's handling of the economy and increasingly blame him for inflation.
But voters are still more confident that Trump (39%) and the Republican Party (35%) have a solution for inflation than the Democratic Party (29%).
www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/9/...
But voters are still more confident that Trump (39%) and the Republican Party (35%) have a solution for inflation than the Democratic Party (29%).
www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/9/...
September 10, 2025 at 6:41 PM
NEW: Voters disapprove of Trump's handling of the economy and increasingly blame him for inflation.
But voters are still more confident that Trump (39%) and the Republican Party (35%) have a solution for inflation than the Democratic Party (29%).
www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/9/...
But voters are still more confident that Trump (39%) and the Republican Party (35%) have a solution for inflation than the Democratic Party (29%).
www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/9/...
Reposted by Carlos Benítez
BREAKING Brazil’s supreme court finds former President Jair Bolsonaro guilty of attempting a military coup, with plans to assassinate Lula, to stay in power after his 2022 election loss. Trump, a Bolsonaro friend, had pressured the court to drop the case
www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/0...
www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/0...
Bolsonaro found guilty in attempted coup, assassination plot
Brazil’s Supreme Court ruled the former president tried to reverse his 2022 election loss with a plot that included plans to assassinate President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.
www.washingtonpost.com
September 11, 2025 at 7:12 PM
BREAKING Brazil’s supreme court finds former President Jair Bolsonaro guilty of attempting a military coup, with plans to assassinate Lula, to stay in power after his 2022 election loss. Trump, a Bolsonaro friend, had pressured the court to drop the case
www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/0...
www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/0...
Reposted by Carlos Benítez
Macron annonce son nouveau Premier ministre sans tarder après la démission de Bayrou
Sébastien Lecornu est nommé nouveau Premier ministre par Emmanuel Macron
www.huffingtonpost.fr
September 9, 2025 at 5:53 PM
Macron annonce son nouveau Premier ministre sans tarder après la démission de Bayrou
🗳️La gauche remporte les élections en Norvège. Les travaillistes gagnent du terrain, le FrP (droite radicale), enregistre également une forte poussée. Cependant, cette dynamique ne suffit pas à compenser l'effondrement du Parti conservateur, qui subit une lourde défaite.
#valg #Norway
#valg #Norway
September 8, 2025 at 7:26 PM
Reposted by Carlos Benítez
Election Day in Norway 🇳🇴
The outcome will have consequences for Norwegian climate governance.
If the Progress party take part in a new government climate policy may be dismantled. If the Green Party+two small socialist parties gain influence on a Labour gov ambitions will increase. 1/n
The outcome will have consequences for Norwegian climate governance.
If the Progress party take part in a new government climate policy may be dismantled. If the Green Party+two small socialist parties gain influence on a Labour gov ambitions will increase. 1/n
September 8, 2025 at 7:29 AM
Election Day in Norway 🇳🇴
The outcome will have consequences for Norwegian climate governance.
If the Progress party take part in a new government climate policy may be dismantled. If the Green Party+two small socialist parties gain influence on a Labour gov ambitions will increase. 1/n
The outcome will have consequences for Norwegian climate governance.
If the Progress party take part in a new government climate policy may be dismantled. If the Green Party+two small socialist parties gain influence on a Labour gov ambitions will increase. 1/n
📊 Le vote de confiance du gouvernement Bayrou n’est pas le seul événement politique de la journée...la Norvège vote aussi aujourd’hui pour ses élections législatives, et ça s’annonce bien plus serré et beaucoup plus palpitant à suivre.
#valg #Norway
www.newsinenglish.no/2025/09/03/e...
#valg #Norway
www.newsinenglish.no/2025/09/03/e...
Election thriller brings out voters - Norway's News in English — www.newsinenglish.no
More than a quarter of Norway’s 4,053,932 eligible voters have already cast their ballots ahead of Monday’s Parliamentary election, while those undecided are still visiting various party campaign boot...
www.newsinenglish.no
September 8, 2025 at 8:18 AM
📊 Le vote de confiance du gouvernement Bayrou n’est pas le seul événement politique de la journée...la Norvège vote aussi aujourd’hui pour ses élections législatives, et ça s’annonce bien plus serré et beaucoup plus palpitant à suivre.
#valg #Norway
www.newsinenglish.no/2025/09/03/e...
#valg #Norway
www.newsinenglish.no/2025/09/03/e...
🗳️ Grosse surprise en Iowa, la démocrate Catelin Drey remporte un siège au Sénat de l’État, pourtant solidement républicain, avec +11 points dans une circo que Trump avait gagnée de +11 l’année dernière.
Une performance démocrate qui laisse présager des midterms délicates pour le GOP.
#US
Une performance démocrate qui laisse présager des midterms délicates pour le GOP.
#US
HUGE FLIP: Democrat Catelin Drey wins deep-red state Senate seat in Iowa, breaking the GOP's supermajority.
Drey won by 11 points in a district Donald Trump carried by 11 points last year. It's another massive overperformance. The Iowa GOP should be very worried for the midterms.
Our full writeup:
Drey won by 11 points in a district Donald Trump carried by 11 points last year. It's another massive overperformance. The Iowa GOP should be very worried for the midterms.
Our full writeup:
Iowa Democrats win massive upset to break GOP supermajority
Catelin Drey's victory may portend more good news for Democrats next year
www.the-downballot.com
August 28, 2025 at 3:24 PM
🗳️ Grosse surprise en Iowa, la démocrate Catelin Drey remporte un siège au Sénat de l’État, pourtant solidement républicain, avec +11 points dans une circo que Trump avait gagnée de +11 l’année dernière.
Une performance démocrate qui laisse présager des midterms délicates pour le GOP.
#US
Une performance démocrate qui laisse présager des midterms délicates pour le GOP.
#US
Reposted by Carlos Benítez
Here's Trump's approval rating by issue. This month, we added "Crime and public safety" to the battery. it's one of Trump's better issues, but he's still underwater (-3) on it with 48% of adults opposed. Trump remains unpopular on every issue except border security, including deportations and trade.
August 26, 2025 at 12:13 PM
Here's Trump's approval rating by issue. This month, we added "Crime and public safety" to the battery. it's one of Trump's better issues, but he's still underwater (-3) on it with 48% of adults opposed. Trump remains unpopular on every issue except border security, including deportations and trade.
Reposted by Carlos Benítez
NEW Aug. Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll finds Democrats up 8 pts on the U.S. House generic ballot (49-41), Trump at 41% approval (-15). Most voters say gerrymandering is a problem, and support natl law for redistricting commissions and proportional rep'n.🧵 www.gelliottmorris.com/p/democrats-...
Democrats lead the U.S. House generic ballot by 8; voters back fair maps and oppose Trump's tariffs
Results from the August Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll
www.gelliottmorris.com
August 26, 2025 at 12:13 PM
NEW Aug. Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll finds Democrats up 8 pts on the U.S. House generic ballot (49-41), Trump at 41% approval (-15). Most voters say gerrymandering is a problem, and support natl law for redistricting commissions and proportional rep'n.🧵 www.gelliottmorris.com/p/democrats-...
Reposted by Carlos Benítez
🌡️ Rares voire rarissimes en France au XXe siècle, les températures dépassant localement les 40 degrés sont devenues fréquentes depuis l’an 2000. Voici une carte animée localisant chaque année où les stations de Météo-France ont relevé ou dépassé 40 degrés (données au 17 août).
August 25, 2025 at 11:00 AM
🌡️ Rares voire rarissimes en France au XXe siècle, les températures dépassant localement les 40 degrés sont devenues fréquentes depuis l’an 2000. Voici une carte animée localisant chaque année où les stations de Météo-France ont relevé ou dépassé 40 degrés (données au 17 août).
Reposted by Carlos Benítez
Bolivie: Jorge «Tuto» Quiroga, le technocrate à la reconquête du pouvoir
Bolivie: Jorge «Tuto» Quiroga, le technocrate à la reconquête du pouvoir
Arrivé en deuxième position des scrutins du 17 août, Jorge « Tuto » Quiroga doit rattraper son retard sur son concurrent, le centriste Rodrigo Paz Pereira. L’ancien éphémère président bolivien oppose son pragmatisme et son expérience au « capitalisme pour tous » de son adversaire.
www.rfi.fr
August 20, 2025 at 10:27 AM
Bolivie: Jorge «Tuto» Quiroga, le technocrate à la reconquête du pouvoir
Reposted by Carlos Benítez
Bolivia: "Rodrigo Paz supo conectarse con la gente", dice politólogo
Bolivia: "Rodrigo Paz supo conectarse con la gente", dice politólogo
La doble sorpresa de las presidenciales en Bolivia celebradas este domingo es la ausencia de un candidato del bloque de izquierda en la segunda vuelta en octubre próximo, así como la llegada en primer lugar del candidato centrista Rodrigo Paz. Análisis con el politólogo Marcelo Arequipa.
www.rfi.fr
August 18, 2025 at 2:23 PM
Bolivia: "Rodrigo Paz supo conectarse con la gente", dice politólogo
Reposted by Carlos Benítez
Americans now view Donald Trump as unfavorably on prices as they viewed Joe Biden during peak inflation in 2022-2023 www.gelliottmorris.com/p/trumps-big...
How inflation could sink Trump
Trump’s approval on prices and the economy is approaching Joe Biden’s during peak inflation
www.gelliottmorris.com
August 15, 2025 at 11:45 AM
Americans now view Donald Trump as unfavorably on prices as they viewed Joe Biden during peak inflation in 2022-2023 www.gelliottmorris.com/p/trumps-big...
Reposted by Carlos Benítez
Bolivia election could see lurch to right as once-dominant party’s time runs out
Bolivia election could see lurch to right as once-dominant party’s time runs out
The two leading presidential candidates are both rightwingers and the leftist party of former president Evo Morales faces potential extinction
www.theguardian.com
August 15, 2025 at 12:35 PM
Bolivia election could see lurch to right as once-dominant party’s time runs out