Stephen Wolf
@stephenwolf.bsky.social
110K followers 260 following 1.8K posts
Contributor @the-downballot.com. Democracy, voting rights, redistricting, and maps.
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stephenwolf.bsky.social
Thread: Republicans won the Senate in 2024 despite Democrats winning more votes & representing more people nationwide.

Republicans last won more support than Democrats in the 1990s but won the Senate anyway in 7 of 13 elections since 2000.

Data & charts below: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
A chart of the U.S. Senate popular vote and the population represented by each party from 1990 to 2024. Republicans have won the Senate in 7 of the last 13 elections starting with the year 2000 despite continually winning fewer collective votes and representing fewer Americans than Democrats.
Reposted by Stephen Wolf
davidnir.com
The gaslighting—from NC Republicans and many others—is really something else. They're just outright pretending that California launched this year's redistricting wars, even though it started with Texas. bergerpress.medium.com/general-asse...
stephenwolf.bsky.social
Surely better but still dire. The GOP would’ve held the House regardless, & Dems needed a 3-point swing for the Senate in this scenario.

2018’s Senate map was so bad the GOP could’ve won 60 seats & a big House majority. What would that & possibly Scalia’s vacant SCOTUS seat do to the 2020 primary?
Reposted by Stephen Wolf
mcpli.bsky.social
Although the Callais case at SCOTUS involves a high-profile congressional redistricting dispute, important to remember that most Section 2 cases (2/3!) continue to involve local government bodies like city councils & school boards. - mostly challenges to at-large systems.
Reposted by Stephen Wolf
the-downballot.com
Pretty wild stuff here reported by the @kansasreflector.com.

GOP leaders are pushing their members to convene a special session to gerrymander the KS House map, but now they say there's an even more important reason: stopping trans Kansans from changing gender markers on their driver's licenses.
stephenwolf.bsky.social
I really doubt they're risking anything more with a new map compared to the current map. They were deterred somewhat last time by the risk of a racial gerrymandering/VRA lawsuit, but the Supreme Court is poised to make that even less of a concern for them this time
stephenwolf.bsky.social
North Carolina Republicans proposed an 11-3 gerrymander in 2023, but they instead passed a 10-3 map with one swing district that Dems won.

Trump won all 11 red districts below by at least 10 points, & the GOP could even draw something a bit stronger for 2026 davesredistricting.org/join/803b9fe...
Image of a congressional map proposed by North Carolina Republicans in 2023 that was drawn to elect an 11-to-3 Republican majority in this swing state. The districts are colored by the 2024 presidential winner's margin. Donald Trump won the 11 red districts by 10-to-18 point margins while Kamala Harris won the 3 blue districts by 38-to-46 point margins.
stephenwolf.bsky.social
North Carolina Republicans proposed an 11-3 gerrymander in 2023, but they instead passed a 10-3 map with one swing district that Dems won.

Trump won all 11 red districts below by at least 10 points, & the GOP could even draw something a bit stronger for 2026 davesredistricting.org/join/803b9fe...
Image of a congressional map proposed by North Carolina Republicans in 2023 that was drawn to elect an 11-to-3 Republican majority in this swing state. The districts are colored by the 2024 presidential winner's margin. Donald Trump won the 11 red districts by 10-to-18 point margins while Kamala Harris won the 3 blue districts by 38-to-46 point margins.
stephenwolf.bsky.social
North Carolina Republicans just announced they plan to pass a more extreme congressional gerrymander for 2026.

Republicans re-gerrymandered this swing state's congressional map just last cycle to turn what had been 7 Dem - 7 Rep split into a 10-4 majority. Now they're going for an 11-3 edge
General Assembly Heeds President Trump’s Call to Thwart Blue State Attempts to Take Congress
Raleigh, N.C. — Today, legislative leaders agreed to hold votes during the previously scheduled October legislative session to block the…
bergerpress.medium.com
Reposted by Stephen Wolf
radleybalko.bsky.social
The Treasury Secretary declares himself to be pro-monarchy, and promises to punish the entire country if the people exercise their First Amendment rights.
atrupar.com
Bessent: "No Kings means no paychecks. No paychecks and no government."
Reposted by Stephen Wolf
leedrutman.bsky.social
New study finds Democrats represent public opinion better than Republicans: "the quality of statehouse democracy, here meaning the dynamic relationship between opinion and policy, is substantially weakened by Republican Party control of state government."

www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10....
stephenwolf.bsky.social
Trump is supposed to be Putin here, but things famously did not work out well for another Russian autocrat who tried to force the Duma into submission.

Just saying … it would be fitting if mass protests on International Women’s Day were what finally brought down Trump’s regime too
davidnir.com
"Inside the White House, top advisers joke that they are ruling Congress with an 'iron fist,' according to people who have heard the comments. Steve Bannon, the influential Trump ally, likened Congress to the Duma, the Russian assembly that is largely ceremonial."

From Josh Dawsey at the @wsj.com.
Trump, Feeling Emboldened, Pushes Agenda Into Higher Gear
Recent moves by the president reflect a commander in chief who has seemingly faced little resistance to his agenda.
www.wsj.com
Reposted by Stephen Wolf
jonwalkerpdx.bsky.social
Really just giving the game away. There is no legal logic to what they are doing and they never want it to apply to any future Dem president but they need to give Trump whatever he wants.
atrupar.com
Amy Coney Barrett defends heavy use of the shadow docket: "If we wrote a long opinion, it might give the impression that we have finally resolved the issue, and in none of these cases have we finally resolved the issue."
Reposted by Stephen Wolf
brendannyhan.bsky.social
"Look at the picture... One of these is a member of a private militia that supports the President and was involved in a violent effort to overturn the election, the other is an agent of the state. Can you tell the difference?" donmoynihan.substack.com/p/purge-merg...
Reposted by Stephen Wolf
leahlitman.bsky.social
The "plaintiffs" seeking to dismantle the Voting Rights Act (in a case this week at SCOTUS) include:

-a member of the "Trumpettes," a group of women who ardently support for the president
-a retiree who said he didn’t remember signing up to be involved in a lawsuit.

www.nytimes.com/2025/10/12/u...
One woman made national news when she protested the Covid-19 vaccine at her local City Council. Another is a member of the Trumpettes, a group of women united in their ardent support for the president. A third is a retired grocery salesman who said he didn’t remember signing up to be involved in a lawsuit.

The three are among the 12 Louisiana voters at the center of a case set to be heard by the Supreme Court on Wednesday that could gut what remains of the Voting Rights Act of 1965, the landmark civil-rights-era legislation.

In January 2024, the group filed a lawsuit challenging the constitutionality of Louisiana’s congressional district map, arguing state lawmakers had discriminated against them as white voters by impermissibly taking race into account when they drafted the map after the 2020 census.

Since then, they’ve been referred to in court filings merely as the “non-African-American” voters.
Reposted by Stephen Wolf
donmoyn.bsky.social
New, from me:
Trump's 3 step plan to create a military omniforce
1. Purge - those deemed disloyal
2. Merge - different parts of law enforcement/military
3. Surge - impose the omniforce on Dem cities; instigate unrest; assert dominance; silence dissent
donmoynihan.substack.com/p/purge-merg...
Purge, Merge, and Surge
Trump is creating a omniforce of armed loyalists to establish his police state
donmoynihan.substack.com
stephenwolf.bsky.social
The end of the French first republic too
Reposted by Stephen Wolf
jamellebouie.net
vought's view is that the president is an elected dictator and lo and behold he is seizing outright the power of the purse
kjephd.bsky.social
Unconstitutionally taking money that the law says must be spent on one purpose & using it for something else—when it's to establish personalist control over the FUCKING MILITARY—is about as dangerous a constitutional crisis/failure as you can imagine

Via: www.nbcnews.com/politics/tru...
The Office of Management and Budget sent a notification to Congress about their intent to use research and development funds to pay members of the military, two sources with direct knowledge tell NBC News.

A spokesperson for the OMB confirmed to NBC News that it plans to use the research and development funds and that there are two years' worth of funds available within the Department of Defense.
Reposted by Stephen Wolf
samhalpert.bsky.social
Dems floated a narrow bill to fund the military, which can’t move because the House isn’t in session. Meanwhile, DoD is now going to spend funds not appropriated by Congress to ensure military paychecks continue.

POTUS now both commands and provisions the military. Unconstitutional and SO dangerous
The Office of Management and Budget sent a notification to Congress about their intent to use research and development funds to pay members of the military, two sources with direct knowledge tell NBC News.
A spokesperson for the OMB confirmed to NBC
News that it plans to use the research and development funds and that there are two years' worth of funds available within the Department of Defense.
Reposted by Stephen Wolf
donmoyn.bsky.social
Tech industrial complex replacing the military industrial complex
stephenwolf.bsky.social
Looking forward to when the next #NoKings protest in Portland looks like this
A photorealistic computer-generated image of Kermit the Frog leading a large crowd of protestors through a city street. The protesters are all muppets of various colors. Kermit is holding up an American flag in his right hand.
Reposted by Stephen Wolf
laurajedeed.bsky.social
This video is everywhere because it's a hilarious visual refutation of Portland being on fire. You can't get a mass movement going without convincing the masses

so yes, this does do something actually
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Dallas Steele

@Cherrykickstart

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This literally does nothing. You are not beating fascism by dressing up in inflatable suits and dancing

Quote tweeting Claude Taylor @TrueFactsStated

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Portland is leading the way. This is how you (non violently) beat Fascism. Humor and ridicule are key.

Stillframe from a video of Portland protesters dancing in inflatable suits 

9:17 AM 08 Oct 25 758K Views

13:01 09 Oct 25 32.6K Views

88 Reposts

11 Quotes

1,049 Likes
Reposted by Stephen Wolf
Reposted by Stephen Wolf
ryanlcooper.com
this is correct. and while you would get a nontrivial one off sum from a billionaire tax (not enough for a welfare state, but a lot), the ongoing point of that tax would be prevent billionaires from existing
liberalcurrents.com
“The problem with billionaires isn’t that they’re hoarding money that would otherwise pay for a Scandinavian social utopia. It’s that their money has become a source of wildly distorted political power that allows a few men with extremist views to wreak havoc on the rest of us.”
Billionaires Are Hoarding Power, Not Money
Billionaire money has become a source of wildly distorted political power that allows a few men with extremist views to wreak havoc on the rest of us.
www.liberalcurrents.com