Michael Boo-tancourt
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betanalpha.bsky.social
Michael Boo-tancourt
@betanalpha.bsky.social
Zealous modeler. Annoying statistician. Reluctant geometer. Support my writing at http://patreon.com/betanalpha. He/him.
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Are you excited about the elegant philosophy of Bayesian inference, but struggling to see how it can be applied beyond the idealized examples in introductory texts and tutorials? Over the past few months I’ve released a series of demonstrative analysis that might help. 👇
If you're privileged with disposable income and looking for something avant-garde to pick up on Black Friday, in the next day or two I'll be dropping a wild new piece of writing for my covector+ supporters on patreon dot com...

www.patreon.com/c/betanalpha
Get more from Michael Betancourt on Patreon
writing about modeling building and statistical inference.
www.patreon.com
November 28, 2025 at 5:54 AM
Introduce yourself with five concerts you've seen:

OK Go opening for They Might Be Giants
Polysics opening for OK Go
Ozomatli
Janelle Monae
Magnetic Fields
Introduce yourself with five concerts you've seen:

- Stevie Ray Vaughan (1990)
- The Replacements (2014)
- Pantera (1992)
- Beastie Boys (1994)
- Def Leppard (1988)
November 28, 2025 at 5:51 AM
Reposted by Michael Boo-tancourt
Apparently I’ve been working on this drawing since June ‘23, so for almost as long as this particular Tiling has existed I’ve been chipping away at this funny little piece of fan art and I think it’s done now. This is various casual fits from dragon ball Z embedded in the ein stein tiling
November 28, 2025 at 5:03 AM
Cheers.
November 27, 2025 at 6:54 PM
Reposted by Michael Boo-tancourt
Hurray for prior predictive checks!

Working on a toy model for a blog post that presumably will come out at some point. Figured I'd write up a prior predict check to make sure those priors make sense. Ended up getting 10 m (10000 mm) wide sheep tibias. A different post! Also time to tighten priors
November 27, 2025 at 4:21 AM
Reposted by Michael Boo-tancourt
What's the better way to pronounce the acronym for "doubly connected edge list": "deckle" or "D-cell"?
November 25, 2025 at 4:34 AM
Reposted by Michael Boo-tancourt
A confounded regression model or a bad-ass spaceship flying towards you?

Find out by making a 50 USD donation and joining my upcoming regression modeling course on December 10. A few sponsored spots are also still available. Course and registration details at betanalpha.github.io/courses/.
November 25, 2025 at 4:42 AM
Reposted by Michael Boo-tancourt
<insert Six Million Dollar Man sound effect>
November 25, 2025 at 5:05 AM
Reposted by Michael Boo-tancourt
* You know how Van Halen had a contract rider demanding bowls of M&Ms with the brown ones removed?

They later claimed that was all a test to make sure venues were reading their contracts. Clever!

BUT WAIT, that claim itself is actually false. I fact-checked it.

Snack Stack exclusive:
In Search of Van Halen's Brown M&Ms
Contract riders and the meaning of a modern pop star
snackstack.net
November 25, 2025 at 4:37 AM
<insert Six Million Dollar Man sound effect>
November 25, 2025 at 5:05 AM
A confounded regression model or a bad-ass spaceship flying towards you?

Find out by making a 50 USD donation and joining my upcoming regression modeling course on December 10. A few sponsored spots are also still available. Course and registration details at betanalpha.github.io/courses/.
November 25, 2025 at 4:42 AM
What's the better way to pronounce the acronym for "doubly connected edge list": "deckle" or "D-cell"?
November 25, 2025 at 4:34 AM
Reposted by Michael Boo-tancourt
Next week -- Wed Dec 3rd at 1:30 PM EST -- I'm hosting another round of open office hours. You can ask stats questions now in the Patreon comments or later in the live chat. Even if you don't have any pressing question then consider hanging out for the discussion.

www.patreon.com/posts/holida...
Holiday Surprise Office Hours Wed 12/03 at 1:30 PM EST | Michael Betancourt
Get more from Michael Betancourt on Patreon
www.patreon.com
November 24, 2025 at 5:03 AM
Next week -- Wed Dec 3rd at 1:30 PM EST -- I'm hosting another round of open office hours. You can ask stats questions now in the Patreon comments or later in the live chat. Even if you don't have any pressing question then consider hanging out for the discussion.

www.patreon.com/posts/holida...
Holiday Surprise Office Hours Wed 12/03 at 1:30 PM EST | Michael Betancourt
Get more from Michael Betancourt on Patreon
www.patreon.com
November 24, 2025 at 5:03 AM
Reposted by Michael Boo-tancourt
Randomly sampling from SO(3).
November 23, 2025 at 5:02 PM
Randomly sampling from SO(3).
November 23, 2025 at 5:02 PM
Reposted by Michael Boo-tancourt
They should put the Gilmore Girls in Fortnite
November 21, 2025 at 6:26 PM
Reposted by Michael Boo-tancourt
Due to an unexpected cancellation I’m going to squeeze in one last stats office hours for the year. Join me on Wed Dec 3rd at 1:30 PM EST where I’ll do my best to answer as many questions as possible. You can drop your burning questions in the comments now.

www.patreon.com/posts/holida...
Holiday Surprise Office Hours Wed 12/03 at 1:30 PM EST | Michael Betancourt
Get more from Michael Betancourt on Patreon
www.patreon.com
November 19, 2025 at 5:36 AM
Reposted by Michael Boo-tancourt
Friendly reminder that a few sponsored registrations are still available. Priority given to black, indigenous people of color in high-income countries or those from low and middle-income countries.
Did I tweak nearly every slide of my regression deck in preparation for next month’s charity course? Only one way to find out!

Join us by dropping a 50 USD donation to World Central Kitchen or United Farm Workers. A few sponsored spots available. Details at betanalpha.github.io/courses/.
November 19, 2025 at 5:38 AM
Friendly reminder that a few sponsored registrations are still available. Priority given to black, indigenous people of color in high-income countries or those from low and middle-income countries.
Did I tweak nearly every slide of my regression deck in preparation for next month’s charity course? Only one way to find out!

Join us by dropping a 50 USD donation to World Central Kitchen or United Farm Workers. A few sponsored spots available. Details at betanalpha.github.io/courses/.
November 19, 2025 at 5:38 AM
Due to an unexpected cancellation I’m going to squeeze in one last stats office hours for the year. Join me on Wed Dec 3rd at 1:30 PM EST where I’ll do my best to answer as many questions as possible. You can drop your burning questions in the comments now.

www.patreon.com/posts/holida...
Holiday Surprise Office Hours Wed 12/03 at 1:30 PM EST | Michael Betancourt
Get more from Michael Betancourt on Patreon
www.patreon.com
November 19, 2025 at 5:36 AM
Reposted by Michael Boo-tancourt
Normalize using "punctual" when referring to point-like objects in mathematical writing.
November 18, 2025 at 4:45 PM
Reposted by Michael Boo-tancourt
Did I tweak nearly every slide of my regression deck in preparation for next month’s charity course? Only one way to find out!

Join us by dropping a 50 USD donation to World Central Kitchen or United Farm Workers. A few sponsored spots available. Details at betanalpha.github.io/courses/.
November 18, 2025 at 5:26 AM
Normalize using "punctual" when referring to point-like objects in mathematical writing.
November 18, 2025 at 4:45 PM