Tsuyoshi Goroku
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tgoroku.bsky.social
Tsuyoshi Goroku
@tgoroku.bsky.social
350 followers 130 following 180 posts
Associate Prof. at Nishogakusha University (Tokyo): History, NATO, European Security, Alliance Politics, Deterrence & Arms Control. Foodie🥘Travel🏖Music🎧 Banya🧖‍♂️Photo: Ishigaki-island, JP
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📢Excited to share the results of the Japanese public opinion survey on foreign and security issues by UTokyo ROLES. It covers public perceptions of threats, relations with the US, nuclear issues and so on.
The 3rd edition, conducted this Aug, is available. roles.rcast.u-tokyo.ac.jp/en/publicati...
UTokyo ROLES Survey – Sep 2025
UTokyoROLESSurvey: SecurityAllianceandForeignEngagementResearch(SAFER)projectAimandScopeofthi...
roles.rcast.u-tokyo.ac.jp
岩屋外務大臣の「欧州・インド太平洋パートナーズ会合」への出席 www.mofa.go.jp/mofaj/files/...
www.mofa.go.jp
『国際問題』最新号は「液状化するNATOートランプ2.0政権下の大西洋同盟」特集。全編無料DL可。
「揺らぐ米国の「核の傘」への信頼:第2次トランプ政権と欧州における核抑止」を寄稿。トランプ政権発足後の欧州における核抑止を巡る動きを歴史を振り返りつつ概観しました。
www2.jiia.or.jp/BOOK/
電子版国際問題(2025年10月 No.727)
焦点:「液状化するNATOートランプ2.0政権下の大西洋同盟ー」
www2.jiia.or.jp
Reposted by Tsuyoshi Goroku
After 14 years, I think the time has come to acknowledge that the "Rebalance to Asia" has failed.

I've spent the last decade writing and thinking about how to make the rebalance successful, so this is a painful realization.

A thread on my new piece for RSIS...
Reposted by Tsuyoshi Goroku
'"As Long As It Takes": What does it mean to commit to Ukraine's security?'

We are thrilled to welcome Sir Lawrence Freedman (@ldfreedman.bsky.social) to Queen Mary to deliver our 4th distinguished Hennessy Lecture on 8 October, 6:30.

Get your free ticket here!
www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/as-long-as...
'As Long As It Takes': What does it mean to commit to Ukraine's security?
Join the Mile End Institute for our fourth distinguished Hennessy Lecture by the legendary Professor of War Studies, Sir Lawrence Freedman!
www.eventbrite.co.uk
Reposted by Tsuyoshi Goroku
Precisely. At some point, perhaps soon, Europe will face a hard choice: 1. do nothing & watch Russia grinding through Ukraine & getting closer to NATO territory, but keep Trump happy; 2. ignore Trump & deploy troops (or at least aircraft) to help Ukraine stop Putin. I'm for 2, but risks either way.
I hate to be the grump at the party. But this is all about Starmer/Macron trying to show relevance to Trump. This force is never gonna happen because 1. Russia will never say yes and if they did 2. US ain't going to go to war with Russia if it fires some missiles at some Euro troops in Ukraine. 🤷‍♂️
On troop deployment:

Macron *very* clear twice: only the day *after* the ceasefire, and any deployment must be part of a "ceasefire, a truce, or a peace agreement". In other words: no European boots on the ground before an agreement.
Reposted by Tsuyoshi Goroku
On troop deployment:

Macron *very* clear twice: only the day *after* the ceasefire, and any deployment must be part of a "ceasefire, a truce, or a peace agreement". In other words: no European boots on the ground before an agreement.
📢Excited to share the results of the Japanese public opinion survey on foreign and security issues by UTokyo ROLES. It covers public perceptions of threats, relations with the US, nuclear issues and so on.
The 3rd edition, conducted this Aug, is available. roles.rcast.u-tokyo.ac.jp/en/publicati...
UTokyo ROLES Survey – Sep 2025
UTokyoROLESSurvey: SecurityAllianceandForeignEngagementResearch(SAFER)projectAimandScopeofthi...
roles.rcast.u-tokyo.ac.jp
📢今年8月6-8日に実施した外交・安全保障問題に関する日本の世論調査の結果を公開。

昨年8月・今年2月に続く3回目の調査。過去と比べ、脅威認識や核に対する姿勢など大部分で大きな変化はありませんが、対米関係については変化がみられます。

詳細は以下リンクから👉https://roles.rcast.u-tokyo.ac.jp/publication/20250904ja
Reposted by Tsuyoshi Goroku
In view of Trump's stated preference for Ukraine to cede unoccupied lands for "peace", I am re-upping my February essay:

"For European NATO countries serious about their own security, self-pity is a dead end and introspection has become useless."
www.britainsworld.org.uk/p/the-memora...
NATO faces its Daladier moment following Munich
The Memorandum | No. 07.2025
www.britainsworld.org.uk
Reposted by Tsuyoshi Goroku
“The poll found that support for Ukraine among the American public is at its highest since early 2023.” The American public gets it even if Trump doesn’t.
As Trump and Putin Are Poised to Meet: For First Time, Most Americans Want to Back Ukraine for ‘as Long as It Takes’
www.lawfaremedia.org/article/for-...
イタリアもNPT加盟に際して欧州オプションの条件をつけていたのか。
Reposted by Tsuyoshi Goroku
Very good example of why ballistic missile submarines are a bad choice for nuclear signaling.

www.nytimes.com/2025/08/01/u...