Bill Haneberg
@haneberg.bsky.social
Geologist at the geohazard•climate•policy nexus. Hazard + risk. GIS, lidar, landslides, debris flows, floods. Kentucky Colonel in New Mexico. He/him.
More: www.linkedin.com/in/billhaneberg & https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=0mCybjIAAAAJ&hl=en
More: www.linkedin.com/in/billhaneberg & https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=0mCybjIAAAAJ&hl=en
Pinned
Bill Haneberg
@haneberg.bsky.social
· Jun 25
Nota bene: Bsky is filled with great images but I don't "love" or repost any that don't include alt-text.
It's easy to add alt-text—just click on ALT in the corner before you post—and it takes less time than adding a copyright notice or details about the camera body, lens, and exposure!
It's easy to add alt-text—just click on ALT in the corner before you post—and it takes less time than adding a copyright notice or details about the camera body, lens, and exposure!
Reposted by Bill Haneberg
Enkhbayar Erdenetulkhuur works as a field geologist in the Altai mountain range in northwestern Mongolia
go.nature.com/48rQi1s
go.nature.com/48rQi1s
Climbing through the silver mine: my work as a geologist
Enkhbayar Erdenetulkhuur works as a field geologist in the Altai mountain range in northwestern Mongolia.
go.nature.com
December 1, 2025 at 6:33 PM
Enkhbayar Erdenetulkhuur works as a field geologist in the Altai mountain range in northwestern Mongolia
go.nature.com/48rQi1s
go.nature.com/48rQi1s
Reposted by Bill Haneberg
This supports the idea that there is a 'delayed disclosure trap' causing systemic climate risk to accumulate across the economy.
The longer we wait, the harder it is to come clean. But first movers suffer a disadvantage for their honesty!
The longer we wait, the harder it is to come clean. But first movers suffer a disadvantage for their honesty!
Will climate risk assessment actually be improved?
We need it: eg, pension funds think 4C will shave ~1% off assets
But even if assessments were improved, there might be a material disincentive to disclose
Are we in a 'delayed disclosure trap'?
strategicclimaterisks.substack.com/p/are-we-in-...
We need it: eg, pension funds think 4C will shave ~1% off assets
But even if assessments were improved, there might be a material disincentive to disclose
Are we in a 'delayed disclosure trap'?
strategicclimaterisks.substack.com/p/are-we-in-...
Are we in a ‘delayed disclosure trap’?
The risk that better institutional climate risk assessments will not be done
strategicclimaterisks.substack.com
December 1, 2025 at 2:56 AM
This supports the idea that there is a 'delayed disclosure trap' causing systemic climate risk to accumulate across the economy.
The longer we wait, the harder it is to come clean. But first movers suffer a disadvantage for their honesty!
The longer we wait, the harder it is to come clean. But first movers suffer a disadvantage for their honesty!
Reposted by Bill Haneberg
"All of this falls apart if humans don't adopt the tech. This is why you've seen Meta cram its lame chatbots into WhatsApp and Instagram. This is why Notepad and Paint now have useless Copilot buttons on Windows. This is why Google Gemini wants to "help you" read and reply to your emails."
Analysis: OpenAI is a loss-making machine, how can it survive?
Don't call it a bubble! Loss-making monster OpenAI is on the hook for $1.4 trillion (with a T) in compute commitments. How can this go on?
www.windowscentral.com
November 29, 2025 at 11:30 PM
"All of this falls apart if humans don't adopt the tech. This is why you've seen Meta cram its lame chatbots into WhatsApp and Instagram. This is why Notepad and Paint now have useless Copilot buttons on Windows. This is why Google Gemini wants to "help you" read and reply to your emails."
Reposted by Bill Haneberg
It's pretty funny how the Silicon Valley tech bros have all suddenly decided that the actual Pope is the villain in their little narrative. sfstandard.com/2025/11/10/m...
Marc Andreessen v. the pope: VC starts meme-war with Leo XIV
The venture capitalist quickly deleted his social media posts mocking the pontiff’s call to build moral AI.
sfstandard.com
November 30, 2025 at 7:37 PM
It's pretty funny how the Silicon Valley tech bros have all suddenly decided that the actual Pope is the villain in their little narrative. sfstandard.com/2025/11/10/m...
Reposted by Bill Haneberg
People do not use information to determine their social identities; they use their social identities to determine what counts as information. The climate fight is, and has always been, an identity fight. Gonna talk with @samuel-bagg.bsky.social about this soon.
The Problem is Epistemic. The Solution is Not. | Blog of the APA
Doubts about the wisdom of the masses are as old as philosophy itself. Yet interest in democracy’s “epistemic” merits has surged in the last decade—and it is no mystery why. Democracy is collapsing ar...
blog.apaonline.org
November 30, 2025 at 8:24 PM
People do not use information to determine their social identities; they use their social identities to determine what counts as information. The climate fight is, and has always been, an identity fight. Gonna talk with @samuel-bagg.bsky.social about this soon.
Reposted by Bill Haneberg
The most precious commodity you have is your attention. You don’t have to waste it on poor-faith debates or arguments with strangers if you don’t think they’ll be productive. You can prioritize the things that matter to you and make your life richer.
November 30, 2025 at 8:00 PM
The most precious commodity you have is your attention. You don’t have to waste it on poor-faith debates or arguments with strangers if you don’t think they’ll be productive. You can prioritize the things that matter to you and make your life richer.
Reposted by Bill Haneberg
Parts of New Orleans, including the city’s airport and sections of floodwalls, are sinking.
eos.org/articles/par...
Read more in our year-end issue: bit.ly/Eos-Nov-Dec2025
eos.org/articles/par...
Read more in our year-end issue: bit.ly/Eos-Nov-Dec2025
Parts of New Orleans Are Sinking - Eos
Areas near the airport, along floodwalls, and in nearby wetlands are subsiding because of a combination of natural and anthropogenic forces.
eos.org
November 30, 2025 at 11:45 PM
Parts of New Orleans, including the city’s airport and sections of floodwalls, are sinking.
eos.org/articles/par...
Read more in our year-end issue: bit.ly/Eos-Nov-Dec2025
eos.org/articles/par...
Read more in our year-end issue: bit.ly/Eos-Nov-Dec2025
Yes! They also have to understand the info climate hazard maps and rankings convey, their uncertainties, and the risk they are taking. Likewise for climate-linked hazards like landslides, debris flows, sinkhole collapse, land subsidence, and more. Is bad info worse than no info? I tend to think so.
We talked about this in my class. People (& lenders!) need to have credible information about climate risk to their homes. However the way it is done right now, if at all, has lots of uncertainty. A home could be categorized as low-risk when it’s high risk, & vice versa! NOAA should do this service.
Realtors know that, in many parts of the country, if you educate people about climate risk, the housing market will collapse.
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/30/c...
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/30/c...
November 30, 2025 at 5:12 PM
Yes! They also have to understand the info climate hazard maps and rankings convey, their uncertainties, and the risk they are taking. Likewise for climate-linked hazards like landslides, debris flows, sinkhole collapse, land subsidence, and more. Is bad info worse than no info? I tend to think so.
Reposted by Bill Haneberg
This is a good article about the relentless onslaught of climate disinformation that distorts US and global politics.
I just wish it acknowledged that disinformation is sticky precisely because it often resonates w the speech of “our side.”
For example…
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/30/c...
I just wish it acknowledged that disinformation is sticky precisely because it often resonates w the speech of “our side.”
For example…
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/30/c...
Many Fighting Climate Change Worry They Are Losing the Information War
www.nytimes.com
November 30, 2025 at 1:36 PM
This is a good article about the relentless onslaught of climate disinformation that distorts US and global politics.
I just wish it acknowledged that disinformation is sticky precisely because it often resonates w the speech of “our side.”
For example…
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/30/c...
I just wish it acknowledged that disinformation is sticky precisely because it often resonates w the speech of “our side.”
For example…
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/30/c...
Reposted by Bill Haneberg
AI companies depend on psyching people out: on pretending that their brains don't matter, and that they can't make things or research things without slop machines.
They're wrong.
buttondown.com/surekhadavie...
They're wrong.
buttondown.com/surekhadavie...
Basement adventures showed me why ChatGPT can only ever be garbage.
In The British Library. Photo by Surekha Davies. Hallo readers, First, a news flash: Join me for a virtual book launch for HUMANS: A MONSTROUS HISTORY...
buttondown.com
November 30, 2025 at 4:20 AM
AI companies depend on psyching people out: on pretending that their brains don't matter, and that they can't make things or research things without slop machines.
They're wrong.
buttondown.com/surekhadavie...
They're wrong.
buttondown.com/surekhadavie...
Reposted by Bill Haneberg
Look around. The case for more, not less, liberal arts education - actual, real education in reading, writing, thinking, arguing, analyzing, & synthesizing by doing the actual hard work for which there is no substitute - is stronger than it’s ever been at any point in human history.
November 30, 2025 at 12:07 AM
Look around. The case for more, not less, liberal arts education - actual, real education in reading, writing, thinking, arguing, analyzing, & synthesizing by doing the actual hard work for which there is no substitute - is stronger than it’s ever been at any point in human history.
The ACME Explosives Co shipping crate should’ve been a giveaway.
Woman Realizes Adorable Rescue Is A Coyote Pup After It Orders Dynamite Detonator Off The Internet
November 30, 2025 at 4:44 AM
The ACME Explosives Co shipping crate should’ve been a giveaway.
Reposted by Bill Haneberg
i feel insane sometimes. i had friends who worked in "machine learning" & "big data" back ~2016 and they'd tell me stuff like "you can feed it a big data set and it can highlight patterns" and i thought "that sounds helpful" and now the president is using it to make videos where he poops on you.
November 30, 2025 at 12:28 AM
i feel insane sometimes. i had friends who worked in "machine learning" & "big data" back ~2016 and they'd tell me stuff like "you can feed it a big data set and it can highlight patterns" and i thought "that sounds helpful" and now the president is using it to make videos where he poops on you.
Reposted by Bill Haneberg
We *really* need to actively differentiate Machine Learning from GenAI. GenAI is riding the Machine Learning coattails and risks destroying an incredibly useful innovation by conflating it with absolute slop that codes decently.
November 29, 2025 at 5:50 PM
We *really* need to actively differentiate Machine Learning from GenAI. GenAI is riding the Machine Learning coattails and risks destroying an incredibly useful innovation by conflating it with absolute slop that codes decently.
I don’t think it’s too far fetched to say that in many ways the headline writers have far more influence than the reporters who write the stories.
Headlines like this are extremely dangerous. Because moms of young kids are the people who make the bulk of the vaccine decisions for famillies. And for a lot of them, "reading the news" looks like scrolling past headlines on social media in the spare moments of the chaos of caring for kids.
November 29, 2025 at 4:01 PM
I don’t think it’s too far fetched to say that in many ways the headline writers have far more influence than the reporters who write the stories.
Reposted by Bill Haneberg
"Michael Mann To Bill Gates: What World Are You Living In?" by Carolyn Fortuna for @cleantechnica.bsky.social: cleantechnica.com/2025/11/29/m...
Michael Mann To Bill Gates: What World Are You Living In? - CleanTechnica
Mann offers a roadmap against an "ecocidal agenda" driven by plutocrats, polluters, petrostates, propagandists, and much of the press.
cleantechnica.com
November 29, 2025 at 3:50 PM
"Michael Mann To Bill Gates: What World Are You Living In?" by Carolyn Fortuna for @cleantechnica.bsky.social: cleantechnica.com/2025/11/29/m...
Reposted by Bill Haneberg
chat are we cooked
November 29, 2025 at 3:42 PM
chat are we cooked
Reposted by Bill Haneberg
I don’t know if anyone else notices or cares, but when I see a presentation in which the speaker uses obviously generated-AI images to illustrate their slides, it makes me immediately less confident in whatever other content they’re presenting.
November 28, 2025 at 3:07 PM
I don’t know if anyone else notices or cares, but when I see a presentation in which the speaker uses obviously generated-AI images to illustrate their slides, it makes me immediately less confident in whatever other content they’re presenting.
Reposted by Bill Haneberg
Gah for the love of god stand up for your colleagues.
“You’re a stupid person” — Trump lashes out at a reporter who presses him on the fact that the suspected DC shooter was actually thoroughly vetted before he was let in the US from Afghanistan
November 28, 2025 at 6:33 AM
Gah for the love of god stand up for your colleagues.
Reposted by Bill Haneberg
Insulting to have to point this out, but if you have spent even 30 minutes reading US history, you realize that every decade has been dominated by racist hysteria that the "new" people won't ever fit in.
This exact prejudice would have been applied to Miller's forebears, when they fled pogroms.
This exact prejudice would have been applied to Miller's forebears, when they fled pogroms.
Stephen Miller is now arguing that assimilation is fundamentally impossible and that certain cultures are not compatible with Western civilization
November 28, 2025 at 4:18 PM
Insulting to have to point this out, but if you have spent even 30 minutes reading US history, you realize that every decade has been dominated by racist hysteria that the "new" people won't ever fit in.
This exact prejudice would have been applied to Miller's forebears, when they fled pogroms.
This exact prejudice would have been applied to Miller's forebears, when they fled pogroms.
Reposted by Bill Haneberg
MAHA is making a big show about how they oppose groupthink and promote outside-the box thinking. This is all spectacle, no substance. They are completely missing the fact that the biggest threat to health in the US is the narcissism of politicians and rich people. #medsky
cen.acs.org/policy/MAHA-...
cen.acs.org/policy/MAHA-...
At MAHA Summit, the NIH head pushes for research that risks failure
And 4 other takeaways for life scientists from the ‘off-the-record’ Make America Healthy Again conference
cen.acs.org
November 27, 2025 at 2:51 PM
MAHA is making a big show about how they oppose groupthink and promote outside-the box thinking. This is all spectacle, no substance. They are completely missing the fact that the biggest threat to health in the US is the narcissism of politicians and rich people. #medsky
cen.acs.org/policy/MAHA-...
cen.acs.org/policy/MAHA-...
Reposted by Bill Haneberg
Old cook books. 😂😂😂
November 26, 2025 at 9:30 PM
Old cook books. 😂😂😂
Reposted by Bill Haneberg
In August 2025, I recorded 104 fatal landslides, a record total number of landslides for August. 2025 is shaping up to be a terrible year for fatal landslides, with the cumulative total to that point being close to the highest year, in 2024.
eos.org/thelandslide...
eos.org/thelandslide...
November 11, 2025 at 7:15 AM
In August 2025, I recorded 104 fatal landslides, a record total number of landslides for August. 2025 is shaping up to be a terrible year for fatal landslides, with the cumulative total to that point being close to the highest year, in 2024.
eos.org/thelandslide...
eos.org/thelandslide...
Reposted by Bill Haneberg
BIG NEWS: A group of homeowners have filed the first-ever climate suit against Big Oil over insurance costs.
Like similar cases, they allege Big Oil deceived the public about the dangers of burning oil/gas.
Now, homeowners are paying billions of dollars more for homeowners' insurance, they claim.
Like similar cases, they allege Big Oil deceived the public about the dangers of burning oil/gas.
Now, homeowners are paying billions of dollars more for homeowners' insurance, they claim.
November 26, 2025 at 9:21 PM
BIG NEWS: A group of homeowners have filed the first-ever climate suit against Big Oil over insurance costs.
Like similar cases, they allege Big Oil deceived the public about the dangers of burning oil/gas.
Now, homeowners are paying billions of dollars more for homeowners' insurance, they claim.
Like similar cases, they allege Big Oil deceived the public about the dangers of burning oil/gas.
Now, homeowners are paying billions of dollars more for homeowners' insurance, they claim.
Interesting take on the increasing everyday perils of climate change, including saltwater intrusion in coastal areas. How much less will your home be worth if you or your local water utility cannot provide drinkable water? If not saltwater intrusion, falling groundwater levels from overconsumption?
New research shows climate risk is already hitting insurance and home values. And that’s only part of the story. Some serious hazards, like saltwater intrusion, often aren’t covered at all -- and aren’t yet priced into housing markets. Column today: susanpcrawford.substack.com/p/new-data-s...
New data shows insurance costs rising and home values sinking as climate risks grow
Insurance markets are flashing warnings — even as some major climate risks remain unmeasured and unaccounted for
susanpcrawford.substack.com
November 26, 2025 at 9:20 PM
Interesting take on the increasing everyday perils of climate change, including saltwater intrusion in coastal areas. How much less will your home be worth if you or your local water utility cannot provide drinkable water? If not saltwater intrusion, falling groundwater levels from overconsumption?