Adam H. Smiley
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asmiley.bsky.social
Adam H. Smiley
@asmiley.bsky.social
450 followers 580 following 170 posts
Social psychologist and assistant professor at Belmont University.

affective polarization, religion, judgment & decision making, metascience.

Washington PhD 🟣🟡

✞

https://adamhsmiley.owlstown.net/
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asmiley.bsky.social
Adam H. Smiley @asmiley.bsky.social · Jun 12
Stoked that my paper with Cheryl Kaiser is now out in SPPS!!
spspnews.bsky.social Society for Personality and Social Psychology @spspnews.bsky.social · Jun 12
📊New research in #SPPS reports that Americans living in politically diverse communities show less animosity toward the opposing party. Cross-party contact appears to be the key mechanism at work.

Read more: ow.ly/JS1E50W8oEf

Authors: @asmiley.bsky.social‬ and Cheryl R. Kaiser
A group of people of various ages, ethnicities, and backgrounds involved in a positive conversation at a community center or library.
Reposted by Adam H. Smiley
hghwang.bsky.social
Excited to announce DID lab's first paper!

psycnet.apa.org/record/2026-...

We find that children as young as 6 show political ingroup preference!

First paper of very talented @annie-schw.bsky.social!

In JEP: General's special issue on political development (1/3)
October 10, 2025 at 11:24 PM
Reposted by Adam H. Smiley
shaunambowes.bsky.social
My first registered replication report, study on the illusory truth effect, and study published in PB&R with @lkfazio.bsky.social ‼️Preprint here: osf.io/preprints/ps...

Previous research found that the illusory truth effect was smaller for conspiracy statements than for trivia statements...
OSF
osf.io
December 4, 2025 at 5:49 PM
Reposted by Adam H. Smiley
krajah123.bsky.social
Excited to post the latest version of my JMP: The female labor supply constraints of spousal jealousy bit.ly/4nn9apn

I use two field experiments to study the role of spousal jealousy in constraining married women’s employment. More below 👇:
December 3, 2025 at 2:23 PM
Reposted by Adam H. Smiley
joelleforestier.bsky.social
New post with grad student @ugurozkusen.bsky.social out in @spspnews.bsky.social's Character & Context on a new JEP:G paper using intergroup contact on social media to reduce prejudice.

Read the Character & Context post: tinyurl.com/28hyccs7
Read the full paper in JEP:G: tinyurl.com/mpkhsjay

1/n
Positive Interactions on Social Media Might Help Reduce Prejudice | SPSP
Social media is blamed for dividing people, but can it also help bring people together?
tinyurl.com
December 3, 2025 at 2:35 PM
Reposted by Adam H. Smiley
jakemgrumbach.bsky.social
After becoming a congressional leader, a politician’s stock portfolio beats out those of peers by 47 (!!!) percentage points a year through trades timed around bills and firms that later get government contracts

www.nber.org/papers/w34524

via @florianederer.bsky.social
"Captain Gains" on Capitol Hill Shang-Jin Wei & Yifan Zhou WORKING PAPER 34524 DOI 10.3386/w34524 ISSUE DATE November 2025 Using transaction-level data on US congressional stock trades, we find that lawmakers who later ascend to leadership positions perform similarly to matched peers beforehand but outperform them by 47 percentage points annually after ascension. Leaders' superior performance arises through two mechanisms. The political influence channel is reflected in higher returns when their party controls the chamber, sales of stocks preceding regulatory actions, and purchase of stocks whose firms receiving more government contracts and favorable party support on bills. The corporate access channel is reflected in stock trades that predict subsequent corporate news and greater returns on donor-owned or home-state firms. 令 1 1 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 9 Year Figure 2: Estimated dynamic quasi-difference-in-differences coefficient, di, of equation(3), with vertical dashed lines representing 90 percent confidence intervals. The point estimate of the year in which the lawmaker became a congressional leader (Year 0) is normalized to zero. BHAR over the 250 days following each trade is the dependent variable and calculated using the Fama-French five-factor plus momentum as the benchmark model.
December 3, 2025 at 1:42 AM
Reposted by Adam H. Smiley
jordanaxt.bsky.social
New paper in press at JPSP! An adversarial collaboration focusing on a large-scale test of how strongly implicit racial attitudes predict discriminatory behavior. Pre-print here: osf.io/preprints/ps...
December 2, 2025 at 2:14 PM
Reposted by Adam H. Smiley
chrismurphyct.bsky.social
This is the scandal. Trump isn’t targeting dangerous people. He’s targeting peaceful immigrants. Almost exclusively.
November 26, 2025 at 2:10 PM
Reposted by Adam H. Smiley
jinxungoh.bsky.social
1st paper in thread. The 2nd & my last submitted paper of 2025 is my big theory paper that took over a year to write. Some of you have generously invited me to speak about it but very few have seen the paper. I propose what I call Racial Contrast Theory, to examine Black-Asian relations
osf.io/easwg
November 26, 2025 at 2:58 PM
Reposted by Adam H. Smiley
jackjenkins.me
NEW: Earlier this month, I spent the day with the Luhmanns — a family rooted in theologically conservative Christianity.

In the morning, the homeschooled teenage sons tracked ICE.

In the afternoon, the mother aided an immigrant mother whose partner was deported. religionnews.com/2025/11/25/h...
How one conservative Christian family is pushing back against ICE
A coalition of activists, everyday citizens and people of faith — including theologically conservative Christians — who have pooled resources and learned new technologies to mount an effort they say i...
religionnews.com
November 25, 2025 at 11:48 PM
Reposted by Adam H. Smiley
dalbarra.bsky.social
Postdoctoral Researcher Positions!
November 12, 2025 at 1:23 PM
Reposted by Adam H. Smiley
mehr.nz
The Office (US) characters as academics, a thread.

Creed Bratton: got a TT job by mail in 1964, without an interview. somehow hasn't retired yet. Invented some method used by the entire field. Completely nuts but still friendly

1/n
August 3, 2022 at 12:24 AM
Reposted by Adam H. Smiley
conradhackett.bsky.social
40% of Democrats are religiously unaffiliated (Republicans are half as likely to be unaffiliated).

Across measures, Republicans report more religiousness.

https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2025/11/20/religiousness-varies-a-lot-by-race-among-democrats-relatively-little-among-republicans/
Chart showing U.S. adults who are Republican or lean toward the GOP are more religious than Democrats and Democratic leaners. For instance, 52% of Republicans say they pray daily, compared with 35% of Democrats. And 41% of Republicans say they go to religious services monthly or more often, compared with 24% of Democrats. Chart showing about eight-in-ten Republicans identify with a religion, including large majorities of each racial and ethnic group. Democrats are less likely than Republicans to identify with a religion. About six-in-ten Democrats do, while four-in-ten are religiously unaffiliated, meaning they identify as atheist, agnostic or “nothing in particular” when asked about their religion. Most Black Democrats (79%) identify with a religion, as do smaller majorities of Hispanic Democrats (67%) and Asian Democrats (60%). White Democrats are almost evenly divided between those who identify with a religion and those who are religiously unaffiliated. Looking at Christianity
November 23, 2025 at 10:16 PM
Reposted by Adam H. Smiley
neillewisjr.bsky.social
Hadley Wickham made a GenZ version of dplyr 😂

hadley.github.io/genzplyr/
GenZ version of dplyr in R
November 21, 2025 at 6:47 PM
Reposted by Adam H. Smiley
spspnews.bsky.social
👋Don't forget to submit your research for the SPSP PUI Invited Talk Series! This initiative is a great way to highlight outstanding scholarship at Primarily Undergraduate Institutions.

📌Deadline: December 2

👉Apply here: ow.ly/szRj50XuKnH
SPSP Scholars at Undergrad Institutions: Submit Your Research for SPSP's PUI Invited Talk Series Submission Deadline: December 2
November 20, 2025 at 9:09 PM
Reposted by Adam H. Smiley
leahmcelrath.bsky.social
🚨 Trump calls for the death of Democratic senators and representatives who produced a video advising members of the military and intelligence communities not to follow illegal orders:
Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump SEDITIOUS BEHAVIOR, punishable by DEATH! 655 ReTruths 1.93k Li... 11/20/25, 9:21 AM
November 20, 2025 at 3:31 PM
Reposted by Adam H. Smiley
infobeautiful.bsky.social
Now this is how you detect whether an election was stolen. Humans choose rounder numbers.

by @TheEconomist
A scatter plot titled "Fair and square? Russian federal elections, 2000-21" which visualizes the results of Russian federal elections. The x-axis represents voter turnout in percentage, ranging from 0 to 100%. The y-axis represents the percentage of votes for Putin, Medvedev, or the United Russia party, also ranging from 0 to 100%. Each dot on the plot represents a polling station. A cluster of dots appears in the upper right corner, indicating high voter turnout and a high percentage of votes for the specified candidates. A dashed rectangle highlights a grid-like pattern of dots at numbers ending in zero and five, with an annotation suggesting this pattern indicates potential foul play. The source is cited as Kobak and Shpilkin (2021).
November 6, 2025 at 9:55 AM
Reposted by Adam H. Smiley
sarahegaither.bsky.social
It’s letter-of-recommendation season again, when universities ask me to rate a 21 year old student’s ability to “see the big picture of life” while I eat leftover pasta in a Tupperware…
a man with a mustache says but why in yellow letters
ALT: a man with a mustache says but why in yellow letters
media.tenor.com
November 19, 2025 at 2:15 PM
Reposted by Adam H. Smiley
brendannyhan.bsky.social
One of the most upsetting articles I've read in a long time www.theargumentmag.com/p/when-grade...

UCSD report senate.ucsd.edu/media/740347...

We are failing a generation of kids.
When grades stop meaning anything
The UC San Diego math scandal is a warning
www.theargumentmag.com
November 19, 2025 at 2:05 AM
Reposted by Adam H. Smiley
andrewjaipresly.bsky.social
#Tierney 3-2 #Scotland Epic
November 18, 2025 at 9:46 PM
asmiley.bsky.social
Highly concerning… 😬
seanjwestwood.bsky.social Sean Westwood @seanjwestwood.bsky.social · 16d
AI presents a fundamental threat to our ability to use polls to assess public opinion. Bad actors who are able to infiltrate panels can flip close election polls for less than the cost of a Starbucks coffee. Models will also infer and confirm hypotheses in experiments. Current quality checks fail
November 18, 2025 at 9:30 PM
Reposted by Adam H. Smiley
seanjwestwood.bsky.social
AI presents a fundamental threat to our ability to use polls to assess public opinion. Bad actors who are able to infiltrate panels can flip close election polls for less than the cost of a Starbucks coffee. Models will also infer and confirm hypotheses in experiments. Current quality checks fail
November 18, 2025 at 9:23 PM
Reposted by Adam H. Smiley
jinxungoh.bsky.social
Another reminder that if you got students who wanna do a social psych PhD focusing on identities (specifically Asian, Latine, MENA Americans), I’m recruiting! I’m hustling hard here so pls send people my way 😅
see website for details www.pbandjlab.com
jinxungoh.bsky.social Jin X. Goh | 吴晋勋 @jinxungoh.bsky.social · 17d
Starting the week strong with a newly accepted paper in Policy Insights from the Behavioral and Brain Sciences, co-authored with postdoc @lizsnoland.bsky.social and Sohad Murrar! We merged two largely independent research lines to call for data disaggregation of Asian Americans and MENA Americans
psyarxivbot.bsky.social PsyArXivBot @psyarxivbot.bsky.social · 18d
Unpacking Broad Racial Labels: The Disaggregation of Data on Race and Ethnicity: https://osf.io/eyv7b
November 18, 2025 at 4:34 AM
Reposted by Adam H. Smiley
404media.co
We can no longer trust that survey responses are coming from real people.”
A Researcher Made an AI That Completely Breaks the Online Surveys Scientists Rely On
We can no longer trust that survey responses are coming from real people.”
www.404media.co
November 17, 2025 at 8:15 PM
Reposted by Adam H. Smiley
neillewisjr.bsky.social
The Change from 2020 tab is particularly interesting, given the narratives about what happened.
New York Times Change from 2020 electoral map.
November 18, 2025 at 3:29 AM
Reposted by Adam H. Smiley
gerardomarti.bsky.social
Political Gap Between Pastors & Pews

“Political partisanship of the average mainline pastor diverges significantly from the politics of the folks sitting in their pews.”

Ryan Burge analyzes recent PRRI data to highlight pervasive pattern in Mainline Christianity 👉 open.substack.com/pub/ryanburg...
The Partisanship of Clergy and Laity in Mainline Traditions This horizontal stacked bar chart displays partisan identification among clergy and laity (non-clergy members) across seven mainline Protestant denominations. Each denomination has two rows (one for clergy, one for laity) and the responses are divided into four categories: Democrat (blue), Independent (gray), Republican (red), and Other (green). The denominations included are United Methodist, Evangelical Lutheran, Presbyterian Church USA, American Baptist, Episcopal Church, United Church of Christ, and Disciples of Christ. Each bar is annotated with the percentage value for each group and party identification. For example, in the United Methodist tradition, 38% of clergy identify as Democrat, 34% as Independent, 19% as Republican, and 9% as Other; laity are 37% Democrat, 9% Independent, 52% Republican, and 1% Other. Percentages are shown inside their corresponding bar segments. The data source is listed as PRRI 2023 Clergy Survey + Cooperative Election Study, 2024, and “@ryanburge” is credited as the creator. Share of Clergy and Laity Identifying as Republican This bar chart provides a visual comparison of the share of clergy and laity identifying as Republican in the same seven mainline Protestant denominations. Each denomination is represented by two adjacent bars: the left bar is for clergy and the right bar is for laity. The percentages are indicated inside each bar, and the bars are colored in shades of red. Error bars are present atop each bar, suggesting a margin of error is included. For example, in the Presbyterian Church USA, 7% of clergy and 53% of laity identify as Republican. In the United Methodist tradition, the figures are 19% clergy and 52% laity. The denominations shown are United Methodist, Evangelical Lutheran, Presbyterian Church USA, American Baptist, Episcopal Church, United Church of Christ, and Disciples of Christ. The data sources and credit are the same as the first graph.
November 17, 2025 at 3:20 PM