Heinz Brandenburg
@heinzbrandenburg.bsky.social
2.7K followers 2.9K following 860 posts
Political scientist, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow
Posts Media Videos Starter Packs
heinzbrandenburg.bsky.social
This should be taken with a pinch of salt.

Forsa have been one of only two pollsters who have repeatedly had the AfD in the lead while the other six major polling institutes all still tend to record leads for CDU/CSU or at best ties between them and the AfD/

Full data: www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/
heinzbrandenburg.bsky.social
This makes one of my best friends, an otherwise impressively umimpressible Swede, intensely happy: his club Mjällby, who have never won any title nor ever qualified for European football before, are almost certain to be Swedish champions, leading the league by 11 points with just 4 games to go.
heinzbrandenburg.bsky.social
The thing about Corrections is that you find out how truly unreadable it is when you try to read it aloud to someone.

At least his writing has never been as dodgy as that again.
heinzbrandenburg.bsky.social
Is the unhinged part that you said should be when you were bound to say shouldn't be?
heinzbrandenburg.bsky.social
Also a very sluggish ruin by union.
heinzbrandenburg.bsky.social
Week in week out, signs of an electorate crying out for electoral reform.
yougov.co.uk
Our latest Westminster voting intention (12-13 Oct) has the Greens on their highest figure ever recorded by YouGov

Reform UK: 27% (no change from 5-6 Oct)
Labour: 20% (=)
Conservatives: 17% (=)
Lib Dems: 16% (-1)
Greens: 13% (+1)
SNP: 3% (-1)

yougov.co.uk/topics/polit...
heinzbrandenburg.bsky.social
How do you get a Royal Correspondent to appreciate that this story is not about a bit of a Royal boo-boo but about sexual abuse?

www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
Reposted by Heinz Brandenburg
heinzbrandenburg.bsky.social
Do these people only ever go back ten years or so to determine their claimed records?

Gerd Mueller scored his first 50 goals for Germany in just 41 games.

www.bbc.co.uk/sport/footba...
heinzbrandenburg.bsky.social
Which is not a record, as falsely claimed by the BBC. As Mueller did it in 41. Which was all I am saying.
heinzbrandenburg.bsky.social
Do these people only ever go back ten years or so to determine their claimed records?

Gerd Mueller scored his first 50 goals for Germany in just 41 games.

www.bbc.co.uk/sport/footba...
heinzbrandenburg.bsky.social
At some point respondents should start accepting that credibility is by now a very low bar in British politics.
heinzbrandenburg.bsky.social
How about the altogether cuddlier absolute monarchy route of Liechtenstein?
heinzbrandenburg.bsky.social
I know.

It is ridiculous. But two of those minor parties on 17% still think of themselves as very big players. And won't stop doing so even when facing near wipe-out during the next election campaign.
heinzbrandenburg.bsky.social
Unlikely after an election in which Reform could win 2/3 of seats.
heinzbrandenburg.bsky.social
Yes. And in the same vein compensation to slaves and their ancestors has been also to the tune of what was deemed necessary.
heinzbrandenburg.bsky.social
I am obviously not saying that that is how the figure was calculated. Just one way of looking at it.
heinzbrandenburg.bsky.social
Multiplied by the average slave holder compensation, that would come to more than 1.5 trillion pounds.

Not sure whether slaves and their ancestors being compensated to the tune of ten times of what slave owners "deserved" should be seen as too much or too little.
heinzbrandenburg.bsky.social
By my back of the envelop calculations the 18 trillion would mean paying about 10 times as much compensation per slave as Britain has paid to slave holders.

£20m paid to slaveholders, of which there were around 46,000

And Britain bought and sold around 3.5m slaves.
Reposted by Heinz Brandenburg
dermotcasey.bsky.social
Irish TDs ”remembers” Margaret Thatcher Spitting Image sketch as anecdote about Charlie Haughey is something
heinzbrandenburg.bsky.social
Wouldn't want the bubble to burst without being in it.

www.reuters.com/world/china/...
heinzbrandenburg.bsky.social
Schopenhauer: "Eine grobe Bratwurst besiegt jedes Argument."