Iain Mansfield
@igmansfield.bsky.social
4.6K followers 490 following 1.7K posts
Current affairs, politics, education and miscellany. All views my own. Substack at edrith.co.uk
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igmansfield.bsky.social
£20k not going to fund much old age social care. We'd like to encourage saving, rather than have everyone fall back on the state.

(Not against a lifetime limit rather than annual limits - but that seems too low).
igmansfield.bsky.social
Education under focus in the COVID Inquiry this week.

My own reflections - as a SpAd in the Department for Education at the time - are here.

School closures, exams debacle and more.

www.edrith.co.uk/p/a-tale-of-...

(Go to section 4: Covid and Lockdown).
Reposted by Iain Mansfield
drsamsims.bsky.social
Very sensible. Indeed it would be mad if the government didn’t do it the way Daisy proposes.
igmansfield.bsky.social
Seeing a lot of confusion about this piece.

It refers to requiring migrants to have CEFR level B2 (up from B1) in English.

This is equivalent-ish to the language proficiency of an A-Level *in a foreign language*.

Evidently this was not in the government press notice - but is in the White Paper.
igmansfield.bsky.social
Apologies - I've deleted mine, also.

The press release not saying this does explain a lot.
igmansfield.bsky.social
Perfectly reasonable to debate whether or not it's a good idea (personally, I think it is).

But not sure why so many normally smart and well-informed commentators are saying they have no idea what this means.
igmansfield.bsky.social
I regularly see YIMBYs writing about the Building Safety Act.

Maybe not all are sensible on this, but it's definitely part of the movement.
igmansfield.bsky.social
Yes, with us too there was definitely a point when it became stale.
igmansfield.bsky.social
When we played Mafia at university we used to execute anyone misusing statistics.

Particularly if they were mathematicians (on the grounds they should know better so it must be a ploy).
Reposted by Iain Mansfield
robfordmancs.bsky.social
Among the many possibilities for the next few years, the scenario of swapping one pair of dominant parties (Lab and Con) for another (Reform and LD) is intriguing, under-discussed and, in English elections, not entirely implausible either (several county councils made this leap in May)
electionmaps.uk
Aggregate Result of the 122 Council By-Elections (for 125 Seats) since the 2025 Local Elections:

RFM: 47 (+40)
LDM: 32 (+10)
CON: 13 (-15)
LAB: 12 (-30)
GRN: 11 (+3)
Ind: 5 (-4)
Local: 3 (-3)
SNP: 1 (-1)
PLC: 1 (=)

Explore: electionmaps.uk/byelections-...
igmansfield.bsky.social
"The West is not doing Ukraine a favour by helping it resist aggression; it is Ukraine doing the West a favour."

Fundamental point in @ldfreedman.bsky.social's latest. The true 'realist' position on Ukraine is that we should support Ukraine.

samf.substack.com/p/as-long-as...
igmansfield.bsky.social
Countries around the world are taking steps to limit the harms of smartphones and social media on children.

Meanwhile, this government decides to consult on a measure that would make it mandatory for every 13 year old to have a smart phone.

Great move, great move.
Reposted by Iain Mansfield
rachelcoldicutt.bsky.social
I think it was @hannahfearn.bsky.social who was asking what's up with the govt's ability to read the room ...
In what world is the response to high-profile and vocal groups of parents raising concerns about teens and smartphones to propose digital ID for teenagers?
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
Government to consult on digital IDs for 13-year-olds
There has been a backlash to the announcement a UK-wide digital ID scheme will be introduced by 2029.
www.bbc.co.uk
igmansfield.bsky.social
One of the best pieces I've read recently on the right's new agenda.

Shrimsley takes seriously its aims and objectives, acknowledges the issues they take aim at are genuine, while also setting out legitimate challenges and counter-arguments.
robertshrimsley.bsky.social
Thatcher once said her greatest achievement was Tony Blair and New Labour, because she forced her opponents onto her agenda. Today's new right begs to differ.

www.ft.com/content/49ec...
The battle to dismantle Blair’s Britain
Conservatives’ biggest mistake was the adoption of the liberal agenda, the new right believes
www.ft.com
Reposted by Iain Mansfield
felicityhannah.bsky.social
I fully accept that ‘complaining about society today’ simply suggests I am becoming cantankerous as I age.
However, 3 people near me in this train carriage are playing their phones out loud and I genuinely think this is a breakdown in the social contract
igmansfield.bsky.social
This is a fine speech.

Sets out, clearly, what the Conservatives stand for that Reform don't - particularly on the economy.

Calls out previous failures.

And lays out specific policies that aren't just tinkering, but represent a genuine change.

www.conservatives.com/news/kemi-ba...
Kemi Badenoch announces Stamp Duty Abolition Policy
In her remarks closing Conference Kemi made one more major announcement
www.conservatives.com
igmansfield.bsky.social
Or to choose a less dramatic example, the absolute numbers of children who don't speak English is what impacts schools (and other kids' learning).

It doesn't matter whether that number is a lower proportion of that ethnic group.

Hence low rates of immigration with time to integrate.
igmansfield.bsky.social
I don't see a contradiction between your stat (which I agree is true) and this.

It is the absolute numbers that matter in terms of impact on society.

For example, I care much less what proportion of Muslims are radical Islamists than about the absolute number of radical Islamists in the country.
igmansfield.bsky.social
Stamp Duty is one of the most harmful, economically distorting taxes we have.

Great call by Kemi Badenoch to prioritise it for scrapping.

Free up our broken housing market and give more people a chance to own their own homes, relocate for work and downsize.
igmansfield.bsky.social
Outstanding piece by Stephen Daisley.

Ethnicity is no barrier to Britishness - it's culture and integration.

That means 'smaller cohorts and aggressive integration policies' - and tackling the institutions that 'have amplified grievance narratives and radical anti-Western ideologies'.
igmansfield.bsky.social
Remember: just because the average graduate is better off, doesn't mean the marginal graduate will be.

We are now well past the point where sending more people to university is beneficial - and is instead causing serious economic self-harm.

www.edrith.co.uk/p/the-fallac...
The Fallacy of the 'Average'
It doesn't matter to most policy debates what the return is on the 'average' graduate or immigrant. What matters is the marginal return.
www.edrith.co.uk
igmansfield.bsky.social
I assume he means the Willetts reforms (forgetting HE was in BIS at this time, not under Gove) which removed number controls and turned it into a demand led system.