Lightnews — Scholar-powered news

sarah smile @thegreatsarini.bsky.social · 51m

I have my husband read any evaluations first then summarize the salient points (both positive and negative) and show me only those with constructive feedback. Saves me from reading the things only intended to hurt or disparage.

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sarah smile @thegreatsarini.bsky.social · 2h

i’m super sad that my extremely niche interest in sexual selection immediately ruined this joke for me, but not mad that it led me into a deep dive on the evolution of the baculum again. thankful for the posters today.

mr. cannoli @boner.ink · 5h

just discovered a new dinosaur but all i have is its dick bone

sarah smile @thegreatsarini.bsky.social · 2h

dplyr must dislike me personally because i don’t think it ever lets me get away with issues like this

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sarah smile @thegreatsarini.bsky.social · 9h

“guess i’m not smarter than a 5th grader…”

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sarah smile @thegreatsarini.bsky.social · 9h

B52’s are still fucking awesome in concert but very stationary nowadays. Great vibes though.

sarah smile @thegreatsarini.bsky.social · 10h

If you want to know more, please start with the American Statistical Association’s statement on p-values. amstat.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

The ASA Statement on p-Values: Context, Process, and Purpose

Published in The American Statistician (Vol. 70, No. 2, 2016)

amstat.tandfonline.com

sarah smile @thegreatsarini.bsky.social · 12h

I teach undergrad stats programming—also a big emphasis of mine. Not a weakness to not know an answer but a problem if you don’t try to find out what it is. I google things all the time! My browser always has 6253792 tabs open. My bookmarks are full of blog posts and stackoverflow questions!

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sarah smile @thegreatsarini.bsky.social · 12h

Every statistician and scientist should stop using the word “significant” immediately and forever.

Zach Weinersmith @zachweinersmith.bsky.social · 3d

Do you have any extremely niche, but serious, ethical stances?

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sarah smile @thegreatsarini.bsky.social · 1d

We all have our parts to play.

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sarah smile @thegreatsarini.bsky.social · 1d

My new favorite way to protest.

A text exchange:
Person 1 (blue): Heading towards you. Look for a T. rex and a unicorn
Person 2 (grey): We are directly across the street from a T. rex and a unicorn

Two people standing on the side of a road lined with people attending the No Kings protest. One is wearing an inflatable T. rex costume and holding a sign that says “How To Identify TyrannySaurus” with an image of a T. rex with Donald Trump’s head photoshopped onto it and an arrow pointing to the arms saying “tiny hands.” The other person is wearing an inflatable unicorn costume and holding a sign saying “That’s My Rights I Don’t Know You!” with a picture of Bobby from TV show King of the Hill.

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sarah smile @thegreatsarini.bsky.social · 1d

It’s easy to gather when you are the inflatable animals.

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sarah smile @thegreatsarini.bsky.social · 4d

I regret nothing.

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sarah smile @thegreatsarini.bsky.social · 4d

Bobbing and weaving through those aisles.

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sarah smile @thegreatsarini.bsky.social · 6d

I know a recipe is good if it’s covered in stains from the other times I’ve made it. My sister tracked down my dad’s beloved meatloaf recipe because it was the only ruined page in an old cookbook in the basement.

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sarah smile @thegreatsarini.bsky.social · 6d

Sure, in a public library book. But my own book? For my own library?? Everything is dog-eared.

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sarah smile @thegreatsarini.bsky.social · 6d

I preferentially buy used books because I love having original editions, bent spines, reading the weird comments people have penciled into the margins, and when a book smells as old as it looks.

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sarah smile @thegreatsarini.bsky.social · 6d

Or like asking a bear to not eat you. Sure, sometimes they’re munching on berries and could care less that you’re there. But should you risk it?

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sarah smile @thegreatsarini.bsky.social · 15d

[nyc rat czar]: these vermin are a scourge on the city and must be eliminated
[bluesky user]: this is actually eugenics and i think you should consider why you’re so comfortable with bigotry

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sarah smile @thegreatsarini.bsky.social · 15d

You’ve been in a safe seat for years, building your own political capital. Now’s the time to take a stand and burn some of it. Unless you’re more interested in preserving your personal power than representing your constituents.

sarah smile @thegreatsarini.bsky.social · 15d

How is it not clear that Republicans have been negotiating in bad faith for decades. Nobody in your party wants compromise right now, Marcy. Not when the president is unilaterally canceling congressionally approved funds he doesn’t agree with. The “Big Middle” get real and read the room.

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sarah smile @thegreatsarini.bsky.social · 15d

Appeasing and conceding points to openly authoritarian Republicans to find the “Big Middle” legitimized fascism and is a big part of how we got here. I cannot say this enough, for the love of all that is good, someone please primary Marcy Kaptur.

Marcy Kaptur @repmarcykaptur.bsky.social · 18d

Internet insults won’t reopen government. Speaker Johnson needs to do his job, call us back, and work in good faith to find the 'Big Middle.' The only way to reopen government is through bipartisan compromise—otherwise premium increases and hospital closures will put more stress on working families.

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sarah smile @thegreatsarini.bsky.social · 16d

I bartend and carry liquid bandage and finger cots in my purse at all times. Lifesaver.

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Reposted by sarah smile

Peter Tennant @pwgtennant.bsky.social · 17d

'What is your research question?

- a sardonic new drama about a group of jaded medical statisticians who each week must explain the same issues over and over again to their arrogant clinical colleagues. All while receiving minimum recognition or reward.

I'd watch that!

Darren Dahly @statsepi.bsky.social · Sep 27

14 new shows a year about medical doctors. Zero shows ever about medical statisticians. WTF!?

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Reposted by sarah smile

Bloody Mary (mirror entity, not cocktail) @marygillis.bsky.social · 23d

The amount of drivers who absolutely lose their shit when asked to keep pedestrians safe is infuriating.

You're driving fucking tanks that can obliterate the human body. You should be held to far higher safety standards than currently exist, and you're still whining. Grow the fuck up.

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Reposted by sarah smile

Ed Zitron @edzitron.com · 24d

Tomorrow's premium newsletter: on analysis of their partnerships and projections, I estimate that OpenAI needs ~$1 trillion over the next 4 years, with at least $500bn needed for company operations.

Here's a $10 off discount off annual.
edzitronswheresyouredatghostio.outpost.pub/public/promo...

Compute Costs - At least $456.9 Billion Over Five Years
Let’s run through this one more time:

OpenAI has committed to spending $300 billion on compute through 2030 with Oracle.
OpenAI has said it plans to spend an additional $100 billion on backup compute over the next four years.
It’s unclear whether this figure includes the commitments stated previously, or are something distinct. Based on the wording of the coverage I’ve read, I’m inclined to think it’s a separate commitment — which is not good!
OpenAI has agreed to buy $11.9 billion, $4 billion and $6.5bn in compute from CoreWeave over the next five years.
Per The Information, OpenAI expects to spend at least $13 billion in 2027 and $28 billion in 2028 on compute with Microsoft.
This also matches up with The Information’s reporting — though I actually think it’s going to be higher, as OpenAI fudges its numbers and “rounds” them (see the diagram).

OpenAI Will Need To Raise At Least $500 Billion Just To Fund Its Operations, And Another $432.5 Billion Or More To Fulfil Its Obligations - Which Is More Than The Available Capital Of The Top 10 Private Equity Firms and US Venture Capital Combined
So, I am repeating myself a little, but I really, really do not trust OpenAI’s revenue projections, and think they are at best unrealistic or, at worst, a deliberate attempt to mislead investors using the media.

Nevertheless, even if OpenAI is in a position where it is making $200 billion by the year 2030, it will need to have raised at least $500 Billion to get there, and when you add its obligations — including those given to NVIDIA — it will have to raise (or have partners raise) another $400 or so billion.

This is more than the projected available supply of US venture capital at the end of 2025 ($164 billion), and the combined available capital of the top 10 private equity funds ($477 billion), as well as the $50 billion of available direct lending capital from JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs (about $35 billion across two closes).

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