Jake Slaton
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jslaton.bsky.social
Jake Slaton
@jslaton.bsky.social
Statistician | PhD student - Bayesian modeling | Atlanta #RStats
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Hello BlueSky! I’m an early-career statistician within the research department of a healthcare system, primarily working on retrospective/observational studies. This integrates well with my PhD work focused on Bayesian predictive modeling.

Looking forward to consuming #Rstats and #Bayesian content!
Reposted by Jake Slaton
SUVs increase the odds of killing in a collision. They're high at the front, your children get dragged under then crushed to death. They're also too big for parking spaces. They shld just be treated like vans, subject to lower speed limits, higher parking charges. www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
Please, for the love of God, stop buying supersized cars | Arwa Mahdawi
Why would anyone want a car that’s too big for parking spaces, or that’s a menace to other road users? Arwa Mahdawi has a theory
www.theguardian.com
April 9, 2025 at 7:53 PM
Any Bayesians on BlueSky attending the ISBA Bayesian Nonparametrics conference this summer? #Bayes
BNP 14 World Meeting @ UCLA – BNP 14 @ UCLA
bnp14.org
February 11, 2025 at 12:52 PM
If anyone has any recommended introductory text on hidden Markov models, please share!
February 5, 2025 at 10:46 PM
Reposted by Jake Slaton
9) Selecting based on univariable associations

Univariate screening to select significant predictors for use in multivariable models is an unnecessary extra step in the analysis and a source of "winners curse" that should generally be avoided

www.jclinepi.com/article/0895...
www.jclinepi.com
December 23, 2024 at 10:36 AM
The book I've been using to aid my current PhD work has all examples in Stata code. Pain.
December 14, 2024 at 8:15 PM
Atlanta! Let’s go!!
posit.co Posit @posit.co · Dec 6
We are excited to announce posit::conf(2025)! Join fellow data enthusiasts & developers for an unforgettable three days of learning, connection, and inspiration.

Learn more and register at posit.co/blog/positco...

#datascience #rstats #pydata #quarto #tidyverse #posit
December 6, 2024 at 11:17 PM
December 5, 2024 at 12:43 PM
Reposted by Jake Slaton
I don't get people who claim working from the office sucks!

It has many advantages over working from home, such as:

1. Getting to use the office printer to print your personal stuff
2.
3.
December 5, 2024 at 11:38 AM
Pretty sure I’m at a 90% hit rate of courses/conferences/workshops that catch my interest being across the pond
PLEASE SHARE: Registration is now open for the next Introduction to Causal Inference Course for Health & Social Scientists (7-11 July 2025, Leeds, UK).

See more info & register here: www.causal.training

Note, we are not planning any other courses until 2027.

#CausalIntroCourse #EpiSky #CausalSky
December 5, 2024 at 12:05 PM
Reposted by Jake Slaton
PLEASE SHARE: Registration is now open for the next Introduction to Causal Inference Course for Health & Social Scientists (7-11 July 2025, Leeds, UK).

See more info & register here: www.causal.training

Note, we are not planning any other courses until 2027.

#CausalIntroCourse #EpiSky #CausalSky
December 2, 2024 at 10:42 AM
Reposted by Jake Slaton
Hi, can you help me? I want to develop a model that makes risk predictions.

Use logistic regression.

Can I use some more modern techniques, like AI?

Use a neural network with single non-hidden feed forward layer that outputs to a single dimension using a sigmoid activation function.
November 21, 2024 at 1:18 PM
Reposted by Jake Slaton
Another way forward is to differentiate between an expert practitioner and an academic expert. E.g., an expert therapist can be well trained, and have years of quality experience in the therapy room, without having a deep background in the academic literature underlying a given therapy modality.
December 1, 2024 at 1:14 AM
Reposted by Jake Slaton
This 100%. I don't see how you can be a substantive if you're not up on the statistical methods relevant to your field. You are, at best, and expert on the optimistic rhetoric other researchers use in their Abstracts and Discussion sections.
I don't understand how you can read and understand an evolving literature without keeping up with methodological developments.

What are we supposed to do, just read discussion sections and take people's word for it?
December 1, 2024 at 12:49 AM
Reposted by Jake Slaton
With #rstats re-gathering I’m reposting some of my past blog posts, including my most popular one: "Marginalia"

Have you wondered what marginal and conditional effects are? Have you been confused how "marginal" can mean both an integral *and* a slope? Read on for the magic of {marginaleffects}!
Marginalia: A guide to figuring out what the heck marginal effects, marginal slopes, average marginal effects, marginal effects at the mean, and all these other marginal things are | Andrew Heiss
Define what marginal effects even are, and then explore the subtle differences between average marginal effects, marginal effects at the mean, and marginal effects at representative values with the ma...
www.andrewheiss.com
October 29, 2024 at 5:47 PM
Reposted by Jake Slaton
But be warned...we are probably going to slow you down, and maybe stop a few of you from bullshitting quite so much.

But if it helps you avoid a meteor or two, and even help some patients, that's good. Right?

RIGHT!?

/fin

statsepi.substack.com/p/everybodys...
Everybody's backyard
John Tukey said that the best thing about being a statistician is that you get to play in everyone’s backyard. It’s a great quote. While it more obviously reflects the tendency of applied statistician...
statsepi.substack.com
October 24, 2024 at 11:11 AM
Reposted by Jake Slaton
Optimist: The cup is half full
Pessimist: The cup is half empty
Bayesian:
November 23, 2024 at 8:02 PM
Just when I think I’m becoming competent writing Stan scripts
November 21, 2024 at 8:36 PM
Reposted by Jake Slaton
Unimpressed by people (and organisations) sharing that they (or their staff) made the #HighlyCited2024 list!

This kind of metric celebration fuels a hyper productivity culture of exploitation, burnout, and fraud!

clarivate.com/highly-cited...

#HigherEd #AcademicSky
Highly Cited Researchers | Clarivate
The Highly Cited Researchers 2024 list identifies and celebrates individuals who have demonstrated significant and broad influence in their fields of research. Through rigorous selection criteria and ...
clarivate.com
November 20, 2024 at 10:12 AM
Fantastic article. Was a great find when starting my first statistician role and feeling a heavy dose of imposter syndrome
It's really cool to see so many networks reforming, and new ones popping up. Many thanks for all the new "follows". I guess if I have one key message to share, it's that sometimes you just have to become your own (not a real) statistician.

statsepi.substack.com/p/im-not-a-r...
I’m not a real statistician, and you can be one too
I was strolling around Cork, hand-in-hand with Cara, on a summer evening.
statsepi.substack.com
November 18, 2024 at 10:36 PM
Reposted by Jake Slaton
Doing good science is 90% finding a science buddy to constantly talk to about the project.
November 9, 2024 at 10:53 PM
Reposted by Jake Slaton
starter pack of academic imposters and it's just you
November 16, 2024 at 10:56 AM
Reposted by Jake Slaton
@matthewbjane.bsky.social shared this excellent Probability Distribution Explorer on another platform, and it's a fantastic resource. It provides clear descriptions, equations, code examples, and interactive visualizations. distribution-explorer.github.io/index.html
Probability Distribution Explorer — Probability Distribution Explorer documentation
distribution-explorer.github.io
November 15, 2024 at 6:08 PM