> historic numbers among youth
> unprecedented coalition activating working-class and visible minorities
> drives unprecedented election day turnout
> be Pierre Poilievre
> pic unrelated
> unprecedented coalition activating working-class and visible minorities
> drives unprecedented election day turnout
> be Pierre Poilievre
> pic unrelated
November 10, 2025 at 6:49 PM
> historic numbers among youth
> unprecedented coalition activating working-class and visible minorities
> drives unprecedented election day turnout
> be Pierre Poilievre
> pic unrelated
> unprecedented coalition activating working-class and visible minorities
> drives unprecedented election day turnout
> be Pierre Poilievre
> pic unrelated
Reposted by Hugh
this kinda happened www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
November 9, 2025 at 2:04 AM
this kinda happened www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
Reposted by Hugh
yeah I'm not a Minneapolis expert but comparing 2025mplsresults.dreamhosters.com and www.justicemap.org and Google, I feel like in the first round, Fateh won Somalians in the city (Cedar-Riverside) and lost Af-Am (Near North)
I need to get out of bed and go to my computer to check, allegedly Frey won Black voters over Fateh, which if true is crazy because white incumbents usually do not do that over Black candidates. Although if true the explanation might be that Omar is Somalian and not Af-Am, which...okay
November 6, 2025 at 8:20 AM
yeah I'm not a Minneapolis expert but comparing 2025mplsresults.dreamhosters.com and www.justicemap.org and Google, I feel like in the first round, Fateh won Somalians in the city (Cedar-Riverside) and lost Af-Am (Near North)
Reposted by Hugh
Emerson I am going to kill you
Two new polls today in NYC mayor race: Zohran Mamdani now at 50% to Cuomo's 25% in Emerson poll. In Marist poll, Zohran is up by 16% over Cuomo. Of People who voted early 58%, had cast their ballots for Mamdani. This has the makings of a blow out win for the working class and big loss for oligarchs
November 5, 2025 at 2:35 AM
Emerson I am going to kill you
EmLo 2027 lock it in
As someone who isn't familiar with British politics, can someone learn me if we're likely to see floor crossings to the Greens in deeply progressive areas
Like, if the BC NDP were doing this poorly it wouldn't surprise me to see MLAs in East Van or Victoria consider it inews.co.uk/news/politic...
Like, if the BC NDP were doing this poorly it wouldn't surprise me to see MLAs in East Van or Victoria consider it inews.co.uk/news/politic...
'We face annihilation': Starmer braced for tense showdown with Labour MPs
Labour backbenchers are growing increasingly pessimistic about their prospects at forthcoming elections
inews.co.uk
November 4, 2025 at 7:59 PM
EmLo 2027 lock it in
Reposted by Hugh
I didn't want to say any of it until its getting to be public, but, yeah, you can read the tea leaves here regarding Zohran's relationship with Brad Lander
h/t @petersterne.com for alluding to this
h/t @petersterne.com for alluding to this
October 22, 2025 at 7:30 PM
I didn't want to say any of it until its getting to be public, but, yeah, you can read the tea leaves here regarding Zohran's relationship with Brad Lander
h/t @petersterne.com for alluding to this
h/t @petersterne.com for alluding to this
From what I've heard, the main 3 camps seem to be a #populist camp allied with Common Sense BC and the party board represented by Harman Bhangu OR Aaron Gunn, a BC Liberal reconquista faction with Milobar at the helm, endorsed by Dew, and a synthesis wing championed by Caroline Elliott.
I don't have a read on internal BC Conservative dynamics. But if you wonder who replaces Rustad, I think the most obious replacements fall into two camps: BC Liberal pragmatists (Milobar / Doerkson / Hepner) and very ambitious strivers (Dew / Banman)
He gone.
October 22, 2025 at 7:14 PM
From what I've heard, the main 3 camps seem to be a #populist camp allied with Common Sense BC and the party board represented by Harman Bhangu OR Aaron Gunn, a BC Liberal reconquista faction with Milobar at the helm, endorsed by Dew, and a synthesis wing championed by Caroline Elliott.
Reposted by Hugh
Might be the best concise summary of Japan's current political situation I've encountered...Masaya Inoue of Keio University correctly highlights the role of factions and the future instability of any coming government:
Takaichi’s victory is a milestone on the road to a new party system in Japan
Sanae Takaichi’s presidency is a win for the LDP right, but as prime minister she would be hostage to complex policy challenges and a shifting political landscape.
eastasiaforum.org
October 19, 2025 at 11:10 PM
Might be the best concise summary of Japan's current political situation I've encountered...Masaya Inoue of Keio University correctly highlights the role of factions and the future instability of any coming government:
Reposted by Hugh
The concluding lines are apt:
October 16, 2025 at 2:21 AM
The concluding lines are apt:
Ishin now entering discussions to vote for Takaichi as PM-designate in the vote next week. Would be enough to deprive the Opposition of a majority...but would also push Komei + CDP closer together and leave the Osaka LDP curious.
The opposition parties are intensifying their discussions about a coalition, while the LDP tries to prevent their cooperation. Takaichi, meanwhile, is fending off calls to let Ishiba stay on as PM. All of this plus new polling in a new Japan Daily Briefing.
open.substack.com/pub/observin...
open.substack.com/pub/observin...
Confusion reigns | Japan Daily Briefing
With a date for a new Diet session settled, the LDP and opposition parties are stepping up their efforts to take the premiership
open.substack.com
October 15, 2025 at 4:01 AM
Ishin now entering discussions to vote for Takaichi as PM-designate in the vote next week. Would be enough to deprive the Opposition of a majority...but would also push Komei + CDP closer together and leave the Osaka LDP curious.
New Japan poll:
LDP 27.4 (-0.5)
KOMEI 3.2 (+0.1)
CPJ 0.7 (-1.1)
DIY 4.5 (-1.8 )
JRP 1.7 (-1.9)
TM 0.4 (--)
DPP 4.8 (-0.9)
CDP 5.6 (+0.6)
RS 1.2 (-0.5)
SDP 0.2 (-0.5)
JCP 2.6 (-0.3)
LDP 27.4 (-0.5)
KOMEI 3.2 (+0.1)
CPJ 0.7 (-1.1)
DIY 4.5 (-1.8 )
JRP 1.7 (-1.9)
TM 0.4 (--)
DPP 4.8 (-0.9)
CDP 5.6 (+0.6)
RS 1.2 (-0.5)
SDP 0.2 (-0.5)
JCP 2.6 (-0.3)
October 14, 2025 at 4:02 PM
New Japan poll:
LDP 27.4 (-0.5)
KOMEI 3.2 (+0.1)
CPJ 0.7 (-1.1)
DIY 4.5 (-1.8 )
JRP 1.7 (-1.9)
TM 0.4 (--)
DPP 4.8 (-0.9)
CDP 5.6 (+0.6)
RS 1.2 (-0.5)
SDP 0.2 (-0.5)
JCP 2.6 (-0.3)
LDP 27.4 (-0.5)
KOMEI 3.2 (+0.1)
CPJ 0.7 (-1.1)
DIY 4.5 (-1.8 )
JRP 1.7 (-1.9)
TM 0.4 (--)
DPP 4.8 (-0.9)
CDP 5.6 (+0.6)
RS 1.2 (-0.5)
SDP 0.2 (-0.5)
JCP 2.6 (-0.3)
Have college homework to do but once that's done in the next day or so, expect a piece out soon about the Takaichi effect on the next general election 👀
October 13, 2025 at 4:11 AM
Have college homework to do but once that's done in the next day or so, expect a piece out soon about the Takaichi effect on the next general election 👀
1993 called it wants its coalition back
October 13, 2025 at 4:08 AM
1993 called it wants its coalition back
Reposted by Hugh
My glass half-full view of what comes next for Japan's politics is that minority rule forces parties to come together pragmatically issue-by-issue, passing solutions that are closer to public priorities and therefore more legitimate, a little like Ishiba's experience: clumsy, but functional
October 11, 2025 at 12:23 AM
My glass half-full view of what comes next for Japan's politics is that minority rule forces parties to come together pragmatically issue-by-issue, passing solutions that are closer to public priorities and therefore more legitimate, a little like Ishiba's experience: clumsy, but functional
Reposted by Hugh
Reposted by Hugh
Takaichi could cooperate on policy with Tamaki and his DPFP, but he's not going to deliver the votes that Komeito could (tbh I'm putting it politely) and a lot of LDP seats just got a lot more vulnerable whenever the next election happens
October 10, 2025 at 6:45 AM
Takaichi could cooperate on policy with Tamaki and his DPFP, but he's not going to deliver the votes that Komeito could (tbh I'm putting it politely) and a lot of LDP seats just got a lot more vulnerable whenever the next election happens
Reposted by Hugh
Get ready for the multipolar era of Japanese politics...lots of parties, none with much of an identifiable advantage over the other, few critical constituencies to leverage, little public sympathy for anyone
October 10, 2025 at 7:33 AM
Get ready for the multipolar era of Japanese politics...lots of parties, none with much of an identifiable advantage over the other, few critical constituencies to leverage, little public sympathy for anyone
Reposted by Hugh
NEW - Elenore Sturko has been removed from the Conservative caucus. The leader’s office has not provided any formal details as to why. #bcpoli
September 23, 2025 at 12:28 AM
NEW - Elenore Sturko has been removed from the Conservative caucus. The leader’s office has not provided any formal details as to why. #bcpoli
Potential candidate for the BC Greens in Victoria-Beacon Hill if a by-election is triggered, perhaps?
Such a kind endorsement, thank you Councillor Caradonna! Jeremy is fiercely committed to serving the people of Victoria and is an unwavering force in our fight for a better world. ⚡ #bcpoli #bcgreens @jeremycaradonnayyj.bsky.social
August 7, 2025 at 2:11 AM
Potential candidate for the BC Greens in Victoria-Beacon Hill if a by-election is triggered, perhaps?
Reposted by Hugh
127/ British election night coverage needs to go completely back to the drawing board. It has become a pointless mess of endless talking heads, with results and analysis seemingly seen as an inconvenient side show. You have most of the best psephologists in the country working with you – use them!
August 2, 2025 at 10:56 PM
127/ British election night coverage needs to go completely back to the drawing board. It has become a pointless mess of endless talking heads, with results and analysis seemingly seen as an inconvenient side show. You have most of the best psephologists in the country working with you – use them!
Reposted by Hugh
“The earthquake in New York City got me thinking about how you used to make my earth quake every day. There was real magnitude to our love. No need to text back.”
August 3, 2025 at 2:50 AM
“The earthquake in New York City got me thinking about how you used to make my earth quake every day. There was real magnitude to our love. No need to text back.”
Reposted by Hugh
In thinking more about the right wing's conflict with MOF, I'm reading this book that's a conversation between two Sankei journalists. On virtually every page Abe is getting mad at someone. They literally
August 1, 2025 at 1:56 AM
In thinking more about the right wing's conflict with MOF, I'm reading this book that's a conversation between two Sankei journalists. On virtually every page Abe is getting mad at someone. They literally
Reposted by Hugh
1. It's far-right: Sanseito was always on the far-right from its early inception. It promoted alternative views on history and were skeptical of climate change (something that an early founder, Kazuya, was uncomfortable with).
July 30, 2025 at 6:48 AM
1. It's far-right: Sanseito was always on the far-right from its early inception. It promoted alternative views on history and were skeptical of climate change (something that an early founder, Kazuya, was uncomfortable with).
Reposted by Hugh
I actually kind of thing centre-lefties were lied to so they don’t get the fall for it again award yet.
This is reserved for ppl who vote liberal again:
This is reserved for ppl who vote liberal again:
July 29, 2025 at 6:47 PM
I actually kind of thing centre-lefties were lied to so they don’t get the fall for it again award yet.
This is reserved for ppl who vote liberal again:
This is reserved for ppl who vote liberal again: