Thomas Creamer
@thomascreamer.bsky.social
1.4K followers 1.1K following 400 posts
Leitrim native with notions. Very much a personal account, looking for a lesser evil in terms of managing the social media addiction. @tmcreamer on the other site. #speirgorm (He/Him)
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thomascreamer.bsky.social
Hi folk - if you now follow me as a result of one of the starter packs, I mostly post about;

- politics (of the lefty/soc dem variety)

-ocassionally on other interests (daily life, books/video games, or whatever else you'd expect from an Irish guy in his late 20's).

Take that as you will.
thomascreamer.bsky.social
Wow, we have to wonder how FG has never won a Presidential election before.😅
Reposted by Thomas Creamer
gavreilly.com
#Aras25 poll: Business Post/Red C
(October 1-7, MoE 3%)

ℹ️ Sampling began before Gavin’s withdrawal

Connolly 36
Humphreys 25
Gavin 12
undecided 27

After Gavin eliminated:
Connolly 39
Humphreys 31

W/o undecideds:
Connolly 56
Humphreys 44

www.businesspost.ie/article/red-...
Red C Poll: Connolly leads but Heather gains from Gavin exit
www.businesspost.ie
Reposted by Thomas Creamer
joenoonan.bsky.social
This prediction is from 2023:

“You know, in a couple of years’ time people will be able to resolve this issue themselves, in relation to whether they want a silent person, a puppet, or whether they want a president.”

- President Michael D. Higgins, 2023.
MDH and Misneach at podium
thomascreamer.bsky.social
Fair, the "from the top of my head" bit wasn't rethorical, but yeah, that is another dxample as well.
thomascreamer.bsky.social
Personally, these seems far more interesting than "Connolly followed her professional obligations as a Barrister" or "Connolly actually takes prisoner rehabilitation seriously", which are apparently grave crimes Connolly must answer for somehow.
thomascreamer.bsky.social
From the top of my head, Humphreys has been implicated in interfering getting an animal cruelty case dropped, defended practices enabling bogus self-employment, proposed a Green Paper on Disability reform clearly inspired by similar "reforms" by the Tories in the UK...and more besides.
thomascreamer.bsky.social
On the Inside Politics podcast, Ellen Coyne explained the disproportionate media stories about Catherine Connolly compared to Heather Humphreys as a case of Connolly just being a more "interesting" candidate with Humphreys not doing much that is worthy of comment?

Really? Seems a bit weak tbh.
thomascreamer.bsky.social
Hi folk - just a PSA that today is the LAST day for checking and fixing your voter registration if you wish to vote on 24th October in the Presidential Election. Just head to checktheregister.ie - it'll only take a few minutes to see if your voter registration is up to snuff.
Check the Register
checktheregister.ie
thomascreamer.bsky.social
Honestly, would it kill FFers, when they're expressing sympathy for Jim Gavin, to even pretend to extend that sympathy to the tenant that their presidential candidate ripped off?
Reposted by Thomas Creamer
jfennellauthor.bsky.social
Absolutely vile.

Not that I want to overload the fine people at @booksupstairs.bsky.social with work at this fraught moment, but consider sending some business their way to show support.
thomascreamer.bsky.social
And tbf, it is possible that maybe he knew that *more* would come out, and he decided to quit while he was ahead?
Reposted by Thomas Creamer
tupped.bsky.social
Of all Jim Gavin’s gaffes, it turns out it was his spare one that took him down.
thomascreamer.bsky.social
Not saying that being a Landlord, especially a shitty one, harms a politician as much as it should - but in this case, he could have tried arguing the toss about whether it is right to say Gavin "stole" €3.3k from the tenant, but that was never going to be winnable in the public areana.
thomascreamer.bsky.social
I mean, wasn't that kind of what killed Deirdre Conroy's candidacy in the DBS bye-election a few years ago?
thomascreamer.bsky.social
What I will be curious about is how many will still vote for Jim Gavin on the ballot paper on the 24th?

Because it will definitely be more than zero.
thomascreamer.bsky.social
Yeah, but landlords are a single digit percentage of the population, and even then, basically pocketing thousands of someone else's money is not something you can openly condone in nearly any social context in Ireland.
thomascreamer.bsky.social
Like, tbf, I do think Jim Gavin stiffing a tenant of €3.3k was going to be genuinely fatal to his campaign.

The Presidential election is a campaign about personal character even more so than most elections (given the lack of powers the President has), and that was not going to fly.
thomascreamer.bsky.social
Thing is, this poll was conducted *before* that story about Gavin allegedly stiffing a tenant out of €3,300 was published.
Reposted by Thomas Creamer
colm.bsky.social
Well, well, well.

Connelly 32
Humphreys 23
Gavin 15

#aras25
Reposted by Thomas Creamer
electionlit.bsky.social
That's tight.... if the don't knows, don't vote...
thomascreamer.bsky.social
If this was Connolly, the headline would be "Connolly accused of stealing €3k by a former tenant", whuch would just as accurately apply to this situation, but they buried those details well into the article.