banner
simonthelwall.bsky.social
@simonthelwall.bsky.social
Look, I put that blind up straight, it's just that the house isn't.
November 16, 2025 at 3:34 PM
My cheat code is that you can create a column with just the lower or upper by doing

dat <- dat %>% mutate(
lci = binom.confint(x, n, method = "Wilson")$lower
)
My #rstats cheat code for today is the binom.confint function in the binom package that will spit out *12* different ways of calculating a CI for a proportion.

Also, this is why you use R for statistics...

(and of course the correct CI method is bayes 😎)
November 16, 2025 at 11:50 AM
The latest ESPAUR report is out. 300 epic pages packed full of graphs, maps, tables and commentary on #AMR and antimicrobial consumption.

There's a webinar scheduled to share the highlights but I don't have the details to hand.

www.gov.uk/government/p...
English surveillance programme for antimicrobial utilisation and resistance (ESPAUR) report
The ESPAUR report includes national data on antimicrobial prescribing and resistance, antimicrobial stewardship implementation and awareness activities.
www.gov.uk
November 13, 2025 at 8:38 PM
Reposted
Algorithms misclassify #Cdiff infections by ignoring emergency department stays. The new UK Health Security Agency definition fixes this https://ow.ly/2HN750XlBSk
November 12, 2025 at 6:00 PM
The issues with this study😮
Some of the best data detective work I’ve seen, and embarrassing for @bmj.com
This is one of the most remarkable academic debacles I've ever seen.

A large RCT got published in BMJ. There are currently 44 Pubpeer comments, mostly about the data, including...well. Read for yourself.
pubpeer.com/publications...
November 11, 2025 at 5:13 PM
What?
Solar’s price drop is astonishing: panels are now 98% cheaper than when I first analyzed them in 2004.

Today, building a fence with solar can be cheaper than using wood.
November 10, 2025 at 11:31 AM
Can feel the ghosts of my Yorkshire ancestors screaming out in pain and horror as I permit pre-made Yorkshire puddings to go on the shopping list.
Deep, deep shame.
November 8, 2025 at 4:39 PM
What?
Australia has so much electricity from solar power that it is going to start offering free electricity to everyone for at least three hours during the day as the wholesale price of power goes negative

electrek.co/2025/11/04/a...
Australia has so much solar that it's offering everyone free electricity
Australia's extensive solar power penetration makes so much energy that the government wants to offer free electricity at peak hours.
electrek.co
November 6, 2025 at 8:17 PM
I will be the first to admit that I'm not an expert on AI and that I have a very basic understanding, but wtf is this?

"AI is not like any software we’ve ever written before because we do not know how it works. We don’t teach AI about our world: it teaches itself. ..."
New post just out:

"How to make government work"

We have a guest post from one of the people who built the AI Security Institute on a rare UK success story. With important lessons for the rest of government.

(£/free trial)

open.substack.com/pub/samf/p/h...
How to make government work
Lessons from a rare British success story
open.substack.com
November 5, 2025 at 6:59 PM
Reposted
Fancy a PhD at the interface between one of the biggest existential threats ever faced by humanity and tuberculosis? Then come apply!
PhD position (London, UK)
Modelling the impact of climate change on TB
with @cfmcquaid.bsky.social @mjsaunder.bsky.social @hr-stagg.bsky.social
at @lshtm-tbmod.bsky.social @lshtm.bsky.social
More details: http://iddjobs.org/jobs/2388
November 5, 2025 at 11:14 AM
If House of Guinness is about anything other than the early days of statistical inference, then I'm just not interested.
November 1, 2025 at 9:23 PM
I'm quite pleased with this - I've been training for a 10 km run and I thought I'd dig in to what my #Strava data could show me.
I used the #rstats package rStrava to pull my data and built myself an R Shiny dashboard to produce some analyses.
Rather than share the dashboard with its API tokens
October 28, 2025 at 8:54 PM
It's been so long since I've updated my GitHub pages, I've got to re-download Ruby and Jekyll as they're not installed. Yikes.
October 28, 2025 at 6:30 PM
Woah.
The immune system is mind-boggling.
I will try to do a tweetorial about this paper when I have more energy but this is really important data. It looks (tentatively, preliminarily) that COVID-19 mRNA vaccines might significantly enhance the effectiveness of cancer immunotherapy (subject to many caveats).
SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccines sensitize tumours to immune checkpoint blockade
Nature - mRNA vaccines targeting SARS-CoV-2 also sensitize tumours to immune checkpoint inhibitors.
rdcu.be
October 26, 2025 at 6:40 AM
I thought this was a self-set foxglove, but now I'm not so sure. Have I just carefully replanted a weed?
Anyone more botanical than me care to offer an opinion?
October 25, 2025 at 1:49 PM
Very much enjoying ?post rock from Just Mustard thanks to BBC radio 6.
October 24, 2025 at 2:49 PM
Really interesting paper on semi automated surveillance of surgical site infection. Interesting to note value of including number of blood culture requests as predictive factor - not normally collected in SSI surveillance.

www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Semi-automated surveillance of surgical site infections using machine learning and rule-based classification models - npj Digital Medicine
npj Digital Medicine - Semi-automated surveillance of surgical site infections using machine learning and rule-based classification models
www.nature.com
October 23, 2025 at 11:15 AM
>400 km of running so far this year. Pleased with that - most I've ever run in a year.
Hoping to make it to >=500 km by end of December.
October 23, 2025 at 10:20 AM
Oh, this should be good
Clostridioides difficile is a gram-positive spore-forming anaerobic bacterium that can produce toxins.

Learn more about the epidemiology, diagnosis, and treatment of recurrent C difficile infections in this JAMA Insights 💡:

ja.ma/49deC9s
October 20, 2025 at 5:26 PM
Steve has sensible points to make, but I'm just here to make the observation that it's cool to see politics bloggers using ggplot.
October 19, 2025 at 1:18 PM
work-in-progress of my rStrava-based Shiny dashboard.
Really quite pleased.
October 16, 2025 at 8:43 PM
If Garmin and Strava properly fall out, it's going to really scupper my run -> Garmin -> Strava -> #rstats shiny workflow. And that will be really disappointing.
October 16, 2025 at 8:07 PM
Great thread about what read like a dodgy article.
Asked lots about this piece on Chronic Lyme disease, and disappointed in the @guardian (a publication I both subscribe and contribute to) for running it. Short thread explaining the multitude of problems with it, and why I consider it irresponsible to run as is..🧵
October 12, 2025 at 5:36 AM
Oh, come off it. This RShiny app was working beautifuly just 30 minutes ago. I've changed nothing! Why isn't it working??
October 11, 2025 at 9:10 PM