Michael Plank
@michaelplanknz.bsky.social
2.6K followers 1.7K following 1K posts
Professor of Applied Mathematics at the University of Canterbury, NZ. Fellow @royalsocietynz.bsky.social. Math modelling in biology and epidemiology. Bicycles make the world a better place. He/him https://www.math.canterbury.ac.nz/~m.plank/
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michaelplanknz.bsky.social
"Basic science in NZ has yielded world-changing discoveries in neonatal care, life-saving genomic advances in cancers, and the invention of R, a programming language used at every university on the planet. This is the country of Ernest Rutherford! Our government can and must do better."
michaelplanknz.bsky.social
and, worst of all, the personal interests of the specific members of the board."
michaelplanknz.bsky.social
Samuel Mehr: "Moving control of science funding decisions away from the experts and toward government ministers is a recipe for under-informed funding decisions that are likely to be biased by external influence, whatever topics are currently exciting (but don’t necessarily have any long-term value)
michaelplanknz.bsky.social
which in turn is responsible to a Minister, future funding decisions could be influenced, or perceived to be influenced, by factors beyond the excellence of the research."
michaelplanknz.bsky.social
Some great comments here.
Dame Jane Harding: "It will also be vital for the new Board to be, and to be seen to be, impartial, and independent of political influence. Our concern is that, with both the Board and the administration of funds embedded in a government department... "
michaelplanknz.bsky.social
I mean it's the logical next step
michaelplanknz.bsky.social
At this point I'm just waiting for someone to suggest asking a chatbot which proposals should be funded
Reposted by Michael Plank
marcveld.bsky.social
The abuse of science: the anti-science movement using cherry-picking to pretend SARS-CoV-2 has similar effects to HIV

How the "World Health Network" and all associated have lost even the last bit of credibility

marcveldhoen.substac...
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The abuse of science: the anti-science movement using cherry-picking to pretend SARS-CoV-2 has similar effects to HIV
How the "World Health Network" and all associated have lost even the last bit of credibility
marcveldhoen.substack.com
Reposted by Michael Plank
marcveld.bsky.social
Important graph: SC2 is still more damaging to the very young, with influenza less so. But, do look at RSV. That is a real danger at that young age.
RSV proliferates deeper in underdeveloped lungs, small alveoli, and induces the secretion of mucus +there are less maternal Abs.
Reposted by Michael Plank
apsmunro.bsky.social
Pleased to share my new post looking at the recent successes and turbulence in the development of therapeutics for infant RSV protection

Much progress made - but there’s more to do still!

#IDSky #PedsID 🧪
Protecting babies against RSV
The last two years have changed the landscape of RSV disease prevention
open.substack.com
Reposted by Michael Plank
marcveld.bsky.social
Importantly, no differences in symptoms associatyed with LongCovid were found between the infected and non-infected groups. This does not mean nobody had symptoms after infection, they were rare that in a cohort of over 5k people, it was not above the background.
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Reposted by Michael Plank
michaelsfuhrer.bsky.social
Covid exceeded the average flu excess death toll by a factor of 5-10 for three seasons in a row, but has since subsided, and is now well below the average seasonal influenza excess death toll.

The numbers are fairly similar to what was found by UKHSA for the UK.

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bsky.app/profile/mich...
Reposted by Michael Plank
michaelsfuhrer.bsky.social
Last time I talked about the work from the UKHSA to model excess deaths from covid and influenza.

I decided to see if I could cook up a similar model for the US.

Answer: Yes!

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bsky.app/profile/mich...
michaelplanknz.bsky.social
Great thread explaining UKHSA's Covid and influenza excess death estimates
michaelsfuhrer.bsky.social
The UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) has been estimating excess deaths in the UK due to Covid-19 and influenza since 2022.

Here’s a visualization of their latest results. I’ll walk you through it.

www.gov.uk/government/s...

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Reposted by Michael Plank
michaelplanknz.bsky.social
Ah I see, yes agreed (I thought you were commenting on the difference in A(nfd) specifically, rather than A vs B)
michaelplanknz.bsky.social
Looks like almost all GP samples are subtyped but only a subset of the hospital samples are? Am I missing something?
Reposted by Michael Plank
marcveld.bsky.social
Long Covid Risk for Children Doubles After a Second Infection, Study Finds

The new research provides evidence that Covid reinfections can increase the risk of long-term health consequences.

Oh dear, this is not good from the NYT.

www.nytimes.com/2025...
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Long Covid Risk for Children Doubles After a Second Infection, Study Finds
The new research provides evidence that Covid reinfections can increase the risk of long-term health consequences.
www.nytimes.com
michaelplanknz.bsky.social
What's even the point of this?
michaelplanknz.bsky.social
This is a very nice visualization. Independence is a foundational concept but can be counter intuitive and is one of those words that means something a bit different in maths than in everyday usage
tah-sci.com
I love this. Explainer: There are 100 outcomes (all squares) each equally likely. Wiggly lines event happens 20% of the time; grey event happens 30% of the time. >
davidkbutler.bsky.social
This came up in the staff meeting today: how the ordinary English meaning of the word “independent” does not describe at all how a Venn diagram looks, and what to do to fix that. #MathSky www.adelaide.edu.au/mathslearnin...
Reposted by Michael Plank
statsepi.bsky.social
This study seems riddled with selection and detection biases and I can't see how any knowledgeable expert could just take the results at face value and conclude a doubling of risk of long-covid with reinfection.
erictopol.bsky.social
Children and teens who had a Covid reinfection had a doubling of #LongCovid risk (PASC) and a significant increase in many other adverse outcomes (Figure) www.thelancet.com/journals/lan...