The way that the overton window has so radically changed over very few years makes the latter seem undeniably true.
But the popularists keep at it, likely because they are financially motivated to prioritize small incremental economic change over what voters want in their gut.
I don’t think the former is the popularist argument. The popularist argument is not that campaigns should have different messaging but that they should promote policies based on issue polling. The anti-popularist argument is that issue polling shifts based on the media environment.
It feels like the “empirical data predicts all” people have to come up with one explanation after another for why the empirics aren’t actually predictive
It’d be more sensible to find a consistent explanation, instead of putting these layers on top of an inconsistent expansion
It’s incumbent on the “economic conditions predict popularity” people to explain why changing conditions didn’t change popularity. They seem determined not to do so.
Doesn’t explain the significant drop in inflation combined with approvals remaining flat.
However the significant drop in inflation was accompanied by no drop in negative media coverage about inflation. That correlates and likely causes the low approvals.
We could all see this happening as it was happening… after election Biden had a short honeymoon, everything was antsy but not yet negative, and then with the Afghanistan withdrawal the media *went in* on him with fervor and passion and never let up.
Also, the Dems have spent the decades since Clinton being determinedly economically moderate and friendly to business. The result is a brand that is seen as elite and anti-worker.
Maybe there’s a cause and effect here! Maybe we shouldn’t quintuple down on moderation!
Huh, it’s almost like someone should remove the oh-so-edgy tattoo *before* the impact of its morality is imposed on others, not after.
If he had the tattoo removed ages ago and apologized for being an idiot, this would have been over with. Instead he’s alternately lying about it and defending it.
There are a couple civilian nuclear powered ships (ice breakers) but it’s rare. I think there’s an opportunity here. I’d go on a nuke cruise but never a fossil fuel cruise.
This seems in direct contradiction with your previous post, which says leftists on campus were anti-speech. That seems very rare; the dominant force the past ten years has been centrists creating a moral panic over left wing speech they didn’t approve of, which Trump now enforced with law.
Really appreciate your work on this. But something that’s mind boggling to me is the LA Times abject failure to cover this and related stories like APM. Doing so requires major resources and investigative journalism and it shouldn’t fall on you and Alyssa to do so independently.
What is your gut instincts on the reason for why this shift has happened? (Somehow, I doubt it’s a strong underlying moral principle from MBS on behalf of Palestinian self determination?)
There is reporting that Platner called the tattoo “my totenkopf.”
There are many other credible candidates. Is this all because the guy released one slick video that did a good enough job of performing MAGA aesthetics with Bernie language?
