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Justin Fox

@byjustinfox.bsky.social

2.8K followers 460 following 270 posts

Columnist @opinion.bloomberg.com‬. Opinions mine, charts property of Bloomberg LP (although you are of course welcome to share them).

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Reposted by Justin Fox

Alan Beattie @alanbeattie.bsky.social · 4h

BTW let's appreciate the sheer bathetic comedy of Trump's threats sliding from WE'RE GOING TO BAN ALL CRITICAL SOFTWARE WE WILL BRING YOUR ECONOMY TO A HALT down to WE'LL MAKE OUR OWN COOKING OIL SEE IF WE DON'T.

Matt Peterson @mattpeterson.bsky.social · 6h

Don't look now but Trump just freaked out the market again by continuing to escalate the trade war.

I believe that China purposefully not buying our Soybeans, and causing difficulty for our Soybean Farmers, is an Economically Hostile Act. We are considering terminating business with China having to do with Cooking Oil, and other elements of Trade, as retribution. As an example, we can easily produce Cooking Oil ourselves, we don’t need to purchase it from China.

Reposted by Justin Fox

Guan Yang @guan.dk · 13h

If your language already has a nickname for CBP secondary inspection, the risk of traveling to the US is not much higher than before. If one develops in French or German, that will coincide with a serious drop in numbers.

Spanish: cuartito, small room
Chinese: 小黑屋 xiǎohēiwū, little black room

Reposted by Justin Fox

Guan Yang @guan.dk · 13h

US-bound visitors from most of the world are used to the kind of treatment that white people are now also subjected to, so it doesn’t faze them (more than it did in the past).

Justin Fox @byjustinfox.bsky.social · 13h

The tourism decline is being driven mainly by Canadians. International visits from the rest of the world are still up modestly. www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

Chart showing international visitors to the US, divided by whether they're from Canada (down sharply this year), Mexico (up) or overseas (down slightly)

Justin Fox @byjustinfox.bsky.social · 13h

Of the 25 countries that sent the most visitors to the US in 2024, 12 are sending more so far this year, and 13 fewer. www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

Table showing the change in visitors to the US so far this year from the 25 countries that sent the most visitors in 2024. Visits from Mexico are up by 1 million. Visits from Canada are down by 2.4 million.

Justin Fox @byjustinfox.bsky.social · 13h

The tourism decline is being driven mainly by Canadians. International visits from the rest of the world are still up modestly. www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

Chart showing international visitors to the US, divided by whether they're from Canada (down sharply this year), Mexico (up) or overseas (down slightly)

Justin Fox @byjustinfox.bsky.social · 14h

Despite fears that tourism to the US would collapse during Donald Trump's first term, it held up fine. That's not the case so far in his second term. www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

Chart showing the number of international visitors to the US increasing during Donald Trump's first term (before Covid), but decreasing so far in the second

Justin Fox @byjustinfox.bsky.social · 4d

I bet if you play the recordings backwards it's just "I am the Antichrist" for eight hours.

Justin Fox @byjustinfox.bsky.social · 7d

It's partly what long-time tenants are paying (even in non-stabilized apts) versus what's on the market right now. Because the Elliman report says the median rent on a new Brooklyn lease is $3,300 for a studio and $4,500 for a 3BR. millersamuel.com/files/2025/0...
cc @besttrousers.bsky.social

millersamuel.com

Justin Fox @byjustinfox.bsky.social · 8d

Cathy O'Neil's take in 2017 www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

Justin Fox @byjustinfox.bsky.social · 20d

I think poverty is probably the main reason Hartford ranks so high

Justin Fox @byjustinfox.bsky.social · 20d

It's in 73rd place (71st if you don't include Puerto Rico), at 14.9%

Justin Fox @byjustinfox.bsky.social · 20d

Seattle, which has had a huge boom in apartment construction since the early 2010s, is probably the big US city with the most marked uptrend in car-free households (albeit from a pretty low base) www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

Chart showing the percentage of car-free households in Seattle rising from 15.7% in 2006 to 19.8% in 2024

Justin Fox @byjustinfox.bsky.social · 20d

In NYC, carlessness is on the rise again after that car-buying boomlet early in the pandemic (I left off Staten Island because its ups and downs seem to be mostly sampling error) www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

Chart showing the percentage of zero-vehicle households rising since 2021 in the Bronx, Brooklyn, Queens, and Manhattan

Justin Fox @byjustinfox.bsky.social · 20d

The neighborhoods outside of NYC with the highest percentages of car-free households. A lot in SF, Chicago, Washington and Philly www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

Justin Fox @byjustinfox.bsky.social · 20d

Big surprise: New York is the only US city where most households don't have cars. But there are some big zero-car minorities across the river in New Jersey and in Washington, Boston and San Francisco. From new column with gift link: www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

Reposted by Justin Fox

Steve Randy Waldman @interfluidity.com · 21d

one way to understand the LLM boom is that we have finally, actually, invented Ask Jeeves.

Reposted by Justin Fox

Alfred Twu @alfredtwu.com · 22d

Lots of transit news from BART director Victor Flores - including that the BART board has voted to use standard gauge for the 2nd set of transbay tubes.

This will open up the option for Caltrain, High Speed Rail, and Amtrak to cross between downtown San Francisco and the East Bay in the future.

Victor Flores @victorfloresbart.bsky.social · 22d

It's been a while since my last BART newsletter. Between my last job, BART, and studying for the LSAT, time has been limited, but that's no excuse!

Grab your cup of coffee or tea and catch up with me!
victorfloresforbart.com/p/all-aboard...

All Aboard - Closing Out Transit Month 2025

What happened to the budget and our service disruptions

victorfloresforbart.com

Justin Fox @byjustinfox.bsky.social · 21d

I noticed! www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

Reposted by Justin Fox

Jeff Asher @jeffasher.bsky.social · 27d

New York's Gun Involved Violence Elimination initiative (GIVE) has data updated through August. Shooting victims were down 34% relative to August 2024 and fell to a new 12 month rolling record low since 2007. See their excellent dashboard: www.criminaljustice.ny.gov/crimnet/ojsa...

Justin Fox @byjustinfox.bsky.social · Sep 12

WFH has had a big impact on commuting, with the share of American workers who drive alone to work stabilizing at 69.2% (same in 2023 and 2024), the lowest it's been since the 1980s. Commuting by public transportation is down too www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

Justin Fox @byjustinfox.bsky.social · Sep 12

Here are the metro areas with the highest WFH percentages, with comparisons to how things stood there in 2019. Biggest jumps in the rankings are Corvallis (not far from Portland) and Bremerton (not far from Seattle) but also a pretty huge leap by metro DC

Table of the metropolitan areas with the highest work-from-home shares in 2024. Boulder, Colorado, is No. 1, at 28.7%

Reposted by Justin Fox

Jeff Asher @jeffasher.bsky.social · Sep 12

A month into the DC deployment we see no real change in the violent crime trend, a possible drop in shootings that seems real but is a bit tough to tease out from the pre-existing trend, and a drop in property crime that's possibly tied to dropping mobility. Still too early to say much for sure IMO.

Justin Fox @byjustinfox.bsky.social · Sep 12

New Census data on working from home is out this week, and Santa Monica is No. 1! This is ranked by Public Use Microdata Data — I explain why in my new column (gift link) — but it also tops the list if you rank by cities. www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

Table showing the communities (Census Public Use Microdata Areas, to be precise) where working from home was most prevalent in 2024. Santa Monica, California, is No. 1, and most of the rest of the list consists of big-city suburbs, but there are also urban neighborhoods in Denver, Austin, DC, Portland and Los Angeles.

Justin Fox @byjustinfox.bsky.social · Sep 9

Got that wrong

Justin Fox @byjustinfox.bsky.social · Sep 9

I think the preliminary benchmark payroll revisions coming out in a few minutes are going to be on the low end of all the estimates. Looking at the Q4 2024 QCEW data (the revision will be based on Q1 2025 data) I just don't see the kinds of huge discrepancies there were in Q4 2023.

Justin Fox @byjustinfox.bsky.social · Sep 9

No you can't bet on it. But you can bet on whether the BLS will stop reporting payroll data this year polymarket.com/event/will-b...

Will BLS stop reporting payroll data this year?

Polymarket | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ceases regular publication of any of the following reports: monthly Em...