solanace.bsky.social
@solanace.bsky.social
Reposted by solanace.bsky.social
BREAKING from PP
We found immigration agents have held more than 170 *citizens*
The govt doesn't track citizens held. So we did. We tallied:
Nearly 20 kids, two w/ cancer
More than 20 citizens held for day or more, incommunicado
www.propublica.org/article/immi...
by @nicolefoy.bsky.social
We found immigration agents have held more than 170 *citizens*
The govt doesn't track citizens held. So we did. We tallied:
Nearly 20 kids, two w/ cancer
More than 20 citizens held for day or more, incommunicado
www.propublica.org/article/immi...
by @nicolefoy.bsky.social
More Than 170 U.S. Citizens Have Been Held by Immigration Agents. They’ve Been Kicked, Dragged and Detained for Days.
The government does not track how often immigration agents grab citizens. So ProPublica did. Our tally — almost certainly incomplete — includes people who were held for days without a lawyer. And near...
www.propublica.org
October 16, 2025 at 4:06 PM
BREAKING from PP
We found immigration agents have held more than 170 *citizens*
The govt doesn't track citizens held. So we did. We tallied:
Nearly 20 kids, two w/ cancer
More than 20 citizens held for day or more, incommunicado
www.propublica.org/article/immi...
by @nicolefoy.bsky.social
We found immigration agents have held more than 170 *citizens*
The govt doesn't track citizens held. So we did. We tallied:
Nearly 20 kids, two w/ cancer
More than 20 citizens held for day or more, incommunicado
www.propublica.org/article/immi...
by @nicolefoy.bsky.social
Reposted by solanace.bsky.social
What if the unidentified masked men with guns don't accept the validity of your papers?
October 14, 2025 at 1:12 AM
What if the unidentified masked men with guns don't accept the validity of your papers?
Reposted by solanace.bsky.social
During a military-style raid on a building in Chicago’s South Shore, one resident heard a knock on his door.
It wasn’t the feds — it was a mom and her 7-year-old daughter, pleading for help.
He let them hide in his unit for the next 3 days.
chicago.suntimes.com/immigration/...
He let them hide in his unit for the next 3 days.
chicago.suntimes.com/immigration/...
Neighbor shielded 7-year-old during South Shore federal raid: ‘I didn’t want them to take her’
During the Sept. 30 raid one tenant protected a terrified girl and her mom. Remnants at the complex, including a detailed map of all the units, offer clues to what authorities may have known before th...
chicago.suntimes.com
October 10, 2025 at 7:33 PM
During a military-style raid on a building in Chicago’s South Shore, one resident heard a knock on his door.
It wasn’t the feds — it was a mom and her 7-year-old daughter, pleading for help.
He let them hide in his unit for the next 3 days.
chicago.suntimes.com/immigration/...
He let them hide in his unit for the next 3 days.
chicago.suntimes.com/immigration/...
Reposted by solanace.bsky.social
In case anyone thinks this is paranoid, Trump’s junta has defined terrorism to include trespass, naming ICE agents on the internet, and whatever “civil disorder” is.
October 9, 2025 at 11:34 AM
In case anyone thinks this is paranoid, Trump’s junta has defined terrorism to include trespass, naming ICE agents on the internet, and whatever “civil disorder” is.
Reposted by solanace.bsky.social
Really funny to ask a “Public Intellectual” what the last interesting academic paper they read was and for them to respond “I only read substack”
I had missed this exchange last month between Nate Silver and Tyler Cowen in which Silver more or less admits that the academic conversation has moved to Bluesky, but rather than thinking that this shows how Bluesky has become more important, he claims it's why they've "lost influence."
![COWEN: What was the last interesting thing you learned from the academic political science literature?
SILVER: Oh boy, this is going to seem like an insult. [laughs]
COWEN: No, no, we’re all for insults here.
SILVER: Look, I read a lot of Substacks and things like that. Oh, my gosh. I don’t know.
COWEN: I think that might be the right answer, to be clear.
[laughter]
SILVER: I think in some ways, what has come out of academic circles has been interesting. I think effective altruism has been interesting, for example. Certainly, critical theory or whatever, the origins of wokeness have had a lot of influence on the discourse more broadly. But I don’t really read a lot of journal articles anymore. Also, a lot of it’s gone on Bluesky, I think, and I can’t tolerate Bluesky, really. It’s too much of a circle jerk.
I think academics have maybe lost influence in that respect. Even though I have great experiences talking to academics, and I’ll do events at universities a couple of times a year.](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:cak4klqoj3bqgk5rj6b4f5do/bafkreickvwwbijajl4nicbjrgzdzwlfy4wgzkra7r7hf2troginpiws4yq@jpeg)
September 16, 2025 at 11:53 AM
Really funny to ask a “Public Intellectual” what the last interesting academic paper they read was and for them to respond “I only read substack”
Reposted by solanace.bsky.social
A United States Senate investigation has identified more than 500 credible reports of human rights abuses in US immigration detention since January, including alarming allegations of mistreatment of pregnant women and children.
Senate Probe Uncovers Allegations of Widespread Abuse in ICE Custody
Led by US senator Jon Ossoff, the investigation cites hundreds of reports since January, including accounts of miscarriages, child neglect, and sexual abuse at ICE detention centers in dozens of state...
www.wired.com
August 19, 2025 at 5:19 PM
A United States Senate investigation has identified more than 500 credible reports of human rights abuses in US immigration detention since January, including alarming allegations of mistreatment of pregnant women and children.
Reposted by solanace.bsky.social
Reposted by solanace.bsky.social
Amen - coefficients from different (often non-linear) models don't mean the same thing, but they get compared all the time. The "effect" of interest is a marginal effect for an explicit target population, not a parameter.
Software guided workflow could help, plug into tools like marginaleffects.com
Software guided workflow could help, plug into tools like marginaleffects.com
Managed to squeeze in the urgently necessary shoutout to marginaleffects marginaleffects.com @vincentab.bsky.social
![Speaking of quantification, another issue that remains open is the choice of appropriate metrics when pooling disparate analyses. Ideally, all effect estimates would be expressed in a common metric to ensure they are actually comparable [7]. Kowall and colleagues instead present a range of Hazard Ratios, Odds Ratios and Relative Risks. There are two pragmatic arguments to justify the usage of disparate metrics. First, it may not make a substantial numerical difference in this particular case—if the prevalence is low, Odds Ratios approach Relative Risks according to the rare disease assumption [8]. Second, readers of studies may interpret these different metrics in the same way anyway, thus rendering the differences between them irrelevant in practice.
But they are not irrelevant when the aim is to precisely identify sources of discrepancy, in which case a common effect metric would be desirable. There remains work to be done to enable translation between metrics for very different classes of models—which admittedly may not always be possible, but is at least conceivable, in particular when the underlying data are available (rather than just summary statistics). A promising development on that front is work on a more comprehensive marginaleffects framework in the social sciences [9] that enables researchers to derive a wide number of effect size quantifications from disparate classes of statistical models (with accompanying software packages in R and Python). This, in turn, should enable us to find out whether two different statistical models give the same answer when asked precisely the same question.](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:gz53felr7btxgmbxae5aooxi/bafkreiajoplny2ioe5qbuzhjrky5hrdtdfdkuwztqpnv37ypsrn6ogwm4a@jpeg)
May 30, 2025 at 7:10 AM
Amen - coefficients from different (often non-linear) models don't mean the same thing, but they get compared all the time. The "effect" of interest is a marginal effect for an explicit target population, not a parameter.
Software guided workflow could help, plug into tools like marginaleffects.com
Software guided workflow could help, plug into tools like marginaleffects.com
Reposted by solanace.bsky.social
Inflicting bad feelings on yourself is often a way to discharge the desire to do something without actually doing it
It’s the reason middle-school Andrew insulted himself for being bad at math to avoid doing his math homework
Feeling bad felt like work, and I could do it while playing video games
It’s the reason middle-school Andrew insulted himself for being bad at math to avoid doing his math homework
Feeling bad felt like work, and I could do it while playing video games
Blink.
Go outside.
Touch grass. Play a game. Paint a picture, sing a song, dance in the rain.
Embrace joy and all that is good in the world.
You can do all that and still fight tooth and nail for every inch of ground. The idea that you must personally witness everything is toxic bullshit.
Go outside.
Touch grass. Play a game. Paint a picture, sing a song, dance in the rain.
Embrace joy and all that is good in the world.
You can do all that and still fight tooth and nail for every inch of ground. The idea that you must personally witness everything is toxic bullshit.
Yes we do. Every possible moment of it. Don't even blink. We are witnessing the decimation of the lower and middle classes in America by the richest people and Corporations in the world. Dont even blink.
May 22, 2025 at 3:32 PM
Inflicting bad feelings on yourself is often a way to discharge the desire to do something without actually doing it
It’s the reason middle-school Andrew insulted himself for being bad at math to avoid doing his math homework
Feeling bad felt like work, and I could do it while playing video games
It’s the reason middle-school Andrew insulted himself for being bad at math to avoid doing his math homework
Feeling bad felt like work, and I could do it while playing video games
Reposted by solanace.bsky.social
The Iowa GOP advanced a bill making it a misdemeanor for a healthcare provider to administer a Covid vaccine.
Even when a person has requested a Covid vaccine.
Even when a person has requested a Covid vaccine.
March 4, 2025 at 11:31 PM
The Iowa GOP advanced a bill making it a misdemeanor for a healthcare provider to administer a Covid vaccine.
Even when a person has requested a Covid vaccine.
Even when a person has requested a Covid vaccine.
Reposted by solanace.bsky.social
When you cut government spending, you're pulling money out of the economy. And unless private sector growth offsets it, that means people have less money to pay for goods and services, which means the economy contracts.
There's no "but that was government spending" exception to the laws of gravity
There's no "but that was government spending" exception to the laws of gravity
Trump Administration may be on track to put its thumb on critical GDP data: “Doing so could potentially complicate or distort a fundamental measure of the U.S. economy’s health.” Via AP.
The Trump administration may exclude government spending from GDP, obscuring the impact of DOGE cuts
Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick says he could take government spending out of his agency's reports on gross domestic product.
apnews.com
March 3, 2025 at 12:10 AM
When you cut government spending, you're pulling money out of the economy. And unless private sector growth offsets it, that means people have less money to pay for goods and services, which means the economy contracts.
There's no "but that was government spending" exception to the laws of gravity
There's no "but that was government spending" exception to the laws of gravity
Reposted by solanace.bsky.social
Roses are red,
But that's not quite true,
They absorb every wavelength of the visible portion of the electromagnetic spectrum,
*Except* for that hue.
But that's not quite true,
They absorb every wavelength of the visible portion of the electromagnetic spectrum,
*Except* for that hue.
February 14, 2025 at 5:06 PM
Roses are red,
But that's not quite true,
They absorb every wavelength of the visible portion of the electromagnetic spectrum,
*Except* for that hue.
But that's not quite true,
They absorb every wavelength of the visible portion of the electromagnetic spectrum,
*Except* for that hue.
Reposted by solanace.bsky.social
Hey #StatsSky, what are you favorite papers to cite when you need to justify something that is obvious (I once had a reviewer ask we justify the use of logistic regression on a binary outcome)
or when you need to push-back on silly reviewer requests (e.g., asking for p-values in table 1)?
or when you need to push-back on silly reviewer requests (e.g., asking for p-values in table 1)?
January 6, 2025 at 8:15 AM
Hey #StatsSky, what are you favorite papers to cite when you need to justify something that is obvious (I once had a reviewer ask we justify the use of logistic regression on a binary outcome)
or when you need to push-back on silly reviewer requests (e.g., asking for p-values in table 1)?
or when you need to push-back on silly reviewer requests (e.g., asking for p-values in table 1)?