Jake Puddle
@jakepuddle.bsky.social
Director of Research at British Future
Interested in migration, cohesion and countering the far-right
Aspen Institute Fellow
Interested in migration, cohesion and countering the far-right
Aspen Institute Fellow
Pinned
Jake Puddle
@jakepuddle.bsky.social
· Jul 15
🔔OUT TODAY🔔
Our new report presents UK-wide evidence to the Independent Commission on Community & Cohesion
It finds a troubling powder keg of low political trust, polarisation, online vulnerability and cost of living concerns that risk sparking into further unrest if left unaddressed
Our new report presents UK-wide evidence to the Independent Commission on Community & Cohesion
It finds a troubling powder keg of low political trust, polarisation, online vulnerability and cost of living concerns that risk sparking into further unrest if left unaddressed
Reposted by Jake Puddle
Admissions that the UK government knows that Israel has committed war crimes. It needs now to publish its full assessment and then be held to account for its support for Israel.
🔴Did Keir Starmer’s Government Just Accidentally Admit Its Complicity in Israel’s War Crimes?
Two statements by Government ministers, one private and one public, appear to acknowledge for the first time that Israel’s actions have broken international law
bylinetimes.com/2026/02/13/d...
Two statements by Government ministers, one private and one public, appear to acknowledge for the first time that Israel’s actions have broken international law
bylinetimes.com/2026/02/13/d...
Did Keir Starmer's Government Just Accidentally Admit Its Complicity in Israel’s War Crimes?
Two statements by Government ministers, one private and one public, appear to acknowledge for the first time that Israel's actions have broken international law
bylinetimes.com
February 13, 2026 at 4:35 PM
Admissions that the UK government knows that Israel has committed war crimes. It needs now to publish its full assessment and then be held to account for its support for Israel.
Reposted by Jake Puddle
I wrote for the Guardian about why Jim Ratcliffe's talk of Britain being "colonised" by immigrants crosses the line between legitimate debate and inflammatory rhetoric. It fuses echoes of Powellism with great replacement conspiracies of "civilisational erasure"
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
Forget Jim Ratcliffe’s half-apology: to speak of immigrants ‘colonising’ Britain is wrong and sinister | Sunder Katwala
He fused an echo of Enoch Powell with the spirit of the far right’s great replacement theory. This is no way to progress a humane migration debate, says Sunder Katwala, director of British Future
www.theguardian.com
February 13, 2026 at 1:54 PM
I wrote for the Guardian about why Jim Ratcliffe's talk of Britain being "colonised" by immigrants crosses the line between legitimate debate and inflammatory rhetoric. It fuses echoes of Powellism with great replacement conspiracies of "civilisational erasure"
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
Reposted by Jake Puddle
We’re not in Kansas anymore latest:
Green + Reform 57%
Labour + Conservative 38.6%
In 2024 (18 months ago!) Lab + Con was 81.6%
Green + Reform 57%
Labour + Conservative 38.6%
In 2024 (18 months ago!) Lab + Con was 81.6%
Fletton & Woodston (Peterborough) Council By-Election Result:
➡️ RFM: 29.4% (New)
🌍 GRN: 27.6% (+16.2)
🌳 CON: 21.8% (-11.8)
🌹 LAB: 16.8% (-31.2)
🔶 LDM: 4.4% (-0.7)
No TUSC (-1.9) as previous.
Reform GAIN from Labour.
Changes w/ 2024.
➡️ RFM: 29.4% (New)
🌍 GRN: 27.6% (+16.2)
🌳 CON: 21.8% (-11.8)
🌹 LAB: 16.8% (-31.2)
🔶 LDM: 4.4% (-0.7)
No TUSC (-1.9) as previous.
Reform GAIN from Labour.
Changes w/ 2024.
February 13, 2026 at 7:37 AM
We’re not in Kansas anymore latest:
Green + Reform 57%
Labour + Conservative 38.6%
In 2024 (18 months ago!) Lab + Con was 81.6%
Green + Reform 57%
Labour + Conservative 38.6%
In 2024 (18 months ago!) Lab + Con was 81.6%
Reposted by Jake Puddle
Three-quarters of charities oppose the government’s plans to link volunteering to settlement in the UK, according to a new survey by @ncvo.bsky.social
Most charities oppose government’s ‘harmful’ migrant volunteering plans, survey shows
www.civilsociety.co.uk
February 9, 2026 at 12:26 PM
Three-quarters of charities oppose the government’s plans to link volunteering to settlement in the UK, according to a new survey by @ncvo.bsky.social
Reposted by Jake Puddle
Dutch site IDs ICE agents via public data
“ICE aren’t actually fearful of their safety…What they’re fearful of is not being invited to baseball games or not being invited to the pub with their friends. Community exclusion – that’s what they’re fearful of”
wiki.icelist.is/index.php/Category:Agents
“ICE aren’t actually fearful of their safety…What they’re fearful of is not being invited to baseball games or not being invited to the pub with their friends. Community exclusion – that’s what they’re fearful of”
wiki.icelist.is/index.php/Category:Agents
February 10, 2026 at 11:11 AM
Dutch site IDs ICE agents via public data
“ICE aren’t actually fearful of their safety…What they’re fearful of is not being invited to baseball games or not being invited to the pub with their friends. Community exclusion – that’s what they’re fearful of”
wiki.icelist.is/index.php/Category:Agents
“ICE aren’t actually fearful of their safety…What they’re fearful of is not being invited to baseball games or not being invited to the pub with their friends. Community exclusion – that’s what they’re fearful of”
wiki.icelist.is/index.php/Category:Agents
Reposted by Jake Puddle
My column in this week's @newstatesman1913.bsky.social, on bad data used in bad faith.
FOI-ing the stats myself, I didn't find a great deal of difference in sex offending rates: 5 per 10,000 Afghan men, 7 per 10,000 UK men:
FOI-ing the stats myself, I didn't find a great deal of difference in sex offending rates: 5 per 10,000 Afghan men, 7 per 10,000 UK men:
The truth about immigrants and sex crime
Corrosive innuendo about asylum seekers is helping no one
www.newstatesman.com
February 11, 2026 at 5:04 PM
My column in this week's @newstatesman1913.bsky.social, on bad data used in bad faith.
FOI-ing the stats myself, I didn't find a great deal of difference in sex offending rates: 5 per 10,000 Afghan men, 7 per 10,000 UK men:
FOI-ing the stats myself, I didn't find a great deal of difference in sex offending rates: 5 per 10,000 Afghan men, 7 per 10,000 UK men:
Reposted by Jake Puddle
What is effective about this Burnham statement is it reads like something that he is personally invested in and is not worried about criticism for. More of this please.
February 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM
What is effective about this Burnham statement is it reads like something that he is personally invested in and is not worried about criticism for. More of this please.
Reposted by Jake Puddle
I have co-sponsored a parliamentary motion backing @togetheralliance.bsky.social
They are mobilising people nationwide for a major demo on 28 March to show unity against the far right. We must reject narratives of division and racism, and stand together in solidarity, for hope, unity and equality.
They are mobilising people nationwide for a major demo on 28 March to show unity against the far right. We must reject narratives of division and racism, and stand together in solidarity, for hope, unity and equality.
February 12, 2026 at 12:26 PM
I have co-sponsored a parliamentary motion backing @togetheralliance.bsky.social
They are mobilising people nationwide for a major demo on 28 March to show unity against the far right. We must reject narratives of division and racism, and stand together in solidarity, for hope, unity and equality.
They are mobilising people nationwide for a major demo on 28 March to show unity against the far right. We must reject narratives of division and racism, and stand together in solidarity, for hope, unity and equality.
Reposted by Jake Puddle
70 parliamentarians have written to the Home Office saying the settlement proposals are unfair & need a significant rethink
February 12, 2026 at 11:44 AM
70 parliamentarians have written to the Home Office saying the settlement proposals are unfair & need a significant rethink
Reposted by Jake Puddle
By age 2, toddlers understand ingroup loyalty
They realize that people have social identities and expert their social identity to take precedence in intergroup contexts even when it conflicts with their personal preferences
www.pnas.org/doi/epdf/10....
They realize that people have social identities and expert their social identity to take precedence in intergroup contexts even when it conflicts with their personal preferences
www.pnas.org/doi/epdf/10....
February 10, 2026 at 8:11 PM
By age 2, toddlers understand ingroup loyalty
They realize that people have social identities and expert their social identity to take precedence in intergroup contexts even when it conflicts with their personal preferences
www.pnas.org/doi/epdf/10....
They realize that people have social identities and expert their social identity to take precedence in intergroup contexts even when it conflicts with their personal preferences
www.pnas.org/doi/epdf/10....
Reposted by Jake Puddle
🚨NEW BLOG: Home Office plans could double the settlement wait from 5 to 10 years or more for people already living in the UK. Moving the goalposts mid-journey risks harming integration and increasing child poverty🔗 www.ippr.org/articles/far-from-settled-the-governments-earned-settlement-consultation
February 9, 2026 at 8:07 AM
🚨NEW BLOG: Home Office plans could double the settlement wait from 5 to 10 years or more for people already living in the UK. Moving the goalposts mid-journey risks harming integration and increasing child poverty🔗 www.ippr.org/articles/far-from-settled-the-governments-earned-settlement-consultation
Reposted by Jake Puddle
The resistance to the far-right is strong and united. I support @togetheralliance.bsky.social bringing over 140 organisations and thousands upon thousands of individuals together united in rejecting racism and promoting solidarity across communities.
February 6, 2026 at 11:45 AM
The resistance to the far-right is strong and united. I support @togetheralliance.bsky.social bringing over 140 organisations and thousands upon thousands of individuals together united in rejecting racism and promoting solidarity across communities.
Reposted by Jake Puddle
if you spend any significant amount of time on X the everything app, your brain is being cooked
February 6, 2026 at 2:56 PM
if you spend any significant amount of time on X the everything app, your brain is being cooked
Reposted by Jake Puddle
"It is welcome, if overdue, that the PM has set out a positive vision for cohesion... What needs to follow is a clear plan to turn these words into sustained action," writes our @sundersays.bsky.social www.britishfuture.org/pms-welcome-...
PM’s welcome words on cohesion must be followed with national action - British Future
The PM has set out a vision for social cohesion. We now need to see a long-term plan to turn the vision into reality, writes Sunder Katwala.
www.britishfuture.org
February 5, 2026 at 11:49 AM
"It is welcome, if overdue, that the PM has set out a positive vision for cohesion... What needs to follow is a clear plan to turn these words into sustained action," writes our @sundersays.bsky.social www.britishfuture.org/pms-welcome-...
Reposted by Jake Puddle
Doesn't seem like the best day for Starmer to reheat "you lefties [on the backbenches/in the Labour membership/in the Labour electorate] just don't get it" Blue Labour type arguments?
Keir Starmer attacks the racism of Reform and Matt Goodwin but then adds that "Britain has also been let down by a mindset on the left of politics that is too slow to defend core British values"
February 5, 2026 at 11:49 AM
Doesn't seem like the best day for Starmer to reheat "you lefties [on the backbenches/in the Labour membership/in the Labour electorate] just don't get it" Blue Labour type arguments?
Reposted by Jake Puddle
Dozens of Labour MPs are going public on their doubts that this government's settlement reforms are fair or good for integration.
www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/02...
www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/02...
www.telegraph.co.uk
February 4, 2026 at 7:53 AM
Dozens of Labour MPs are going public on their doubts that this government's settlement reforms are fair or good for integration.
www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/02...
www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/02...
Reposted by Jake Puddle
Nothing like enjoying your slightly cheaper pint while imagining the toddler crying from hunger that paid for it.
Reform UK says it would re-impose two-child benefit cap for most families to fund £3bn support package for pubs - www.theguardian.com/politics/liv...
February 3, 2026 at 3:44 PM
Nothing like enjoying your slightly cheaper pint while imagining the toddler crying from hunger that paid for it.
Reposted by Jake Puddle
Very rich people knew they'd not be affected by Brexit or MAGA. They have mobility and money. Just a game and a gamble.
Definitely seems like they destroyed the country on purpose.
February 2, 2026 at 9:43 PM
Very rich people knew they'd not be affected by Brexit or MAGA. They have mobility and money. Just a game and a gamble.
Reposted by Jake Puddle
Read the full report here -> www.southampton.ac.uk/publicpolicy...
January 28, 2026 at 10:16 AM
Read the full report here -> www.southampton.ac.uk/publicpolicy...
Reposted by Jake Puddle
Looking forward to joining @britishfuture.bsky.social today as part of a Healing The Divide event in Carmarthenshire
Among other things we're bringing a #socialcapital masterclass; techniques for holding positive conversations; how to stimulate progressive change; & discussing #trust in communities
Among other things we're bringing a #socialcapital masterclass; techniques for holding positive conversations; how to stimulate progressive change; & discussing #trust in communities
January 28, 2026 at 8:38 AM
Looking forward to joining @britishfuture.bsky.social today as part of a Healing The Divide event in Carmarthenshire
Among other things we're bringing a #socialcapital masterclass; techniques for holding positive conversations; how to stimulate progressive change; & discussing #trust in communities
Among other things we're bringing a #socialcapital masterclass; techniques for holding positive conversations; how to stimulate progressive change; & discussing #trust in communities
Reposted by Jake Puddle
We need your help.
The Government is proposing sweeping reforms to settlement for migrants and refugees, including for those already in the country.
Add your voice to the public consultation before 12 February, using @praxisprojects.bsky.social's response link 🔗 www.praxis.org.uk/consultation
The Government is proposing sweeping reforms to settlement for migrants and refugees, including for those already in the country.
Add your voice to the public consultation before 12 February, using @praxisprojects.bsky.social's response link 🔗 www.praxis.org.uk/consultation
January 23, 2026 at 1:43 PM
We need your help.
The Government is proposing sweeping reforms to settlement for migrants and refugees, including for those already in the country.
Add your voice to the public consultation before 12 February, using @praxisprojects.bsky.social's response link 🔗 www.praxis.org.uk/consultation
The Government is proposing sweeping reforms to settlement for migrants and refugees, including for those already in the country.
Add your voice to the public consultation before 12 February, using @praxisprojects.bsky.social's response link 🔗 www.praxis.org.uk/consultation
Reposted by Jake Puddle
Really hard to look at this and all the other examples of bravery and kindness from ordinary people in this moment not think also of the tremendous cowardice exhibited over the past year by some of the richest, most well-protected people in business, media and politics
Let us all have the courage displayed by the residents of Minneapolis.
January 25, 2026 at 2:24 PM
Really hard to look at this and all the other examples of bravery and kindness from ordinary people in this moment not think also of the tremendous cowardice exhibited over the past year by some of the richest, most well-protected people in business, media and politics
Reposted by Jake Puddle
YouTube’s algorithm is often blamed for pushing young men toward extremist or harmful content. ISD research suggests a more mundane reality: using test personas, we found most recommendations aligned with users’ existing interests, with only modest shares in other masculine topics. More below ⬇️
Men, algorithms and how YouTube shapes media consumption
ISD's new research project explores the topics and content YouTube’s algorithm recommends to young male users.
www.isdglobal.org
January 24, 2026 at 1:00 PM
YouTube’s algorithm is often blamed for pushing young men toward extremist or harmful content. ISD research suggests a more mundane reality: using test personas, we found most recommendations aligned with users’ existing interests, with only modest shares in other masculine topics. More below ⬇️
Reposted by Jake Puddle
The Home Affairs Committee has now published written evidence to its inquiry on the Earned Settlement proposals.
Mine is linked here - screenshot shows summary.
[1/3]
committees.parliament.uk/writtenevide...
Mine is linked here - screenshot shows summary.
[1/3]
committees.parliament.uk/writtenevide...
January 22, 2026 at 7:28 PM
The Home Affairs Committee has now published written evidence to its inquiry on the Earned Settlement proposals.
Mine is linked here - screenshot shows summary.
[1/3]
committees.parliament.uk/writtenevide...
Mine is linked here - screenshot shows summary.
[1/3]
committees.parliament.uk/writtenevide...
Reposted by Jake Puddle
Lab to DK is a group twice as large as Lab to Ref (and losses to DK are often easiest to win back)
Lab to Grn/LD is a group three times as large as Lab to Ref (and on multiple metrics this group looks more open to returning to Labour)
Lab to Grn/LD is a group three times as large as Lab to Ref (and on multiple metrics this group looks more open to returning to Labour)
🧵/ How would Britain vote at the start of 2026: Our new study of 17,000 Britons breaks down current voting intention by factors such as age, socio-economic classification, past vote, and more...
yougov.co.uk/politics/art...
yougov.co.uk/politics/art...
January 21, 2026 at 3:12 PM
Lab to DK is a group twice as large as Lab to Ref (and losses to DK are often easiest to win back)
Lab to Grn/LD is a group three times as large as Lab to Ref (and on multiple metrics this group looks more open to returning to Labour)
Lab to Grn/LD is a group three times as large as Lab to Ref (and on multiple metrics this group looks more open to returning to Labour)